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Stat and Prob Q4 Week 1 Module 9 Illustrating Hypothesis Testing PDF
Stat and Prob Q4 Week 1 Module 9 Illustrating Hypothesis Testing PDF
1
Statistics and Probability
Grade 11 Quarter 4: Week 1 - Module 9: Illustrating Hypothesis Testing
First Edition, 2021
Copyright © 2021
La Union Schools Division
Region I
All rights reserved. No part of this module may be reproduced in any form
without written permission from the copyright owners.
Management Team:
We make every day decisions in our life. Some of these are very important
while others are not. In decision-making, we follow certain processes like weighing
alternatives, collecting evidence and making a decision. An appropriate
interpretation is form after a decision is made. We follow these steps in testing
hypothesis in Statistics. Hypothesis testing is a way for you to test the results of a
survey or experiment to see if you have meaningful results .
After going through this lesson, you are expected to:
Subtasks:
1. distinguish null hypothesis from alternative hypothesis.
2. determine whether a hypothesis test is non-directional or directional.
3. determine whether a directional test is left-tailed or right-tailed
4. locate critical values under the normal curve.
5. determine critical values for the hypothesis testing; and
6. understand the concept of Type I and Type II error.
Before going on, check how much you know about this topic. Answer the
pretest in a separate sheet of paper
Pretest
Directions: Choose the letter of the correct answer. Write your answer on a
separate sheet of paper.
1. What is the decision-making process for evaluating claims about a population
based on the characteristics of a sample purportedly coming from the
population?
A. Decision Testing B. Null Testing
C. Alternative Testing D. Hypothesis Testing
2. What hypothesis states that there is no difference between a parameter and a
specific value?
A. Left-Tailed Hypothesis B. Null Hypothesis
C. Alternative Hypothesis D. Right-Tailed Hypothesis
3. What hypothesis states that there is a difference between a parameter and a
specific value?
A. Left-Tailed Hypothesis B. Null Hypothesis
C. Alternative Hypothesis D. Right-Tailed Hypothesis
4. Which of the following is the probability of the study rejecting the null
hypothesis, given that the null hypothesis was assumed to be true?
A. Level of Error B. Level of Values
C. Level of Critical D. Level of Significance
5. Which of the following is the interval measured in the sampling distribution
of the statistic under study that leads to rejection of the null hypothesis in a
hypothesis test?
A. Critical Region B. Rejection Region
C. Acceptance Region D. Significance Region
6. What type of error is occurred in decision making when the true hypothesis is
rejected?
A. Type I error B. Type IV error
C. Type II error D. Type III error
7. What type of error is occurred in decision making when the false hypothesis
is accepted?
A. Type I error B. Type IV error
C. Type II error D. Type III error
8. The following mathematical symbols or inequalities utilize the alternative
hypothesis. What inequality utilize right-tailed test?
A. B. C. D.
9. The following mathematical symbols or inequalities utilize the alternative
hypothesis. What inequality utilize left-tailed test?
A. B. C. D.
10. The following mathematical symbols or inequalities utilize the alternative
hypothesis. What inequality utilize two-tailed test?
A. B. C. D.
11. What level of confidence has the value of type I error of 0.05?
A. 90% B. 95% C. 99% D. 100%
12. What is the level of confidence if the significance level is 0.01?
A. 90% B. 95% C. 99% D. 100%
13. What level of confidence has the value of type I error of 0.10?
A. 90% B. 95% C. 99% D. 100%
14. What is the rejection region of a two-tailed test with a 95% level of confidence?
A. 1.28 B. ±1.56 C. 1.65 D. 1.96
15. What is the rejection region of a left-tailed test with a 95% level of confidence?
A. 1.96 B. −1.65 C. +1.65 D. +1.96
Jumpstart
2.
3.
4.
5.
Activity 2: What mistakes do people make?
Directions: Read the following statements and identify the phrase/s that
makes the statement wrong.
1. Bryan thinks that he is a six-footer. His actual height is 156 cm.
2. On a moonlit night, a young man declares that there are two moons.
3. Mark says “I am virtuous!” In the next moment, he finds himself in jail.
4. Thousands of years ago, Ptolemy declared that the earth is flat.
5. On a beachfront, a signage reads, “No littering of plastic wrappers, empty
bottles and cans.” A few yards away, environmentalists are picking up the
rubbish left behind by the picnic lovers.
6. The doctor says “Congratulations. You are pregnant” to the man with a
stomach ache.
7. Angela says “I don’t have any allergy in seafood”. In the next moment, she
finds herself itching all over her body.
8. Today is not my friend’s birthday but I will wish her happy birthday.
9. Back in the day, scientist believes that Earth is at the center of the universe.
10. Hannah said to her friend “People’s intelligence is measured through their
proficiency in English”.
Discover
Hypothesis testing is a decision-making process for evaluating claims about
a population based on the characteristics of a sample purportedly coming from the
population. We get a random sample from the population, collect data from the
sample, and use this data to make a decision as to whether the hypothesis is
acceptable or not.
Let’s formulate the null and alternative hypothesis for each of the following examples.
Example 1: The average TV viewing time of all six-year old children is 4 hours daily.
Answer:
In words, the hypotheses are:
H 0 : The average TV viewing time of six-year old children is 4 hours.
H 1 or Ha: The average TV viewing time of six-year old children is less than 4
hours.
In symbols, we write:
H0 : 𝜇 = 4
H 1 or Ha: 𝜇 <4
Example 2: A college librarian claims that 25 story books on the average are
borrowed daily.
Answer:
In words, the hypotheses are:
H 0 : The average story books borrowed in the library is 25.
H 1 or Ha: The average story books borrowed in the library is more than 25.
In symbols, we write:
H 0 : 𝜇=25
H 1 or Ha: 𝜇 >25
When the alternative hypothesis utilizes the < or the > symbol, the test is said
to be directional. A directional test may either be left-tailed or right-tailed. In
problems that involve hypothesis testing, there are words like greater, efficient,
improves, effective, increases and so on that suggest a right-tailed direction in the
formulation of the alternative hypothesis. Words like decrease, less than, smaller,
and so on suggest a left-tailed direction.
Example 3: The inventor of a new kind of light bulb claims that all such bulbs last
as long as 3000 hours.
Answer:
In words, the hypotheses are:
H 0 : The new kind of light bulb will last as long as 3000 hours.
H 1 or Ha: The new kind of light bulb will not last as long as 3000 hours.
In symbols, we write:
H 0 : 𝜇 = 3000
H 1 or Ha: 𝜇 ≠ 3000
When the alternative hypothesis utilizes the ≠ symbol, the test is said to be
non-directional. A non-directional test is also called a two-tailed test.
These are the graphical representations of the two-tailed test and the one-tailed test.
Non-directional
(two-tailed)
Figure 1
Directional
(one-tailed, left-tailed)
Figure 2
Directional
(one-tailed, right-tailed)
Figure 3
Let’s consider the following examples. Determine whether the given situation is a
directional or non-directional test. If it is a non-directional, identify whether it is
left-tailed or right tailed test.
Example 4: The owner of a factory that sells a particular bottled water claims that
the average capacity of a bottle of their product is 200 ml. Is the claim true?
Solution:
H 1 or Ha: The bottled water does not contain 250 ml per bottle.
H 0 : 𝜇 = 50
H 1 or Ha: 𝜇 ≠ 50
Since the alternative hypothesis utilizes ≠ , then we can say that the test is
non-directional and two-tailed.
Example 5. A rice farmer believes that using organic fertilizer on his plants will yield
greater income. His average income from the past was Php200,000 per year. State
the hypothesis in symbols.
Solution:
Decisions about H 0
Reject Do not Reject H 0
(or Accept H 0 )
H 0 is true Type I error Correct Decision
Reality
H 0 is false Correct Decision Type II error
The table shows that if null hypothesis is true and accepted, or if it is false
and rejected, the decision is correct. If the null hypothesis is true and rejected, the
decision is incorrect and this is Type I error. If the null hypothesis is false and
accepted, the decision is incorrect and this is Type II error.
A. Maria insists that she is 30 years old when, in fact, she is 35 years old.
What error is Maria committing?
Solution:
Maria is rejecting the truth. She is committing a Type I error.
Solution:
The following table shows the probability with which decisions occur.
Figure 4
In figure 4, it shows the line that separates the rejection region from the non-
rejection region (1- 𝛼). This line passes through the confidence coefficients, which
also called critical values. The critical values can be obtained from the critical values
table of the test statistic. For example, for a 95% confidence level if the test statistic
is a z and it is a non-directional test, it can be determined by having this equation
0.95
= 0.4750 (expressed up to four decimal places so that we can identify an area in
2
the normal curve table as close as possible to this value).
In the z-table, the area 0.4750 corresponds to z = 1.96 so the critical values for a
non-directional test or two-tailed are -1.96 and +1.96. This can be written as
za/2 = ± 1.96. When the confidence level is 95% and the test statistic is a z and it is
a directional test or one-tailed. The critical values can be determined by changing
95% to 0.9500 (expressed up to four decimal places so that we can identify an area
in the normal curve table as close as possible to this value).
z 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09
1.4 0.9192 0.9207 0.9222 0.9236 0.9251 0.9265 0.9279 0.9292 0.9306 0.9319
1.5 0.9332 0.9345 0.9357 0.9370 0.9382 0.9394 0.9406 0.9418 0.9429 0.9441
1.6 0.9452 0.9463 0.9474 0.9484 0.9495 0.9505 0.9515 0.9525 0.9535 0.9545
1.7 0.9554 0.9564 0.9573 0.9582 0.9591 0.9599 0.9608 0.9616 0.9625 0.9633
In the z-table, there are two areas close to this value: 0.9495 that corresponds to
z = 1.64 and 0.9505 that corresponds to z =1.65. Then we get the average of the z-
values. This results to 1.645. In practice, we use the z-values of -1.65 for left-tailed
and +1.65 for right tailed
Explore
Activity 3: Fill me up
Directions: Complete the summary table of critical values.
Confidence Level Two-tailed One-tailed
Left-tailed Right-tailed
90%(1 − 𝛼) 𝑧𝛼⁄ =________________ 𝑧=________________ 𝑧=________________
2
95%(1 − 𝛼) 𝑧𝛼⁄ 𝑧=________________ 𝑧=________________
2=________________
99%(1 − 𝛼) 𝑧𝛼⁄ 𝑧=________________ 𝑧=________________
2=________________
Deepen
At these points, you are going to use internet or any reference to collect data
worth investigating from the government agencies (e.g., mean age of high school
students’ dropouts, mean salaries of a specific employee), Formulate the null
hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis for your data at hand. The scoring rubric
will be used in assessing your performance.
1. Formulate the null and alternative hypothesis of the data you collected.
2. Identify whether the test to be administer in the data you have is
directional or non-directional.
3. Tell the possible type I and type II error if a mistake in decision will be
made.
Rubrics in Scoring
Indicators 5 4 3 2 1
Content Data Data Data Data Data
collected is collected is collected is collected is collected is
accurate and accurate but accurate but questionable inaccurate
information’s some only few and and
are information’s information’s information’s information’s
complete. are missing. are found. are difficult are difficult
to to
understand. understand
Process Demonstrate Demonstrate Demonstrate Demonstrate Demonstrate
and an excellent a clear a general a limited a little
application application application application application
Strategies
of skills of skills of skills of skills of skills
Mechanics Formulated Formulated Formulated Most of the Text is
hypothesis is hypothesis is hypothesis is formulated copied.
in author’s in author’s in author’s hypothesis is
words. words with words with in author’s
few grammar some words with
errors grammar some
errors grammar
errors
Score /15
Gauge
Directions: Choose the letter of the correct answer. Write your answer on a separate
sheet of paper.
References:
Printed Materials:
Belecina, E. B. (2016). Statistics and Probability (pp 216-232). Sampaloc, Manila:
Rex Printing Company, INC.
Website:
Rejection Region. Retrieved January 4, 2021 from
https://link.springer.com/referenceworkentry/10.1007%2F978-0-387-32833-
1_349?fbclid=IwAR047pIol-
ucVNOcP5Gk1qwyxVu134ues5bJJVEyI3IrC6nXkP8iJ1yXTpA#:~:text=The%20reject
ion%20region%20is%20the,0%20in%20a%20hypothesis%20test
z 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09
0.0 0.0000 0.0040 0.0080 0.0120 0.0160 0.0199 0.0239 0.0279 0.0319 0.0359
0.1 0.0398 0.0438 0.0478 0.0517 0.0557 0.0596 0.0636 0.0675 0.0714 0.0753
0.2 0.0793 0.0832 0.0871 0.0910 0.0948 0.0987 0.1026 0.1064 0.1103 0.1141
0.3 0.1179 0.1217 0.1255 0.1293 0.1331 0.1368 0.1406 0.1443 0.1480 0.1517
0.4 0.1554 0.1591 0.1628 0.1664 0.1700 0.1736 0.1772 0.1808 0.1844 0.1879
0.5 0.1915 0.1950 0.1985 0.2019 0.2054 0.2088 0.2123 0.2157 0.2190 0.2224
0.6 0.2257 0.2291 0.2324 0.2357 0.2389 0.2422 0.2454 0.2486 0.2517 0.2549
0.7 0.2580 0.2611 0.2642 0.2673 0.2704 0.2734 0.2764 0.2794 0.2823 0.2852
0.8 0.2881 0.2910 0.2939 0.2967 0.2995 0.3023 0.3051 0.3078 0.3106 0.3133
0.9 0.3159 0.3186 0.3212 0.3238 0.3264 0.3289 0.3315 0.3340 0.3365 0.3389
1.0 0.3413 0.3438 0.3461 0.3485 0.3508 0.3531 0.3554 0.3577 0.3599 0.3621
1.1 0.3643 0.3665 0.3686 0.3708 0.3729 0.3749 0.3770 0.3790 0.3810 0.3830
1.2 0.3849 0.3869 0.3888 0.3907 0.3925 0.3944 0.3962 0.3980 0.3997 0.4015
1.3 0.4032 0.4049 0.4066 0.4082 0.4099 0.4115 0.4131 0.4147 0.4162 0.4177
1.4 0.4192 0.4207 0.4222 0.4236 0.4251 0.4265 0.4279 0.4292 0.4306 0.4319
1.5 0.4332 0.4345 0.4357 0.4370 0.4382 0.4394 0.4406 0.4418 0.4429 0.4441
1.6 0.4452 0.4463 0.4474 0.4484 0.4495 0.4505 0.4515 0.4525 0.4535 0.4545
1.7 0.4554 0.4564 0.4573 0.4582 0.4591 0.4599 0.4608 0.4616 0.4625 0.4633
1.8 0.4641 0.4649 0.4656 0.4664 0.4671 0.4678 0.4686 0.4693 0.4699 0.4706
1.9 0.4713 0.4719 0.4726 0.4732 0.4738 0.4744 0.4750 0.4756 0.4761 0.4767
2.0 0.4772 0.4778 0.4783 0.4788 0.4793 0.4798 0.4803 0.4808 0.4812 0.4817
2.1 0.4821 0.4826 0.4830 0.4834 0.4838 0.4842 0.4846 0.4850 0.4854 0.4857
2.2 0.4861 0.4864 0.4868 0.4871 0.4875 0.4878 0.4881 0.4884 0.4887 0.4890
2.3 0.4893 0.4896 0.4898 0.4901 0.4904 0.4906 0.4909 0.4911 0.4913 0.4916
2.4 0.4918 0.4920 0.4922 0.4925 0.4927 0.4929 0.4931 0.4932 0.4934 0.4936
2.5 0.4938 0.4940 0.4941 0.4943 0.4945 0.4946 0.4948 0.4949 0.4951 0.4952
2.6 0.4953 0.4955 0.4956 0.4957 0.4959 0.4960 0.4961 0.4962 0.4963 0.4964
2.7 0.4965 0.4966 0.4967 0.4968 0.4969 0.4970 0.4971 0.4972 0.4973 0.4974
2.8 0.4974 0.4975 0.4976 0.4977 0.4977 0.4978 0.4979 0.4979 0.4980 0.4981
2.9 0.4981 0.4982 0.4982 0.4983 0.4984 0.4984 0.4985 0.4985 0.4986 0.4986
3.0 0.4987 0.4987 0.4987 0.4988 0.4988 0.4989 0.4989 0.4989 0.4990 0.4990
3.1 0.4990 0.4991 0.4991 0.4991 0.4992 0.4992 0.4992 0.4992 0.4993 0.4993
3.2 0.4993 0.4993 0.4994 0.4994 0.4994 0.4994 0.4994 0.4995 0.4995 0.4995
3.3 0.4995 0.4995 0.4995 0.4996 0.4996 0.4996 0.4996 0.4996 0.4996 0.4997
3.4 0.4997 0.4997 0.4997 0.4997 0.4997 0.4997 0.4997 0.4997 0.4997 0.4998
3.5 0.4998 0.4998 0.4998 0.4998 0.4998 0.4998 0.4998 0.4998 0.4998 0.4998
3.6 0.4998 0.4998 0.4999 0.4999 0.4999 0.4999 0.4999 0.4999 0.4999 0.4999
3.7 0.4999 0.4999 0.4999 0.4999 0.4999 0.4999 0.4999 0.4999 0.4999 0.4999
3.8 0.4999 0.4999 0.4999 0.4999 0.4999 0.4999 0.4999 0.4999 0.4999 0.4999