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From: GBA Strategies Date: October 9, 2012

Heinrich Builds Double-Digit Lead in NM Senate Race

Democrat Martin Heinrichs consistent lead in the New Mexico Senate race has now grown to 12 points in a 3-way contest and 13 points in a 2-way contest. Our latest poll shows Heinrich leading Republican Heather Wilson by a 55 42 percent margin in a head-to-head. When Independent American Party candidate Jon Barrie is included, Heinrich leads Wilson 51-39 percent, with Barrie receiving 8 percent. In all six polls we have conducted, Heinrich enjoys a net favorable rating, while Wilson suffers from a net unfavorable rating. Heinrich now maintains a net +10 favorability rating (44 percent favorable 34 percent unfavorable), while Wilson holds a net -14 favorability rating (32 percent favorable 46 percent unfavorable). These results are based on a survey of 600 likely voters conducted October 4th-7th. Respondents were reached on landlines and cell phones. The sample is subject to a +/- 4.0 percentage point margin of error at the 95% confidence level. The party registration of the sample is 50 percent Democrat, 36 percent Republican, and 14 percent other. The sample is 36 percent Hispanic. These figures illustrate that the sample is reflective of the likely electorate in the state.

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