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Advanced Sciences and Technologies for Security Applications
Energy and
Environmental
Security in
Developing
Countries
Advanced Sciences and Technologies
for Security Applications
Series Editor
Anthony J. Masys, Associate Professor, Director of Global Disaster Management,
Humanitarian Assistance and Homeland Security, University of South Florida,
Tampa, USA
Advisory Editors
Gisela Bichler, California State University, San Bernardino, CA, USA
Thirimachos Bourlai, Lane Department of Computer Science and Electrical
Engineering, Multispectral Imagery Lab (MILab), West Virginia University,
Morgantown, WV, USA
Chris Johnson, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
Panagiotis Karampelas, Hellenic Air Force Academy, Attica, Greece
Christian Leuprecht, Royal Military College of Canada, Kingston, ON, Canada
Edward C. Morse, University of California, Berkeley, CA, USA
David Skillicorn, Queen’s University, Kingston, ON, Canada
Yoshiki Yamagata, National Institute for Environmental Studies, Tsukuba, Ibaraki,
Japan
Indexed by SCOPUS
The series Advanced Sciences and Technologies for Security Applications
comprises interdisciplinary research covering the theory, foundations and
domain-specific topics pertaining to security. Publications within the series are
peer-reviewed monographs and edited works in the areas of:
– biological and chemical threat recognition and detection (e.g., biosensors,
aerosols, forensics)
– crisis and disaster management
– terrorism
– cyber security and secure information systems (e.g., encryption, optical and
photonic systems)
– traditional and non-traditional security
– energy, food and resource security
– economic security and securitization (including associated infrastructures)
– transnational crime
– human security and health security
– social, political and psychological aspects of security
– recognition and identification (e.g., optical imaging, biometrics, authentication
and verification)
– smart surveillance systems
– applications of theoretical frameworks and methodologies (e.g., grounded the-
ory, complexity, network sciences, modelling and simulation)
Together, the high-quality contributions to this series provide a cross-disciplinary
overview of forefront research endeavours aiming to make the world a safer place.
The editors encourage prospective authors to correspond with them in advance of
submitting a manuscript. Submission of manuscripts should be made to the
Editor-in-Chief or one of the Editors.
123
Editor
Muhammad Asif
King Fahd University of Petroleum
and Minerals
Dharan, UK
This Springer imprint is published by the registered company Springer Nature Switzerland AG
The registered company address is: Gewerbestrasse 11, 6330 Cham, Switzerland
Contents
Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1
Muhammad Asif
v
vi Contents
Muhammad Asif
Human civilization has evolved throughout the course of history. The advancements
societies have experienced since the industrial revolution are unprecedented in human
history. This progression is manifested by indicators like technological advance-
ments, economic prosperity, improved social services, increased mobility, comfort-
able lifestyle, communication and information revolution, and broader resourceful-
ness. These accomplishments have largely been achieved through the increasingly
efficient and extensive harnessing of various forms of energy to extend human capa-
bilities and ingenuity. Energy has become an integral part of human activities. It is
fair to regard energy as the key driving force behind all important aspects of modern
societies including household, industry, mobility and transport, agriculture, health,
education, and trade, and commerce.
The human use of energy has evolved to match with contemporary development
and requirements. It has been estimated that the global population in 1800 was
approximately 1 billion, an uncertain estimate given that the first population census
had just been introduced around that time in Sweden and England. Estimates of
past energy use based on historic statistics and current energy use in rural areas
of developing countries suggest that energy use per capita typically did not exceed
some 20 GJ as a global average [1, 2]. 220 years later, the global population has
risen by a factor of less than 8 while the per capita energy consumption is estimated
to have risen by a factor of almost 30. A 30-fold increase, far in excess of world
population growth, constitutes a major energy transition, a transition from penury
to abundance. Rapid growth in energy demand is set to continue in the foreseeable
future as Energy Information Administration (EIA) predicts a 50% increase in energy
M. Asif (B)
King Fahd University of Petroleum & Minerals, Dhahran, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
e-mail: dr.m.asif@gmail.com
demand over the 2020–2050 period. The growth in energy demand is projected to
be led by developing countries in Asia [3]. The rapid growth in energy demand in
developing countries is driven by factors like burgeoning population, urbanization,
modernization, and economic and infrastructure development [4, 5].
The post-industrial revolution developments in general and the increased use
of energy, in particular, has come at a price. The environmental landscape of the
planet has dramatically changed over this period, most notably manifested by global
warming. The energy sector has played a key role in global warming. Energy, during
its production, distribution, and consumption, is responsible for producing environ-
mentally harmful substances [6–8]. Particularly, fossil fuels have been considered
to be the prime source of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Energy systems vary in
terms of their potential to generate greenhouse gases as is shown in Table 1 [9].
A healthy and safe environment is important for human well-being and the
socio-economic prosperity of a society, and biodiversity at large. Global warming is
arguably the biggest challenge facing mankind [10, 7, 8]. Climate change as a result
of global warming is resulting in wide-ranging problems such as seasonal disorder, a
pattern of intense and more frequent weather-related events such as floods, droughts,
storms, heatwaves, wildfires, health problems, and financial loss [11, 12]. The United
Nations (UN) warns that climate change can also lead to a global food crisis [13]. It
has been reported that since the advent of the twentieth century, natural disasters such
as floods, storms, earthquakes, and bushfires have resulted in an estimated loss of
nearly 8 million lives and over $7 trillion of economic loss [14]. In a survey 50 Nobel
Laureates described climate change as the biggest threat facing mankind ahead of
issues like disease, nuclear war, and terrorism [15]. Future projections suggest that
by the year 2060 more than one billion people around the world might be living
Table 1 Comparison of
Type of power plant Fuel/type of energy CO2 /(kg/kWh)
different power generation
systems in terms of CO2 Steam power plant Lignite 1.04–1.16
emission [9] Steam power plant Hard coal 0.83
Gas power plant Pit coal 0.79
Thermal power plant Fuel oil (heavy) 0.76
Gas turbine power Natural gas 0.58
plant
Nuclear power plant Uranium 0.025
(pressurised water)
Thermal power plant Natural gas 0.45
Solar thermal power Solar energy 0.1–0.15
plant
Photovoltaic power Solar energy 0.1–0.2
plant
Wind power plant Solar/wind energy 0.02
Hydro-electric power Hydropower 0.004
plant
Introduction 3
in areas at risk of devastating flooding due to climate change [16]. The majority of
the affected will be from developing countries with limited resources to mitigate the
challenges and to rebuild their lives after extreme environmental events.
With the growing world population and people’s innate aspirations for an
improved life, a central and collective global issue in the twenty-first century is to
sustain socio-economic growth within the constraints of the Earth’s limited natural
resources while at the same time preserving the environment [17]. The goal of
sustainable development can be met by ensuring energy and environmental sustain-
ability. The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) adopted by the UN in 2015
as part of its 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development have also placed a strong
emphasis on energy and environmental sustainability. The SDGs focusing on energy
and environmental sustainability are highlighted in Table 2 (UN 2020).
As of the pre-COVID-19 statistics, countries around the world were largely
lagging in meeting the SDG targets. The latest data shows that although the world
continues to make progress towards addressing energy and environmental challenges,
the efforts fall well short of the scale required to reach the concerned SDGs by 2030.
COVID-19 has turned out to be a pandemic with unprecedented socio-economic
impacts at all levels. Besides the health implications, the pandemic has almost halted
the global economic wheel, pushing nations across the world including the major
economies into recessions. In the wake of developments like severe health emer-
gencies, immense pressure on national economies, disrupted supply chains, socio-
political unrest, and almost half of the global workforce facing joblessness and loss
of earning, the progress on SDGs is certain to be adversely affected. The situation
demands global cohesive efforts to mitigate the impacts of the pandemic and to find
a recovery path. Nations need to find ways for economic stimulus not only to tackle
Table 2 Overview of the key SDGs focusing on energy and environmental security
Sustainable development goal Description
SDG 6: clean water and sanitation Ensure availability and sustainable management of
water and sanitation for all
SDG 7: affordable and clean energy Ensure access to affordable, reliable, sustainable
and modern energy for all
SDG 11: sustainable cities and Make cities and human settlements inclusive, safe,
communities resilient and sustainable
SDG 12: responsible consumption and Ensure sustainable consumption and production
production patterns
SDG 13: climate action Take urgent action to combat climate change and
its impacts
SDG 14: life below water Conserve and sustainably use the oceans, seas and
marine resources for sustainable development
SDG 15: life on land Protect, restore and promote sustainable use of
terrestrial ecosystems, sustainably manage forests,
combat desertification, and halt and reverse land
degradation and halt biodiversity loss
4 M. Asif
also been discussed under the four ‘As’ approach. The four ‘As’ dimensions of
energy security include availability, affordability, accessibility, and acceptability
[20]. Energy security can be improved through indigenous, adequate, and diverse
supplies. Energy insecurity undermines the socio-economic well-being of societies
and can be defined as “the loss of welfare that may occur as a result of a change in
the price or availability of energy” [21].
Environmental security is the state of protection of vital interests of the indi-
vidual, society, and natural environment from threats resulting from anthropogenic
and natural impacts on the environment [22]. Environmental security simply implies
striking a balance between the dynamic human–environment interactions. The envi-
ronment is one of the most transnational issues, and its security is an important
dimension of sustainable development. Environmental security is also regarded to
be closely linked to national security, owing to the dynamics and interconnections
among humans and natural resources. Because of its broader scope and dimen-
sions, environmental security is a normative concept. Environmental insecurity is an
all affecting phenomenon—it poses threats not only to humans but also to natural
resources and the ecosystem. Ensuring environmental security, therefore, means
guarding against environmental degradation to preserve or protect human, material,
and natural resources at scales ranging from global to local [23]. Global warming is
regarded as the biggest threat to the environmental security. Climate change and other
implications of global warming are affecting nations around the world on multiple
fronts.
Energy security and environmental security are becoming increasingly interwoven
areas especially in the wake of the global drive for sustainable development. They
have commonalities both in terms of the challenges faced and potential solutions.
Fossil fuels, for example, besides their crucial contribution in terms of supplying
almost 80% of the energy needs of the world, are also a cause of concern when it
comes to energy security due to their highly localized nature, depleting reserves and
fluctuating prices. Fossil fuels are also regarded to be a threat to environmental secu-
rity due to their associated greenhouse gas emissions. Similarly, renewable energy for
its comparative advantages like diverse, replenishing, abundant, and widely available
resources, declining price trends, and environmental friendliness are regarded to be
helpful both towards improving energy- and environmental security. Compared to
energy security, environmental security is a significantly more dynamic and complex
phenomenon. Environmental security is highly dynamic in nature primarily due to
three factors: vibrant human–environment partnership; versatile impacts of environ-
ment; and a vast number of parameters constituting and influencing the environment.
The critical nature of environmental security is also reflected from the fact that seven
of the 17 SDGs are focused on environment.
6 M. Asif
cooking [26]. The greatest use of traditional biomass is in Africa as the continent has
15 of the world’s 20 countries most dependent on this energy resource.
Climate change in terms of implications is also a concern mainly for developing
countries. Though climate change is a global issue in its very nature and will affect all
countries, the poorest will suffer the earliest and the most [28]. Ironically, the poor and
developing countries, despite having a marginal contribution towards the greenhouse
gas emissions, are mainly at the suffering end when it comes to the implications of
climate change. Low-lying island nations are particularly facing serious challenges
form the rising sea level.
Climate change is projected to have serious economic implications for the devel-
oping world. Almost all of the world’s population categorized as ‘absolutely poor’
live in developing countries, half of them in South Asia alone. The livelihood of
many of this segment of the population depends on climate-sensitive sectors such as
agriculture, forestry, and fishing. Owing to its impacts on agriculture and water cycle,
climate change is affecting food and water security. There is an inevitable knock-on
effect on poverty alleviation and economic development efforts in the region [29].
Overall, the impact of natural disasters, health problems, food and water shortages,
and loss of biodiversity is quite heavy for the economies of these countries. The
economic cost of climate change is projected to rise in the future. The South Asian
8 M. Asif
countries like Maldives, Nepal, India, and Bangladesh are expected to annually expe-
rience a respective economic loss of 12.6, 9.9, 9.4, and 8.7% by the end of this century
[30].
4 Regions in Focus
The book presents the case for the energy and environmental security in the devel-
oping countries in terms of the faced challenges and the potential solutions. Although
the scope of the book covers the broader developing world, it has particularly focused
on four regions: South East Asia (SEA), South Asia (SA), Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA),
and Latin America (LA). These regions account for almost 55% of the global popu-
lation. Several countries from within these regions have also been discussed as case
studies. Figure 2 highlights the regions and the countries the book has focused on.
Although the Europe and Central Asia (ECA) and the Middle East and North
Africa (MENA) regions also have some developing countries, their situation in terms
of energy and environmental challenges is not as critical as in the four regions selected
in this book. Over 99% of the world population without access to electricity, for
example, lives in these four regions as shown in Fig. 3 [31] and Fig. 4 [3]. The
selected four regions are also at the lower end when it comes to per capita electricity
consumption and the quality of electricity services.
Lack of access to clean cooking fuel is another important indicator in terms of
energy security in a society. The four regions the book has focused on are home
to over 95% of the global population relying on inefficient biomass fuels to meet
their cooking and heating needs. Figure 4 shows the developing countries in terms
of access to clean cooking fuels.
The four regions the book is focusing on are experiencing severe environmental
challenges and include most of the world’s highly vulnerable countries in terms of
climate change. The world’s 10 most affected countries from the extreme weather-
related natural disasters over the period 1999–2018 are also in these regions [32].
Southeast Asia is part of the Asian continent geographically located east of the
Indian subcontinent, south of China, and north-west of Australia. It consists of
Energy and Environmental Security in Developing Countries … 23
palm oil for export. Prakash [7] reports that deforestation produces GHGs more
than the use of fossil fuels. To make the situation worse, since 1997, Malaysia and
Indonesia have bee suffering from forest fires caused by dry peat swamps and open
burning which add to the emissions of GHGs. Another source of heat build-up is
the migration of people form rural to urban areas. Changes in land use for biofuel
collection and production in Southeast Asia have also resulted in deforestation at 5
times the global average and 10 times the average for the rest of Asia and therefore
policymakers should incorporate the cost of this negativity into energy prices [20].
To sustain the increase in urban population, there are new constructions to provide
fresh water supplies to communities. The construction of new reservoirs usually
involve changes in river flows and coupled with increased rainfall cause floods such
as in Hoi An and Da Nang in Vietnam. In addition, constructions involving the
tourism industry along the coastlines have also increased and indirectly causing
coastal erosion. For example the Cua Dai Beach along Hoi An receded by 150 m from
2004 to 2012 [7]. Seventy percent of Vietnam’s population reside along its coastline
and in the low-lying Mekong Delta. Other Southeast Asia countries are similarly
vulnerable as they are exposed to the open seas such as Indonesia, Thailand and the
Philippines. Cambodia, Lao PDR and Thailand have been experiencing excessive
rain, storms and extreme heat. The Philippines experience an average of 20 typhoons
a year and all these events damage the environment and cause health issues [7]. The
region has already been warned that if the increasing energy demands are met by the
traditional mix of energy supply with current technologies, then the implications for
the environment in terms of GHG emissions, green growth, anthropogenic climate
change and prices of fossil fuels would not be sustainable. Although renewables are
cleaner than fossil fuels there are still negative impacts on human health, ecosystem,
biodiversity and the environment [20].
Energy is the primary input to economic systems that powers the flow of goods,
services, and factors of production between companies and households. As such,
there exists a strong link between economic activity and energy use regardless of the
level of technological know-how or relative prices [21]. Studies in Southeast Asia
(Mat Sahid & Tan [22] have also found that that there is a high correlation between
energy, the economy and population (i.e. GDP). Anthropogenic climate change and
energy security coupled with the uncertainties in macroeconomic stability and energy
justice have created a call for a change in energy demand. The rising energy demand
from the least and developing countries around the world is connected to the issue
of environmental degradation as most of these countries still use coal as their main
source of energy. The rise of carbon emission, the main culprit of air pollution in these
countries could hinder their sustainable development agenda as set under ASEAN
Vision 2025. This section highlights the trend of non-renewable and renewable energy
for the main four original member of ASEAN namely, Malaysia, Indonesia, Thailand
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drilled the counterpoise and the column for the governor spindle. I
suppose the twist-drill had its origin in these Hartford works.
I never saw any twist-drills in England except at Mr. Whitworth’s,
and these I thought were the funniest things I ever did see. They
were twisted by the blacksmith out of square bars and with a uniform
quick twist, were left rough, and did not fill the hole, and the ends
were flattened out in the form of the common drill to scrape, and not
to cut.
When I returned from England in 1868 twist-drills were coming into
general use in this country. After 1876 the firm of Smith & Coventry
introduced them in England.
At that time almost everything in machine-shops was done in the
old-fashioned way, and accuracy depended entirely on the skill of the
workman. The tool work left much to be done by the fitter.
Interchangeability was unknown, even in screw-threads. For
example, when nuts were removed from a cylinder head, pains had
always to be taken that each nut was replaced on its own bolt, as no
two were exactly of a size. This condition developed a class of very
skillful all-round workmen; but my earliest observation showed me
that in manufacturing it was important that so far as possible the
personal factor should be eliminated. I adopted the rule that in
mechanical work there was only one way to insure that anything
should always be done right, and that was to make it impossible that
it should be done wrong. For example, in my governor gears their
true running required that the bore should be absolutely correct, both
in position and in direction. I had seen many gears bored. They were
held in the jaws of a chuck and trued by marking their projecting side
when running with a piece of chalk. It was evident that absolute truth
could hardly ever be reached in this way, and the approximation to it
depended wholly on the skill and pains of the workman. Besides,
much time was lost in setting each wheel. These objections were
much aggravated in the case of bevel-gears.
I met these difficulties in this way. In standardizing my governors I
found it necessary to make eight sizes, but managed to use only
three different pairs of gears. I made a separate chuck for each of
these six wheels, the faces of which were turned to fit the top and
inner ends of the teeth, the same surfaces to which I had seen the
chalk applied. When the castings were received from the foundry the
first operation on them was to bed them to their chucks, which were
covered with a thin coating of red lead for this purpose. The
workman was careful to remove only projecting imperfections without
touching the true surfaces of the teeth. After this the gears, being
held firmly to their chucks by means of a yoke, were bored rapidly
and always with absolute truth. Result: their running was practically
noiseless.
Mr. Freeland taught me the secret of producing true cylindrical
surfaces by grinding with a wheel. It was to let the swiftly revolving
wheel traverse the surface as it rotated, touching only the highest
points, and these very lightly. This avoided the danger of errors from
the springing of either the piece or the wheel, which under strong
pressure is sure to take place to some extent, even in the best
grinding-machines. I have found this delicacy of touch to be a most
difficult thing to teach the ordinary workmen. They often manage to
produce by grinding a surface more imperfect than it was before.
I took extreme pains to insure that the axes of the joint pins should
intersect the axis of the governor spindle and those of the governor
balls, and should be equidistant from the center of the counterpoise,
these parts of the joints having been turned to true spherical forms
by means of a circular tool-rest. For this purpose I employed a
feeling-gauge, consisting of a cylindrical stem fitting the hole as
drilled, with a curved arm projecting from this stem and terminating in
a point that would rub on the external surface of the balls. By this
means we almost always detected some slight inaccuracy, which
was remedied by the use of a round file. The joint holes were
afterwards finished with long reamers, the cutting portion of which
was in the middle of their length. The front end of the reamer fitted
the drilled hole and extended quite through the joint, so guiding the
cutting edges as they entered, and the back end of the reamer filled
the hole that had been reamed.
I finally tested their alignment by bringing the last of the five joints
together after the others had been united, when the forked link
should swing freely to the ball without the least tendency in either
direction from its exact place. This it always did.
Some time afterwards I adopted the plan of dispensing with heads
and washers on the joint pins, reaming the holes in the central
portions of the joint slightly smaller than those in the arms and
making the pin a hard fit in the former. There was never any
tendency for a pin to get loose in the running of the governor. I also
at a later date cut the counterpoise in two a short distance above the
joints, so that the mass of its weight did not need to be started and
stopped when the speed of the governor changed. I could not see,
however, that this was of any advantage, although when the
governor balls were pulled around by hand no motion was imparted
to the mass of the counterpoise. The action was apparently quite
perfect before.
CHAPTER III
Engineering conditions in 1860. I meet Mr. Allen. Mr. Allen’s inventions. Analysis of
the Allen link.