Professional Documents
Culture Documents
The Future of
Globalization
Constantine Michalopoulos
Aid, Trade and Development
“This is a very well written book, technically sound, and a great source of
material for anyone who wants to understand the factors that have shaped
much of international economics for the past half century. This new edition
adds useful perspective on the implications of the new challenges facing
developing countries as a result of the pandemic and increased unilateralism
and protectionism in the North. More tellingly, Michalopoulos writes with
passion on developments that he knows very well and cares deeply about.”
—K.Y. Amoako, President of the African Center for Economic
Transformation, Ghana
“In this new edition, Michalopoulos adds valuable new insights on critical
current issues, making his panoramic overview of the global economy even
more incisive.”
—Danny Leipziger, Professor of International Business and International
Affairs, George Washington University, United States
“As its predecessor, this book is coolly realistic and solidly grounded on empir-
ical evidence. But it also offers a vision of the policies required to reverse the
troublesome changes of the last few years, while at the same time recognizing
the imperative of greater inclusiveness of groups and countries left behind by
the earlier globalization waves. Both the analysis and the vision outlined by
Michalopoulos will contribute substantially to the international debate and
actual initiatives on international trade and on development prospects of poor
countries.”
—Salvatore Schiavo-Campo, former Senior Adviser at the Asian Development
Bank, Philippines, author of Running the Government
“Getting aid and trade policy to support sustainable development is not easy.
Michalopoulos’ new book tells the story of past progress and failures over
the last half century. In recent years we have gone backwards. The author
argues that the global community should live up to its commitments to help
end global poverty and that we cannot prevent disastrous climate change and
ecological collapse without a renewed commitment to multilateral coopera-
tion. Developing countries must receive the support promised in Glasgow at
COP26. The book is readable and authoritative. If we are to do better, we
must build on the lessons of the past and this volume will help enormously.”
—Clare Short, former Secretary of State for International Development,
United Kingdom
Constantine Michalopoulos
Aid, Trade
and Development
The Future of Globalization
Second Edition
Constantine Michalopoulos
Lusby, MD, USA
1st edition: © The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s) 2017
2nd edition: © The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer
Nature Switzerland AG 2022
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To Eveline whose unwavering commitment to a just economic order and
democratic institutions is a continuing inspiration
Preface
The idea of writing this book first came to me about a decade ago. At
that time, I had written Migration Chronicles, a semi-autobiographical
volume, and several friends had said: “Nice book, but what did you actu-
ally do in those jobs you had?” So, I thought that at some point I would
write something which focused on the various development policy issues
involving aid, trade, and development with which I grappled in various
positions with the World Bank, USAID, and WTO.
I was lucky that I was involved in a small way in policymaking on the
major issues of the period from the late 1960s to the early twenty-first
century: addressing the impact of the OPEC oil price rise in the early
1970s, the development of a basic human needs aid strategy in the late
1970s, the debt crisis, the “Washington Consensus” and “Adjustment
with a Human Face” of the 1980s, the collapse of the Soviet Union and
the birth of the WTO in the 1990s; and later in the decade 2000–2010
with continued involvement on these issues as a consultant to European
aid agencies like the UK’s DFID, Sweden’s SIDA, and Germany’s GTZ.
In the fall of 2015 when, after 50 years, I finished my professional
career teaching a course on International Trade and Development at
vii
viii Preface
updated. The middle three chapters dealing with the past decade have
been substantially rewritten to reflect more recent perspectives. The last
part of the volume is completely new: it reviews the pandemic experience
and its impact on sustainable development and makes recommendations
on how to address the challenges of the future, a future which looks
more uncertain than a few years ago: These include actions to deal with
future pandemics, addressing climate change, working to make global-
ization more just and equitable, and promoting longer term sustainable
global development. As the volume was going to print Russia invaded
Ukraine adding another great uncertainty to the future world order. The
last chapter ends with a call for a revival of multilateralism, as both
the pandemic and climate change have reminded everybody that global
problems can only be addressed through global multilateral action.
This volume could not have been completed without a great deal of help
and advice from friends and former colleagues. I am grateful to very
many of them who over the years influenced my thinking about aspects
of aid, trade, and development, but were not involved in the writing of
this volume or its previous edition.
Special thanks are reserved for a group who devoted a lot of effort,
some to provide material, others to correct my mistakes, add perspec-
tives, and actually change my views by reading and commenting on one
or several chapters or the whole of the first edition of this volume whose
contribution continues as this edition contains a good deal of material
from the old one. These include Masood Ahmed, K. Y. Amoako, Michael
Crosswell, John Eriksson, Ruth Jacoby, Hilde Johnson, Danny Leipziger,
Ira Lieberman, James Michel, John Nellis, Donal Donovan, George
Papaconstantinou, Salvatore Schiavo-campo, Alexander Shakow, Clare
Short, David Tarr, George Tavlas, and Heidemarie Wieczorek-Zeul.
And then there was a somewhat smaller very special group who perse-
vered and continued to help with this second edition. Clare Short
read and commented on the whole volume, while K. Y. Amoako,
xi
xii Acknowledgments
Constantine Michalopoulos
Contents
1 Introduction 1
2 Growth Constraints, Aid Targets, and Basic Needs 9
3 Export Pessimism and the Neoclassical Revival 35
4 Debt and Adjustment: Muddling Through 55
5 The Collapse of Planning and the Troubled
Transition 97
6 The Birth of the WTO 133
7 The Many Faces of Globalization 173
8 Millennium Aid, Trade, and Development 217
9 Liberalism in Retreat 251
10 Sustainable Development Goals 295
11 The Rise of Populism and Anti-Globalization 313
12 The Plague Years 341
xiii
xiv Contents
Index 419
About the Author
xv
Also by Constantine Michalopoulos
xvii
Acronyms
AB Appellate Body
ACET African Center for Economic Transformation
ACFTA African Continental Free Trade Area
ACP African Caribbean and Pacific
ACWL Advisory Centre on WTO Law
ADB Asian Development Bank
AFT Aid for Trade
AGOA African Growth and Opportunity Act
AHDI Adjusted Human Development Index
AHF Adjustment with a Human Face
AID Agency for International Development
AIIB Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank
AITIC Agency for International Trade Information and Cooperation
AMS Aggregate Measures of Support
ASCM Agreement on Subsidies and Countervailing Measures
BHN Basic Human Needs
BRICS Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa
BWI Bretton Woods Institutions
CCRT Catastrophe Containment and Relief Trust
CEE Central and Eastern Europe
xix
xx Acronyms
xxiii
xxiv List of Tables
The last chapter focuses on the steps the global community has to
take to provide economic assistance to developing countries to meet
the challenges of achieving longer term sustainable development. These
include short-term assistance to offset the pandemic’s economic disrup-
tion, including measures to deal with the mounting debt problems of
HIPC, and strengthening global institutions such as the WHO, to enable
it to anticipate and cope with future pandemics. Additional actions
are needed by developed countries to honor their existing commit-
ments to help developing countries with climate change as well as take
any further steps needed to promote decarbonization and address the
emerging climate crisis. Finally, it is important to refocus the inter-
national community on the continuing developing country needs for
assistance to eradicate poverty, reduce inequality, and achieve the SDGs.
Taking all these actions requires intensive international collaboration
and a revival of multilateralism. The pandemic has reminded everybody
that global multilateral action is needed to deal with global problems
irrespective of the economic systems that prevail in different countries.
International collaboration must take into account the new economic
reality of a large and dynamic China, a territorially aggressive Russia and
the political reality that in the absence of effective systems to support,
those left behind by globalization and technology will continue to be
vulnerable to protectionist, isolationist movements. The experience of
the last fifty years strongly suggests that only a vibrant, multilateral
system provides humanity with the best chance of meeting the chal-
lenges of tomorrow, achieving the SDGs and building a more resilient
and inclusive world.
Reference
Baldwin, R. (2016) The Great Convergence: Information Technology and the New
Globalization, (Cambridge, MA: Belknap).
2
Growth Constraints, Aid Targets,
and Basic Needs
Introduction
Government-to-government economic assistance programs on conces-
sional terms that aim to promote the development of the recipient is
a post-World War II phenomenon, although there were occasional offi-
cial loans and other assistance in earlier periods. Most consider that
aid started with the US Marshall Plan in 1947.1 In 1960, the Devel-
opment Assistance Group of the Organization for European Economic
Co-operation (OECD, which included European recipients of Marshall
Plan aid and the US) was set up to exchange information on members’
aid activities in developing countries. In 1961, upon the establishment
of the OECD, the Group became the OECD Development Assistance
Committee (DAC). Its mandate is “to consult on the methods for
making national resources available for assisting countries and areas in
the process of economic development and for expanding and improving
the flow of long term funds and other development assistance to them”
(Fuhrer 1996, p. 10).
During these early years, the US provided the bulk of foreign aid
from the OECD countries, about 55% of $3.8 billion in 1957. But 15
© The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature 9
Switzerland AG 2022
C. Michalopoulos, Aid, Trade and Development, Second Edition,
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-96036-0_2
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decide whether the claimant of a Patent has a right to it, can it be
sanctioned in granting a privilege blindfold which establishes a
temporary monopoly? According to my view, this is a formidable,
almost insurmountable, stumbling-block, which, in my deliberate
opinion, will always stand in the way of a good and efficient Law of
Patents. I, therefore, am of opinion that no other satisfactory course
is open to us than to abolish Patents.
M. van Voorthuysen will not enter into many details, the subject
having been considered both from a juridical and an economical
point of view. He will, therefore, restrict himself to a few remarks on
M. Heemskerk’s speech. The hon. member acknowledges the
satisfaction the project gives him; it gratifies the feelings to which he
has given vent a great many times. It has been said that the
measure was a step backward, as Patents have taken the place of
exclusive privileges to guilds. At the time the Patent-right was
assuredly an improvement on the then existing system; but we have
been progressing so much since then that at present nothing short of
abolition will satisfy the wants of progress. He also refers to the
conclusion arrived at by Lord Stanley, which point M. Heemskerk has
left unnoticed—viz., 1st, that it is impossible to reward all who
deserve to be rewarded; 2nd, that it is impossible to reward
adequately to the service rendered to society at large; 3rd, that it is
impossible to hold third parties harmless from damage. And, in fact,
the alleged instance of the Daguerre prize having been divided with
another who equally proved his claim to the invention, speaks for
itself. It is doubtful who was the first inventor of the steam-engine;
there are several, at least, who claim the invention as their own.
There is another point he feels bound to refer to. M. Heemskerk has
said that abolishing Patents constitutes an attack upon the right of
property, and that deputy cautions against a first step, perhaps to be
followed up by others. This being a very serious inculpation, the hon.
member has asked the opinion of an eminent jurist, whom he will not
name as yet, whose authority M. Heemskerk is not likely to deny,
and who is in many respects congenial with that esteemed deputy.
The hon. member reads that opinion of one of the foremost
opponents of Patent-right, who calls it an obnoxious and intolerable
monopoly. And who is that clever jurist? It is M. Wintgens, who very
likely owed to his extraordinary acquirements in law matters his
appointment to the Department of Justice in the Heemskerk van
Zuylen Ministry.
M. Fock (Secretary of State for Home Affairs) will not have much
to say, after all which has been argued in yesterday’s and to-day’s
Session, in defence of the project. Nevertheless he will indulge in a
few remarks on the final report. With a view to the same, M.
Heemskerk submits the maintenance of Patents for inventions, but
the repeal of those “of admission.” But the Minister calls the attention
of the House to the circumstance that the Patents for inventions
which are being granted may aggregate to ten a year or thereabout.
What should remain for us to keep? Or else agents here will apply
for Patents on foreign inventions, so that “Patents of admission” will
re-appear under a different denomination. M. Godefroi has already
pointed to instances abroad, and the Minister can but add that,
despite M. Heemskerk’s assertion to the contrary, the Prussian
Government is by no means favourably disposed to the Patent-Law.
In December, 1868, Count von Bismarck addressed a message to
the North German Confederation, embodying the opinion of the
Prussian Government in favour of repeal, and even hinting that
Prussia would not mind taking the lead in the matter.[9] After entering
into a few more details concerning the final report, the Minister once
more demonstrates that Patents are great impediments to industry
and free-trade, and that it is in the public’s interest that they should
be abolished. The Netherlands, having once been foremost in doing
away with the tax on knowledge, must not now shrink from
conferring entire freedom on the field of industry. That is no reaction.
Is it reaction to break off with an intolerable state of things? No; it is
progress, and leads to free development. The Minister concludes
with a citation from Michel Chevalier, and declines to take M.
Heemskerk’s hint of deferring the discussion on the project.
M. Heemskerk Azn replies. He tenders thanks for the urbanity
observed throughout the discussion. But it is undeniable that his
opinion agrees with the existing right and the prevalent ideas in
Europe and America. Of course, if revocation is intended,
improvement of the law has to be given up. In reply to the Minister,
he has no doubt but that the desire for revocation originated in
Prussia, but he has said that in Germany the tide has turned in
favour of Patents, on the strength of the “Deutsche Industrie Zeitung”
and Klosterman’s recent work. The revocation of the Patent-Law
may have been contemplated, but the Prussian Government is not
now disposed to have the idea carried out. He asks but for what the
English equally asked for—i.e., a renewed inquiry. What, after all, is
foreign experience to the exercise of law in the Netherlands? How
does the project tally with the establishment of a new division of
industry in the Department for Internal Affairs, the chief occupation of
which is the granting of Patents? He will not argue with the Minister
on general remarks, but merely on the one relating to the abolition of
newspaper stamps. Why has that tax been repealed? If henceforth a
larger quantity of paper be covered with print, the tax has most likely
been done away with to promote the diffusion of general knowledge.
He supposes, however, the Minister will agree with Cicero, who says
that fame acquired by means of deeds which are not useful is but
vanity. The stamp duty has been repealed in order to be useful. And
in the present case, will the Minister deny all benefits to him who
does his utmost, so as to be useful? He replies also to the several
members who have made speeches; he contradicts M. de Bruyn
Kops about a general disposition supposed to exist in France
towards revocation of Patent-Laws. Michel Chevalier only has
changed his mind, but there is no opinion prevailing against Patents.
Quite recently both Joseph Garnier and Wolowski have refuted
Chevalier’s arguments.
The hon. member further insists upon his interpretation of the
Parliamentary debates in England, and names several instances of
inventors having acquired wealth. He does not admit that there is a
difference between Patent-right and Copyright; imitation of articles of
fabrication is, and will remain, as immoral as it is unfair. He shrinks
from touching the legal side of the question, but asks whether,
because of the Patent-right being restricted to a fixed time, the
conclusion must needs be drawn that absolutely no right should
exist, and that there should be no plea in equity whatever for an
inventor to get rewarded for his labours? Does the abstract question
of occupation of immaterial things cripple that hypothesis in any
way? He considers it from a more general and social point of view,
and vindicates his assertion that an inventor is entitled to a certain
amount of protection for his work, by which, at all events, he renders
a service to society; that Patents are incitements to many useful
inventions and to industry, which is equally M. de Bruyn Kops’
opinion, as stated in his work on political economy. He has been
asked why, when in the Ministry, he did not introduce a Patent
Reform Law. In the first place, he begs to observe that much was to
be done then, and besides, considering the smallness of our country,
he indulged in the anticipation that the idea of an international
agreement might gradually have gained ground. Should he,
however, have lived longer (politically speaking), he would most
likely have introduced a Bill for remodelling the Patent-Law. As for M.
Wintgen’s opinion, it is almost superfluous to say that one is not
bound to have in every respect homogeneous ideas with one’s
political friends. In reply to the question why, as a member of the
House, he does not make a proposal, he accepts the invitation, and
will in September next be prepared to take, as a member of the
House, the initiative of presenting a Bill for Reforming the Patent-
Law, provided the project now pending be no longer discussed.
M. Van Zinnick Bergmann replies, and maintains his opinion
about the justice of the Patent-right.
M. de Bruyn Kops refutes M. Heemskerk’s reply, and
demonstrates, by means of fresh examples, that the Patent-right is
intolerable and most obnoxious. He considers the question now
merely economically; MM. van Houten and Godefroi having so ably
discussed the legal points. The large benefits acquired by a few are,
as taken from his point of view, prejudicial to the public at large, and
against these few advantages there are great damages, as large
capitals dwindle away in the chase for the snare of Patents. M.
Heemskerk himself favours the revocation of Patents on the right “of
admission.” What is left after that? Nothing but the Patents of
invention. Why not try entire freedom and removal of all
impediments?
M. Godefroi will add one word more with reference to M.
Heemskerk’s readiness in accepting the challenge, of framing a new
project of law, and he must say that, whatever be the nature of such
proposal, it can hardly be expected to satisfy those who condemn
the principles of Patent-Law. But the orator who is so well posted
must certainly have framed already the main points from which the
project would have to be formed. By stating and explaining those
points, he would have done more service to the House than by mere
opposition to those who favour abolition. The hon. member repeats
the important query, whether Patents should be granted without
previously inquiring into the merits of the case; and then Government
would have to give its opinion just as well on an improved chignon as
on an improved steam-engine.
M. Gefken gives his motives for voting in favour of the project. He
says, where there is a right of property, it must be permanent, and
even transferable to the heirs; but a guarantee for a few years would
not do. He consequently does not recognise the right of property,
and merely considers the question with a view to usefulness; and, as
far as that goes, his experience in administrative and juridical offices
has taught him that Patents are not actually useful, and, on the
contrary, lead to speculation and impede the development of many a
useful concern. He favours free competition.
M. van Voorthuysen will not revert to M. Bergmann’s remark
about his being accustomed to recapitulate the debates, but denies
having intended to force upon him the authority of M. Wintgen’s
opinion. Such is not the case; but the fact of the opinions of two such
jurists as MM. Godefroi and Wintgen agreeing has set his mind at
rest as far as legal opinion is concerned.
M. Heemskerk Azn replies to M. Godefroi, and does not see why
he should just now go and sketch his project. Give him time and
opportunity, and he will introduce a Bill, provided this project be
deferred; and, in fact, what are they making such haste for?
Minister Fock maintains his sayings about the Prussian
Government favouring revocation, and further explains that the new
division in his department has no connexion with Patents, but was
made so as to concentrate all matters referring to industry. As for the
right of property in inventions, he would merely add that, according
to our legislation, Patents are but favours, which may be granted or
not, as the case may be.
Hereupon the discussion is closed.
With reference to Art. 1, M. Lenting asks, why the date on which
the new law has to take effect should be fixed for the 1st January
next. He would prefer that the words be, “After the day of the
publication of the law;” then no new Patents would be granted, those
already applied for only excepted.
The Minister inserts the amendment, after which Arts. 1 and 2 are
passed.
The project is then put to the vote, and passes the House by 49
ayes against 8 noes.
Against it voted MM. Bichon, Blussé, Vader, Hofmann, Heemskerk
Azn, Van Wassenaer, and Van Zinnick Bergmann.