Professional Documents
Culture Documents
JA M E S R E I L LY
1
3
Oxford University Press is a department of the University of Oxford. It furthers
the University’s objective of excellence in research, scholarship, and education
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Press in the UK and certain other countries.
DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780197526347.001.0001
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Printed by Integrated Books International, United States of America
For Reina
Introduction 1
1. Learning China’s History Lessons 19
2. Orchestrating China’s Economic Statecraft 37
3. Never Let a Crisis go to Waste: Beijing’s Economic Statecraft
across Western Europe 60
4. Creating a Region: China’s Economic Statecraft in Central and
Eastern Europe 89
5. Engaging North Korea 115
6. Crossing Lines: China’s Economic Statecraft in Myanmar 138
Conclusion 162
Notes 175
Bibliography 239
Index 257
Preface: On The Road
When my wife and I were working for the American Friends Service
Committee in China, back in 2007, we brought a delegation of China’s leading
Africa experts to southern Africa so they could speak directly to African
labor unions, opposition parties, and NGOs, and observe Chinese busi-
ness practices in Africa for themselves. After two long days visiting Chinese
mining companies across Zambia’s copper belt, Chinese embassy officials in
Lusaka shared the following story with me over a late-night dinner:
A few years ago, a British company was planning to sell its copper mine
in northern Zambia, and a Taiwanese company was planning to purchase
the mine. We encouraged China Nonferrous Metals Company (CNMC)
to purchase the mine instead, despite the low price of copper at the time.
CNMC secured low-cost capital in China for the investment, while our em-
bassy encouraged the Zambian side to consider the Chinese offer favorably.
The purchase went through, and since copper prices soon rose sharply, this
ended up being a profitable investment for CNMC.
Years later, this episode has come back to me as a striking example of what
I call China’s “orchestration” approach to economic statecraft. In this in-
stance, Lusaka received timely investment into their precarious mining in-
dustry while CNMC secured cheap investment capital and valuable mining
rights as well as the gratitude of the Zambian and Chinese governments. The
deal’s architects were thus justifiably proud of averting a diplomatic embar-
rassment: Taiwanese firms gaining inroads into Zambia, home of the famed
“Tan-Zam Railway”—Beijing’s flagship aid project of the 1960s. Most im-
pressive of all, orchestrating this deal required very little time, money, or po-
litical effort by Chinese diplomats.
As this story suggests, the enclosed book has largely been conceived,
researched, and written on the road: indeed, that was an early working title.
My adventures along the way have been supported by numerous individuals
and institutions—it is a joy to express my profound appreciation to them all.
Apropos for a book on economic statecraft, I’ll start with the bill-
payers. Major financial support from the Australian Research Council
x Preface: On The Road
National leaders have three main resources to exert influence abroad: money,
military force, and diplomacy. Yet businesspeople, unlike soldiers and
diplomats, generally do not work for the government. Convincing bankers,
traders, and investors to act in ways likely to advance foreign policy goals is
often difficult and expensive.
If any country can cut this Gordian knot, it should be China. With the
Communist Party controlling the “commanding heights” of the world’s
second-largest economy, China appears ideally structured to use economic
resources strategically to advance its foreign policy goals—to engage in ec-
onomic statecraft. Yet as this book shows, domestic complications often
hinder Chinese leaders’ efforts to deploy economic resources abroad for stra-
tegic purposes. In the following pages, I describe how China engages in ec-
onomic statecraft, explain why China uses this approach, and identify when
Beijing’s efforts are most effective.
My core premise is that a country’s political economy and collective
beliefs exert a powerful influence upon how it engages in economic state-
craft. Variations in domestic institutions and ideas help explain why different
countries do economic statecraft differently. In China’s case, a Leninist party
retained power amidst its dramatic transition from a planned economy to a
developmental state, sparking one of history’s most consequential surges in
national wealth and power. Chinese leaders today enjoy unchallenged polit-
ical authority over a vast economy. Confident in their government’s capacity
to deploy these economic resources for strategic benefit, Chinese strategists
insist that the Party-state can and should mobilize an array of commercial ac-
tors to advance key policy goals abroad.
This distinctive combination of ideas and institutions, bequeathed by
China’s modern history, emboldens Beijing’s ambitious approach to ec-
onomic statecraft. Yet leaders’ ambition of retaining a central role for the
Party-state while relying upon a diverse set of economic statecraft techniques
to advance multiple policy goals is devilishly difficult to implement. Chinese
2 Orchestration
Economic Statecraft
to carry out his own will despite resistance.”3 Dahl is even clearer: power is
when A gets B to do something that B would not otherwise do.4
Economic statecraft encompasses incentives or sanctions that affect the
trade, aid, finance, currency, and/or assets of the target state. Trade sanctions
limit either exports or imports to/from the target state, while incentives such
as favorable trade agreements or state purchases expand trade. Foreign aid
can be increased or reduced for diplomatic purposes. Financial statecraft, in-
cluding lending and investment, aims to influence capital flows by expanding
or limiting a target state’s access to capital.5 Monetary sanctions seek to de-
stabilize the value and stability of the target state’s currency through currency
manipulation, fostering and exploitation of monetary dependence, or sys-
temic disruption.6 In rare instances, assets including physical property, secu-
rities, and bank accounts can be frozen or even seized.
Although countries’ efforts to deploy economic resources to exert influ-
ence abroad is one of the most important areas of foreign policy and inter-
national affairs, it remains far less studied than the use of military might.
To date, most experts have focused on asking when, how, and why certain
economic statecraft techniques— such as sanctions— prove effective in
advancing certain policy objectives. Far less energy has been dedicated to
exploring how domestic factors influence countries’ varying approaches to
economic statecraft, with the important exception of China.
China scholars have delved extensively into the question of how domestic
factors shape the projection of China’s global economic power.7 Zero-sum
assessments of “China, Inc.” as either coherent or fragmented have been
jettisoned in favor of more nuanced depictions of state–enterprise relations.8
Intriguing work now explores how China’s domestic economic model shapes
its overseas economic activities and how domestic actors can influence
Beijing’s foreign economic policy.9
While economists have usefully identified economic impacts of Chinese
sanctions, assessing Beijing’s effectiveness has proven more challenging.10
As Kirshner reminds us, sanctions may “work” by having an economic im-
pact but still fail to deliver the desired political outcome.11 Using quantitative
methods to identify a relationship between a country’s economic ties with
China and its policy choices has yielded intriguing, though limited, results.12
Data remains a challenge. While trade levels are generally transparent,
simply measuring the levels of China’s international financing and foreign
aid has proven difficult.13 More promising are recent case studies, which sug-
gest that Beijing is often unable to leverage its wealth for political influence.14
4 Orchestration
Despite this rich and burgeoning field, we still lack an adequate conceptual
framework for understanding how China’s complex domestic structures in-
fluence the practice and effectiveness of China’s economic statecraft. This
book is designed to help fill this gap.
Realism alone, however, offers little guidance into how these domestic
ideas and institutions actually influence policy outcomes. Drawing instead
on classic works in comparative political economy, such as Katzenstein’s
landmark volume, Between Power and Plenty, shows how domestic factors
influence countries’ foreign economic policies.16 More recent work on “vari-
eties of capitalism,” including “state capitalism,” further illustrate how and
why domestic institutional structures and collective beliefs shape countries’
political-economic orientations and practices.17
“The ability of political leaders to mobilize domestic resources,” Krasner
explains, “is a function of (a) the structure of the domestic political system,
and (b) the convergence between public and private interests.” Such con-
vergence can be created, Krasner adds, since “the defining characteristic of
a political system is the power of the state in relation to its own society.”18
State effectiveness, Samuels notes, arises not just “from its own inherent ca-
pacity but from the complexity and stability of its interactions with market
players.”19 Applying this logic to economic statecraft, Stein argues that a
stronger state will be better able to implement sanctions than a weaker one,
since “it often takes state power to align private interests with public ones.”20
Introduction 5
can ease interest alignment. For instance, encouraging firms to expand trade
or investment is generally easier than trying to restrict them from doing so.
“Where market forces work against negative sanctions they can reinforce
positive ones,” Crumm notes.32 Ensuring coalition cohesion and domestic
implementation of sanctions is also much easier when corporations and
partner governments see their own interests being advanced.33
A number of recent studies have pointed out how China’s domestic polit-
ical economy is structured in ways designed to mitigate the challenges of in-
direct governance. Eaton and Zhang, for instance, explain that maintaining
multiple sovereign wealth funds is “Byzantine by design,” since the resulting
competition enhances Chinese leaders’ control.34 Bell and Feng similarly
argue that Chinese leaders’ reliance upon the People’s Bank of China’s ex-
pertise and bureaucratic position fostered a “reciprocal alliance relationship”
in which “party elites control the strategic direction but delegate parcels of
authority and policymaking to the central bank.”35 Building on these studies,
I argue in this book that China’s economic statecraft is best understood as a
type of “orchestration” strategy.
The easiest solution to the challenges of indirect governance is, as any parent
of a small child knows, to do something yourself. Henriksen and Ponte thus
expect that “successful orchestration trajectories [will] entail the use of plural
governance tools and a combination of direct and indirect instruments—
together with active participation of the orchestrators themselves.”45
“Governors often mix elements of delegation and orchestration,” add Abbott
et al. “One strategy is to empower agents by formal acts of delegation, but
then rely on soft means of orchestration to support and steer their actions.”46
Alcazar, for example, argues that the EU has pursued a “blended exercise of
delegation and orchestration to collaborate with intermediaries,” and thus
labels the EU a “principal-orchestrator.”47
China’s “nested” approach to orchestration, the first of its three core
techniques, reflects a similar approach. Top Chinese leaders play a direct
role in designing and implementing many important economic statecraft
initiatives. They also delegate authority to line ministries and government
agencies. Central leaders rely upon a set of coordination and oversight
mechanisms to manage the informational challenges that result from dele-
gating authority to these agencies. In turn, these government agencies de-
ploy a variety of orchestration techniques to encourage participation from
a diverse set of financial institutions, enterprises, and regional authorities
across China.
The most important of these orchestration tactics is when central-level
policymakers encourage line ministries and financial institutions to estab-
lish investment funds and offer policy support for broad-based initiatives.
Companies and regional governments are rewarded for successfully pro-
posing and implementing specific projects or “schemes” that fit within these
broad policy parameters. The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), described in
Chapter 2, is the latest and largest manifestation of this use of competi-
tive “tournaments” with “prizes” designed to entice and reward agents for
implementing China’s economic statecraft.
As Abbott and Snidal expect, this tactic enables central Chinese leaders
to mobilize participation “by endorsing and supporting superior schemes,
promoting common standards across schemes, and shaping inter-scheme
competition and collaboration in line with [their] policy objectives.” They
predict that such “effectively-orchestrated” initiatives “may mitigate the
problems resulting from diverse interests and objectives by bringing the
Introduction 11
central-level policy are thus likely to be laden with economic goals, alongside
their strategic and diplomatic objectives. These multiple goals reflect the im-
pact of China’s interest-alignment strategy on its economic statecraft.
In sum, China’s orchestration approach to economic statecraft integrates
three core elements: the “nesting” of orchestration tactics within its hier-
archical delegation structure; the use of lucrative “tournaments” designed
to attract eager participants while facilitating oversight and discipline;
and designing economic statecraft initiatives to maximize interest align-
ment between central leaders’ foreign policy goals and the interests of
key implementing actors. This book is designed to develop and test my
argument.
Since this book’s core premise is that domestic ideas and institutions exert
a powerful influence upon how a country engages in economic statecraft,
I begin with two chapters examining Chinese ideas and institutions. The first
chapter argues that China’s tumultuous modern history forged a distinctive,
coherent belief system about economic statecraft: what it is, what it can ac-
complish, when it is justified, and how it is most effective. This collectively
held set of beliefs justifies, influences, and sustains China’s orchestration
approach to economic statecraft. The second chapter describes how insti-
tutional structures shape China’s three core orchestration techniques and
denotes several weaknesses embedded within Beijing’s approach.
The next two chapters examine China’s economic statecraft in two
regions: first in Western Europe and then in Central and Eastern
Europe. I conclude with two country-level case studies from China’s pe-
riphery: North Korea and Myanmar. These cases may appear a curious
choice. My case selection is driven by two sets of logic: the use of most-
similar and most-different methods of comparison. Since I am claiming
that China applies a consistent approach to economic statecraft shaped
primarily by domestic factors (ideas and institutions), I have chosen four
cases that are extremely different.
My cases vary along many of the variables traditionally assumed to shape
economic statecraft practices and outcomes: levels of development and re-
gime type, as well as diplomatic affiliation, economic dependence, and geo-
graphic proximity to the “sending” state. Each of the four chapters examines
Introduction 13
coherence is best assessed relatively, by comparing over time and across is-
sues and target countries.
My primary expectation here is that Beijing’s implementation coherence
will vary with the intensity of the principal–agent challenges in a given con-
text. Specifically, problems with implementation coherence are more likely
when Chinese leaders rely upon regional and/or commercial actors who are
difficult to monitor and have strong economic interests in the target state,
and when the target state has weaker domestic governance capacity.
Three types of problems are most likely to emerge in such instances. First,
we are more likely to see instances of “policy stretching”: when government
agencies, regional authorities, and/or commercial actors alter the content or
even goals of central-level policy, such as through lobbying. Indeed, although
both the Myanmar and North Korea chapters document such dynamics,
they were far more severe in Myanmar.
Secondly, situations with more intense principal–agent challenges are
likely to generate more severe moral hazard problems. Specifically, when
top-down controls are weaker and commercial interests are stronger, then
wealthy, powerful state-owned enterprises (SOEs) are more likely to feel free
to act in a fiscally irresponsible manner because they expect they can rely
on state-controlled banks for financial support regardless of their economic
performance. Indeed, economists have found that SOEs are most likely to
invest in risky environments if the country has strong political ties to China
and/or high export dependency upon China.54 This suggests that SOEs in
such situations expect Beijing’s support if their risky investments fail.
The third—and most potent and most likely—threat to Beijing’s imple-
mentation coherence is enterprise malfeasance. The diversity of Chinese
economic actors, from massive SOEs to nimble private firms to individual
entrepreneurs, helps facilitate China’s rapid and deep expansion into target
economies. However, these actors also uniquely generate a full spectrum
disruptive presence: from massive state-backed investments by some of the
world’s largest companies through to a surge in inexpensive laborers and ag-
gressive entrepreneurs. Accustomed to operating in a highly competitive en-
vironment characterized by widespread corruption, limited oversight, and
cutthroat competition, Chinese firms going abroad are likely to engage in
predatory business practices with limited attention to political or social risk.
As principal–agent theory predicts, monitoring these diverse sets of ac-
tors represents a considerable challenge for Chinese officials. “Most times,
we don’t even know how many Chinese companies are involved in a given
16 Orchestration
country,” a former embassy official told me. “We don’t even see them until
they have a problem.”55 While Chinese SOEs spur most Westerners’ anxieties,
in fact private firms are likely to be even more aggressive than SOEs. They
have few obligations to Chinese diplomats or national bureaucracies, relying
instead upon a carefully cultivated local base of support. Successful local pri-
vate entrepreneurs in China must cut corners to prosper. Commonplace acts
such as bribing officials, falsifying contracts, and evading laws are unlikely to
decline as they move far from home.
Effective orchestration requires that officials identify and curtail such
problematic behavior. My third and final measure for assessing effective-
ness is thus: were Chinese policymakers able to effectively identify and alter
agents’ behavior that undermined Beijing’s foreign policy objectives? As
principal–agent theory reminds us, such responses are unlikely when in-
formation flows are limited or when the principal has become “captured”
by their own agents. This question also helps assess Chinese policymakers’
capacity to learn and adjust as problems emerge. Since orchestration is in-
herently an evolving approach, it demands a high capacity for learning and
adaptation. When problems reach the attention of top Chinese leaders, they
should be able to readjust their approach and perhaps tighten their controls
over agents. This ability to toggle between prioritizing control and compe-
tence is essential for the effective and sustainable implementation of China’s
orchestration approach.
In sum, my case studies are designed to (a) identify if Chinese policymakers
utilized the three core orchestration techniques described above, and (b) as-
sess the effectiveness of China’s orchestration approach. I assess effectiveness
along three lines. First, did Chinese leaders successfully mobilize domestic
actors to engage in economic activities in the direction that Beijing desired?
Second, how coherently was China’s economic statecraft implemented in
each case? I expect that situations with an intense principal–agent problem
will generate problems with policy stretching, moral hazard, and enter-
prise malfeasance. My third and final test for effectiveness is whether
Chinese policymakers were able to identify and alter agents’ behavior that
undermined Beijing’s foreign policy objectives.
My research for these six empirical chapters draws upon a wide range of
Chinese and English-language sources: government documents, economic
data, public opinion surveys, media coverage, and scholarly studies. Yet, the
most important sources have been my own eyes and ears.
Introduction 17
Over the past decade, I have traveled widely along the highways and
byways along which China’s economic influence flows. While living in
Dalian in 2012–2013, I traveled the entire Chinese border with North Korea
and extensively throughout both sides of the China–Myanmar border re-
gion. I also draw, indirectly, upon my seven visits to North Korea from
2001–2009. I traveled along and across China’s borders with Kazakhstan,
Laos, and Vietnam, and through Thailand. Along the way, I conducted nu-
merous interviews with local officials, businesspeople, experts, and residents
in Jilin, Liaoning, Guangxi, and Yunnan provinces, and in Beijing and
Yangon. I began my European research by traveling with my family for six
weeks, overland, from central China to Florence, where I took up my post as
a 2015–16 Jean Monnet Fellow at the European University Institute. Over my
year at the EUI, I conducted interviews and field research in Almaty, Ankara,
Belgrade, Berlin, Bologna, Brussels, Istanbul, Geneva, Lodz, London, Malta,
Milan, Oxford, Paris, Rome, Sofia, Tbilisi, Torino, Trabzon, Warsaw, and
Zagreb.
Conclusion
This book seeks to identify how China engages in economic statecraft, ex-
plain why China uses this approach, and to assess and explain variations
in Beijing’s implementation effectiveness. This is a relatively unique ap-
proach: few studies have asked why a given country practices economic
statecraft in a particular fashion. In the conclusion, I build upon my findings
to suggest several pathways for future scholarship in comparative economic
statecraft. Instead, most studies of China’s economic statecraft assess ef-
fectiveness by comparing target country responses to China’s influence
attempts. Audrye Wong, for example, argues that China’s provision of “sub-
versive carrots” tends to influence target countries with low public account-
ability.56 While my emphasis is different, my conclusion chapter compares
Beijing’s success in achieving its policy goals across all cases, denoting key
policy implications for countries targeted by China’s economic statecraft.
The conclusion chapter also raises the possibility that China’s orchestra-
tion approach is self-reinforcing. As explained above, orchestration is an
attractive option for China’s leaders due to its potential for delivering mul-
tiple benefits at modest cost. As Chinese leaders rely more heavily upon or-
chestration techniques, they are likely to feel encouraged to engage in even
18 Orchestration
Even when people think they are striking out in new directions, their
models often come from the past.1
Margaret MacMillan
20 Orchestration
injunctions to “learn from the Soviet Union” in the 1950s carried potent po-
litical implications.11 Decades later, Chinese leaders learned another set of
lessons altogether from the USSR, as a state-led study program sought to
identify the pitfalls causing its collapse.12
While all historical experiences have the potential to influence collec-
tive beliefs, Chinese experts’ writings show that three rounds of historical
experiences with economic statecraft were particularly significant: the geo-
political struggles of the early Cold War era, Beijing’s strategic use of foreign
aid following the Sino-Soviet split, and China’s leveraging market access in
the 1980s and 1990s.
Upon coming to power in 1949, China’s new leaders confronted not only an
economy decimated by decades of war and turmoil but also a US-led mul-
tilateral embargo aimed at crippling the Chinese economy and bringing
down the communist government. Beijing responded in innovative fashion,
reaching out to non-aligned states such as Indonesia and Egypt, as well as US
allies like the United Kingdom and Japan, by using the lure of the Chinese
market and resources. In 1954, Zhou Enlai promised Japanese Diet members
that China could “open up a few new coal mines to bring about an increase
of [a]hundred thousand tons of coal.”13 The two sides soon signed a series
of “private” trade agreements. By 1956 bilateral trade exceeded $126 mil-
lion. Britain’s trade with China also soared, from $35 million in 1952 to over
$200 million by 1957. As a 1957 State Department memo admitted: “to the
simple-minded, the Commies won and the US lost.”14
Initially, the US-led embargo rendered China dependent upon economic
assistance from Moscow. In the early 1950s, some 38,000 Chinese technicians
went to the Soviet Union while 11,000 Soviet experts came to China.15 Yet as
tensions mounted between Moscow and Beijing, Chinese leaders grew wary.
Zhou Enlai warned in a 1956 internal meeting that Moscow was likely to
“hold back a trick or two,” and so China should “treat self-reliance as essen-
tial and foreign aid merely as a supplement.”16 The benefits also declined: by
1956, China’s repayments for earlier Soviet loans exceeded new grants.17
Following the 1960 Sino-Soviet split and collapse of all Soviet aid, Chinese
leaders had imbibed a powerful lesson on the risks—and potential power—
of economic dependence.18
22 Orchestration
China has the world’s most distinctive experience with foreign aid. While
still desperately impoverished, Beijing emerged as one of the globe’s most ac-
tive and consequential aid providers. Amidst its economic reforms and rapid
growth of the 1980s, China became the world’s largest aid recipient. Today,
China has resumed its position as a major aid donor. The lessons Chinese
strategists derived from this tumultuous process continue to shape Chinese
thinking on foreign assistance.30
As the Sino-Soviet split deepened in the 1960s, Beijing dramatically ex-
panded its aid program, seeking to bolster diplomatic ties with non-aligned
states by pledging support for nations “fighting against colonialism and he-
gemony” (反殖反霸).31 China was the world’s poorest aid donor; its aid
levels were the highest as a percentage of per capita income. The generosity
was astounding. In delivering a $60 million loan to Cuba in 1969, Zhou Enlai
reassured Che Guevara: “it does not have to be repaid.”32
Instead, Zhou wanted to buy diplomatic recognition. From 1969 to 1970,
China’s annual foreign aid increased 15-fold. The following year, the People’s
Republic of China (PRC) established diplomatic ties with fourteen aid
recipients. In 1971, Albania proposed that the PRC take up the China seat
in the United Nations (UN). Almost all Chinese aid recipients supported the
proposal, particularly African nations.33 As Mao Zedong trumpeted: “We
were lifted into the UN by our African brothers.”34
In reviewing the heady days of China’s aid program, Chinese scholars tend
to agree that “foreign aid was an important strategic tool for implementing
China’s concept of a peaceful foreign policy.”35 They recognize that foreign
aid played a crucial role in shoring up Beijing’s diplomatic position, encour-
aging countries such as Albania and Mongolia to “at least remain neutral” in
the Sino-Soviet split while helping Beijing break down the isolation imposed
by Western sanctions.36 Some scholars still praise Mao’s bold use of “eco-
nomics to promote politics” (以经促政) in contrast to today’s more conser-
vative leaders, who use “politics to promote economics” (以政促经).37
Yet, the costs of Mao’s ambition soon became clear. By 1973, official de-
velopment assistance (ODA) spending equaled two percent of China’s GDP,
24 Orchestration
In many years, the amount of aid given far exceeded the levels which
Chinese people could afford . . . providing excessive amounts of foreign
assistance negatively influenced China’s own development and the living
standard of Chinese people. It even reached the point when there wasn’t
enough food for Chinese people. Buying food and sending it abroad exac-
erbated famine within China. Many people paid the price with their own
lives . . . this proves that providing excessive amounts of foreign assistance
cannot be sustained.42
As China embarked upon economic reforms, it dropped its aid levels and
began to accept assistance from non-socialist states for the first time. By 1989,
China had become the world’s largest aid recipient, receiving $2.2 billion that
year.43 Japan quickly emerged as China’s largest bilateral aid provider, pro-
viding 330 billion yen ($1.4 billion) from 1979 to 1984.44 In 1978, the two
countries also signed a “countertrade” agreement whereby China agreed to
buy $10 billion in capital goods from Japan between 1978 and 1985 and pay
for them by exporting the equivalent value of oil.45 Western nations quickly
followed Japan’s example, establishing “compensatory trade” (补偿贸易)
in which the Chinese company first imported foreign equipment and ma-
chinery while paying later with raw materials. As a sweetener, they offered
low-interest loans and aid projects. As Deborah Bräutigam explains:
China saw all of these tactics as beneficial for China’s development. Japan
and the West could use their modern technologies to exploit natural re-
sources that Chinese technology could not yet unlock. China could pay for
this investment later, with the resources that were uncovered. The subsidies
Learning China’s History Lessons 25
and aid used by the West and Japan to wrap their naked hunger for China’s
markets meant that China was getting a discount on finance the country
needed for its modernization.46
Offering incentives does not mean simply giving things away. When a
country’s actions conflict with China’s national interests or policies, we can
use our economic power to intervene and influence others’ choices. China
can adjust its regulations over market access as a pointed economic incen-
tive to encourage foreign companies or countries to shift in ways beneficial
for China’s national interests.56
In the future, China will decisively favor those who side with it with eco-
nomic benefits and even security protections. On the contrary, those who
are hostile to China will face much more sustained policies of sanctions and
isolation.77
Buying Trust
Chinese policymakers and experts also rarely see a tension between helping
China and helping recipients. For some, Japan’s post-WWII infrastructure
support and strategic use of aid to promote its exports and investments
into China and Southeast Asia offer a model for how to “promote the mu-
tual development of donor and recipient countries.”86 Diplomats similarly
praise the United States’ Marshall Plan and Japan’s strategic use of postwar
reparations.87 These historical examples encourage policymakers’ confidence
in strategic foreign aid. As Minister of Commerce Chen Deming explains,
China’s foreign aid helps recipients and promotes economic cooperation,
while enhancing Chinese firms’ “international competitiveness.”88 For in-
stance, development assistance bolsters China’s Belt and Road Initiative
(BRI) by making projects more attractive to recipient countries while facili-
tating Chinese companies’ entry into overseas markets.89 Ding Xueliang thus
30 Orchestration
For major powers, aid is an important foreign policy tool. While promoting
the social and economic development of recipient countries, it also serves
32 Orchestration
the national interests of the donor country . . . it always has as its primary
goal promoting the donor country’s economy, and particularly promoting
the donor country’s exports and supporting private companies’ investments
abroad.103
urgently need mutual help.”114 China’s 2006 Africa White Paper used the
phrases “mutual” or “mutually” twenty times in eleven pages.115
“What stands out,” notes Julia Strauss, “is how consistent the dissemina-
tion of this discourse has been over the last half-century; flexible enough to
continue to frame changing content and even accommodate quite radical
changes in policy direction.”116 The phrasing also enables China to claim the
moral high ground. As Zhai Dongsheng insists: “The Chinese government
and the Chinese people do not need to look down on aid recipients, using a
‘master’ perspective to understand aid recipient countries and citizens. Our
national perspective is one of equality . . . the relationship is one of equality
and of practical mutual benefit.”117
Beijing’s pragmatic egalitarianism is grounded in China’s collective iden-
tity as a developing country; in Zhou Enlai’s memorable phrase: “poor friends
in the same boat, rowing together.”118 “China is the world’s largest developing
country,” the 2014 ODA White Paper explained, and so “it has endeavored to
integrate the interests of the Chinese people with people of other countries,
providing assistance to the best of its ability to other developing countries.”119
The previous year, Foreign Minister Wang Yi insisted: “China is still a devel-
oping country; this remains a distinctive and guiding element in our foreign
policy.”120 Xi Jinping reiterated in October 2017: “China’s international status
as the world’s largest developing country has not changed.”121
Enterprise Malfeasance
Marguerita Bay lies on the Mexican coast about 200 miles north of
Cape St. Lucas. On arriving the schooner was “kedged” up the lagoons
running parallel with the coast fully one hundred miles. This took two
weeks. We passed, as it were, through a succession of mill-ponds, filled
with low, green islands, whose dense shubbery extended to the water’s
edge. The trunks of a small umbrella-shaped tree were washed by the tides
to the height of several feet, and thickly incrusted with small oysters. When
we wanted oysters we went on shore and chopped down a boatload of trees.
Is it necessary to remark that the trees did not grow the oysters. The oysters
grew on the trees, and they were as palatable as so many copper cents,
whose taste they resembled. When cooked, the coppery taste departed. The
channel through these lagoons was very crooked. It was necessary to stake
out a portion at low water, when it ran a mere creek through an expanse of
hard sand, sometimes a mile from either shore. At high water all this would
be covered to a depth of six or seven feet. The Henry grounded at each ebb,
and often keeled over at an angle of forty-five. From our bulwarks it was
often possible to jump on dry ground. This keeling-over process, twice
repeated every twenty-four hours, was particularly hard on the cook, for the
inconvenience resulting from such a forty-five-degree angle of inclination
extended to all things within his province. My stove worked badly at the
angle of forty-five. The kettle could be but half-filled, and only boiled
where the water was shallowest inside. The cabin table could only be set at
an angle of forty-five. So that while the guests on the upper side had great
difficulty in preventing themselves from slipping off their seats on and over
that table, those on the lower side had equal difficulty in keeping
themselves up to a convenient feeding distance. Captain Reynolds, at the
head of the board, had a hard lot in the endeavor to maintain his dignity and
sitting perpendicularly at the same time on the then permanent and not
popular angle of forty-five. But I, steward, butler, cook, and cabin boy, bore
the hardest tribulation of all in carrying my dishes across the deck, down
the cabin stairs, and arranging them on a table at an angle of forty-five. Of
course, at this time the rack used in rough weather to prevent plates and
platters from slipping off was brought into permanent use. Transit from
galley to cabin was accomplished by crawling on two legs and one arm,
thus making of myself a peripatetic human triangle, while the unoccupied
hand with difficulty bore aloft the soup-tureen. It was then I appreciated the
great advantages afforded in certain circumstances by the prehensile caudal
termination of our possible remote ancestors. With such a properly
equipped appendage, the steward might have taken a close hitch round an
eyebolt, and let all the rest of himself and his dishes safely down into the
little cabin. It is questionable whether man’s condition has been physically
improved by the process of evolution. He may have lost more than he has
gained. A monkey can well afford to scorn the relatively clumsy evolutions
of the most skilful human brother acrobat.
Marguerita Bay was the nursery of the female whales, or in whaler’s
parlance, “cows.” The long, quiet lagoons, fringed with green, their waters
warmed by the sun to a most agreeable temperature, were the resort during
the spring months of the mother whales to bring forth and nurse their
young. The bulls generally remained outside. The cows were killed with
tolerable ease in the shoal waters of the bay. Outside they have, on being
struck, the reputation of running out all the line a boat can spare and then
demanding more. Grant could never have fought it out on one line with a
“California Gray.” In the lagoons, so long as the calf was uninjured, the
mother would slow her own pace, so as to remain by her young. Thus she
became an easy sacrifice. If the calf was wounded, woe to the boat’s crew.
The cow seemed to smell the blood the moment it was drawn from its
offspring. The first time this happened—the boat-steerer accidentally
slipping his lance into the calf—the cow turned and chased the boat ashore.
The tables were turned. The miserable pigmies, who dared strike
Leviathan’s child, were saved because their boat could float where Mrs.
Whale couldn’t. She drew at least seven feet of water. A whale is one of the
few things read of that is bigger than it looks. The pigmies hauled the boat
upon the beach, while the whale for full half an hour swam to and fro where
her soundings were safe, and embargoed them. It was, with her, “Come off
if you dare.” But they didn’t care to dare, and finally she went away
unkilled. She managed, at the start to give the boat one crack, enough to fill
it with water. But whaleboats are made to be broken. A few hours’ work
and the insertion of a few bits of wood in the light clinker-built sides will
restore a whaleboat which, to an inexperienced eye, looks fit only for
kindling-wood. A whale is much more of an animal than people generally
imagine. There’s a great deal of affection somewhere in that big carcass. I
have seen them close aboard from the schooner’s deck play with their
young and roll and thrash about in mammoth gambols. They knew the
doors to these lagoons leading out into the ocean as well as men know the
doors to their houses. When struck, though miles distant, they made straight
for that door, and if not killed before reaching it they escaped, for no boat,
when fast, could be towed through the huge Pacific breakers. Pigmy man in
such case sullenly cut his line and sulkily rowed back to his crowded little
schooner to growl at the cook.
We filled up in six weeks. Our luck was the envy of the eleven other
vessels in Marguerita Bay. This luck was mainly due to “Black Jake,” a
huge Jamaica negro, with the face of a Caliban, the arm of a Hercules and a
stomach greater than an ostrich’s for rum. When we left San Francisco he
had a tier of twenty-five bottles, full, stored under his bunk, and not a soul
was ever the wiser for it until all were emptied. He kept his own head level,
his own counsel, and lying in his berth in the early evening hours of his
watch below, would roll over, turn his back to the noisy, chattering Kanaka
audience of the forecastle, and put the bottle, but not to his neighbors’ lips.
He was king of the forecastle, king of the Kanaka crew, and king of the
whaleboat when after a “muscle-digger.” He could throw a harpoon twice
as far as an ordinary man, and it was to this force of muscle, added to a
certain knack of his own in working up to the “grayback,” before striking,
and managing the boat after, that we owed our successful voyage. Great
was his fame as a whale-killer in Marguerita Bay. Many were the offers
made by masters of other vessels to bribe him from us. He remained true to
us. Hard were the knocks the cows gave their boats and sometimes their
crews. One well-appointed schooner lying near us had her boats stove
twenty-six times during our stay. Twelve men out of the fleet were more or
less injured. “Dese yere whale,” Jake would remark to his audiences in the
night yarns when one or two other boats’ crews from other vessels came on
board, “dey aint’ like oder whales. Dar ways are ’culiar, and ye got to mind
sharp how ye get onto ’em.” But nobody ever solved Jake’s “ ’culiar way o’
getting onto ’em.”
A harpoon was not a toasting-fork to throw in the days when men
oftener threw the iron by muscle instead of powder. It is a shod, with a
heavy wooden pole five or six feet in length fastened into the socket of the
iron barb. This, with the line attached, makes a weight requiring for the cast
the use of both arms, and strong arms at that. A man would not care to carry
a harpoon more than a mile in a hot day. Its own weight, as much as the
impelling force, is depended on to bury itself in the floating mound of
seemingly polished India-rubber which constitutes a whale above water.
And when it first buries itself, there is for a few seconds some vicious
splashing and ugly flirting of fluke or fin. A whale’s tail is an instrument of
offence of about one hundred horse power, and well adapted to cutting
through a boat as a table knife goes through an egg shell. The two fins
suggest members between paddles and rudimentary arms. It is also a
member very capable of striking out from the right or left shoulder, and
striking very hard. When a half-dozen men are within six feet of these
weapons, controlled by an enormous black sunken mass, eighty or one
hundred feet long, they are apt to look a trifle wild and their eyes have a
tendency to bulge. There are stories among whalemen of boat-steerers who
have had all the grit permanently taken out of them by the perils and
catastrophes of that moment. A New Londoner once had the cap swept from
his head by the sweep of the whale’s tail over it, and he was too nervous for
boat service ever afterward. It is no skulking fight, like shooting lions and
tigers from the shelter of trees or rocks. It’s a fair standup combat between
half a dozen men in an egg-shell of a boat on the open sea, and sometimes
on heavy ocean billows, and 500 tons of flesh, bone, and muscles, which, if
only animated by a few more grains of sense, could ram the whaleship
herself as effectually as an ironclad. As a murderous spectacle the capture
and killing of a whale, as seen even by a sea-cook from the galley window,
is something ultra-exciting. It makes one’s hair stand upon both ends.
There is the whaleboat, the men sitting motionless in their seats, the long
oars apeak, shooting through the water, towed by the whale unseen
underneath the surface. Sometimes two or three boats hitch on, for the more
the whale has to drag the sooner he becomes exhausted. Now they haul in
on him and carefully coil the wet line in the tubs. Closer and closer they
near him, the passage of the great mass under water being marked by swirls
and eddies on the surface. Our herculean king, “Black Jake,” is at the bow,
the round, razor-edged, long-handled lance lying by him, his back to the
crew, his eye on the eddies, his great bare black arms, now the right, now
the left—moving first in one direction, then another, as thus he signals to
the steersman the direction in which to keep the boat’s head; for although
we are being towed as a tug would tow a skiff, we must be kept as near as
possible in a line with the submerged motive power, and then, with a swash
and snort, out of the water six feet ahead comes twenty, may be forty feet of
that great black mass! It is astonishing how much there is of him. And he is
down and under, with his great gulp of air, in less time than it takes to write
or even speak these last twenty words, but not before the lance is out of
Jake’s hands, driven three feet into his side, and hauled aboard again by the
light, strong line attached. Suddenly the whale line slacks. The boat ceases
its rush through the water. The eddy and swirl ahead cease. Now look out
for squalls. This is one of Mrs. Grayback’s peculiar tricks. She is ambushed
somewhere below. She designs coming up under the boat’s bottom, and
constituting herself into a submarine island of flesh, bobbing up like a
released cork. She is resolving herself into a submarine earthquake, and
proposes to send that boat and crew ten feet into the air, or capsizing them
off her India-rubber back. One hundred or five hundred tons of wicked
intelligence is thus groping about in the unseen depths for the purpose of
attaining the proper position, and, as it were, exploding herself like an
animated torpedo. Every seat in the boat is an anxious seat. There is no
talking, but a great deal of unpleasant anticipation. Those who have seen
the thing done before, await in dread suspense the shock and upset. It’s very
much like being over a powder-magazine about to explode. To keep up the
interest let us leave his particular boat and situation in statu quo. Your
imagination may complete the catastrophe or not, as you choose. Final
consummations are not desirable in a thrilling tale, and this tale is meant to
be thrilling. Therefore, if you’ve got a thrill in you, please thrill.
From the schooner’s deck, a mile and a half away, Captain, cook, and
cooper—the head, tail, and midriff of the ship’s company—we perceive that
the white puff of spray from the whale’s blowholes has changed to a darker
color. “Spouting blood,” we remark. The boat is lying quite near by. At
intervals of a few minutes a circular streak of white water is seen breaking
the smooth surface of the lagoon. He’s in his “flurry.” He is dying. It is a
mighty death, a wonderful escape of vitality and power, affection, and
intelligence, too, and all from the mere pin’s prick of an implement in the
hands of yon meddlesome, cruel, audacious, greedy, unfeeling pigmies.
Spouting blood, bleeding its huge life away, shivering in great convulsions,
means only for us forty barrels more of grease, and a couple of hundred
pounds of bone to manufacture death-dealing, rib-compressing, liver-
squeezing corsets from. And all the while the calf lingers by the dying
mother’s side, wondering what it is all about. Dead and with laborious
stroke towed to the vessel, the calf swims in its wake. Made fast alongside,
its beautifully symmetrical bulk tapering from head to tail in lines which
man copies in the mould of his finest yachts, the body remains all night, and
in the still hours of the “anchor watch” we can hear the feeble “blow” of the
poor calf, as it swims to and fro.
In the morning the mass which last night was but a couple of feet out of
water, has swollen and risen almost to the level of the low bulwark’s top,
while the gas generated by the decomposition within escapes from each
lance puncture with a faint sizzle. With the earliest light the crew are at
work. Skin and fat are torn off in great strips and hoisted on board. Round
and round the carcass is slowly turned, with each turn another coil of
blubber is unwound and cut off. The sharks are busy, too. Monsters (I use
the term “monsters” merely for the sake of euphony, not liking to repeat the
word “shark” so often) fifteen and eighteen feet long rush up to the carcass,
tear off great pieces of the beefy-looking flesh and then quarrel with each
other for its possession, flirting the water with nose and fin, and getting
occasionally a gash from a sharp whale-spade which would take a man’s
head off. Amid all this, men shouting, swearing, singing, the windlass
clanking, fires under the try-pots blazing, black smoke whirling off in
clouds, sharks grabbing and fighting and being fought, the motherless calf
still swims about the mutilated carcass, and when cast adrift, a whity-
yellowish mass of carrion, swept hither and thither by wind and tide, it still
keeps it company until dead of starvation or mercifully devoured by the
“monsters.” Madame, every bone in your corset groans with the guilt of this
double murder.
After a whale had been “cut in,” or stripped of his blubber, an operation
somewhat resembling the unwinding of a lot of tape from a long bobbin, the
whale answering for the bobbin as he is turned round and round in the
water, and the blubber for the tape as it is windlassed off, the whity-
yellowish, skin-stripped carcass was then cast adrift, and it floated and
swelled and smelled. Day after day it swelled bigger and smelled bigger. It
rose out of the water like an enormous bladder. It would pass us in the
morning with the ebb tide and come back with the flood. A coal-oil refinery
was a cologne factory compared to it. Sometimes two or three of these
gigantic masses would be floating to and fro about us at once. Sometimes
one would be carried against our bows and lodge there, the rotten mass
lying high out of the water, oozing and pressing over our low bulwarks on
deck. We had a fight with one of these carcasses for half an afternoon trying
to pry it off with poles, oars, and handspikes. It was an unfavorable mass to
pry against. Of course it smelt. For a dead mass it was extremely lively in
this respect. There are no words in which to describe a powerful smell so
closely as to bring it to the appreciation of the senses. It is fortunate there
are none, for some talented idiot to make his work smell and sell would be
certain to use them. The gulls used to navigate these carcasses on their
regular trips up and down the lagoons. They served these birds as a sort of
edible ferry-boat. You might see forty or fifty feeding and sailing on a
single carcass. But they seemed downcast—the dead whale was too much
for them. Not that they ever got full of the carrion, but they exhausted
themselves in the effort. The supply was unlimited; ditto the void within the
gull, but there were limits to his strength.