Professional Documents
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STRAND/BLOCK:__________________________
STATISTICS
AND PROBABILITY
Quarter IV – Week 2
The Parameter
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Management Team:
Servillano A. Arzaga CESO V, SDS
Loida P. Adornado PhD, ASDS
Cyril C. Serador PhD, CID Chief
Ronald S. Brillantes, EPS-LRMS Manager
Marie Vic C. Velasco PhD, EPS-Mathematics
Eva Joyce C. Presto, PDO II
Rhea Ann A. Navilla, Librarian II
MELCs:
Identify the parameter to be tested given a real-life problem.
(M11/12SP-IVa-3)
Formulate the appropriate null and alternative hypotheses on a population
mean. (M11/12SP-IVb-1)
Gathering collective perspectives has become the most common form of gathering
information. This is usually done to serve as basis for essential decision-making especially
in terms of developing policies for implementation. Technology also has played a huge part
on reaching out the probable respondents in a survey, in collecting opinions far and wide.
Moreover, in analysing these collected data, Statistics has provided us with systematic
procedures to make sense out of all the frequencies obtained.
Parameter is a numerical quantity that characterizes a given population which
means it tells us something about the whole population. It denotes the true value that
would be obtained if a census rather than a sample was undertaken.
2
Example of parameters and their symbol:
1. Mean (𝝁) – the average of the outcome based on the repeated process or experiment.
2. Variance (𝝈𝟐 ) – a measure of variability, shows the degree of spread in a data set.
3. Standard deviation (𝝈) – denotes how far, on the average, an observed value is from
its mean, a square root of the variance.
3. The recorded standard deviation of the reading habits of STEM students is 7.99 hrs
per day according to the conducted interviews made by the guidance counselor of a
certain school.
Parameter: The standard deviation of the reading habits of the stem students is
7.99 hours.
Step 1: Identify the claim and formulate the null (𝐻𝑜 ) and alternative (𝐻𝑎 )
hypotheses.
Step 2: Set the level of significance and identify whether it is a one-tailed or
two-tailed test based on the alternative hypothesis. Decide on the test
statistic to use and determine the critical value. Draw the rejection
region.
Step 3: Compute the test value using the test statistic.
Step 4: Make a decision whether to accept or reject the null hypothesis.
Step 5: Formulate a conclusion by answering the research question.
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Example 1
Hypotheses Rejection Region Decision
𝐻𝑜 : 𝜇 = 50
𝐻𝑜 : 𝜇 < 50 Reject Ho
Test value: −2.57
Critical value: −1.96
𝐻𝑜 : 𝜇 = 50
𝐻𝑜 : 𝜇 > 50 Accept Ho
Test value: 1.45
Critical value: 1.96
𝐻𝑜 : 𝜇 = 50
𝐻𝑜 : 𝜇 ≠ 50 Reject Ho
Test value: −2.15
Critical value: ±1.96
𝐻𝑜 : 𝜇 = 50
𝐻𝑜 : 𝜇 ≠ 50 Accept Ho
Test value: 1.45
Critical value: ±1.96
Let’s Practice
Directions: Construct Null (𝐻𝑜 ) and alternative (𝐻𝑎 ) hypotheses for each claim.
1. Claim: A consumer analyst reports that the mean life of a certain type of automobile
battery is 74 months.
𝐻𝑜 :
𝐻𝑎 :
2. Claim: A radio station publicizes that its proportion of the local listening audience
is greater than 39%.
𝐻𝑜 :
𝐻𝑎 :
Directions: Identify the parameter to be tested in each of the real-life problems given below.
Write your answers on the space provided.
1. A certain health magazine stated that 16% of men said they used exercise to reduce
weight.
Parameter: _______________________________________________________________
2. A tire manufacturer claims that his tires will give good service to car owners for
45 000 miles.
Parameter: _______________________________________________________________
3. It is claimed that the average time spent by employees on phone calls is 6 minutes.
Parameter: _______________________________________________________________
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Let’s Do More
Directions: Match each symbol in column B with the correct term in column A. Write your
answers on the lines provided below and reveal a word that would complete the statement
that follows.
Column A Column B
1. Population Mean A. 𝑠
2. Sample standard deviation E. 𝑋̅
3. Population standard deviation H. 𝜎 2
4. Sample size L. 𝑁
5. Population size M. 𝜎
6. Sample mean P. 𝑛
S. 𝜇
Directions: Arrange from 1-5 the following steps in hypothesis testing. Write the
corresponding number on the space provided.
_______ Set the level of significance, identify type of test, decide on the test statistic and
critical value to use, and draw the rejection region
_______ Make a decision whether to accept or reject the null hypothesis.
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Let’s Sum It Up
Activity 1
Directions: Complete the statements by filling in the blanks with the words in the box
below.
Mean Standard deviation Variance Parameter Hypothesis testing
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Lesson 2
Test-statistic when the population variance is known
and unknown
MELC:
Identifies the appropriate form of the test-statistic when: (a) the population
variance is assumed to be known; (b) the population variance is assumed to be
unknown; and (c) the Central Limit Theorem is to be used. (M11/12SP-IVb-2)
Objectives: 1. Identify the appropriate form of the test-statistic when the population
variance is assumed to be known and the Central Limit Theorem is to be
used.
2. Identify the appropriate form of the test-statistic when the population
variance is assumed to be unknown and the Central Limit Theorem is to
be used.
3. Solve problems involving known and unknown population variances.
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Test-statistic when the population variance is known and 𝒏 > 𝟑𝟎
The z-test of one-sample mean is used to test if the sample mean 𝑋̅ significantly
differ from the population mean 𝜇. We use the z score formula since we are dealing with
sample mean. By the Central Limit Theorem, we have:
𝑋̅ −𝜇 𝜎
𝑧= where 𝜎𝑋̅ =
𝜎𝑋 ̅ √𝑛
The formula for z-test can be written as:
(𝑋̅ − 𝜇)√𝑛
𝑧=
𝜎
where:
𝑋̅ = 𝑠𝑎𝑚𝑝𝑙𝑒 𝑚𝑒𝑎𝑛
𝜇 = 𝑝𝑜𝑝𝑢𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑚𝑒𝑎𝑛
𝑛 = 𝑠𝑎𝑚𝑝𝑙𝑒 𝑠𝑖𝑧𝑒
𝜎 = 𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑛𝑑𝑎𝑟𝑑 𝑑𝑒𝑣𝑖𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛
After computing for the test value z, we will compare the computed value against the
critical value of z as shown in the table below. The rejection region in the sampling
distribution must be illustrated.
Table 1. Critical value of z
Level of Significance
Type of Test
𝛼 = 0.01 𝛼 = 0.05
One-tailed ±2.33 ±1.65
Two-tailed ±2.58 ±1.96
Example 1.
A certain drug is claimed by its manufacturers to reduce overweight men by 4.75 kg
per month, with a standard deviation of 0.89 kg. Ten randomly chosen men reported losing
an average of 4.25 kg within a month. Does this data support the claim of the manufacturer
at 0.05 level of significance?
Solution:
Follow the five-step procedure in testing hypothesis.
Step 1: 𝐻𝑜 : The average weight loss per month using the drug is equal to 4.75
kg (𝜇 = 4.75).
𝐻𝑎 : The average weight loss per month using the drug is not equal to
4.75 kg (𝜇 ≠ 4.75).
Step 2: Type of test: two-tailed or nondirectional test
Critical value: With the use of table 1, 𝛼 = 0.05, two-tailed test, the
critical value is 𝑧 = ±1.96
Rejection region:
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Test-statistic when the population variance is unknown and 𝒏 > 𝟑𝟎
If, for instance, 𝜎 is unknown, we can still use the z-test by replacing 𝜎 by 𝑠 (sample
standard deviation) given that 𝑛 > 30. Take a look at this example.
Example 2.
A study shows that the cost of raising a child from birth to age one is more than Php
92 000. A random sample of 36 families reveal a mean of Php 95 000 with a standard
deviation of Php 5 000. Based on these sample data, can it be concluded that the study is
correct in its claim? Use 0.01 level of significance.
Solution:
Step 1: 𝐻𝑜 : The average cost of raising a child from birth to age one is equal to
Php 92 000 (𝜇 = 92 000).
𝐻𝑎 : The average cost of raising a child from birth to age one is more
than Php 92 000 (𝜇 > 92 000).
Step 2: Type of test: one-tailed or directional test
Critical value: With the use of table 1, 𝛼 = 0.01, one-tailed test, the
critical value is 𝑧 = 2.33
Rejection region:
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Example 3.
The director of a certain school for secretarial studies claimed that his graduates
can type more than 85 words per minute. A random sample of 15 graduates has been found
to have an average of 80 words per minute with a standard deviation of 7.6 words per
minute. Using 0.05 level of significance, test the claim of the director.
Solution:
Step 1: Formulate the null and alternative hypotheses.
𝐻𝑜 : The average number of words that graduates can type is 85 words per
minute (𝜇 = 85).
𝐻𝑎 : The average number of words that graduates can type is more than 85
words per minute (𝜇 > 85)
Step 2: Type of test: The test is one-tailed(right-tailed)
Critical value: Using the t-distribution table, the critical value of t at 0.05
level, one-tailed test, df = 15-1 = 14 is 𝑡 = 2.145
Rejection region:
Step 5: Conclusion: There is no significant difference between the sample mean and
the population mean. Thus the claim of the director of a certain school for
secretarial studies that their graduates can type more than 85 words per
minute is incorrect.
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Let’s Practice
I. Directions: Find the critical value, draw the rejection region, compute for the
test statistic and decide whether to accept or reject the null hypothesis.
Hypotheses Given Rejection Region Test Value Decision
1. 𝐻𝑜 : 𝜇 = 9.7 𝑋̅ = 10.1
𝐻𝑎 : 𝜇 < 9.7 𝑠 = 4.2
𝑛 = 50
𝛼 = 0.05
2. 𝐻𝑜 : 𝜇 = 70 𝑋̅ = 72
𝐻𝑎 : 𝜇 > 70 𝑠 2 = 19
𝑛 = 50
𝛼 = 0.01
3. 𝐻𝑜 : 𝜇 = 8.5 𝑋̅ = 8.3
𝐻𝑎 : 𝜇 ≠ 8.5 𝑠 2 = 0.80
𝑛 = 170
𝛼 = 0.05
Directions: Find the critical value or values for the t-test for each of the following. Draw
the rejection region.
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Let’s Do More
Directions: Solve the problem below. Follow the five-step procedure in testing
hypothesis.
1. A light bulb manufacturer advertises 2. A supermarket boasts that checkout
that his bulbs last 950 hours with a times for customers are less than 20
standard deviation of 80 hours. A minutes. A random sample of 36
random sample is chosen before each customers reveals a mean checkout
campaign to make sure that the claim time of 22 minutes with a standard
is correct. If one such sample of 35 deviation of 3 minutes. What can you
bulbs show a mean of 975 hours, can conclude about the supermarkets
the advertising claim be considered an boast at 0.01 level?
underestimate at 0.05 level of
significance? Solution:
Step 1:
Solution:
Step 1:
Step 2:
Step 2:
Step 3:
Step 3:
Step 4:
Step 4:
Step 5:
Step 5:
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Directions: Solve the problem below. Follow the five-step procedure in testing hypothesis.
1. The average amount of rainfall 2. The mean content of 20 bottles of
during the summer season is 10.55 Brand A apple juice is 340 ml with a
inches. A researcher in PAGASA standard deviation of 5 ml. Is this in
selects a random sample of 9 line with the manufacturer’s claim that
provinces and finds that the average the bottle contains, on the average, 350
amount of rainfall last year was 7.58 ml? Use 0.01 level of significance.
inches with a standard deviation of
1.4 inches. At 0.05 level of Solution:
significance, can it be concluded Step 1:
that the mean rainfall last year was
below 10.55 inches?
Step 2:
Solution:
Step 1:
Step 2:
Step 3:
Step 3:
Step 4:
Step 4: Step 5:
Step 5:
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________
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Let’s Sum It Up
Activity 1
Directions: Complete the statements by filling in the blanks with the words in the box
below.
sample mean Z-test population mean hypotheses level of significance
Let’s Assess
Directions: Read each question carefully. Write the letter of the correct answer on the
space provided before the number.
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For numbers 7-8, refer to the word problem below.
The production manager of a large manufacturing company estimates that the mean
age of his employees is 23.8 years. The treasurer of the firm needs a more accurate
employee mean age figure in order to estimate the cost of an annuity benefit program being
considered for employees. A random sample of 72 workers showed that the mean age of
employees sampled is 27.2 years with a standard deviation of 4.5 years. At 0.01 level, what
can the treasurer conclude about the accuracy of the production manager’s estimate?
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Answer Key
LESSON 1
1. A 6. D
2. D 7. C 1. HO: The mean life of a certain type of automobile battery is
3. C 8. B equal to 74 months (𝜇 = 74).
4. B 9. D Ha: The mean life of a certain type of automobile battery is
5. C 10. B not equal to 74 months (𝜇 ≠ 74).
2. Ho: The proportion of the local listening audience in a radio
station is equal to 39% (𝜇 = 0.39).
Let’s Do More Ha: The proportion of the local listening audience in a radio
station is greater than 39% (𝜇 > 0.39).
S A M P L E
Let’s Sum it Up
1 2 3 4 5 6
1. The percentage of men 1. Parameter
using exercise to reduce
weight is 16%.
2. Mean
2. The average distance a tire 3. Variance
will give good service to car 4. Standard
3-5-1-2-4 owners is 45 000 miles. deviation
3. The average time spent by 5. Hypothesis
employees on phone calls is
testing
6 minutes.
LESSON 2
Let’s Practice Let’s Do More
1.
Step 1:
1. 1. 𝐻0 : The mean life of a light bulb is
0.67; Accept 𝐻𝑂 0.17; Accept 𝐻𝑂 equal to 950 hours (𝜇 = 950).
𝐻𝑎 : The mean life of a light bulb is not
equal to 950 hours (𝜇 ≠ 950).
2. 2. Step 2:
3.24; Reject 𝐻𝑂 -5.13; Accept 𝐻𝑂 type of test: two-tailed or
nondirectional
Critical value: 𝛼 = 0.05, 𝑧 = ±1.96
3. 3. Rejection region:
-2.92; Reject 𝐻𝑂 -2.03; Reject 𝐻𝑂
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LESSON 2
1.
Step 3: Step 1:
Given: 𝐻𝑜 : The average amount of rainfall during the
𝑋̅ = 975 𝑛 = 35 summer season is 10.55 inches (𝜇 = 10.55).
𝜇 = 950 𝜎 = 80 𝐻𝑎 : The average amount of rainfall during the
Substitution: summer season is below 10.55 inches (𝜇 < 10.55).
(975 − 950)√35 Step 2:
𝑧=
80 Type of test: one-tailed(left-tailed)
𝑧 = 1.85 Critical value: 𝛼 = 0.05, 𝑜𝑛𝑒 − 𝑡𝑎𝑖𝑙𝑒𝑑, 𝑑𝑓 = 9 − 1 =
Step 4: 8, 𝑡 = −1.86
Decision: Accept the null hypothesis. Rejection region:
Step 5:
Conclusion: The light bulb manufacturer is
correct in claiming that his bulbs last 950
hours.
Step 3:
2. Given:
Step 1: 𝑋̅ = 7.58 𝜇 = 10.55 𝑛 = 9 𝑠 = 1.4
𝐻𝑜 : The average checkout time of customers in Substitution:
(7.58 − 10.55)
a supermarket is 20 minutes (𝜇 = 20). 𝑡=
𝐻𝑎 : The average checkout time of customers in 1.4
a supermarket is less than 20 minutes (𝜇 < √9
20). 𝑡 = −6.36
Step 2: Step 4:
Type of test: one-tailed or directional Decision: Reject the null hypothesis.
Critical value: 𝛼 = 0.01, 𝑧 = −2.33 Step 5:
Rejection region: Conclusion: Therefore, it can be concluded that
the mean rainfall last year was below 10.55
inches.
2.
Step 3: Step 1:
Given: 𝐻𝑜 : The mean content of a bottle of Brand A apple
𝑋̅ = 22 𝑛 = 36 𝜇 = 20 𝜎=3 juice is 350 ml (𝜇 = 350).
Substitution: 𝐻𝑎 : The mean content of a bottle of Brand A apple
(22 − 20)√36 juice is not 350 ml (𝜇 ≠ 10.55).
𝑧= Step 2:
3 Type of test: two-tailed test
𝑧=4
Critical value: 𝛼 = 0.01, 𝑡𝑤𝑜 − 𝑡𝑎𝑖𝑙𝑒𝑑, 𝑑𝑓 = 20 − 1 =
Step 4:
Decision: Accept the null hypothesis. 19, 𝑡 = ±2.861
Rejection region:
Step 5:
Conclusion: Therefore, the supermarket’s
claim that checkout times for customers are
less than 15 minutes is incorrect.
Step 3:
Given:
𝑋̅ = 340 𝜇 = 350 𝑛 = 20 𝑠=5
Let’s Sum It Up Let’s Assess Substitution:
(340 − 350)
𝑡=
5
Hypotheses
1. C 6. D √20
Z-test 𝑡 = −8.94
Population 2. A 7. A Step 4:
mean 3. A 8. C Decision: Reject the null hypothesis.
4. D 9. A Step 5:
Sample mean Conclusion: The manufacturer is incorrect in
Level of 5. B 10. B
claiming that the average content of a bottle of
significance Brand A apple juice is 350 ml.
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References
Websites:
Statisticshowto.com “Population Mean Definition”. Accessed on May 6, 2021,
https://www.statisticshowto.com/probability-and-statistics/hypothesis-testing/
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Table for t-distribution
Source: https://www.google.com/search?table+of+t+critical+values&oq
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