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OPTIMAL LOT SIZE OR PURCHASE

December 2021

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Objective of the course

 Determine and apply the correct concept of generating the best purchase amount or optimal
production quantity in order to minimize the overall cost.

 To ensure the knowledge to be applied in the future in purchasing, planning, production


scheduling, spare parts and any other activity within the organization that requires cost
optimization.

 Know the most recent models to load digitally as fast as possible and avoiding finger errors.

 See tools that help you do calculations quickly and even connect to an ERP system
 Lokad
 Odoo
 Log-Hub

 Creation of probability scenarios in safety inventory creation.

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Methodologies and inventory determination

For inventory control and management, you must determine the quantities to be purchased,
always considering that you want to minimize total inventory costs as much as possible,
without having a negative impact on the level of customer service.

Inventory control is performed at the individual component level, also known as SKU (stock
keeping unit).

For this, they are classified into 3 different methods:

1. Lot by lot,
2. Fixed quantity orders and
3. Economic order quantity.

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Lot by Lot

This method is based on ordering only what is required at the specific time it is required.
Its main features are:
• Does not generate inventory
• It is mainly used for type A materials, because they are very expensive.
• It is widely used in JIT or Just In Time processes.

For example:

A CNC machine service company has a CNC processor inventory of 1 part. The purchase lot
is 1 part, due to its complexity, critical operation, and high cost. The company waits until it
uses its available inventory to reorder a new lot.

Another example:

The supplier of a flavoring blend of natural and artificial ingredients, manufactured especially
for a food company, produces in batches of 10 kg. Because it is a special raw material that
cannot be sold to any other customer, the supplier demands that the company buys complete
batches from him, and that his purchases are in multiples of 10 kg.

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Fixed Quantity Orders

This method buys the same amount for each order placed in a given time.

Its main features are:

• Used for simple and fast parts


• It is through requirement estimates
• It is not very accurate and, consequently, has opportunities

For example:

Contrary to the previous example, when servicing the machines, different screws are used,
which do not have a specific number, depending on the job. For this reason, a fixed quantity
is ordered at a certain time, since the cost of the parts is low and a very detailed control of
their use is not required.

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Economic Order Quantity (EOQ) Economic Order Quantity

 EOQ (also known as EBQ - Economic Batch Quantity) is the amount of product or raw
material that must be ordered in order to balance the set-up cost with the inventory costs,
resulting in the lowest total cost.

 The difference between set-up (or order) costs in EOQ depends on whether the product is
purchased from a supplier (order cost), or received from an internal manufacturing process
(set-up cost):

 Ordering costs include all costs necessary to place an order (such as transportation,
maneuvering and other labor, plus technology-related costs).

 Setup costs are costs incurred when switching to a production line.

 Inventory costs correspond to Capital Expenditures, Service Inventory Costs, Risk


Inventory Costs and Warehouse Space Costs.

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EOQ calculation

 If we minimize the sum of the costs of 'ordering' and the costs of 'carrying inventory', we
will consequently be minimizing the total costs.

 To help visualize this, you can graph the cost of 'ordering' (or ordering) and the cost of
'carrying inventory' as shown in the chart below:
Annual Cost

Total
cost

Order Carrying
Cost Cost

Quantity

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7 7
EOQ calculation
 Economic Order Quantity is the optimal break-even point between the annual
cost to produce/order and the annual cost to store a product.

 Therefore, the variables considered in the calculation are those represented in


the following formula:

𝐸𝑂𝑄=

2∗ 𝑨𝒏𝒖𝒂𝒍𝑽𝒐𝒍𝒖𝒎𝒆∗𝑪𝒐𝒔𝒕 𝒕𝒐𝒐𝒓𝒅𝒆𝒓
𝑰𝒏𝒗𝒆𝒏𝒕𝒐𝒓𝒚 𝒄𝒂𝒓𝒓𝒚𝒊𝒏𝒈 𝒄𝒐𝒔𝒕

where:
Cost of Carrying Inventory =.
Cost per Unit * Cost of Storage * Cost of Capital (%)

 EBQ (Economic batch quantity) is calculated in the same way as EOQ,


however, instead of order cost, we must consider the 'Change-Over' Cost.

 EBQ is the basis for Run Strategies in manufacturing companies.

8
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EOQ - Economic Order Quantity

Method that determines the quantity to order, taking into account inventory carrying costs
(inventory carrying costs), order management and product costs, to minimize costs by
maintaining a safety inventory according to the level of customer service.

The principle of the EOQ method is that as the number of units to be ordered increases:

The cost of carrying inventory increases

Unit cost of order placement decreases

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Example of EOQ calculation

For example, calculate the EOQ for both products considering that:

Product 1 Product 2
Period Average 30,000 Period Average 30,000
Demand Demand
Unit Cost $25 Unit Cost $29
Cost to order per order $200 Cost to order per order $189
Cost of inventory 23% Cost of inventory 21%
carrying carrying

1) How many orders will be placed annually?


2) What is the annual cost to purchase?
3) What is the average monthly inventory?
4) What will be the annual cost of carrying inventory?
5) What is the total annual cost?

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Example of EOQ calculation

EOQ
EOQ 2 Annual Vol Order cost 2 30,000 200 12,000,000 25,043,478 5,004
Unit Cost Inv keep cost % 25 23% 0.47917
@ 12 meses

EOQ
EOQ 2 Annual Vol Order cost 2 30,000 189 11,340,000 22,344,828 4,727
Unit Cost Inv keep cost % 29 21% 0.50750
@ 12 meses

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HOW IS THE EOQ DETERMINED?

The economic lot is determined at the point where the cost of holding inventory is
equal to the cost of ordering, or the break-even point is reached where these 2 costs
are equal.
This is best exemplified in the following graph:
Cost

Order cost
Cost to maintain
inventory
Total cost

Lot Size
Once you know what quantity to buy - using one of the 3 methods, lot-for-lot, fixed-
quantity orders, and economic order quantity - you must determine the frequency of
purchase.

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Economic Order Quantity

Assumptions

1. Constant demand rate

2. No restriction on order size

3. Only relevant costs considered to order or setup

4. Decisions for one item are independent of other items.

5. No uncertainty about lead times or supplies.

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Economic Order Quantity

Order Inventory delivered


received (demand rate)
Inventory on hand (units)

Q Cycle of
- inventory
2

1
cycle Time

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Economic Order Quantity

Total Cost = CMI + CO


Annual Cost (dollars)

Cost to maintain
Inventory (CMI) Cost to
Order (CO )

Lot size Q

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Economic Order Quantity

3000 -
Annual Cost (dollars)

Total Cost = CMI + CO

2000 -
Cost to maintain Q = x C x I
inventory 2

1000 -
D
Ordering Cost = (S )
Q

||||||||
0-
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400

Lot size (Q)

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Example

A company sells 18
units per week of
a product, the value of
purchase of the product is
60 and the handling fee of
inventory 25%, the cost of
place an order for
purchase is $45.

Currently places
orders of 390 units.

Calculate the total cost of


inventory management.

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Example

D = 18 units/week x 52 weeks/year = 936


units/year

CMI = 390/2 x 60 x 0.25 = 2925 $/year


CO = 936/390 x 45 = 108 $/year
TC = 2925 + 108 = 3033 $/year

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Example Cont.

D = 18 units/week x 52 weeks/year = 936


units/year CMI = 390/2 x 60 x 0.25 = 2925 $/year
CO = 936/390 x 45 = 108 $/year
TC = 2925 + 108 = 3033 $/year
3033 $
3000 -

Annual Cost (dollars)

2000 -

1000 -

| | | | | | | |
0-
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400
Q=390
Lot size (Q)
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Example Cont.

We match the cost of holding inventory with the cost of ordering.

Q/2 x C x I = D/Q x S 2 xDxS

Q² = (2 x D x S) / (C x I) EOQ =
CxI

EOQ = 2 x 936 x 45

60 x 0.25

EOQ = 75 Units

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Example (Cont.)

CMI = 75/2 x 60 x 0.25 = $562.50 $/year


 CO = 936/75 x 45 = $562.5 $/year
CT = 562.50 + 532.50 = 1125 Savings = 3033 - 1125 = 1908

3033 $
3000 -
Annual Cost (dollars)

2000 -

1125
1000 -

| | | | | | | |
0-
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400
Q=390
EOQ Lot size (Q)
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Comparative Results

Parameters Initial Optimum


Demand (Units/year) 936 936
Product Cost ($) 60 60
Inventory management rate (%) 25% 25%
Cost of placing an order ($) 45 45
Order size (Units) 390 75
Number of orders/year (orders) 2.4 12.5
Interval between orders (days) 150 29
Average Inventory (Units) 195 37.5
Cost to purchase ($/year) 108 562.5
Cost of holding inventory 2,925 562.5
($/year)
Total cost ($/year) 3,033 1,125
Savings ($/year) 1,908

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Variable Demand

How much Variable demand


demand?
When to order?
How much?

How much safety stock?

What service level ?

What lead times?

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Continuous Review Models

Order
Order Order
receive
receive Order receive
receive
Available
stock R

Order Order Order


placed placed placed

Time

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Reorder Points

Service level = 85%.

Breakage probability
(1.0 - 0.85 = 0.15) = 15%.
Demand
average
during
lead time R

zσL

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Z Factor

VALOR DE Z
NIVEL DE S ERVICIO
INV.NORM.ESTAND(n.s .)
60% 0.2533
70% 0.5244
75% 0.6745
80% 0.8416
85% 1.0364
90% 1.2816
91% 1.3408
92% 1.4051
93% 1.4758
94% 1.5548
95% 1.6449
96% 1.7507
97% 1.8808
98% 2.0537
99% 2.3263
99.5% 2.5758
99.7% 2.7478
99.9% 3.0902
99.99% 3.7190
99.999% 4.2649
99.9999% 4.7534
99.99999% 5.1993
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Reorder Points

R=m+s
Where:
R = Minimum inventory level for reordering the new order
(reorder point)
m = Inventory for Lead Time

s = Safety Inventory for Lead Time

s = z x σ σ = Standard deviation of the demand

z = Depends on the planned fill


rate

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Reorder Points

SS

Probability of
Breakage

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Example

A supermarket has the following demand for Detergents

D=200 boxes/day
L=4 days (Lead Time)
σ=150 boxes/day
Planned Fill Rate 95%
S=20 $/order
i=20%/year
C=10 $/box

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Standard Deviation of leadtime

s t = 15
s t = 26

+
75
Demand week 1
s t = 15

+ 225
Demand during
75
Demand week 2 Three weeks of
s t = 15 lead time

=
75
Demand week 3

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Another Example

Calculate the inventory planning parameters if the inventory is managed under the

continuous review system. "Q"

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Periodic Review Systems

Order Order Order


receive receive receive
Available
stock

Order Order
placed placed

Time

Protection Interval

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Target Inventory

T = m' + s'

Where:

T = Target inventory level at time of placing an order

m' = Service Inventory for Lead Time and Revision Period

s' = Safety Inventory for Lead Time plus revision period

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Exercise

For the above exercise calculate the inventory planning parameters if the system is a

periodic review system. "P"


Parameter Continuous Periodical
Review Review
Cost of administration

Number of orders/year

Average Inventory

Safety Inventory

Fill Rate
Cost to maintain
inventory

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Management Systems

For this, the safety stock calculation and 3 systems are used:

• Safety Stock

1. Reorder point system.


2. Periodic Review System
3. MRP system.

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Stock or Safety Inventory

Definitions
Demand:
 The quantities consumed by customers, on average, per unit of time.

Lead Time:
 The delay between the time at the reorder point (inventory level at which an order is
initiated) until the time that availability is renewed

Service Level:
 The probability that the Safety Stock level is efficient in such a way as to avoid stockout
 Naturally, the higher the desired level of service, the greater the safety inventory required.

Forecast Error:
 An estimate of how much the actual demand may vary from the forecast demand.
 Expressed as the standard deviation of demand.

* The model works with any time units (days, weeks, months, etc.). The key is to establish a time unit and then maintain
consistency across all analyses.
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Safety Inventory Calculation (SS)

Basic Calculus is:

SS *FE
Z AvgLT2 2
*SE
AvgDemand2

Service Factor Protection


Forecast Error Protection of 'Supply Variability
('Service Factor')

Meaning:
 Z = NORMSINV(Service Level), for example Z=1.64 for a service level of 95%.
 AvgLT = Average Lead Time
 σFE = Standard deviation of demand (i.e. SFE)
 AvgDemand = The number of items consumed by customers, on average, per unit of time.
 σSE = Standard Deviation of Lead Time or Supply Error

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Safety Inventory Calculation Example (Ss)

Safetystoc k  Z AvgLT *  Fe2  AvgDemand 2


*  Se2

Let there be two finished products with similar demand during the month, but
the following characteristics:
Product 1 Product 2
Period Average Demand 30,00 Period Average Demand 30,00
0 0
Forecast error for the period 35% Forecast error for the period 10%

Lead Time 0.500 Lead Time 0.500


Supply error (desv.std.LT) 10% Supply error (desv.std.LT) 50%

Service Level desire 95% Service Level desire 95%

Determine the Safety Stock needed considering that the period is monthly.

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Example of Safety Inventory Calculation (SS)

Safetystoc k  Z AvgLT *  Fe2  AvgDemand 2


*  Se2

Z Avg LT σFE2 Multiplicación 1


Multiplication

SAFETY STOCK PRODUCTO 1.645 0.500 110,250,000 55,125,000


Product 1
SAFETY STOCK PRODUCTO
Product 2
1.645 0.500 9,000,000 4,500,000

Avg Demand2 σSE2 Multiplicación 2


Multiplication
SAFETY STOCK PRODUCTO
Product 1 900,000,000 0.0025 2,250,000
SAFETY STOCK PRODUCTO
Product 2 900,000,000 0.0625 56,250,000

Suma
Sum Raíz
Root Safety Stock
SAFETY STOCK PRODUCTO
Product 1 57,375,000 7,575 12,459
SAFETY STOCK PRODUCTO
Product 2 60,750,000 7,794 12,820

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Example of Safety Inventory Calculation (SS)

In this case
Period demand is monthly

Safetystoc k  Z AvgLT *  Fe2  AvgDemand 2


*  Se2

0.5 30000 35% 10500 110,250,000.00 55,125,000.00

0.5 30000 10% 3000 9,000,000.00 4,500,000.00


@10%/2
30000 X 30000 900,000,000.00 0.05 0.05 0.0025 2,250,000.00
@50%/2
30000 X 30000 900,000,000.00 0.25 0.25 0.0625 56,250,000.00

57,375,000.00

60,750,000.00

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Reorder Point

 The Reorder Point is the minimum inventory level at which a new purchase or production order
must be placed.
The reorder point considers the lead time to receive the new inventory, the typical inventory
consumption rate and the safety stock level.
 Therefore, the ROP is calculated through the following formula:

Reorder Point = Demand x Lead Time + Safety Inventory

 In other words, the ROP is the amount of inventory needed to cover the demand during the
waiting time for replenishment in order to avoid stock-outs.

If the Lead-Time for replenishment is one week, the


ROP will be when there is only one week's stock, plus
the remaining safety stock.
Inventory

Safety Stock
Time
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1 2 3 4 5 6 7 (weeks)
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EXAMPLE - REORDER POINT

For the example above, calculate the Reorder Point (ROP) for both products.

ROP = Average Lead Time*Average Demand+ Safety Stock (SS)

Avg LT Avg Dmd Safety Stock Punto Reorden


Reorder Point
REORDER POINT PRODUCTO
Product 1 0.500 30,000 12,459 27,459
REORDER POINT PRODUCTO
Product 2 0.500 30,000 12,820 27,820

WATCH OUT FOR THE UNITS:


The LT must be expressed in the same unit of time.
than the average demand. That is to say, if we talk about an average demand of 30,000
units per month, the Lead Time should be expressed in months (for example, here
the 0.5 refers to a Lead Time of half a month)

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Reorder Point

A minimum inventory level is determined, which triggers the time in which a new order
must be placed, with enough time for the new material to arrive before the available
inventory is completely depleted.

The reorder point is calculated by the following equation:

Reorder Point = Demand x Lead Time + Safety Inventory

It refers to the safety inventory, the inventory determined to be able to cover any
contingency or peak demand, which exceeds the response capacity, in order not to
impact the customer.
The point of reordering is:
Where:
 R = Reorder point in units = Average demand
L = Lead time (time elapsed between placing and receiving the order)
z = Number of standard deviations for a specific service probability
σL = Standard deviation of usage during lead time

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Reorder Point

For example:
Assuming there is a weekly demand of 50 units and you want to maintain a safety
inventory of 20 pieces and the lead time is 6 weeks.

The reorder point - for this case, based on the equation shown - would be 320 pieces (50 x
6 + 20), i.e. when you have only 320 pieces in the warehouse, a new order must be placed.

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Periodic Review System

Periodic Review System


This system is based on a constant frequency of order placement. Unlike the reorder point
system, where the time was variable, in this system the time is fixed and what varies is the
quantity to be ordered based on the available inventory and the determination of a target
inventory level.
The target level is determined through the equation:
Target Level = Demand in the fixed interval + Demand in the lead time + Safety Inventory

Once the target level has been determined, the order quantity is determined:
Order Quantity = Target Level - Inventory On Hand

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Periodic Review System

For example:
A company has established to place orders every 15 days. They have a daily demand of 50
units and have a lead time of 5 days. Currently, they have an inventory of 120 units and
want to maintain a safety inventory of 10 units. We determine the target level and the
quantity to order:
Target level: 50 (15 + 5) + 10 = 1100
Order quantity: 1100 - 120 = 890
In this system, each time period the order quantity calculation must be performed to
determine the volume of the order to be placed. This system is used when the cost per
order placement is low.

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MRP (Materials Resource Planning)

MRP
This system refers to the material requirement plan that is the tool of
organizations to plan purchase orders with their suppliers of materials and
raw materials, where it is required to collect information from different areas,
in order to have specific data to make purchasing decisions.

The MRP is based on the master production plan, which indicates how much
product needs to be manufactured. The BOM indicates the lowest level
components that must be purchased in order to complete the final product.

Inventories help us to determine the quantities needed to order from


suppliers. And finally, additional information such as waiting times,
percentages of waste, quality, minimum purchase lots, among others.

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Balancing Value and Risk Potential of Situational Inventory

High
Protect
Margin With The cost of a situational inventory
Inventory build can be precisely calculated.
Product Margin

The upside value potential and


downside risks are equally
Invest in important to the economics, but
Supply can only be estimated.
Agility

Define Fixed
Supply and
Shape
Low Demand
Low High
Cost of Residual Inventory

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Freight Mode Selection

Choosing between alternative transportation modes involves


comprehensive comparison of choices that involve trade-offs between
freight rate, lead time and supply quantity.
 Long lead time ocean vs. expensive air freight
 Long lead time rail vs. faster motor transport

The longer lead times and larger shipment quantities impact three different
types of inventory. This worksheet supports a comprehensive analysis of
cost/inventory trade-offs in the mode decision.
 Unit cost and annual, risk-adjusted carrying cost determines the attractiveness and
feasibility of slower modes with reduced freight rates

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Value Chain/Channel Inventory Model

An end-to-end value chain or distribution channel is supported by many or all


of the six functions of inventory.
Illustrating and estimating the breakdown of inventory functions enables better
understanding and can catalyze collaboration to arrive at decisions that
improve capability and performance.
Compiling the estimates for full value chain inventory requires separate
calculation of all six functions. Cycle stock and safety stock calculations can
be supported by worksheets within this Toolkit. The remainder can be
estimated by applying Little's Law.

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Load: Which Model is Better?

RRT

Set-up time Single, big and not A A B C D E A A B C D E


flexible Machine
reduction
M T W T F S M T W T F S
RRT

Single, big and A C E A C E A C E A C E


flexible Machine
Set-up time A B D A B D A B D A B D

reduction
M T W T F S M T W T F S
or splitting RRT

E E E
D D D D
Big and very flexible
C C C C C
Machine or a lot of
B B B B B B B
small not flexible
A A A A A A A A A A A A
Machine A A A A A A A A A A A A

M T W T F S M T W T F S
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Batch Size and System Performance

cycle stock
Stock level

Safety stock
Lead
Time
Product Product Prod. Prod. Product Product Prod. Prod. Prod.
A B C D A B C D A

uncertain supply period


Stock level

cycle stock

Safety stock

Lead
Time
A B C D A B C D A B C D A

uncertain supply period

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Conclusion

The management of the batches to be produced and the inventories are a


complex issue, which if carried out correctly, will help to minimize costs
without impacting the service levels. In summary, batch and inventory control
are the processes of adopting procedures to limit the total cost of inventory
(exact inventory).

The control procedures ensure that they are available to produce and are
accurate inventory, integrate the efficiency in the purchase of supplies,
continuous improvement efforts, synchronized production, aggregate
planning and adequate logistics to fulfill the orders.

Remember that inventory is an asset, so quantity, handling, turnover and


quality must be taken care of.

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