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Forecasting Template - Complete Strictly Confidential

Table of Contents
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Notes
This Excel model is for educational purposes only and should not be used for any other reason.
All content is Copyright material of CFI Education Inc.
https://corporatefinanceinstitute.com/

© 2019 CFI Education Inc.


All rights reserved.  The contents of this publication, including but not limited to all written material, content layout, images, formulas, and code, are protected under international copyright and trademark laws.  
No part of this publication may be modified, manipulated, reproduced, distributed, or transmitted in any form by any means, including photocopying, recording, or other electronic or mechanical methods,
© Corporate Finance Institute. All rights reserved. 

Moving Averages
Revenues 3-mo MA 5-mo MA
Jan $5.0
Feb $8.0
Mar $7.0 $6.7 $10.0
Apr $8.0 $7.7 $9.0
May $8.0 $7.7 $7.2
Jun $9.0 $8.3 $8.0 $8.0
Jul $7.0 $8.0 $7.8
$7.0
Aug $9.0 $8.3 $8.2
Sep $5.0 $7.0 $7.6 $6.0
Oct $7.0 $7.0 $7.4
$5.0
Nov $5.0 $5.7 $6.6
Dec $8.0 $6.7 $6.8 $4.0

$3.0

$2.0

$1.0

$0.0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May

Revenues
Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Revenues 3-mo MA 5-mo MA


© Corporate Finance Institute. All rights reserved. 

Simple Linear Regression


Data Radio ads Revenue
Jan 21 $8,350.0
Feb 180 $22,755.0
Mar 50 $13,455.0
Apr 195 $21,100.0 Ads v
May 96 $15,000.0
$30,000.0
Jun 44 $12,500.0
Jul 171 $20,700.0
Aug 135 $19,722.0
$25,000.0
Sep 120 $16,115.0
Oct 75 $13,100.0 f(x) = 78.0753012596384 x + 7930.354662
Nov 106 $15,670.0 R² = 0.932729425680283
$20,000.0
Dec 198 $25,300.0
Totals 1,391 $203,767.0
Average 116 $16,980.6
$15,000.0
Forecast function
100 $15,737.9
150 $19,641.6 $10,000.0
200 $23,545.4

Equation of a line $5,000.0


78.08 100 $15,737.9
7,930.35 150 $19,641.6
200 $23,545.4 $0.0
0 50 100
Ads vs Revenue

78.0753012596384 x + 7930.35466232025
0.932729425680283

50 100 150 200 250


© Corporate Finance Institute. All rights reserved. 

Regression Output

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.874907709977506
R Square 0.765463500978083
Adjusted R Square 0.713344278973213
Standard Error 189.608208003821
Observations 12

ANOVA
df SS MS F
Regression 2 1056016.79711822 528008.398559109 14.6867791101439
Residual 9 323561.452881783 35951.2725424203
Total 11 1379578.25

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value


Intercept 187.329605374008 252.282244631481 0.742539791683113 0.476692637276625
Promotion 6.39248921775422 1.20096380061974 5.32279925044825 0.000479211851001
Advertising -0.319255424065276 0.933760262847119 -0.341902988130848 0.740271984466751
Significance F
0.001465368903773

Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%


-383.372481365906 758.031692113922 -383.372481365906 758.031692113922
3.67572035392092 9.10925808158752 3.67572035392092 9.10925808158752
-2.43156789100122 1.79305704287067 -2.43156789100122 1.79305704287067
© Corporate Finance Institute. All rights reserved. 

Multiple Linear Regression


Promotion Advertising Revenue
Jan $63.0 $123.0 $543.0
Feb $117.0 $234.0 $1,000.0
Mar $161.0 $321.0 $1,200.0
Apr $117.0 $234.0 $924.0
May $116.0 $231.0 $876.0
Jun $117.0 $301.0 $778.0
Jul $213.0 $234.0 $1,550.0
Aug $117.0 $333.0 $777.0
Sep $167.0 $234.0 $678.0
Oct $117.0 $333.0 $876.0
Nov $216.0 $221.0 $1,654.0
Dec $63.0 $185.0 $565.0
Totals $1,584.0 $2,984.0 $11,421.0

Sales promotion $125.0 $75.0 $200.0


Advertising $250.0 $300.0 $300.0
Revenues $906.58 $570.99 $1,370.05

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%


Intercept 187.329605374 252.282244631 0.74253979168 0.47669263728 -383.37248137
Promotion 6.39248921775 1.20096380062 5.32279925045 0.00047921185 3.67572035392
Advertising -0.3192554241 0.93376026285 -0.3419029881 0.74027198447 -2.431567891
Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
758.03169 -383.3725 758.03169
9.1092581 3.6757204 9.1092581
1.793057 -2.431568 1.793057

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