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Answer Key 34
Reference 36
Module Writers’ Profile 37
Introductory Message
This learning module in Statistics and Probability is designed for you Grade 11
learners. It is aligned to the K to 12 Curriculum of the Department of Education which
focuses on the most essential learning competencies. The lessons, activities and
assessments in this module are organized, developed, and made simple to allow
students to exercise independent learning.
Researches from different fields want to learn about a population and describe its
properties and characteristics. The problem is, it may be impossible, impractical, and
inconvenient to obtain data from a very large population. Thus, unbiased samples
are chosen randomly to represent the total population. In this module, we will
consider another type of distribution which is sampling distribution.
This module is all about the sampling and sampling distribution. It is consist of
the following lessons:
1
Lesson Random Sampling
1
What I Know
Let us see how much you know about random sampling before we tackle the
lesson. Below is a 5-item multiple choice test. Write the letter of your choice on the
space provided before each number.
What’s New
Analyze and compare the following cases:
What is It
Population is the group you want to generalize. It consists of all the members
of the group you are interested in. Sample is the subset from the population you
want to examine. A population commonly contains too many individuals to study
conveniently and practically, so an investigation is often restricted to one or more
samples drawn from it. A well-chosen sample will contain most of the information
about a particular population parameter but the relation between the sample and the
population must be such as to allow true inferences to be made about a population
from that sample.
Sampling is a process used in statistical analysis in which a predetermined
number of observations are taken from a larger population. There are various
sampling methods that allow all the units in the population to have an equal chance
of being selected. These sampling methods are discussed below.
a. Lottery Method
Every member is assigned a unique number. These numbers are put in a jar
and thoroughly mixed. After that, the researcher picks some numbers without
looking at it and those people are included in the study.
N
n =N e2
1000
n = 1000
(0.05)2
1000
n = 1000 (0.0025)
1000
n= 2.5
n=400 (sample size)
2. Systematic Random Sampling
This can be done by listing all the elements in the population and selecting every
kth element in your population list. This is equally precise as the simple random
sampling. It is often used on long population lists. To determine the interval to be
used in identifying the samples to who will participate in the study, use the
N
formula K = (population/sample size).
n
Example:
N
If Population (N) = 2000, sample size (n) = 500, K = , so k = 2000/500 = 4th. Use a
n
table of random numbers to determine the starting point for selecting every 4th
subject. With list of the 2000 subjects in the sampling frame, go to the starting point,
and select every 4th name on the list until the sample size is reached. Probably will
have to return to the beginning of the list to complete the selection of the sample.
Example: Assume you have a population of 1000 students with 500 from grade
school, 300 from high school, and 200 from senior high school. Determine the how
many samples you need or you can use the Slovin’s Formula or any other formula
for computing the sample size. In this example, Slovin’s Formula is used and a
sample size of 400 is computed. To get the samples from each stratum, divide 400
by 1000 and the answer is 0.4. Multiply 0.4 to each of the number of students per
stratum (e.g. 0.4 x 500 grade school is 200).
4. Clustered Sampling
A multistage sampling method adopted when it is either impossible or
impractical to compile an exhaustive list of elements found in the target
population. The whole population is subdivided into clusters, or groups, and
random samples are then collected from each group.
Stratified Sampling
A teacher who is conducting a research on the effects of using mobile phones in
teaching English decided to divide her students into male and female and then she
selected students from each gender group.
Systematic Sampling
The school office personnel gave the researcher a list of 2000 Grade 10 students.
The researcher selected every 25th name on the list.
Cluster Sampling
A researcher surveyed all dengue patients in each of the 10 randomly selected
hospitals in Misamis Oriental.
What’s More
Give one research situation where each of the sampling methods is being
applied. Refer to the previous examples.
3. Stratified Sampling
4. Cluster Sampling
6
What I Have Learned
Let’s Summarize!
What I Can Do
Identify the type of sampling method used by the researcher in each situation:
simple random sampling, systematic sampling, stratified sampling, or cluster
sampling.
1. A researcher chose the participants of his study by selecting
every 8th member of the population.
2. A researcher interviewed all the teachers in each of 15
randomly selected private schools in Cagayan de Oro City.
3. A researcher interviewed people from each barangay in the
municipality of Alubijid for his research on population.
4. A researcher is doing a research work on the students’ reaction
to the newly implemented curriculum in mathematics and
interviewed every 5th student entering the gate of the school.
5. A researcher randomly selected 15 barangays in a town for her
study. She did this by writing the names of each barangay on a
piece of paper which she folded and put in a bowl then she
draw 15 pieces of paper from the bowl.
6. A researcher selected a sample of n=300 from a population of
900 by using the Table of Random Numbers.
7. A researcher interviewed all the nurses in each of the 5
randomly selected private hospitals in Northern Mindanao.
8. A statistician selected a sample of n=500 high school students
from a private school with 2,500 students. He randomly
selected the students from each grade level.
9. A Statistics student did a research on the time spent by Grade
11 and 12 students in playing mobile legends. He randomly
selected his subjects by using the Table of Random Numbers.
10. A teacher conducted a study in her school to determine who
were better in mathematics: the males or the females.
Additional Activities
Study the case below. Then, identify and illustrate the sampling method that is
appropriate to the given situation.
Situation:
You are given the task to conduct a survey on the average household size in
your municipality with 16 barangays and a population of 30,000.
8
Lesson Parameter and Statistic
2
What I Know
Determine whether the statement is true or false. Write T if the statement is true
and F if false on the blank provided before each item.
1. Parameter is a measure that describes a population.
2. Statistic is a measure that describes a sample.
3. An example of a parameter is ´x.
4. An example of a statistic is μ .
5. The given value in, “50% of the Philippine senators agreed to support a
specific bill.” is a statistic.
What’s In
In the previous lessons, you learned about random sampling, a process done
in selecting an unbiased representative sample from a population. This time, you will
be introduced to the measures involved in the population and sample. Measures
from a very large population are impossible to obtain especially if your resources are
limited. This brings us to other measures which are from the representative samples.
This lesson will help you identify measures about population and sample.
What’s New
Study the cases below. Identify which of the cases involves measures from a
population and a sample.
1. A researcher randomly selected a sample of 1600 people in Cagayan de Oro City
and asked if they use a certain detergent brand and 40% of them said yes.
2. A researcher interviewed all the members of the Mathematics department with 10
female teachers, 15 male teachers and 1 department head. He wants to know
the average hours per day they spend in training students for competitions and
found out that they spend an average of 2 hours per day for training.
Analysis: The first case contains a measure for a sample. It indicated that 40% of
the 1600 samples said yes. On the other hand, the second case contains a measure
from a population because an average of 2 hours per day spend in training is from
all of the people in the Mathematics department.
What is It
A measure that describes a population is called parameter. A measure that
describes a sample is called statistic. In population parameter, mean is represented
by μ, σ 2 represents variance, and σ represents standard deviation. In
sample
statistics, mean is represented by x´ , s2 represents variance, and srepresents standard
deviation. Data from the sample are used to calculate statistics. Statistics are
estimates of the corresponding parameters.
Examples:
Parameter: 50% of the 24 Philippine senators agreed to support a certain measure.
Statistic: A researcher found out that 25% of the students in the Philippines
reported to have internet connection at home.
Explanation:
1. The example indicates a parameter since there are only 24 senators in the
Philippines.
2. Researchers cannot ask millions of students if they have internet connection
at home, so they take samples from the target population and calculate.
What’s More
Read each statistical study below. For each study, identify both the parameter
and the statistic. Refer to an example given.
1. A teacher wants to determine the average score in the first periodic examination
in General Mathematics of his 5 classes. From a random sample of 120 students.
The teacher obtains an average score of 84.
Parameter:
Statistic:
2. A teacher wants to know the average hours spend on social media of his
advisory class. He randomly selected and asked 35 students and found out that
they spend an average of 3 hours per day on social media.
Parameter:
Statistic:
What I Have Learned
Let’s Summarize!
Parameter is a measure that describes a population. Parameter includes
population mean μ, population variance σ 2, and population standard deviation σ .
Statistic is a measure that describes a sample. Statistics include sample mean x
´
What I Can Do
Assessment
1. The researcher found out that the 29 senior high school teachers of
a certain school spend an average of 2 hours preparing their
lessons.
2. Based on a sample of 900 elementary students, it was found out
30% of them do not know multiplication facts.
3. Based on sample of 1,200 surveyed students, it was found out that
20% of them needed financial assistance.
4. A teacher surveyed all 50 students under his advisory class about
their learning styles and found out that most them are visual
learners.
5. The Statistics teacher wants to know the average score of the
students in the final exam. He randomly selected 35 students and
obtained an average score of 43.
Additional Activities
Give your own example of a statistical study involving parameter and sample.
1. Parameter
2. Statistic
Lesson Sampling Distribution of the Sample Means
3
What I Know
Compute for the mean of the set of numbers below. Write your answer on the
space provided in each item. Round off your answers to two decimal places.
1) 2, 5, 7, 3, 9
2) 12, 15, 7, 9, 10, 17
3) 3, 5, 7, 15, 17, 19, 21
4) 20, 32, 26, 22, 27, 30, 28, 21
5) 30, 35, 29, 34, 37, 40, 43, 36, 38
What’s In
What’s New
Activity
1. A population consists of 2, 3, and 4. List all possible samples of size 3 which can
be drawn with replacement from this population and compute the mean of each
sample. One possible sample is given as your guide.
Sample Mean
2, 3 2.5
What is It
If you list all the possible samples of size 3 drawn from a population of 4 with
elements 2, 3, and 4 you will have 9 samples. The table below shows the 9 samples
and their corresponding means.
Sample Sample Mean
2, 2 2.0
2, 3 2.5
2, 4 3.0
3, 2 2.5
3, 3 3.0
3, 4 3.5
4, 2 3.0
4, 3 3.5
4, 4 4.0
This let us learn how to make a probability distribution of the sample means.
We shall call this distribution, the sampling distribution of sample means.
Sampling Distribution of
Population
Sample Means
∑x
Mean μ=
μ´x=
∑ x´
N 2 n 2
√ √
∑ ( ´x−μ
´x )
2
Standard
Deviation
∑ ( x−μ )2 σ =
σ= ´x
n
N
Sampling with Replacement
Example 1:
Consider a population consisting of the values 2, 5, and 8.
a. Compute the population mean.
b. Compute the population variance.
c. Find the population standard deviation.
d. List all the possible samples of size n=¿2 with replacement and their
corresponding means.
e. Find the mean of the sampling distribution of sample means.
f. Find the variance of the sampling distribution of sample means.
g. Find the standard deviation of the sampling distribution of sample means.
Solution:
a. Compute the population mean.
∑x
μ=
N
2+5+8
μ= 3
15
μ= 3
μ=5
2
σ =
∑ ( x− μ )
N
2 18
σ =3
σ 2=6
Hence, the population variance is 6.
σ=
∑ ( x− μ )
N
√
2
σ =√ 6
σ =2.45
Hence, the population standard deviation is 2.45.
d. List all the possible samples of size 2 with replacement and their
corresponding means.
Observation Samples ´x
1 2, 2 2.0
2 2, 5 3.5
3 2, 8 5.0
4 5, 2 3.5
5 5, 5 5.0
6 5, 8 6.5
7 8, 2 5.0
8 8, 5 6.5
9 8, 8 8.0
σ=
2 ∑ ( x´ −μ ) ´
2
´x
n
2 27
σ =
x´
9
σ 2´ =3
√
´
σ x= ∑ ( nx´ −μ )
2
x
σ ´x=√ 3
σ ´x =1.73
Solution:
a. Compute the population mean.
∑x
μ=
N
1+3+5
μ= 3
9
μ=
3
μ=3
σ =
2 ∑ ( x− μ )
N
2 8
σ =
3
σ =2.67
2
σ=
∑ ( x− μ )
N
√
2
=√ 2.67
σ =1.63
Hence, the population standard deviation is 1.63.
d. List all the possible samples of size 2 with replacement and their
corresponding means.
Observation Samples ´x
1 1, 3 2
2 1, 5 3
3 3, 1 2
4 3, 5 4
5 5, 1 3
6 5, 3 4
μx´=
∑ x´
n
18
μ x´=
6
μ ´x =3
σ=
2 ∑ ( x´ −μ ) ´
2
x´
n
4
σ2=
x´
6
σ 2
´x =0.67
Hence, the variance of the sampling distribution of sample means is 0.67.
g. Find the standard deviation of the sampling distribution.
√
=
∑ ( ´x − μ2´x )
σ
´x
n
σ ´x=√ 0.67
σ ´x =0.82
1. What do you notice about the population mean and the mean of the sampling
distribution of sample means? How do you compare them?
2. How do you compare the population variance and the variance of
the sampling distribution of sample means?
Let us summarize the example above by comparing the means and variances of
population and the sampling distribution of the sample means.
t can be drawn from the population of size N with mean μ and variance σ 2, then the sampling distribution of the sample m
bution of means is equal to the population variance divided by the size of n of the samples. That is,
2 σ2
σ´x= n
he sampling distribution of means is equal to the population standard deviation divided by the square root of the sample si
σ=σ
´x
√n
Without Replacement
The mean of the sampling distribution of means is equal to the mean of the population
μ ´x =μ
The variance of the sampling distribution of means is equal to the population variance
σ2 N −n
( )
2
σ´x=
nN −1
The standard deviation of the sampling distribution of means is equal to the population standard deviation
√(
σ = σ N −n
´x
√n
N −1 )
What’s More
Independent Practice
Solve the following problems. Use the properties of the sampling distribution of
sample means.
4. If a population with size of 4 has a variance of 6.8, what is the variance of the
sampling distribution of its means? The sampling distribution has a sample
size of 3 and all possible samples are drawn without replacements.
Let’s Summarize!
If all possible samples of size n that can be drawn from the population of size
N with mean μ and variance σ 2, then the sampling distribution of the sample means
has the following properties.
With Replacement
The mean of the sampling distribution of means is equal to the mean of the
population.
μ ´x =μ
The variance of the sampling distribution of means is equal to the
population variance divided by the size of n of the samples. That is,
2 σ2
σ ´x=
n
The standard deviation of the sampling distribution of means is equal to the
population standard deviation divided by the square root of the sample size of
n of the samples. That is,
σ ´x σ
=
√n
Without Replacement
The mean of the sampling distribution of means is equal to the mean of the
population.
μ ´x =μ
The variance of the sampling distribution of means is equal to the
population
σ2 N −nvariance divided by the size of n of the samples. That is,
( )
2
σ x´ =
n N −1
The standard deviation of the sampling distribution of means is equal to the
population standard deviation divided by the square root of the sample size
of n of the samples. That is,
√ √ N −1
( N−n
σ ´x = σ
n
What I Can Do
2, 5, 7, 9, 10, 11, 12
Assessment
2. A population consists of the four numbers 1, 2, 8, and 9. List all the possible
samples of size n=¿2 which can be drawn without replacement from the
population. Find the following:
a. Population mean
b. Population variance
c. Population standard deviation
d. Mean of the sampling distribution of sample means
e. Variance of the sampling distribution of sample means
f. Standard deviation of the sampling distribution of sample means
3. A random sample of n=65measurements is obtained from a population with μ=20
and σ 2=400. Describe the sampling distribution for the sample means by
computing μ ´x∧σ2 . Consider a sampling without replacement.
Additional Activities
Form a group of five students. Get the height (in cm) of each member of the
group. Use the properties in solving for the mean, variance and standard deviation of
sampling distribution of the sample means.
What I Know
Let’s see how much you know before we tackle the lesson. Below is a 5-item
multiple choice test. Write the letter of your choice on the space provided.
1. Which of the following states that the sampling distribution of the sample
means approaches a normal distribution as the sample size gets larger?
A. Central Limit Theorem C. Law of Large Numbers
B. Limit Theorem D. Bayes Theorem
For numbers 4 and 5, refer your answers from the picture below.
The Central limit theorem states that the sampling distribution of the mean
approximates a normal distribution with a mean of µ and a standard deviation of σ
e be?”, statisticians do differ on it as some would suggest 30 and others suggest it as large as 50 or more. This usually happe
Mean:
1+ 2+ 3 + 4 + 5 + 6
x´ = =3.5 (Note: Computation for population mean and
6
sampling distribution mean is the same for n=1)
Variance:
Standard Deviation:
√
17.5
n=1 √ σ2=σ= 6 ≈ 1.71
Percentage
0.18 Sa e P
0.16 mplx´ abi
roblity
0.14 1 1 = 1/6
0.12
2 2 = 1/6
0.1
0.08 3 3 = 1/6
0.06 4 4 = 1/6
0.04 5 5 = 1/6
0.02 16 6
0 2 3 = 14/6 5 6
X
Interpretations:
The population mean and sampling distribution means are both equal which is
3.5. It has a variance of approximately 2.92 and a standard deviation of
approximately 1.71. Since all samples have the same probability of 1/6 or 16.6´ , the
trend of the histogram is like a flat line horizontally.
If n= 2,
Population Mean:
X´ = 1+ 2+ 36+ 4 + 5 + 6 =3.5
Variance:
σ (1−3.5)2+2(1.5−3.5)2+3(2−3.5)2+ 4(2.5−3.5)2+ 5(3−3.5)2 +6(3.5−3.5)2+5 (4−3.5)2+ 4 (4.5−3.5)2+
2
= 36
52.5
¿ ≈ 1.46
36
Standard Deviation:
52.5
√
σ2=σ= ≈ 1.21
√ 36
The table shows a total of 36 samples and the probability of each are as follow:
0.14
0.12
0.1
0.08
0.06
0.04
0.02
0
1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 5.5 6
X
Interpretations:
The population mean and sampling mean is just the same which is 3.5 and it
shows a variance of approximately 1.46 and a standard deviation of 1.21,
approximately. Most of the data are concentrated at the middle values of the sample
means. As observe in the graph, the data gathered resembles that of normal curve
which supports the idea of a central limit theorem which strongly suggests normality.
What Is It
Activity 1
Illustrating the Central Limit Theorem and Sampling Distribution of the Sample
Means
Let’s see how much you know after we tackle the lesson. Below is a 5-item
multiple choice test. Write the letter of your choice on the space provided.
1. Which of the following states that the sampling distribution of the sample
means approaches a normal distribution as the sample size gets larger?
A. Sampling Distribution Theorem C. Limit Theorem
B. Sample Mean Theorem D. Central Limit Theorem
For numbers 4 and 5, refer your answers from the picture below.
What’s New
In the first lesson, you learn about sampling distribution of the sample mean
using the central limit theorem and illustrating it. You know the concept of central
limit theorem.
For this lesson, you are expected to know the importance of central limit
theorem in order to make probability statements on sample mean in relation to the
value in comparison to the population mean. In addition, you will learn to solve
problems involving sampling distributions of the sample mean (M11SP-IIIe-f-1).
What I Know?
Let’s see how much you know before we tackle the lesson. Below is a 5-item
multiple choice test. Write the letter of your choice on the space provided.
For numbers 1-5. A motorcycle company claims that their latest type of motorcycle
has a mean life of 10 years with a standard deviation of 2 years. Suppose the
distribution of motorcycle lives is approximately normal.
1. Given the assumption is true, find the probability that the randomly selected
motorcycle will last less than 8 years.
A. 0.1587 C. 0.3174
B. 0.1915 D. 0.3413
2. Given the assumption is true, find the probability that the randomly selected
motorcycle will be greater than 9 years but less than 12 years.
A. 0.1498 C. 0.5328
B. 0.1915 D. 0.3413
3. On the same assumption, find the probability that the randomly selected
motorcycle will be greater than 11 years but less than 14 years.
A. 0.1957 C. 0.4772
B. 0.2857 D. 0.6687
4. On the same assumption, find the probability that the mean of a random
sample of 5 such motorcycles will be less than 8 years.
A. 0.1915 C. 0.4772
B. 0.3413 D. 0.4875
5. On the same assumption, find the probability that the mean of a random
sample of 9 such motorcycles will be less than 11 years.
A. 0.2257 C. 0.4192
B. 0.3413 D. 0.4332
What’s New
Examples:
A school principal claims that grade 11 students has mean grade of 86 with a
standard deviation of 4. Suppose that the distribution is approximately normal;
A. what is the probability that a randomly selected grade will be less than 84?
B. what is the probability that a randomly selected grade will be greater than 82
but less than 90?
C. what is the probability that the mean random sample of 9 students will be less
than 88?
A. What is the probability that a randomly selected grade will be less than 84?
Given: σ =4 μ ´x =84❑
μ=86
OSrtiagnindaalrDdaiztea
( )
84 − μ
Solution: P ( x< 84)=P z> σ
( −2 )
844−86
= P z>
= P( z > 4 )
= P( z >−0.5)
= 0.5-0.1915
= 0.3085
Conclusion:
Therefore, the probability that a randomly selected grade will be less than 84
is 0.3085.
B. What is the probability that a randomly selected grade will be greater than
82 but less than 90?
Given: σ =4 μ ´x =82 μ ´x =90
1
μ=86 1
( )
82− μ 90− μ
Solution: P ( X <84 )=P σ <z<σ
( 4 <z< )
82− 86 90 −86
=P 4
= P ( 4 < z<4 )
−4 4
= P(−1< z <1)
= 0.3413 + 0.3413
= 0.6826
Conclusion:
Therefore, the probability that a randomly selected grade will be greater than 82
but less than 90 is 0.6826.
C. What is the probability that the mean random sample of 9 students will be
less than 88?
Given: σ =4 μ ´x =88 μ=86
❑
n=9
Solution: σ
(
P ( X´ <88 )=P z > n
√
(
88−86
= Pz> 4
√9
(
2
Pz>
= 4
3
= P( z >1.5)
= 0.5+0.4332
= 0.9332
Conclusion:
Therefore, the probability that the mean random sample of 9
students will be less than 88 is 0.9332
What Is It?
For numbers 1-5. A motorcycle company claims that their latest type of motorcycle
has a mean life of 10 years with a standard deviation of 2 years. Suppose the
distribution of motorcycle lives is approximately normal.
1. Given the assumption is true, find the probability that the randomly selected
motorcycle will last less than 8 years.
A. 0.2958 C. 0.3174
B. 0.1915 D. 0.1587
2. Given the assumption is true, find the probability that the randomly selected
motorcycle will be greater than 9 years but less than 12 years.
A. 0.1498 C. 0.1915
B. 0.5328 D. 0.3413
3. On the same assumption, find the probability that the randomly selected
motorcycle will be greater than 11 years but less than 14 years.
A. 0.1957 C. 0.2857
B. 0.4772 D. 0.6687
4. On the same assumption, find the probability that the mean of a random
sample of 5 such motorcycles will be less than 8 years.
A. 0.4875 C. 0.4772
B. 0.3413 D. 0.1915
5. On the same assumption, find the probability that the mean of a random
sample of 9 such motorcycles will be less than 11 years.
A. 0.4332 C. 0.4192
B. 0.3413 D. 0.2257
ANSWER KEY
2.
a. μ=5
b. σ 2=12.5
c. σ =3.54
d. μ ´x =5
e.σ 2 =4.17
f. σ x´ =2.04
3.
1. μ ´x =20
2. σ 2 =6.15
References
Belecina, R., Baccay, E., & Mateo, E. (2016). Statistics and Probability. Manila: Rex
Book Store, Inc.
Mercado, J. & Orines, F. (2016).Next Century Mathematics: Statistics and
Probability. Manila: Phoenix Publishing House, Inc.
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/sampling-distribution.asp
https://courses.lumenlearning.com/boundless-statistics/chapter/sampling-
distributions/
https://link.quipper.com/en/organizations/556417baab63a7752c006f37/curriculum#c
urriculum
http://homepages.math.uic.edu/~bpower6/stat101/Sampling%20Distributions.pdf
https://stats.libretexts.org/Bookshelves/Introductory_Statistics/Book
%3A_Introductory_Statistics_(Shafer_and_Zhang)/06%3A_Sampling_Distributions/6
.02%3A_The_Sampling_Distribution_of_the_Sample_Mean
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