You are on page 1of 17

USING FUZZY MULTI-

CRITERIA DECISION-
MAKING MODEL: BASIS ON
BRIDGE CONSTRUCTION
RISK ASSESSMENT IN
ORIENTAL MINDORO
Andres, Bren S.
Paigao, Lanz Andrie P.
Soniel, Krisha Charlotte F.
Supetran, Jae Ann A.
REVIEW OF RELATED
LITERATURES
STATEMENT OF THE PROBLEM
Bridges are important for development, but constructing them in places like Oriental Mindoro comes with
uncertainties. Existing methods for assessing construction risks fall short, especially in accounting for the different
unique challenges in this region. The need for a more adaptable and realistic risk assessment model is evident.
This study aims to fill this gap by introducing a Fuzzy Multi-Criteria Decision-Making (FMCDM) model
specifically tailored for bridge construction risk assessment in Oriental Mindoro. Unlike conventional methods, this
model considers the fuzzy and uncertain aspects of real-world construction situations, making it more suitable for
the local conditions.
The main issue this study aims to address include:
1. Identifying the criteria and sub-criteria for assessing bridge construction risks in some parts of
Oriental Mindoro.
2. Creating and validating a practical FMCDM model that aligns with the local context.
3. Assessing how well the proposed model improves the accuracy of risk assessments on bridge
construction.
4. Examining the real-world impact of the FMCDM model on decision-makers, project managers, and
stakeholders involved in bridge construction projects.
OBJECTIVES
The primary objective of this study is to develop and implement a Fuzzy Multi-Criteria Decision-Making
(MCDM) model for the purpose of assessing and managing risks in bridge construction projects in Oriental Mindoro.
Specifically, the study aims to:
1. Evaluate and identify the key risk factors associated with bridge construction projects in Oriental Mindoro
through a comprehensive literature review and expert consultations.
2. Develop a Fuzzy MCDM model that incorporates multiple criteria, such as environmental, social,
economic, and technical factors, to assess the risks inherent in bridge construction projects.
3. Apply the developed model to a case study involving ongoing or completed bridge construction projects in
Oriental Mindoro, with the goal of demonstrating the model's effectiveness in capturing and evaluating complex
uncertainties.
4. Validate the proposed Fuzzy MCDM model through comparison with traditional risk assessment methods
and expert opinions to ensure its reliability and applicability in the context of bridge construction in the region.
5. Provide recommendations for improving risk management strategies based on the findings of the study,
aiming to enhance the overall success and resilience of bridge construction projects in Oriental Mindoro.
By achieving these objectives, the study seeks to contribute valuable insights into the field of construction
project risk assessment, particularly in the context of bridge construction in Oriental Mindoro, and provide a practical
and adaptable tool for decision-makers in the industry.
SIGNIFICANT OF THE STUDY

Construction projects involving bridges face diverse risks, encompassing environmental


variables, material constraints, financial limitations, and unexpected challenges throughout the
construction phase. A comprehensive framework for assessing risks is essential to proactively identify,
analyze, and mitigate potential issues. The significance of this research lies in its objective to introduce
a specialized Fuzzy Multi-Criteria Decision Making (FMCDM) model tailored for assessing risks in
bridge construction. The incorporation of fuzzy logic in this model enables a more realistic
representation of uncertainties inherent in decision-making. Traditional decision-making models often
encounter difficulties in handling subjective judgments and imprecise data, which are prevalent in the
construction industry. The FMCDM model proposed in this capstone project integrates fuzzy logic to
address vagueness and imprecision, offering a more robust and accurate approach to assess and
manage risks associated with bridge construction projects.
SCOPE AND DELIMITATION
 Scope of the Study

The scope of this research encompasses the application of a Fuzzy Multi-Criteria Decision-Making
(FMCDM) model for risk assessment in bridge construction projects specifically within Oriental Mindoro,
Philippines. The geographical focus extends to diverse locations within the province, considering the unique
environmental and geographic conditions. The study will span a defined period, covering the entire lifecycle of
bridge construction projects in Oriental Mindoro, as determined by historical records and data availability. Utilizing
the FMCDM model, the research will identify, analyze, and prioritize various risk factors associated with bridge
construction, including environmental, technical, financial, and social aspects. The involvement of key stakeholders,
such as government agencies, contractors, engineers, and local communities, will contribute to a comprehensive
understanding of risk in the context of bridge construction projects.
 Delimitations

The research imposes several delimitations to refine its focus and manage constraints. Firstly, the study
narrows its geographical scope to Oriental Mindoro, excluding other provinces, acknowledging that findings may
not be universally applicable. The discussion will concentrate solely on the application of the FMCDM model for
risk assessment, with alternative decision-making models receiving minimal exploration. Data availability is a
critical consideration, and limitations in access or quality may influence the comprehensiveness of the risk
assessment. The study recognizes the dynamic nature of risk factors and the potential emergence of new risks during
the research period. While acknowledging existing policies and regulations relevant to bridge construction, a
comprehensive analysis of the entire legal framework governing construction projects will not be undertaken. These
delimitations aim to provide a focused and realistic investigation within specified boundaries.
THEORETICAL AND CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK

Utilize
Utilize a
a multi-criteria
multi-criteria
approach
approach to to consider
consider various
various
factors
factors influencing
influencing the
the
decision-making
decision-making process
process inin
bridge construction.
bridge construction.

Incorporate fuzzy sets and Identify


Identify and
and assess
assess potential
potential risks
risks
fuzzy logic to handle associated with bridge
associated with bridge
uncertainties and imprecise construction
construction projects
projects in
in Oriental
Oriental
information in the decision- Mindoro.
Mindoro.
making process.

Evaluation
Evaluation of
of the
the project
project effectiveness
effectiveness
LOCATION OF THE STUDY
This study will be conducted in Oriental Mindoro from January to May of 2024. The
interpretation of data will be done at John Paul College.
METHODOLOGY
The methods and procedures of the study are included in this section using a flow chart. The diagram
shown below shows the process/plan used. This includes the research material and equipment, research methods and
procedures, and the research locale and study period.
3.1 IDENTIFICATION OF VARIABLES
Dependent variable:
 Risk assessment of Bridge

Independent variables:
 Fuzzy Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Model
 Oriental Mindoro’s geographical location.

 3.2 RESEARCH MATERIALS

In conducting the assessment, following materials are needed.

 Fuzzy Multi-criteria Decision -Making Models


 Book, articles, and files about Risk assessment in bridge construction
 Specific information about Oriental Mindoro
 Research Studies related to fuzzy logic applications in construction risk assessment and case studies of
bridge construction projects.
 Software and tools commonly used for implementing fuzzy MCDM models in risk assessment
 3.3 RESEARCH METHODS AND PROCEDURES

1. Research Design
Type of Study
- This study will adopt a quantitative research design.
2. Population and Sample
-Population
- The population includes all relevant bridge construction projects in Oriental Mindoro.
-Sample Selection
- the researchers will employ a stratified sampling technique to ensure
representation from various geographical locations and project scales.
3. Data Collection
- Data Sources:
- Primary data: data will be collected through surveys, interviews, and on-site
inspections.
- Secondary data: existing records, reports, and literature that is related to bridge construction in
Oriental Mindoro will be utilized
- Data Variables
- such variables like project location, environmental conditions, project complexity,
construction materials, and historical incidents will also be included.
Risk Map of Oriental Mindoro
HAZARD MAP OF ORIENTAL MINDORO

Figure 1c: OVERALL CONDITION OF


BRIDGES IN SOUTHERN MINDORO

GOOD FAIR POOR


𝐹 1 𝐹𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑛𝑐𝑖𝑎𝑙𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝐸𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑜𝑚𝑖𝑐 𝑅𝑖𝑠𝑘

4. Criteria Identification
𝐹 2 𝐶𝑜𝑛𝑡𝑟𝑎𝑐𝑡𝑢𝑎𝑙 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝐿𝑒𝑔𝑎𝑙 𝑅𝑖𝑠𝑘
-Identification Process:
- the researchers will collaborate with experts,

RISK FACTORS OF BRIDGE


𝐹 3 𝑆𝑢𝑏𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑡𝑟𝑎𝑐𝑡𝑜𝑟𝑠−𝑟𝑒𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑒𝑑 𝑅𝑖𝑠𝑘
stakeholders, and relevant literature to identify

CONSTRUCTION
and refine criteria for risk assessment.
-Categorization 𝐹 4 𝑂𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛𝑎𝑙𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑆𝑎𝑓𝑒𝑡𝑦 𝑅𝑖𝑠𝑘

- criteria will be separated into groups

𝐹 5 𝑃𝑜𝑙𝑖𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑎𝑙𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑆𝑜𝑐𝑖𝑎𝑙 𝑅𝑖𝑠𝑘

𝐹 6 𝐷𝑒𝑠𝑖𝑔𝑛 𝑅𝑖𝑠𝑘

𝐹 7 𝐹𝑜𝑟𝑐𝑒 𝑀𝑎𝑗𝑒𝑢𝑟𝑒 𝑅𝑖𝑠𝑘


5. Fuzzy Linguistic Variables
- Definition:
- The researchers will then define fuzzy linguistic variables for each criterion to capture uncertainties in the
assessment.
Determining the Degree of Impact of Risk Measuring the Occurrence Likelihood of Risk
Factors. Factors.

Evaluating the Values of Degree of Risk.

You might also like