Department of Energy and Climate Change 3 Whitehall Place London SW1A 2AW Your reference T 2!

13"23#12 Dear $r Da%ey& Than' you for your letter of 12th Decem(er& in reply to my o)n letter of 1*th +o%em(er& ,ent on your (ehalf (y a $r -arl .oliland/ 0 hope that the content, of the letter repre,ent $r .oliland1, o)n %ie), and not tho,e of your Department& (ecau,e they are far from comforting and do not con%ey any ,en,e that rigour accompanie, DECC1, approach to our changing climate/ $o,t of the letter i, populi,t )affle de,igned to placate an uneducated reader and 0 do not intend to )a,te any time con,idering it/ 0 )ill confine my,elf to a fe) particular point,/ The third paragraph ,ay, that 2mar'et failure,3 are (ehind the go%ernment1, ,upport for emerging technologie,/ 0 do not 'no) )hat a 2mar'et failure3 i,/ 0f it tran,pire, that there i, no demand for high co,t energy )hen there i, a plentiful ,upply of relati%ely lo) co,t energy& then the mar'et i, )or'ing/ Al,o& )ind tur(ine, can in no )ay (e con,idered an emergent technology ,ince the fir,t recorded in,tallation )a, nearly 13! year, ago/ 4ecau,e of the,e ,o5called mar'et failure,& the much5%aunted 2green 6o(,3 are ,upported (y le%y& not (y any mar'et demand/ They are therefore a flat co,t on ,ociety and are not )ealth generating/ 0 )ould li'e to clarify ,omething in your o)n mind7 you )ill not (e increa,ing ,upport to lo) car(on electricity 2year5on5year to 89/: (illion3 5 )e& the un)illing electricity (ill payer, )ill& and )e )ill ha%e no choice in the matter/ 4a,ing your approach to energy policy on an alleged con,en,u, i, tantamount to ,aying that a (ig ,cienti,t done it and ran a)ay/ 4y appealing to thi, famou, con,en,u, you ha%e a(rogated any re,pon,i(ility for your o)n policy and left your,elf open to charge, of irre,pon,i(ility in pu(lic office/ When you only tal' to people )ho ,upport your 'no)n and profe,,ed po,ition it i, no ,urpri,e that your %ie) of a con,en,u, i, continually reinforced/ 0t )ill (e no defence in court that ,ome other people thought that )hat you )ere doing )a, a good thing/ The t)o paragraph, (eginning )ith 2The o%er)helming ,cientific con,en,u,3 are impre,,i%e for the a,tounding num(er of ,imply )rong a,,ertion, they contain/

You mention increa,ing amount, of greenhou,e ga,e,& including C 2& (eing 2%ery li'ely re,pon,i(le for the increa,e in glo(al temperature, ,een ,ince the indu,trial re%olution3/ The 0ndu,trial ;e%olution i, u,ually con,idered to ha%e happened (et)een a(out 199! and 1<*!/ Temperature, ,tarted to ri,e in a(out 1<#!& a, )e emerged from the Little 0ce Age& and ha%e ri,en and fallen in ,e%eral pha,e, ,ince then e%en a, the concentration of C 2 in the atmo,phere ha, continued to increa,e ,teadily/ 0t appear, that you no longer con,ider atmo,pheric C 2 to (e the predominant cau,e of )arming/ 0f it i, not& then )hat i,= The la,t time any ,tati,tically ,ignificant ,urface )arming )a, detected )a, o%er ,e%enteen year, ago& not 6u,t during 2the la,t decade3/ You tal' of a pau,e in )arming& )hich ,ugge,t, that you are certain that )arming )ill re,ume/ When )ill thi, (e= .o) can you (e ,ure that thi, i, not in fact a precur,or to a long decline in temperature= Arctic ,ea ice i, not in retreat/ Antarctic ice ha, recently reached it, greate,t e%er recorded e>tent and the lo)e,t temperature, e%er found on Earth )ere recorded in the Antarctic 6u,t a fe) )ee', ago/ ?lacier, are indeed in retreat/ ther glacier, are gro)ing/ They do thi, all the time 5 it 6u,t depend, )here you loo'/ ?lo(al ,ea le%el, ha%e (een ri,ing for many thou,and, of year,& e%er ,ince the end of the la,t 0ce Age/ ;ecently the mea,ured rate of ri,e appear, to (e a(ating ,lightly/ 0n ,ome place, the ,eal le%el i, actually retreating/ 0 do not 'no) )hat glo(al change, in the hydrological cycle ha%e (een o(,er%ed apart from an increa,e in precipitation in the Sahel ,ince a(out 1@<!& )hich i, impro%ing agricultural condition, in ,u(5Saharan Africa/ There i, no 'no)n lin' (et)een increa,ing temperature and the increa,ing ri,' of e>treme )eather e%ent,& (ecau,e there i, no 'no)n increa,ed ri,' of e>treme )eather e%ent,/

ne of the ma6or o(6ection, to the (elief that temperature ri,e i, a con,eAuence of ri,ing C 2 i, the oft5o(,er%ed effect that C 2 increa,e follo), temperature ri,e/ ;e%er,ing thi, ,eAuence )a, one of the ma6or error, in Al ?ore1, film 2An 0ncon%enient Truth3& a film ,o (adly fla)ed that it i, no longer allo)ed to (e ,ho)n in 4riti,h ,chool, )ithout a prior e>planation of it, many error,/ Since the increa,e in C 2 i, thought to lag the temperature increa,e (y a(out <!! year,& )hat )e are currently detecting may po,,i(ly (e the outcome of the $edie%al Warm Period/ You cite in ,upport of the contention that temperature ri,e ha, follo)ed increa,ed C 2 the 2!12 paper (y Sha'un et al/ 0f you had ,tudied the paper it,elf rather than 6u,t it, accompanying pre,, relea,e you )ould 'no) that the correlation (et)een temperature and C 2 can (e demon,trated only a, long a, the temperature record i, halted prior to the modern era/ 0f all of the a%aila(le data i, con,idered& the correlation fail, at a(out :&!!!4C& there(y in%alidating any point that the paper )i,hed to ma'e/ 0 am al,o puBBled (y your intention, regarding the continuation of ,u(,idie,/ You ,ay that you 2)ill not (e changing in%e,tment incenti%e, for rene)a(le,3& (ut al,o 2Thi, /// ,upport i, for a temporary period3 and there )ill (e 2a tripling of the ,upport for lo) car(on3/ When 0 read today that the EC i, in,i,ting that the C- cea,e, to ,u(,idi,e on5,hore )ind

(y 2!2! it i, o(%iou, that your policy i, in total confu,ion/ +othing in your letter i, at all con%incing/ 0 had hoped for (etter from DECC (ut it appear, that your policy i, (eing de%eloped (y mean, of an uncritical reading of ?uardian article, and ?reenpeace pre,, relea,e,/ Thi, i, not nearly good enough/ Plea,e an,)er the follo)ing ,imple Aue,tion,7 1D When )ill glo(al )arming re,ume= 2D .o) long )ill thi, e>pected ne>t period of )arming la,t (efore another pau,e= 3D 0, atmo,pheric car(on dio>ide the predominant factor in climate ,en,iti%ity= aD 0f ,o& )hat i, the climate ,en,iti%ity= (D 0f not& )hat other thing, play ,ignificant role,& and )hat i, their contri(ution to climate ,en,iti%ity= *D What pro6ection, ha%e (een made to model the relati%e effect, on mortality rate, gi%en a reduction in ,e%erely cold temperature, and a ri,e in ma>imum temperature,= #D Erom )here ha, come the (elief that e>treme )eather effect, ha%e increa,ed or may increa,e= :D 0, Ed Da%ey per,onally a)are that he may (e open to a charge of murder in Scotland= 0, he prepared to defend him,elf in a criminal court=

0n addition to the main thru,t of my la,t letter that cold temperature, endured (y poor people )ho cannot afford to heat their home, properly )ill cau,e premature death,& t)o other potentially fatal effect, ha%e (ecome apparent/ Eir,tly& many home, are no) (ecoming damp (ecau,e they are in,ufficiently heated/ Thi, damp )ill gi%e ri,e to re,piratory pro(lem,& po,,i(ly cau,ing ,eriou, %a,cular condition,/ Additionally& the damp )ill cau,e ,tructural damage to )hat i, mainly pu(licly5o)ned property/ Secondly& po)er cut, re,ulting from a lac' of grid electricity )ill them,el%e, (e dangerou, to life/ Le,, lighting& machinery ,topping and ,tarting une>pectedly& and cold li%ing condition, due to heating ,imply not (eing a%aila(le at any co,t are all dangerou, to health/ A, the proportion of (a,e load (eing pro%ided (y unpredicta(ly intermittent ,ource, ,uch a, )ind farm, increa,e,& ,upply interruption, )ill (ecome ine%ita(le& e%en gi%en the e>i,tence of the e>tremely e>pen,i%e ST ; alternati%e/ 0 a)ait your reply& (ut 0 mu,t )arn you that 0 )ill not )rite many more time, (efore ma'ing a complaint to Police Scotland/ Plea,e do not in,ult me or the reader, of tpdr,l/org )ith another anodyne letter/ Your, ,incerely&