You are on page 1of 20

'

EE 22 O 3 -
(acfure ,

,
The population is the allectiom o fall itemsafindetestorunderinvestigation

Sample :
obarved sutszet of the paponlation

paraamefer : specifis charaateristic of Thhe populatiom


1

,
statistic :
的 C
EEIIO 3 -Leature

Hislogram
,

horizonal : inter andpoinds


,
vertical :
frequency ,
relative frequencyorpercentage

Cumulative distributiom

withthetofalof The
anded
freduency precendage
,

Scalfer diagram

obgarration faken from tvo numerical rariables


,

paired

foumericarl presentaation of dala affected byextreme Voalares

lleusuresofcentraaltendancy, 5Arithmetic mean


N ;
Ʃ xi ; X, 1 x2 …
TXN
N N
ag . Mean ,
median
,
mode

Y Baramafre

Weighled me

" x , ii uixi

Median Mode

in
Medianposition ,
" 吃) valueThatis most often
( "" ,

X extreme values

fire nuumber
summaary

minimum

first quarlile
median

thrid kmarTile
maximum

Population rariancc

0
,
2
,
※ ( xiup

N


CC 22O 3 Lecfure 3
xxclusivne
mustually ! Gould not hapem
-

at the sare tinh

Probabilidy
AMB ,
Radom
,
xperimemt ,

processleading to a vuncertain outcone

oulcoreof of
Basic Outcone a possible a random experiment corplenetss the rest
,

Sarple space calleation of all possible outcores [he


probabilhig
.
.

. bvemf

Sindependert nean that the probabiliy


futersecdion oftveuts AM B
:
of erent is nod affected
one
by
the other ever{ .

Union of ovents :
AUB
P [ A^B ) ; P [ λ] P (B]
3

resulfexsist inthe buthot o


A rB is corsenet or
saplegromp
the A

fersectiom Union
Permanfation & aoubinations 时
¢ And oσ

Whem oader matfers

股 ; n ! ×! ;
×( x
, 1 }(X .
2 ] (x ,
3) … …
0 XWY
!


{U , X了

C ; n ! Cis smaller than B


x ! (n .
x ) !

Probability Axions

(A] ≤ ' ]
O
≤ P

The Complementrule AY ;, P(A )


:P[

Additiom rule :
P ( AUB ) , P [A ) + P[ B ) P( AMB )

A ,P [ AIB , P ( AMBJ
condition
probaility )

B (B )
A theprobabilidyunder theconditionof ( ? )

P ( BIA ) ; P ( AMB )
PCA )

Mutiplication rauleforTwoevend A & B

P [ AMB > ; P ( A 1 B ) P [ B]
p [A Λ B ) ; P [ B / /λ ) P ( A ]


𣫮



stadistical Sudependance
-

under P ( AMB ) , P( A) P [ B ]

fA P( A 11B ) P[A )
& 1 Bae
indepenenf ifP (B ) 3
,

:
,

p ( B1A ) ; P ( 1B ] if P( A )>
Fumtorianl,
-
weekI

Q] 11 , 12 , 13 14 15

箭公
, ,

* ;
; 1191213 ( 14115
Coefficient of variation ! (5 )

cr
( ※) 100%
义 13
,
"
,

s
| 靠( * ) 2
the sfmae valuehich
nx is to avoid
nagatine canel each

ather

s ; J [ 1 , 13] 2
+ ( 12 -

13 ]
2
+
( 13 ,
3] 2
1
( 14 , 13] =+ ( 15 ,
13]
2

5 ,

:: 的”
our obsvartion

radonles
of spead

( x of relutiveconopfofhmve
cvs corrarant
hinkof
0 %s Saple

;
%
8 60.
12 2% .

θ2 ]. )
a mean : TX 8 3 . 8 XT 15 Tx4 1 2 . 0 3 95 . 5 2
X
x
o diviation frorhe avere

817 14 / 3 / 2 )

← 4 . 41 / 4 40833333 }
, , …

b . 20 , . 3 4 then hefore
, 4 5
'
I
) 3
; .
,
as

4.
3 0

,

40 5.
,

5. 0

- . 6
6

Q 3
. ( “ , 102 )

[ 15 , 51
( 6 , 25 ]
(14 ,3 了

( 10 , 21 7
( 8 , 56 )
l 13 , 30 ]

g ; ( 182 5 / 125130 + 21 156 130 )


7

;
45

X ( 115 ^ 1101813 )
1
; I 1 6 ^ 涉

义 ;
11
ofe sape
epensentatie
;
f
sorple conrariane ! ! XiX
) lyicg f )

hestregth od te relodioship
say
. (


setecnTw 0

varible

,
( 1111 ] ( 102 ,45 ) ( 15 ,
( 1 ) ( 51 ,

45) , ( 611 ] 125 ,

45 ) 入

( 14 11 ] ( 30 , 45)+ ( 10 , 11 ) ( I1 ,
45) + ( 8 ,
11 ) 156 ,
45) 1

( 13 / 1 ] ( 30 ,
45 ]

[7 .
1 )

O 24 1 45 ( 24 33
30
; " 100 - .

67
6 16
,
.

] "
([14 , 1 )≥
, , 2 )
Sx ; ( 11 ] 2 ( 15 , 1 ) 2 [ 6- 11 ] [ 21 [ 1 O
,1 ≥+ ( 8
, 1 1 ( 13 .

11 )
λ -
λ)

;
O ^ 16 125 1 9 1519 14
6

%
;

/ 10 7.

)
45 ) F ( ( 25 , 45
= ) )
/ ( 30 ,45
<
45] ( ( ( 21 =× (56 ,45
]

sy × (3045]
2
: 1102 ,
+
51 ,
2 , 45 =

T( )

; 324 9 1 36 1 400 1 225 + 5T6 + 121 9 225

; 4832
6

; 805 .

r ; 6 67.

( 805 3 ) (. 10 . 7]

r ;
0 . 008 TT4

Q4 . ) 1wo fair dio , suroftoo hurberis


7
odd

Pof surie Thon


> Tolanl .


EC2203 – Statistics for Economists
Tutorial 1, Week 2
Homework problems

Instructions

• The questions below should be tried at home. In the first part of the tutorial, tutors
will solve these questions (as many as possible).
• All answers will be posted on Moodle, and you are welcome to raise any questions
with your tutor during office hours.
• You do not need to submit your answers when you leave.
• In the second part of the tutorial, you will have a discussion break.
• Before the discussion break the sub-groups will know which question to present.
• After the discussion break, you will know which sub-group will present.
Q1. Calculate the coefficient of variation for the following sample data: 13, 15, 12, 14, 11.
Q2. Consider the following sample of five values and corresponding frequencies:

Xi fi
4.7 8
3.8 7
5.7 4
2.6 3
5.5 2

a) Calculate the mean of X


b) What you would have done, had the X been presented in class intervals, instead of point
values? (For e.g. 0-5, 5-10…and so on)
Q3. Following is a random sample of seven (x, y) pairs of data points: (11, 102), (15, 51), (6,
25), (14, 30), (10, 21), (8, 56), (13, 30)
a) Compute the covariance.
b) Compute the correlation coefficient.

Q4. Suppose two fair dice were rolled and it was observed that the sum of two numbers was
odd. What is the probability that sum is less than 8, given that the sum is odd?

1
EC 2203 ,
Lacture 4

Bivariale Bababilidas

P[ A ) P( AMB ) P( AMB2 , P ( AABK)


conputiy probabiliy
… [
margisal
a : ;
, + )
.

Law of tofal
Probabilidy
← K 3
B 1 B3 ;

AΛ B ,

AMB >
A ^ B>
B2

; Ʃ ", P [ B : ] P [ A 1 Bi )

P [ R1 B . )
;
B 3R 了 的R
> P[ R 1 B 3 ]
2G 弧 ;
δ
江 岋
2G

P[ RIB2] :

P( B / S) : O O .

probabilidyofdeuth of stancdard polig holder

PCDIP ) , 0 005 . P[ D 1 . ] P (G ]
P ( BIG ): . 00 ' PLBI σ] [ D | s )P [ S] + P [ DIP 3 PCP )
P[
0







Lecture 5 ,
Discrete Random Variables and
Probabilily Distribntions

Random Variable

aapossible mumerical valvefion a randonexeriment

b 时
Biscrete Eonfinrous
no mote thoan countasleMukber of Valuas rake in inferral
a
any an
, ,

Probabiliy
DistributionsforDiscreteRandom Variable

PJobabilitlydistribintionfunclion [ PDf ]
5
probabilifyfor all the possible outcomes

σ≤ P [ X ] ≤ "
,

sum to 少

The cumulalive fundion ( CD [ ]


probailidy
,

,
X dves mof excecdthe valve X0 ; F ( x 0 ) ,
P[ X≤ xa }

Propertied of CDP

perived relationship

1 (x≤I forerery
.
O ≤
murber to

2 .
for Xo < x .
,
then [ (x 0 ) ≤ 6 ( x ] ,


x . coald be

Expectations and variane of DRVS

txpectedValue ( ormean ofa )


discrete random variableX :

E [ x] ;
N ;
交 × p (x ]

Expatations & variance of DRVs

variamce of an discrete random variable X

(
=
]
2 =
δ ; 6 x ,

ω] ;
系 (X N }
/
P[x )
funtion of Random Variusles
g(x )
2
;
x
,
6 ( (x )
g
) ;

交g (x) P(x ) 0


Lectoure

Linear funations of Random Vanriables

a . 7Ela ) , a &Varla )
:

b) C ( bx ) Var { bx ) 2 2
.
;
Bux & ; b σ s

The standard deviationof is


Y

σ" :
| blo '

Bernculli
Probabilidy Distribulion

omly ho oufcore : success & failure

,
let pbe probailidy of sacEess

, P be of failure
probailig
,

X ; / , Xi
,

P [ω ) : ( 1 ,
p) & P[ 1 ) ,
D

The maan is P
kx
,

Thevariance is 02 .
,
P (1 ,
P)

The Poisson Distribution

* x
P (x ) ;
& λ
入 !
Leafure 7 ?
leclure 7 ,

infegraticn

Infergration as the inverse of Differantiation

DifferenTiad{

[(x] + C [ [x]
0

nd{ gacde

an instruuction for to thinkofoa funtionthat differentiales


to Uhateber srash setvean S & dx
you

Example :

] 2 adxix

焚 :
2x

f alteched
ifconstout xsist, ikvilhe tiffeenfiatetoero Aa coustantof integation is c ,

SnlegrationRurles
SKdx : Kx ^ C
"
Mepover rule: Jxrdx , xn
1 c
M 11 Jkf ( ) dx x ;
k {f { x 3 dx
5 dors not vork for n, ,

[ ( tx ) 1 ,
g
[ x) ] dx ; { ↑ (x) dx / / g ( x 3 dx
J y* ; {nx tE

Juteguetion of the exponential fuaction : Sexdx ; ex xc

inlegraliom of expoment of a variable on a cohstant : 5 adx ; a


^

1 c
5Ha
,

S
,

utegratiom by Substifulion
)
J X( 4 +
4
x dx ; ,
x Ʃ
4 11

" 5
公 × xc

J (5x 3x] dx
点义多入
.
;
3

望 ×,
×
;
3 C

J idx ; S xi
*
dx

分 ×
;
,
3 c

| }
" 5x "
5
dx ;
X × x dx
×


^
; Inx +
x xc

xdx ; Ʃ
] [ {
xidx " xc

S (x 3 ] fxdx ; J Ix × 3 ) xidx

;
J x
3 13 ×
i dx

X 含 13 号 ≥ x

(

;
亏 x × 2 xxc

J dx "

∵xzxc

S *
3 e dx ; 3ex 1 [

Jexxe ( exxezx . ex dx
" )

tx
d

{1
*

;
+ e ∞

;
Ʃ× 1 19 C

LeEluure {

Domble integralion

Sf
F(
2 x
y)
:
(x,
y) dxdy
,

5
ThevolumeundertHesurface 2 f{ x , ]
y
;

☆oayedy ↓

:
±( 维 6 xy dy ) ↓↓ =

|{ ly :) ; ↓
"

{6 ( , ]
;
×

DefinniteInlegration

for Sf [ x) dx ; [ (x) 1 C

Inlegration by Snbstifution
A ,
lim f ( ci ) .
Oxi
10
J (5
nia i ,
dx
,

find x .
2 )

J织
K$15 x, 23 b & u
flx 1 dx :[ (b -la )
)
[

: 5

d ×


eg .

j. xdx
以台 x
3
a

;
Ju "
dx
;
∵ ;

公 x

{ a " (] 4

乏些
[ 4] (434 [ )
← ; 2
: ,

;
Su 5 du '0
.

;
6 ;6

5 fu odou
" '


3
( 83 , 3x 216 x ) dx

"
5 " ic
23

"
;

§ ,
×
4

×
3
是 x

( 5 x 2}
,

;
入 C
55

"
4
2x 9 x
3
1 x :

Σ
Jdx ^ 入 " dx

%
"

(x , 1 ] d*

[f ^ dx ,
ff "
,
dx


"

3 入 ×
.

(2 ) (( “
)

(的 ^ 2
)

p

In ☆ 入号

,

L

!
2
( 2w 5 ,
013 ] 的 dw

? doS
~



lecfure I

The Uniform disfribution

edhal Brobatsilitiesfor alleqmal ,widthintervelswithin oftherandomrariable


range
,

tho

f[x] 与 b)
rage {a,

b … …

:
m

X
0 aminia mexis

cD 6
ifttt dlx
) ( ba
时 入 /! "
biulali %
X a

3a

Mean and Varionch of the Uniformdistribauticn

I themean

:
a

T the variance is O 2 , ( ba)


612
µ ;

2
;
4
z
2
(以 }
1 .33 Tmo msard
δ ; , a
;

heMarmal Bistribufiom

singhynaledbell shagud
nsilyis synmetric
,

, noladion : X -
1
N , 62
)

( x) ; l
< xu )
2

e IGI
J 2亿 G 2
μ

Σ


Lecfure 11

The standard Normal distribution

Z ~
N [O ,
"
, ]

2 X U
NLo 1 )
.

;
~
.

The fransformation of Normal radom variable

ConsiderXrN Iux ,ox ) and define

Y ; axbx

Ux s
a1
bllx and 0} ;
bIo

X l[ 5 9]
ag
~ .
. ,

羉 ”

… %
… ."

a ] P (x ≥ 03
P (x ≥ , 0 ,P ( ]
%
) 2 > 0

;
P( 2 > ☆ ,

E5 )
3

P( )

; 2>

;
λP ( 2 < ]

Nornal approximation of Binonial

,
n idependrut frinls
of frial iP
prebabilig success on
giren
,

cry
Raadom variableXi

Xis ' x
if
, the ith Trianl issaccess
Xi , O if The itetrialis failure

ε ( x) np
;
µ ;

Var(x )
;
02
,UP { 1

P]

M ! mx

p ×< 1 p )
× ! ( nx)

You might also like