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Textbook Biodiversity and Climate Change Transforming The Biosphere Thomas E Lovejoy Ebook All Chapter PDF
Textbook Biodiversity and Climate Change Transforming The Biosphere Thomas E Lovejoy Ebook All Chapter PDF
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Praise for Biodiversity and Climate Change: Transforming the Biosphere
“The evidence assembled in Biodiversity and Climate Change leaps out at us like a scene from a
3-D movie. It’s warning us—compelling us—to act. Nowhere is the science clearer or the
facts more compelling than in this meticulously researched volume. When conservationists
and scientists of Lovejoy’s and Hannah’s caliber warn that if we don’t press forward faster,
we’ll see greater species extinction, more ocean acidification, more biodiversity loss, more
strains on agriculture and fishing—let me tell you: we need to listen. This book isn’t just a
call to heed the science; it’s a call to citizens everywhere to live up to their responsibilities
and protect this fragile planet we share.”
—John Kerry, United States Secretary of State, 2013–2017
“Mankind’s heedless extraction and pollution of our planet’s resources is tearing apart the
web of natural systems that has sustained our species throughout the long course of human
development. Tom Lovejoy and Lee Hannah have assembled a book that chronicles these
emerging ecological and climatic disasters yet gives hope that we can still help Earth’s sys-
tems heal and blunt the suffering of coming generations.”
—Sheldon Whitehouse, United States Senator for Rhode Island
“Biodiversity and Climate Change: Transforming the Biosphere serves as a comprehensive account of this
greatest of threats to humanity’s future. It will serve both as a textbook and a call to action.”
—From the Foreword by Edward O. Wilson
“An authoritative analysis of the increasing speed and scale of climate-change impacts on
our biodiversity, together with an illuminating set of specific ways to use our biodiversity to
address climate change. A powerful coupling.”
—Christiana Figueres, Executive Secretary of the United Nations Framework Convention on
Climate Change, 2010–2016
“In Biodiversity and Climate Change, the renowned Tom Lovejoy and Lee Hannah blend leading
voices to form a clear case for climate action, highlighting a powerful though underutilized
natural defense: ecosystem restoration.”
—Henry M. Paulson Jr., Chairman of Paulson Institute, and United States Secretary of the
Treasury, 2006–2009
“Biodiversity and Climate Change lays out the latest science on the central challenges of our time.
It is clear, comprehensive, and utterly compelling—an essential addition to the literature.”
—Elizabeth Kolbert, author of The Sixth Extinction: An Unnatural History
“We’ve all heard the clanging alarms about climate change. This book is an extraordinary
scientific portrait, expert, multifaceted, and up-to-date, of how those changes are affecting
biological diversity—upon which we humans depend, of which we are part. Don’t send to
know for whom the bell tolls. It tolls for us.”
—David Quammen, author of The Tangled Tree: A Radical New History of Life
“Lovejoy and Hannah generate a compelling story of the species extinctions that will ac-
company ongoing, rapid changes in Earth’s climate, coupled with the unrelenting pressure
of human population growth.”
—William H. Schlesinger, President Emeritus of the Cary Institute of Ecosystem Studies
“As the global community prepares a post-2020 Global Deal for Nature, this book reminds
us of the importance of ecosystems and nature-based solutions to advance the Paris Agree-
ment, the Sustainable Development Goals, and the 2050 Biodiversity Vision.”
—Dr. Cristiana Paşca Palmer, United Nations Assistant Secretary-General and Executive Sec-
retary of the Convention on Biological Diversity
“Come explore this comprehensive and insightful synthesis that underscores the intimately
interconnected nature of biodiversity and climate change—its past, present, and future.”
—Jane Lubchenco, Oregon State University
“Escape to Mars is not a realistic option for any species. Lovejoy and Hannah’s assessments
will help us chart a feasible pathway to preservation of our remarkable world.”
—James Hansen, Columbia University Earth Institute
Biodiversity and
Climate Change
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Biodiversity
and E DI T E D BY
T H O M A S E . L OV E J OY
& L EE H A NNA H
Climate
Change
Transforming the Biosphere
F O R E WO R D B Y E DWA R D O . W I L S O N
N E W H AV E N & L O N D O N
Published with assistance from Gordon and Betty
Moore, Conservation International, and with assistance
from the foundation established in memory of Calvin
Chapin of the Class of 1788, Yale College.
10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
For Betsy, Kata, Annie, Tia, and Jay—
and the generations to come
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Foreword xi
Contents E DWA R D O . W I L S O N
Preface xiii
Acknowledgments xv
PA RT I OV E RV I E W: W H AT I S
C L I M AT E C H A N G E B I O L O G Y ?
PA RT I I W H AT C H A N G E S A R E
W E O B S E RV I N G ?
F O U R Phenological Dynamics
in Pollinator-Plant Associations
Related to Climate Change 42
E R I C P O S T A N D M I C H A E L AV E RY
PA RT I I I W H AT D O E S T H E F O U R T E E N Impacts of Ocean
PA S T T E L L U S ? Acidification on Marine Biodiversity 185
J O A N A . K L E Y PA S
E I G H T A Paleoecological Perspective
on Sudden Climate Change and FIFTEEN Tropical Forests in a
Biodiversity Crises 97 Changing Climate 196
J E F F R E Y PA R K J A M E S E . M . WAT S O N , D A N I E L B .
S E G A N , A N D J O S H UA T E W K S B U RY
N I N E Climate Change, Conservation,
and the Metaphor of Deep Time 114 Case Study 6: Postponing the Amazon
R IC H A R D B. A RONSON Tipping Point 208
D A N I E L N E P S TA D
Case Study 4: The Effects of Sea-Level Rise
on Habitats and Species 125 SIXTEEN Temperate and Boreal
C É L I N E BE L L A R D, Responses to Climate Change 211
C A M I L L E L E CL E RC , A N D L AU R E N B . B U C K L E Y A N D
F R A NCK COU RC H A M P JA N N E K E H IL L E R ISL A M BE R S
xi
xii FOR EWOR D
understand, are nevertheless characteristi- ism HIPPO, with the position of each letter
cally more subjective. “Ecoregions,” which representing an extinction factor and (usu-
are based in part on geographic data, are ally) in the order of its importance: thus,
even more subjective and more difficult to habitat reduction, invasion by nonnative spe-
classify. cies, pollution of habitat, population increase of
How many species still exist on Earth? humanity, and overhunting by excessive fish-
A bit more than two million have been ing, or hunting, or removal for other pur-
discovered, formally named, and given a poses. Climate change is perhaps the most
Latinized name. (The common housefly is important dimension of pollution impact.
denoted, for example, as Musca domestica.) We Finally, how well are conservation proj-
recognize that understanding of this ele- ects doing? In the case of land-dwelling ver-
ment of biodiversity, begun by the Swed- tebrates globally assessed at the time of this
ish naturalist Carl Linnaeus in 1735, is still writing, approximately one-fifth of land-
woefully incomplete except for plants and dwelling vertebrate species are classified as
vertebrates (mammals, birds, reptiles, am- threatened to some degree, and within that
phibians, fishes). The actual number of spe- only one-fifth of the one-fifth have been
cies on the planet, deduced statistically, is stabilized or improved in status.
roughly 10 million. The authors of the present work agree
Of the species known, how fast are spe- overall that climate change is the principal
cies disappearing due to human activity? threat to the survival of biodiversity even in
The estimates range between one hundred its early stages. Biodiversity and Climate Change:
and one thousand times the rate that existed Transforming the Biosphere serves as a compre-
before humanity spread around the world. hensive account of this greatest of threats
And it is accelerating. to humanity’s future. It will serve both as a
What exactly are the causes of extinction? textbook and a call to action.
They are often summarized by the initial-
The field of climate change biology dates to
Preface the mid-1980s, when the first symposium
was held on the subject at the National Zoo
in Washington, DC. The World Wildlife
Fund convened that meeting, and one re-
sult was the book Global Warming and Biodiver-
sity, edited by Robert L. Peters and Thomas
E. Lovejoy and published by Yale University
Press in 1992. At that point, the contribu-
tors and editors were largely confined to
examining how past biological responses
to climate change might predict change to
come. It was nonetheless clear, as one of us
remarked to Mostafa Tolba at a 1987 gather-
ing to help plan the Convention on Biologi-
cal Diversity, that if nothing was done about
climate change, one “could forget about
biological diversity.”
As the field grew and the imprint of cli-
mate change on the planet’s biodiversity
became more apparent, little more than a
decade after that initial meeting it was al-
ready clear that a completely new synthe-
sis of the field was in order. In 2001, we
began several years of gathering the best
authors and writing, a process that culmi-
nated in Climate Change and Biodiversity, which
we coedited and which was published by
Yale University Press in 2005. That volume
highlighted many of the numerous ways
climate change was affecting biodiversity
and biological systems. But change was still
happening, both in the real world and in
our understanding of impacts, faster than
it could be synthesized into print. Ocean
acidification was recognized as a major
global environmental problem by the time
the book appeared in bookstores, but it was
treated in part of only one chapter.
With the passage of another decade, a
truly staggering body of evidence suggested
that the planet was headed for serious bio-
logical trouble, so in 2014 we realized that
a new overview of this centrally impor-
tant topic was once again needed. Indeed,
xiii
xiv PR EFACE
what we first thought of as a second edi- chapters exploring possible biotic conse-
tion very quickly morphed into an entirely quences of change in a variety of systems.
new book. Today, as the world is pushed The evidence in these chapters suggests the
through the critical barrier of 1° centigrade importance of questioning the global target
of global warming, the fingerprints of cli- of limiting climate change to 2° centigrade.
mate change can be seen in biodiversity ev- Many systems will be past tipping points
erywhere. Already some major ecosystems or past acceptable limits of change at that
are experiencing abrupt change, and major point.
portions of the planet’s biology such as the Finally, we and our contributors exam-
Amazon are approaching tipping points. ine the importance of being more proac-
The impact of climate change in unfor- tive in conservation and policy. Where in
tunate synergy with other forms of human- the world can protected areas be placed for
driven change means that humanity is, in climate change? How should the protected-
fact, changing the biosphere. This picture area estate be redesigned to be resilient in the
is laid out well by this new team of lead- face of climate change? How can we man-
ing scholars in the following pages, as are age systems through extraordinary change,
some of the possible forms of adaptation and which policies are needed to facilitate
that might lessen the biological impact. that process? These chapters recognize the
This volume opens with an introduc- positive contribution that biodiversity can
tion to the topic and the relevant climate make; for instance, transforming the bio-
changes. Our chapter authors then look sphere through ecosystem restoration at a
at the world around us and the mounting planetary scale can reduce the amount of
body of evidence that climate change is climate change that biodiversity and hu-
already rewriting biological history. From manity must cope with in the future. The
hundreds of millions of tree deaths to mas- volume concludes by drawing all the pieces
sive mortality in coral reefs, the evidence of together at a planetary scale and asking how
climate change is already all around us, and we can feed the still-increasing billions of
it is writ large. people, maintain robust biodiversity, and
Placing these stunning changes in con- still accommodate change in both.
text requires understanding the past, and This book presents a current assess-
that perspective is provided by an out- ment of knowledge about climate change
standing set of paleoecological research- and biodiversity. More will continue to be
ers, examining both marine and terrestrial learned and understood on an ongoing ba-
realms. Movement has been the hallmark of sis about the interaction between human-
past biotic response to climate change, but driven climate change and the biological
genetic responses may manifest themselves fabric and systems of the planet. It is our
when bottlenecks are tight, as they will be fervent hope that this synthesis will lead to
in the future thanks to human conversion a widespread understanding that our planet
of natural habitats to other uses. works as a linked biological and physical
We then move from the past to the fu- system, and therefore will lead to less cli-
ture. Our learning from models of the fu- mate change and more surviving biological
ture and theory are explored in a series of diversity than would otherwise be the case.
We would like to extend our deepest thanks
Acknowledgments to all those who have contributed to the
creation of this book. The participants in a
special meeting called by the Science and
Technical Advisory Panel of the Global En-
vironment Facility provided inspiration,
including Camille Parmesan, Joshua Tewks-
bury, Gustavo Fonseca, Miguel Araújo, Mark
Bush, Rebecca Brock, Joanie Kleypas, Re-
becca Shaw, and Tom Hammond. Elizabeth
Hiroyasu went above and beyond, oversee-
ing and coordinating much of the produc-
tion of the book. Deepest thanks go to Jean
Thomson Black and Michael Deneen for
their support through the editing process.
We are indebted to Ed Wilson for his
continuing inspiration and insights con-
tained in the foreword to this book. We are
grateful to the Moore Center for Science and
the Climate Change Strategy Team at Con-
servation International for their insights
and support. For hard work on coordinat-
ing figures and assisting with graphics, we
thank Monica Pessino and the rest of the
Ocean o’ Graphics team at the University
of California, Santa Barbara. Funding from
Cary Brown and the Fiddlehead Fund has
supported many aspects of this project. The
National Science Foundation, the National
Science and Engineering Research Council
of Canada, and the Belmont Forum pro-
vided support that enabled major insights
in freshwater biology and ecological theory
presented here. Special thanks to Carmen
Thorndike for all that she does. And finally,
we thank a long list of colleagues, includ-
ing those who contributed chapters, with-
out which this endeavor would have been
impossible.
xv
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PA RT I
Overview:
What Is Climate
Change Biology?
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CHAPTER ONE People are changing the biosphere. Expand-
ing agricultural production, growing cities,
Changing the and increasing resource use and disposal are
among the human activities that are hav-
Biosphere ing profound effects on our planet. Some
of these effects are exerted and felt locally,
THOMAS E. LOVEJOY AND LEE HANNAH whereas others have global reach. Some hu-
man impacts, such as pollution, have been
effectively addressed at local or national
scales, and others, such as depletion of the
ozone layer, have been effectively addressed
through global cooperation. But many of
the effects people are having on the bio-
sphere have not been fully addressed, and
some of these have global consequences of
unprecedented proportion.
Two global environmental problems—
biodiversity loss and climate change—are
the preeminent environmental issues of
this millennium. Biodiversity loss—the
extinction of millions of species—is a very
real consequence of increasing human use
of the planet. Climate change due to green-
house gas emissions threatens to alter the
composition of the atmosphere and the liv-
ing conditions on the surface of the planet
for both people and all other species.
The purpose of this book is to explore
multiple dimensions of the interaction be-
tween climate change and biodiversity. Cli-
mate change biology is an emerging disci-
pline that boasts an explosion of literature
reflecting the importance and abundance of
climate change effects on the natural world.
The great interest in this topic, and the
large number of research findings emerg-
ing about it, combine to make a synthesis
of the whole field invaluable for research-
ers and students, as well as for professionals
in land use and conservation who increas-
ingly need to understand the field in broad
overview.
3
4 OV E RV I E W: W H AT I S C L I M AT E C H A N G E B I O L O G Y ?
We present the fundamentals of cli- streams. The need for integrated response
mate change for biologists in Chapter 2. to climate change and biodiversity has
The headline is that human burning of fos- never been greater, because changes in the
sil fuels for heat, transportation, and other biological world have profound implica-
purposes, combined with releases of other tions for regional and global climate. The
pollutants, is altering the thermal balance of way in which people relate to nature will be
the atmosphere. These pollutants, including forever altered by climate change.
carbon dioxide (CO2), methane, and others, A new synthesis is needed—a manage-
are collectively known as greenhouse gases, ment-relevant analysis of climate change
because they absorb and reradiate outgoing and biodiversity that transcends categories
longwave radiation, effectively warming the and conventions—to arrive at solutions that
Earth’s atmosphere. This warming has ef- provide a robust future for both people and
fects on atmospheric circulation, resulting in ecosystems. We now offer four themes that
a vast number of changes to climate, such as set the stage for the chapters that follow.
changes in precipitation, seasonality, storm
intensity and frequency, and many other fac-
tors, in addition to a pronounced warming of PL A N E TA RY BOU N DA R IE S
the planet’s surface. Increases in atmospheric
concentrations of CO2 and other greenhouse Planetary boundaries represent the “safe op-
gases have been measured beyond question, erating space” for the Earth system (Rock-
and the warming of the atmosphere and its ström et al. 2009). Climate change and
consequences are now being observed. biodiversity are two of the nine planetary
The next twenty chapters address the boundaries defined to date and represent
past, present, and future of biodiversity re- half of the planetary boundaries that are es-
sponse to climate change. Plants and ani- timated to have already been exceeded (the
mals all have climatic conditions that limit others being deforestation and nitrogen de-
their distribution, so this major and com- position). The planetary boundary for bio-
plex change in climate will result in mas- diversity is being exceeded because we are
sive shifts in the distribution of species and losing genetic diversity and robust popula-
ecosystems across the planet. Many shifts tions of various species, which means there
in individual species are already being ob- are ongoing and expected extinctions (Ur-
served. Observations of changes in ecosys- ban et al. 2016; Steffen et al. 2015).
tems and changes in interactions between In many ways, all four of the planetary
species are more complicated and there- boundaries that have been exceeded to date
fore more difficult to document, but they are related to climate change and biodiver-
are now being recorded in many regions. sity. The third exceeded boundary (after
Marine, terrestrial, and freshwater systems climate and biodiversity) is deforestation,
are all being affected, and the conservation a major contributor to both climate change
consequences of these biological changes and biodiversity loss (Steffen et al. 2015).
are of major significance. The final exceeded boundary is disruption
We explore the conservation and pol- of nutrient cycles, especially that of nitro-
icy responses to these challenges in Part V gen. One of the leading causes of nitrogen
(Chapters 22–28). Understanding climate release into the atmosphere is the burning
change biology can be a complex task for of fossil fuels, and species loss is one of the
policy makers and resource managers, par- major consequences of a disrupted nitro-
ticularly when the international response to gen cycle. Nitrogen overuse in agriculture,
climate change and biodiversity loss is seg- especially in developed countries, is lead-
regated into separate international conven- ing to nitrogen runoff impacts on freshwa-
tions and separate national policy-response ter systems and massive dead zones in the
CHANGING THE BIOSPHERE 5
oceans. Biodiversity loss and climate change etal goals. There are many dimensions to
are thus strongly linked to deforestation and adaptation, including maintenance of living
the disruption of nutrient cycling. space in societies challenged by sea-level
In this most global sense, biodiversity rise, incomes for individuals and families
loss and climate change are intimately con- facing adverse impacts of climate change,
nected and affect all people on the planet. It and ecological functioning and services.
is important that we find solutions to these These dimensions are all often addressed
two great environmental problems that in isolation—for instance, through engi-
are commensurate with the global scale of neering responses such as building dams to
the problems and that integrated solutions respond to water shortage—but there are
are pursued, not solutions in isolation. Al- major advantages to addressing the needs
though local and regional solutions are crit- of people and nature in a more integrated
ical for affected populations, true success fashion.
in conserving biodiversity and combating Wherever they live, people have a rela-
climate change can be achieved only when tionship with nature. That relationship may
the results are measurable at a global scale. be close and intimate, as in communities
Extinction rates need to be lowered so that that grow or harvest their own food, or it
they are commensurate with background may be remote and less obvious, as in cit-
rates, and atmospheric CO2 concentrations ies or highly structured economies. What-
need to be rapidly stabilized and probably ever the relationship, people and nature are
gradually decreased thereafter. closely tied together, which involves food
We will see in the chapters that follow (produced locally or grown elsewhere and
that many parts of the solution space in- then transported to where we consume it),
clude both climate and biodiversity ben- living space, recreation, spiritual connect-
efits. For example, reducing deforestation edness, climatic conditions, and clean air
maintains habitats and also reduces CO2 and water.
releases into the atmosphere, while lower- Climate change will alter the relationship
ing greenhouse gas emissions mitigates cli- between people and nature everywhere on
mate change, which reduces the magnitude the planet. People in rural settings may find
of species range shifts and thus the conflict that the food they can grow and where they
between species needs for movement and can grow it are changed, resulting in differ-
human land uses, such as agriculture, that ent patterns of agricultural use and natural
stand in the way of those movements. lands. People in cities may find that there
Although the climate-biodiversity nexus are higher costs for importing fuel for heat-
is deep and affects all people on the planet, ing or cooling, and that supply chains for
this is only the first and highest-order di- goods that are consumed have greatly dif-
mension of the need for integrated re- ferent environmental impacts.
sponse. Integrated responses are needed Nature provides both tangible and in-
that address the global dimension but also tangible benefits that accrue to people near
the relationship of people with nature in lo- and far in complex ways. Nature may have
cal situations, where ecosystems are an ef- benefits for people far away (e.g., sequestra-
fective tool to meet adaptation needs. tion of carbon for climate stabilization, bio-
diversity existence value) at the same time
that it has benefits for people close at hand
PE OPL E A N D NAT U R E A DA PTI NG (e.g., fresh water, tourism revenue) (Kre-
TO GE T H E R men et al. 2000).
This makes understanding the effect of
Adaptation is a response to climate change climate change on the relationship between
that seeks to maintain individual or soci- people and nature complex and important.
6 OV E RV I E W: W H AT I S C L I M AT E C H A N G E B I O L O G Y ?
The effects of climate change occur in an nature understand how the best elements
already-dynamic situation, in which hu- of a relationship with nature can be main-
mans and their activities are intercon- tained to the greatest extent possible and
nected locally, nationally, regionally, and where new relationships with nature will
internationally. Maintaining positive out- be needed because of climate change.
comes for people and ecosystems across all
of these spheres as the climate changes is a
major goal for people and nature adapting E CO SYST E M-BASE D A DA P TATION
together.
For example, communities living with One aspect of people and nature adapting
coral bleaching may need to adjust to both together is the use of ecosystems to help
reduced fisheries output and reduced op- meet human adaptation goals, or ecosystem-
portunities for tourism income. Although based adaptation (Jones et al. 2012). This is
the extent of coral bleaching suggests that a second example of the interaction of solu-
completely maintaining current levels of tions to both climate change and biodiver-
fishery output and tourism income may be sity loss. It is the special case of ecosystems
impossible, a new balance may be struck being a functional part of needed human
in which protecting reefs most able to sur- responses to climate change, with benefits
vive bleaching can help in the recovery of that are usually focused locally or regionally.
neighboring reefs and fisheries following Examples of ecosystem-based adapta-
bleaching while still maintaining tour- tion include coastal protection provided
ism revenues. Actions to create habitats for by mangroves and coral reefs, freshwater
remaining coral reef fish species may be provisioning provided by cloud forests,
important in maintaining fisheries produc- flood control provided by upland habitats,
tion. Life with climate change may look and drought resistance provided by healthy
considerably different for a community that range and natural wetlands. The scope of
is dependent on a coral reef. People’s rela- ecosystem-based adaptation literally covers
tionship with nature may change, through all ecosystems in all regions of the world,
changes in fisheries livelihoods and through even though it is only one small part of peo-
reduced reef extent. But a new relationship ple and nature adapting together.
may maintain some reef fishery, some reef Whereas the mechanisms of ecosystem-
tourism, and a coastal lifestyle with sound based adaptation are direct, the manage-
planning, whereas an unplanned response ment actions needed to maintain or improve
may result in total loss of the reef and its it may be complex (Vignola et al. 2009). For
tangible and intangible benefits. instance, offshore coral reefs provide pro-
Similar scenarios are played out across tection from rising sea levels and increas-
other coastal environments, rangelands, ing storm surges along many coastlines in
forests, lakes, and rivers. For instance, ar- the world. But coral bleaching also affects
eas denuded of mature trees due to climate- these reefs. Reef recovery after bleaching is
driven bark-beetle outbreaks may see tim- critical to the continued provision of coastal
ber revenues, recreational opportunities, protection services. After bleaching, reef re-
and habitat quality decline. A fundamental covery is a race between recolonizing cor-
restructuring of the relationship between als and the algae that grow on the dead reef
people and nature may be required on mul- (McClanahan et al. 2001). Healthy popula-
tiple levels in such settings. tions of fish that eat the algae are required to
Understanding the relationship between help the corals win the race and outcompete
people and nature and how it is affected algae in the battle to recolonize the dead
by climate change can help policy makers, reef. Large parrotfish are among the most
managers, and communities living with effective consumers of algae, but they are
CHANGING THE BIOSPHERE 7
also the targets of fishing. Helping protect together comes from the global race to
enough parrotfish to let corals recolonize protect the world’s last remaining natural
the reef maintains coastal protection and in habitats. As global population increases, the
the long run improves the overall fishery. footprint needed to feed the planet expands.
This example illustrates that sometimes As a result, the amount of natural habitat
there are trade-offs inherent in achieving remaining in the world is progressively dis-
ecosystem-based adaptation benefits. In appearing. The world’s population roughly
this case, a short-term reduction in fishing doubled between 1890 and 1950, doubled
is required to maintain both the long-term again by 1970 and again by 2010 (Gonzalo
health of the overall fishery and coastal pro- and Alfonseca 2016). The space required for
tection (McClanahan et al. 2001). Establish- people and their material needs is rapidly
ing mechanisms for benefits transfer across squeezing out space for natural habitats ev-
time and between beneficiaries can there- erywhere on the planet.
fore be critical to the success of ecosystem- At the same time, the world is moving
based adaptation. to protect natural habitats. The area of na-
Ecosystem-based adaptation approaches tional parks and other protected areas on
are now being combined with engineering the planet has doubled approximately ev-
approaches in “green-gray adaptation.” This ery 40 years, until now about 17 percent
combination allows for the delivery of ben- of the terrestrial surface of the planet is in
efits in the near and long terms, improving some form of protection (Costelloe et al.
utility through time and across generations 2016). Although this protection ensures the
(Bierbaum et al. 2013). An example might existence of remaining natural habitats, it
be the combination of upland forest pro- also reduces the amount of natural habi-
tection with a downstream flood-retention tat available for protection. So the amount
dam. The forest provides flood ameliora- of remaining natural habitat available for
tion benefits for small and medium-sized protection is a function of decreases due to
storms, whereas the retention dam provides habitat destruction to provide for agricul-
added capacity to cope with large storms. ture and other human needs and increases
In this setting, ecosystem-based adaptation in land that is already protected.
can provide part of the adaptation solution Climate change and biodiversity come
while capturing many biodiversity benefits. together in this race to protect remain-
Although ecosystem-based adaptation is ing natural habitat, because these habitats
just one dimension of people and nature are critical for the survival of species at
adapting together, it is a critically impor- the same time that they are critical stores
tant part of that spectrum, with the most of carbon for climate stabilization. When
obvious benefits for people who live in forests or other ecosystems are destroyed
close proximity to ecosystems. As ecosys- for conversion to agriculture or cities, the
tem-based adaptation matures, the benefits carbon contained in the vegetation often
of capitalizing on the nexus of biodiversity enters the atmosphere during burning as-
and climate change will become more ap- sociated with land clearing. Burning con-
parent, and the extension of this principle verts the carbon in vegetation to CO2 in
to broader elements of people and nature the atmosphere, a process that contributes
adapting together will emerge. about one-third of the greenhouse gases
entering the atmosphere each year. So by
protecting natural habitats from destruc-
RU N N I NG OU T OF TIM E tion, we can both avoid the extinction of
species living in those habitats and make a
A third example of mutual benefits from substantial contribution to constraining cli-
addressing biodiversity and climate change mate change.
8 OV E RV I E W: W H AT I S C L I M AT E C H A N G E B I O L O G Y ?
The time remaining to capture these dual tem-based adaptation, and the limited time
benefits is limited, however. Based on cur- for action are all examples of the challenges
rent rates of habitat loss to human uses and and synergies operating at the nexus of cli-
protection of habitat, the estimates are that mate change and biodiversity. Capitalizing
by 2050 or shortly thereafter, remaining on opportunities and responding to those
unprotected primary tropical habitat on the challenges involve science, awareness, pol-
planet will be gone (Hannah et al. 2018). icy, and management action. Action on each
Including secondary, recovering habitats of these fronts is needed to realize a world
extends the amount of time remaining to in which the relationship between people
protect habitat on the planet by 20 to 30 and nature remains positive.
years, but by the end of this century the Science creates the understanding of
window of opportunity for new protection biodiversity-climate relationships needed
will be closed in both primary and second- to generate awareness, policy, and manage-
ary habitats. ment action. The first sections of this book
After opportunities to protect large, land- are devoted to the insights that science has
sparing protected areas have closed, there already generated, from current observa-
will be opportunities to protect smaller tions to understanding of the past, and how
parcels of natural or seminatural habitat in those past and present insights can be ap-
productive landscapes. These land-sharing plied as we manage change. The chapters of
approaches are an important component the later sections look at how we can under-
in preserving biodiversity and responding stand and manage the future.
to climate change, as is land restoration. Many of our existing insights come from
Restoration of ecosystems (Chapter 25) is systems for which data are fortunately avail-
an important way to sequester carbon and able. For instance, our understandings of
provide more habitat for biodiversity. But as climate change responses of birds and but-
human populations continue to grow and terflies are particularly well understood be-
resource use intensifies, increasing pres- cause these taxa are particularly well stud-
sure will be put on productive landscapes ied, allowing for distributional responses to
and degraded lands. The window for these climate change to be tested. Despite a large
types of win-win activities for biodiversity number of biological responses to climate,
and climate change is closing as well un- however, these cases are not necessarily the
less we change our approach to planetary most important ones, either for people or
management. for biodiversity. There is an urgent need
Across conservation mechanisms, the to generate information about particularly
scope for constructive action to have bio- valuable systems and to generate policy and
diversity conservation and climate change management action based on those findings
mitigation and adaptation work together (see Box 1.1). For example, how elephants
will narrow as the century progresses. The respond to climate change is a complex
greatest opportunity to identify manage- mixture of habitat change due to climate
ment actions that help prevent extinctions change, changing human land uses, and an
and biodiversity loss while helping people often-delicate balance in human-elephant
adapt to climate change and reduce green- relations. Illegal hunting for the ivory trade
house gas emissions is therefore right now. may be the major threat to elephants in the
near term, but assuming that the threat of
illegal trade can be addressed, in the long
AC T ION F OR A N I N T E GR AT E D F U T U R E term it is habitat access and connectivity that
are likely to determine the number of el-
Staying within planetary boundaries, peo- ephants that can be sustained on the planet.
ple and nature adapting together, ecosys- Scientific understanding of these and other
CHANGING THE BIOSPHERE 9
Ecosystem experiments can be of ma- climate change will also include changes
jor value in revealing potential climate in precipitation, another experiment
change impacts and mechanisms. With- has involved simulating such changes in
out them we would be left in the defen- grasslands in northern California (Suttle,
sive position of being able to understand Thomsen, and Power 2007).
effects only as they occur rather than an- Other relevant ecosystem experiments
ticipate them with preemptive policies as have endeavored to understand the im-
well as adaptation measures. pacts that higher CO2 levels might have
In many senses ecosystem experi- on ecosystems. Will there or will there
ments came of age with the Hubbard not be a “fertilization” effect, or if there
Brook experiment (Holmes and Likens is one, will it be short-lived because the
2016), although there had been impor- ecosystem will encounter some other
tant precursors, such as the Brookhaven limitation (e.g., a key nutrient)? There
Irradiated Forest and the Luquillo Forest have been a number of such experi-
of Puerto Rico (Odum 1970). ments and some are ongoing. One Oak
The first climate change experiment Ridge experiment showed a short-lived
was initiated by John Harte at the Rocky fertilization response (Norby et al. 2010),
Mountain Biological Laboratory, where whereas others have not. The new free-air
an alpine meadow has been, and con- concentration enrichment (FACE) experi-
tinues to be, artificially warmed (Harte ment in the central Amazon may reveal
and Shaw 1955), revealing changes in the a similar nutrient constraint (in that case
plant community and soil biota. Since from phosphorous).
complex systems are needed to help guide more at stake than just bringing along the
stewardship of the planet through an era of full complement of nature’s bounty with us
unprecedented climate change. as we move into the future. At stake is the
Awareness is needed to complement sci- relationship of all humans with nature, the
entific understanding, both about climate ability to capitalize on ecosystems to help
change itself and especially about how cli- us adapt to climate change, and the ability
mate change and biodiversity interact. Be- to move quickly to realize the remaining
yond accepting the obvious—that climate scope for solutions before it is too late.
change is real and is having real impacts Policy is needed at the interface of these
today—the general public and policy mak- two great environmental concerns, to avoid
ers alike need to be aware that the inter- having climate change biology and its
face of biodiversity and climate change is consequences for people fall between the
complex and has a vitally important role to cracks. Since 1992, the world has had in-
play in shaping people’s relationship with ternational conventions that deal with bio-
nature. The latter sections of this book ex- diversity and with climate change. These
plore what is needed in policy, awareness, international conventions hold separate
and management action. meetings and are often administered by
Climate change biology is not just about separate agencies within individual coun-
the extinction of polar bears, or even just tries. What has been lacking in the policy
about extinction. Although the elevated risk world has been an ability to work between
of extinction due to climate change is a and across the conventions. Mitigation and
major international concern, there is much adaptation of climate change have massive
10 OV E RV I E W: W H AT I S C L I M AT E C H A N G E B I O L O G Y ?
implications for avoiding extinctions and form policy and management actions that
conserving biodiversity, whereas main- maintain a healthy balance between people
taining biodiversity has major implications and nature as the climate changes (Part V).
for managing the planet’s atmosphere and The combined power of these insights is to
helping people adjust their relationships give humanity the opportunity to create a
with nature and use ecosystems to adapt to healthy relationship with nature of multiple
climate change. scales—from planetary boundaries to eco-
Now that fundamental progress has system-based adaptation—that will endure
been made on each issue in its own right, as the climate changes.
it is particularly critical that collaborative
work at the interface of climate change and
biodiversity occur. Just as in science at the R E FE R E NCE S
interface, policy at this interface is begin-
ning to emerge. For instance, the Green Cli- Bierbaum, Rosina, Joel B. Smith, Arthur Lee, Maria Blair,
Lynne Carter, F. Stuart Chapin, Paul Fleming, Susan
mate Fund recognizes ecosystems as one of
Ruffo, Missy Stults, Shannon McNeeley, Emily Wasley,
the four pillars of climate adaptation. and Laura Verduzco. 2012. “A comprehensive review
Managers, scientists, policy makers, and of climate adaptation in the United States: More than
the public are not separate teams that lob before, but less than needed.” Mitigation and Adaptation
questions or insights back and forth to one Strategies for Global Change 18 (3, October): 361–406.
Costelloe, Brendan, Ben Collen, E. J. Milner-Gulland, Ian
another. Rather, they need to form a single
D. Craigie, Louise McRae, Carlo Rondinini, and Em-
integrated team in which scientific under- ily Nicholson. 2016. “Global biodiversity indicators
standing and awareness drive policy that reflect the modeled impacts of protected area policy
supports sound management action. Because change.” Conservation Letters 9 (1, January): 14–20.
of this need for integration, it is critical that Gonzalo, Julio A., and Manuel Alfonseca. 2016. “World
population growth.” World Population: Past, Present & Future
the climate change and biodiversity com-
29.
munities work together for mutual under- Hannah, Lee, Patrick Roehrdanz, Guy Midgley, Jon
standing and for the evolution of awareness, Lovett, Pablo Marquet, Richard Corlett, Brian Enquist,
policy, and management that responds to the and Wendy Foden. “Last call for tropical protected ar-
full scope of the implications climate change eas.” In review.
Harte, John, and Rebecca Shaw. 1995. “Shifting domi-
carries for ecosystems and biodiversity.
nance within a montane vegetation community:
The role of climate change biology is to Results from a climate-warming experiment.” Science
provide an understanding of the responses 267: 876–880.
of the natural world to climate change. In- Holmes, Richard T., and Gene E. Likens. 2016. Hubbard
sights from changes already being observed Brook: The Story of a Forest Ecosystem. Yale University Press.
Jones, Holly P., David G. Hole, and Erika S. Zavaleta.
(Part II) put us on alert about possible dis-
2012. “Harnessing nature to help people adapt to cli-
ruptions to the balance in the relationship mate change.” Nature Climate Change 2 (7): 504.
between people and nature. Understand- Kremen, Claire, John O. Niles, M. G. Dalton, Gretchen
ing how species and ecosystems have re- C. Daily, Paul R. Ehrlich, John P. Fay, David Grewal,
sponded to past climate change, both in and R. Philip Guillery. 2000. “Economic incentives
for rain forest conservation across scales.” Science 288
deep time and in near time (Part III), pro-
(5472): 1828–1832.
vides a window onto how species and eco- McClanahan, T., N. Muthiga, and S. Mangi. 2001. “Coral
systems have responded in a fully natural and algal changes after the 1998 coral bleaching: In-
world, which we must now interpret, and teraction with reef management and herbivores on
landscapes increasingly dominated by hu- Kenyan reefs.” Coral Reefs 19 (4): 380–391.
Norby, Richard J., Jeffrey M. Warren, Colleen M. Iversen,
man land uses. Modeling and experimenta-
Belinda E. Medlyn, and Ross E. McMurtrie. 2010. “CO2
tion to estimate future change (Part IV) can enhancement of forest productivity constrained by
be combined with knowledge and models limited nitrogen availability.” Proceedings of the National
of changes in human production to help in- Academy of Sciences 107: 19368–19373.
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performance, is as a whole only the intensification of this being-
human. Henceforward all that resists our sensations is not mere
resistance or thing or impression, as it is for animals and for children
also, but an expression as well. Not merely are things actually
contained in the world-around but also they possess meaning, as
phenomena in the world-view. Originally they possessed only a
relationship to men, but now there is also a relationship of men to
them. They have become emblems of his existence. And thus the
essence of every genuine—unconscious and inwardly necessary—
symbolism proceeds from the knowledge of death in which the
secret of space reveals itself. All symbolism implies a defensive; it is
the expression of a deep Scheu in the old double sense of the word,
[179]
and its form-language tells at once of hostility and of reverence.
Every thing-become is mortal. Not only peoples, languages, races
and Cultures are transient. In a few centuries from now there will no
more be a Western Culture, no more be German, English or French
than there were Romans in the time of Justinian. Not that the
sequence of human generations failed; it was the inner form of a
people, which had put together a number of these generations as a
single gesture, that was no longer there. The Civis Romanus, one of
the most powerful symbols of Classical being, had nevertheless, as
a form, only a duration of some centuries. But the primitive
phenomenon of the great Culture will itself have disappeared some
day, and with it the drama of world-history; aye, and man himself,
and beyond man the phenomenon of plant and animal existence on
the earth’s surface, the earth, the sun, the whole world of sun-
systems. All art is mortal, not merely the individual artifacts but the
arts themselves. One day the last portrait of Rembrandt and the last
bar of Mozart will have ceased to be—though possibly a coloured
canvas and a sheet of notes may remain—because the last eye and
the last ear accessible to their message will have gone. Every
thought, faith and science dies as soon as the spirits in whose
worlds their “eternal truths” were true and necessary are
extinguished. Dead, even, are the star-worlds which “appeared,” a
proper world to the proper eye, to the astronomers of the Nile and
the Euphrates, for our eye is different from theirs; and our eye in its
turn is mortal. All this we know. The beast does not know, and what
he does not know does not exist in his experienced world-around.
But if the image of the past vanishes, the longing to give a deeper
meaning to the passing vanishes also. And so it is with reference to
the purely human macrocosm that we apply the oft-quoted line,
which shall serve as motto for all that follows: Alles Vergängliche ist
nur ein Gleichnis.
From this we are led, without our noticing it, back to the space-
problem, though now it takes on a fresh and surprising form. Indeed,
it is as a corollary to these ideas that it appears for the first time as
capable of solution—or, to speak more modestly, of enunciation—
just as the time-problem was made more comprehensible by way of
the Destiny-idea. From the moment of our awakening, the fateful and
directed life appears in the phenomenal life as an experienced
depth. Everything extends itself, but it is not yet “space,” not
something established in itself but a self-extension continued from
the moving here to the moving there. World-experience is bound up
with the essence of depth (i.e., far-ness or distance). In the abstract
system of mathematics, “depth” is taken along with “length” and
“breadth” as a “third” dimension; but this trinity of elements of like
order is misleading from the outset, for in our impression of the
spatial world these elements are unquestionably not equivalents, let
alone homogeneous. Length and breadth are no doubt,
experientially, a unit and not a mere sum, but they are (the phrase is
used deliberately) simply a form of reception; they represent the
purely sensuous impression. But depth is a representation of
expression, of Nature, and with it begins the “world.”
This discrimination between the “third” and the other two
dimensions, so called, which needless to say is wholly alien to
mathematics, is inherent also in the opposition of the notions of
sensation and contemplation. Extension into depth converts the
former into the latter; in fact, depth is the first and genuine dimension
in the literal sense of the word.[180] In it the waking consciousness is
active, whereas in the others it is strictly passive. It is the symbolic
content of a particular order as understood by one particular Culture
that is expressed by this original fundamental and unanalysable
element. The experiencing of depth (this is a premiss upon which all
that follows is dependent) is an act, as entirely involuntary and
necessary as it is creative, whereby the ego keeps its world, so to
say, in subordination (zudiktiert erhält). Out of the rain of impressions
the ego fashions a formal unit, a cinematic picture, which as soon as
it is mastered by the understanding is subjected to law and the
causality principle; and therefore, as the projection of an individual
spirit it is transient and mortal.
There is no doubt, however reason may contest it, that this
extension is capable of infinite variety, and that it operates differently
not merely as between child and man, or nature-man and townsman,
or Chinese and Romans, but as between individual and individual
according as they experience their worlds contemplatively or alertly,
actively or placidly. Every artist has rendered “Nature” by line and by
tone, every physicist—Greek, Arabian or German—has dissected
“Nature” into ultimate elements, and how is it that they have not all
discovered the same? Because every one of them has had his own
Nature, though—with a naïveté that was really the salvation of his
world-idea and of his own self—every one believed that he had it in
common with all the rest. Nature is a possession which is saturated
through and through with the most personal connotations. Nature is
a function of the particular Culture.
III
IV
MAKROKOSMOS
II
MAKROKOSMOS
II
APOLLINIAN, FAUSTIAN AND MAGIAN SOUL