Calibración de modelo hidrológico

WEAP
Streamflow (below node or reach listed)
Scenario: ClimaHistorica, All months (12), River: Rio Anchaparra
1 \ Q BT Antasalla (gauge)
3.20
3 \ Antasalla_4000_4500 Runoff
3.10

3.00 Streamflow (below node or reach listed)

Scenario: ClimaHistorica, All months (12), River: Rio Anchaparra
2.90 1 \ Q BT Antasalla (gauge)
3.20
3 \ Antasalla_4000_4500 Runoff
2.80
3.10
2.70
3.00
2.60 2.90
2.50 2.80

2.40 2.70

2.30 2.60

2.20 2.50

2.10 2.40

2.30
2.00
2.20
1.90
2.10
Cubic Meters per Second

1.80
2.00
1.70
1.90
1.60
1.80

Cubic Meters per Second

1.50 1.70
1.40 1.60
1.30 1.50

1.20 1.40

1.10 1.30

1.00 1.20

1.10
0.90
1.00
0.80
0.90
0.70
0.80
0.60

Gladis Celmi – SEI

0.70
0.50
0.60
0.40
0.50
0.30 0.40
0.20 0.30
0.10 0.20

0.00 0.10
Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep
0.00
1970 1970 1970 1971 1971 1971 1972 1972 1972 1973 1973 1973 1974 1974 1974 1975 1975 1975 1976 1976 1976 1977 1977 1977 1978 1978 1978 1979 1979 1979 1980 1980 1980 1981 1981 1981 1982 1982 1982 1983 1983 1983 1984 1984 1984 1985 1985 1985 1986 1986 1986 1987 1987 1987 1988 1988 1988 1989 1989 1989 1990 1990 1990 0% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 8% 9% 10% 12% 13% 15% 16% 18% 19% 21% 22% 24% 26% 27% 29% 30% 32% 34% 35% 37% 38% 40% 42% 43% 45% 46% 48% 49% 51% 53% 54% 56% 57% 59% 60% 62% 64% 65% 67% 68% 70% 72% 73% 75% 76% 78% 79% 81% 83% 84% 86% 87% 89% 90% 92% 94% 95% 97% 98%

18 y 19 de febrero del 2017

Calibración
El proceso de calibración consiste en evaluar el grado de
correspondencia entro los valores observados y simulados.
Se usan índices/métricos que se aplica normalmente en la
calibración de modelos hidrológicos tales como: el índice de
eficiencia de Nash-Sutcliffe y el sesgo (o Bias o desviación
relativa de los caudales), y raíz del error medio cuadrático
(RMSE). 3.20

3.10
Streamflow (below node or reach listed)
Scenario: ClimaHistorica, All months (12), River: Rio Anchaparra
1 \ Q BT Antasalla (gauge)
3 \ Antasalla_4000_4500 Runoff

3.00

2.90

2.80

2.70

2.60

2.50

2.40

2.30
2.20

2.10

2.00

1.90
Cubic Meters per Second

1.80

1.70

1.60

1.50

1.40

1.30

1.20

1.10

1.00

0.90

0.80

0.70

0.60

0.50

0.40

0.30

0.20

0.10

0.00
Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep
1970 1970 1970 1971 1971 1971 1972 1972 1972 1973 1973 1973 1974 1974 1974 1975 1975 1975 1976 1976 1976 1977 1977 1977 1978 1978 1978 1979 1979 1979 1980 1980 1980 1981 1981 1981 1982 1982 1982 1983 1983 1983 1984 1984 1984 1985 1985 1985 1986 1986 1986 1987 1987 1987 1988 1988 1988 1989 1989 1989 1990 1990 1990
 Área observada vs simulada
Índices
1,000.00
y = 1.0176x - 0.2784
2
R = 0.994

100.00

Simulated Area (km2)

1987_simulated
10.00 1999_simulated
1:1
Linear (1999_simulated)
Linear (1987_simulated)
1.00
Linear (1:1)

0.10
y = 1.0529x - 0.3458
2
R = 0.99
0.01
0.01 0.10 1.00 10.00 100.00 1,000.00
Observed Area (km2)

Valores Caudal observado vs simulado

 Índices recomendados
RMSE 50
BIAS 10
Nash entre 0 a 1
R2 entre 0 a 2

Valor Ajuste
<0.2 Insuficiente
0.2 – 0.4 Satisfactorio
0.4 – 0.6 Bueno
0.6 – 0.8 Muy bueno
>0.8 Excelente
Fuente: Molnar, 2011
Ejercicio aplicativo Calibración Piura