Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Trump
and the Remaking
of American
Grand Strategy
The Shift from Open Door Globalism
to Economic Nationalism
Bastiaan van Apeldoorn Jaša Veselinovič
Political Science and Public Political Science
Administration Freie Universität Berlin
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam Berlin, Germany
Amsterdam, The Netherlands
Naná de Graaff
Political Science and Public
Administration
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam
Amsterdam, The Netherlands
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Acknowledgements
v
Contents
1 Introduction 1
References 5
2 Theorizing Trump: A Critical Political Economy
Approach 7
IR Theory at a Loss? The Puzzle of Trump’s Foreign Policy 9
IR Debates on the Nature of Trump’s Foreign Policy 9
IR Explanations of Trump’s Foreign Policy? 14
Structure and Agency in US Grand Strategy:
A Elite-Theoretical Perspective Grounded in Critical
Political Economy 18
References 24
3 American Grand Strategy Before Trump: The History
and Nature of Open Door Globalism 33
The Open Door from the End of the Nineteenth Century
Until the End of the Cold War 35
The First Wave of American Expansionism: From
the Open Door Notes to Wilson’s Liberal Internationalism 36
The Second Wave and the Start of the Third Wave
of American Expansionism: The Cold War Years 38
The Open Door in the Post-Cold War Era: The Clinton,
Bush, and Obama Presidencies 41
The Open Door Under Clinton 41
vii
viii CONTENTS
xi
xii LIST OF FIGURES
Introduction
Abstract This chapter introduces our study of how and why Trump
remade American grand strategy. The in-many-ways unprecedented
foreign policy of Donald Trump has—despite a vast literature—thus far
not been subjected to much explanatory analysis. Using an original analyt-
ical model informed by critical political economy and based upon unique
empirical and social network analysis of Trump’s foreign policy-making
elite, this study makes a novel contribution by both assessing the nature
of Trump’s foreign policy and offering a comprehensive explanation of
what we argue to be a significant and probably enduring Trumpian shift
towards a neo-mercantilist economic nationalism. This study explains
this shift both in terms of foreign policy-makers’ embeddedness in elite
networks, and by placing their agency within the changing global and
domestic context.
There are many firsts when it comes to Donald Trump and his pres-
idency. Significantly, as we are writing this, he has just been arrested
in New York for covering up the payment of hush money to a former
porn star and thereby violating federal election law—the first time in
the extent of its embeddedness in wider elite networks—but also puts that
elite agency within a wider social and political context, thereby integrating
structure and agency and emphasizing their interaction over time.
Seeking to assess and explain continuity and change in US foreign
policy generally we focus not on the day-to-day foreign policy-making
but on what is called grand strategy, or what can be viewed as the
“highest” level of foreign policy representing a comprehensive vision of
the state’s critical “interests” and the overarching and long-term goals
following from that, and how best to promote and achieve those goals
(Layne, 2006, p. 13). Never entirely consistent in its concrete applica-
tions, grand strategy cannot fully account for all individual foreign policy
decisions, which are often also influenced by other, contingent factors,
or indeed related to the idiosyncrasies of individual presidents (not just
in Trump’s case). But grand strategy does inform the general direction
of foreign policy-making. It is from this perspective that this study will
analyse Trump’s foreign policy: examining its general outlook and direc-
tion, rather than in any way attempt to examine its many different policy
decisions across sectors and regions in a detailed way.
We do not claim that Trump and his (often internally divided) team
in the four years that he had been in office were able to articulate a
fully fledged grand strategy of their own, let alone pursue such a strategy
consistently. What we do claim is that Trump—and quite consciously—
has succeeded in unmaking what has been America’s grand strategy since
at least World War II (and in many ways has origins much earlier). This
has been the strategy of what we call Open Door Globalism, a strategy of
economic expansionism through the promotion of open markets across
the globe and the institutionalization thereof (after 1945) into a US-
led liberal world order. And this unmaking Trump has done, we will
suggest at the end of this short book, in ways that have outlasted his presi-
dency, that at least in some significant ways endure under his successor Joe
Biden. In that sense, Trump most likely indeed has permanently remade
US foreign policy. Which makes it all the more important to explain this
historical rupture.
Our core argument is twofold. First, we argue that Trump has
broken with Open Door Globalism—both as a worldview and as a grand
strategy—in probably lasting ways by adopting an outlook and strategy
that can be best interpreted as a neo-mercantilist economic nationalism
based upon an “America first” redefinition of US sovereignty and national
interests. Second, we argue that we can explain this Trumpian shift in
4 B. VAN APELDOORN ET AL.
himself and some of his (future) advisers, interpreted the changing global
and domestic context through an economic nationalist “reading” of
the (geo)political conjuncture. Changing context alone cannot explain
changes in US foreign policy, which is why in Chapter 5 we analyse
the actual foreign policy-making actors interpreting and acting upon this
changing context, as based upon their ideas and interests, by mapping and
analysing the social networks of the administration’s top foreign policy-
makers, to identify the social sources of their agency and worldviews. In
contrast to previous presidencies, we find a clear lack of links between
Trump’s policymakers and what for decades has been a core feature of
the foreign policy establishment: its extensive and heavily overlapping
network of foreign policy think tanks and advocacy groups.
In Chapter 6 we analyse both the rhetoric and the evolving practice
of Trump’s foreign policy, to show how Trump’s foreign policy-makers
unmade Open Door Globalism and thereby remade American Grand
Strategy. While Trump’s presidency did not fully replace the Open Door
Globalist worldview with a coherent and fully developed alternative, we
identify a clear ideological shift towards a neo-mercantilist variety of
economic nationalism. Finally, in the Conclusion (Chapter 7), we summa-
rize the results of our research, reflect on the ways in which the Biden
presidency has not seen a return to Open Door Globalism but in fact
doubled down on some aspects of the economic nationalist strategy, and
indicate some avenues for further research.
References
Barnett, M. (2018). What is international relations theory good for? In R. Jervis,
F. J. Gavin, J. Rovner, & D. N. Labrosse (Eds.), Chaos in the liberal order: The
Trump presidency and international politics in the twenty-first century (pp. 8–
21). Columbia University Press.
De Graaff, N., & Van Apeldoorn, B. (2021). The transnationalist US foreign-
policy elite in exile? A comparative network analysis of the Trump administra-
tion. Global Networks, 21(2), 238–264.
Layne, C. (2006). The peace of illusions: American grand strategy from 1940 to
the present. Cornell University Press.
Van Apeldoorn, B., & De Graaff, N. (2016). American grand strategy and
corporate elite networks: The Open Door since the end of the Cold War.
Routledge.
CHAPTER 2
When explaining what exactly the break consists of, liberal internation-
alists focused on nationalism, often in particular economic nationalism,
associated not just with Trump himself but with several of his influ-
ential advisers, in particular, Steve Bannon (Brands, 2018; Friedman
Lissner & Rapp-Hooper, 2018; Kim, 2018). Some went as far as to claim
that Trump’s worldview amounts to isolationism (Haass; 2016; Stavridis,
2016) or in general heralds a return of nineteenth-century politics of
mercantilism, domination, and zero-sum unilateralism (Kupchan, 2018;
Wright, 2016, 2019; but see Helleiner, 2019). While not necessarily
sharing the same normative concerns, Mastanduno similarly identifies a
revolutionary break with a 70-year consensus by zooming in on Trump’s
trade policy. By using trade as its principal coercive weapon in “maximum
pressure” campaigns (Drezner, 2019a, 2019b), Trump has maintained
an activist orientation while rejecting the idea of pursuing hegemony
in which the US benefits most by acting as a stabilizer and rule-maker
(Mastanduno, 2020). Instead of using protectionism “as a necessary but
temporary evil” used historically to pry open the foreign markets, Trump
embraced it as a “matter of principle” (ibid., p. 537) and “weaponized”
American structural economic power (Farrell & Newman, 2019; see also
Oatley, 2019).
It will become clear later in the book that we largely agree with many
of these characterizations of the disruptiveness of Trump’s foreign policy.
However, rather than focusing on individual aspects of Trump’s foreign
policy we will also provide something that is often lacking in the above
accounts. While discussions of what constitutes the (essential parts of)
LIO that is under attack and which aspects are worth saving have been
lively (Glaser, 2019; Ikenberry et al., 2018; Porter, 2020), a clear bench-
mark or a “historical norm” against which we are to assess Trump’s
foreign policy has seldomly been provided. This lack of clear criteria was
prone to confusion, with the media sometimes portraying LIO-shunning
Trump as having “isolationist instincts” (Schwirtz, 2018). But if isola-
tionism means that the US gives up on seeking to exercise global power
and having global interests, and just wanting to defend its own borders
(Braumoeller, 2010; see also Wertheim, 2020), then Trump’s policy—no
matter his instincts—was not isolationist (Hendrickson, 2019). Exercising
2 THEORIZING TRUMP: A CRITICAL POLITICAL ECONOMY … 13
1 Interestingly, Posen (2018) has argued that while Trump’s policy does represent a
radical break with the past, it is not because it is no longer internationalist but because
it is no longer liberal. In Posen’s view Trump’s grand strategy—[which some doubt that
he has in the first place]—is still aimed at maintaining global hegemony but “illiberal
hegemony” (see also Hendrikse, 2018).
14 B. VAN APELDOORN ET AL.
also expected structure to prevail as Trump would not be able “to put
together a foreign policy coalition that can sustain his populist foreign
policy” (Rathbun, 2018, p. 99; see also Drezner, 2019b; Walt, 2018a).
These psychologizing explanations implicitly disregard the importance of
his team of foreign policy-makers and—by focusing on Trump’s often
inconsistent and “irrational” policy-behaviour—overlook that, as we shall
argue below, there was more structure and logic (however misguided)
than meets the eye.
As we have seen, some authors try and make sense of this underlying
logic by placing Trump into the long tradition of Jacksonianism and the
populist surge. It was due to his peculiar political intuition that Trump
“sensed something that his political rivals failed to grasp: that the truly
surging force in American politics wasn’t Jeffersonian minimalism. It was
Jacksonian populist nationalism” (Mead, 2017, p. 3; see also Rolf, 2021).
Those authors that identify Pat Buchanan, whose populist, nationalist,
and paleoconservative anti-Bush Sr. campaign in 1992 failed to secure him
the Republican presidential nomination, as Trump’s ideological prede-
cessor also note, Trump’s ideas were not completely unprecedented
let alone somehow un-American (Clarke, 2021, p. 542). While fascinating
and rich, these accounts showing that Trump’s ideas have been existing
on the relative fringes for decades do not explain how someone holding
them managed to break into the mainstream. The issue is not whether
Trump’s Jacksonianism is ideologically original, but how the elements of
Buchanan’s pitch which “still had limited appeal in 1992” turned “out to
be prophetic” (Dueck, 2020, p. 91). In this vein, some critical scholars
have already argued that ideas informing Trump’s foreign policy should
be examined as part of far-right networks which helped normalize the
“complex, sometimes contradictory and incoherent, mix of far-right and
conservative ideological and political discourses” (Parmar & Furse, 2021,
p. 1; see also Kiely, 2021). We build on these contributions to argue
in subsequent chapters that Trump was both a symptom of and further
deepened the crisis of America’s (foreign) policy elite and its social power
structures.
As we have seen, authors stressing continuity tend to separate Trump’s
fiery rhetoric from actual policies, with the latter in their view remaining
much more stable. The explanations (and hopes) for the relative resilience
of the US grand strategy have been sought in either the moderating
effects of institutions or the agency of more mainstream policymakers
within Trump’s team. On the one hand, many liberals initially predicted
16 B. VAN APELDOORN ET AL.
Realists, on the other hand, saw many more traces of liberal inter-
nationalism in Trump’s foreign policy than their liberal counterparts.
Having trouble explaining the persistence of pursuing liberal hegemony—
a strategy they have long considered irrational and contrary to US
interests (Porter, 2020), their solution has been to introduce contin-
gent factors outside the realist framework such as the strength of liberal
ideology (Mearsheimer, 2018) or, most recently, the strength of the
foreign policy establishment (Walt, 2018c). Porter, for example, argues
that the continuities in Trump’s foreign policy resulted from a “habit of
primacy” fostered and reproduced in and through a “cohesive US foreign
policy elite” (Porter, 2018, p. 14). In this account, shared by other Real-
ists, President Trump’s power to devise and execute grand strategy was
not only circumscribed and constrained by pre-existing policies and oper-
ating procedures (Dombrowski & Reich, 2017), but also by the fact that
“liberal hegemony has been a full-employment policy for the Beltway
foreign policy bureaucracy and the penumbra of think tanks, public policy
schools, lobbies, and corporations” (Walt, 2018c, p. 15). The latter,
also known—after Obama’s foreign policy adviser Ben Rhodes—as “the
Blob”, is difficult to challenge, even for a populist outsider such as Trump.
Along similar lines, Drezner (2019b) concludes that while Trump has
weakened and delegitimized the foreign policy elite, he has not managed
to replace it with his own set of people and think tanks.
We fully agree that there is such a thing as a foreign policy elite—
a recognition that is indeed also at the heart of our own approach.
The Realist literature, however, seems stronger in deploring and crit-
icizing its existence and policy blunders than in analysing either the
structure of the Blob or how the continuous pursuit of these (from Realist
perspective irrational) policies are to be explained (Jervis, 2020; Karkour,
2021). While acknowledging the overall strong ideological consensus,
collapsing it all into “the Blob” overlooks important intra-elite differ-
ences and obscures how the foreign policy elite operates (Kurthen, 2021;
Löfflmann, 2020). Moreover, as we shall see in Chapter 5, in the case of
Trump, while he may not have succeeded with replacing the old foreign
policy elite, his administration was much less embedded within it, and
this “disconnect” helps us to explain the change in foreign policy strategy
that Porter and others do not take into account. Most importantly, we
argue for the need to understand the (social) sources of and explain both
the consensus as well as the conflicts within and possible changes of the
18 B. VAN APELDOORN ET AL.
2 What follows is to large extent a strongly abbreviated version of the more elaborate
framework we outline in van Apeldoorn and De Graaff (2016).
20 B. VAN APELDOORN ET AL.
2×6
This “2 × 6” was to show the length and width of the grave they
would have. Not only that, but the negroes that they could impose
upon and get to vote the democratic ticket received, after they had
voted, a card of safety; and here is that card issued to the colored
people whom they had induced to vote the democratic ticket, so that
they might present it if any white-leaguers should undertake to
plunder or murder them:
New Orleans, Nov. 28, 1874.
WILLIAM ALEXANDER,
President 1st Ward Col’d Democratic Club.
Attest:
J. H. HARDY, Ass’t Sec. Parish Committee.