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CGE14411
LECTURE 4
Expected Outcomes of this Lecture 2
Scientistshave
discovered water ice
on Mars surface
Can we conclude that
there is living
organism on Mars?
A. Necessary Condition 7
But we find a
case of Q where
P is a necessary there is no P
condition for Q
So you are
wrong!
Being rich (P) is
All those well-respected
necessary for being well-
(Q) are rich (P)
respected (Q)
But
Counter-example
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Living on the land (P) is a
All mammals (Q)
necessary condition for
live on the land (P)
being a mammal (Q)
But
Counter-example
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1
3
But
Counter-example
What does this case lack
to make him/her a good ___________ has high
leader? intelligence and abilities,
Other necessary but he is not a good
conditions leader
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1
9
X Necessary Sufficient Y
Having four square
sides
Having a son being a parent
Being an bachelor
unmarried man
X Necessary Sufficient Y
Having four square
sides
Having a son
being a parent
Being an bachelor
unmarried man
E. x's being greater than 15 is a sufficient condition for x's being less than 20.
F. x's being greater than 15 is a necessary condition for x's being greater than 20.
G. x's being greater than 20 is a sufficient condition for x's being greater than 15.
H. x's being less than 20 is a necessary condition for x's being greater than 15.
Why we need to understand this? 3
The Conditional Fallacy 0
34
Inductive Argument 3
5
Many specific
Every time you eat peanuts, your throat situations
swells up and you can't breath.
So, you are allergic to peanuts. Generalization
Deductive Vs Inductive 3
7
Deductive :
The conclusion is claimed to follow from its premises with (logical) necessity.
This necessity is absolute and not a matter of degree.
Inductive :
The conclusion is claimed to follow from its premises only with a certain
degree of probability.
This probability comes as a matter of degree.
Examples
Deductive:
Is this
Mary is a mother. person male
or female?
All mothers are female.
------------------------------------
Therefore, Mary is a female.
Very certain
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Inductive:
• In this semester, Peter leaves
home for class at 8:00 am and
he has never been late.
--------------------------------------------
• Therefore, if Peter leaves home
for class at 8:00 am, he will not
be late.
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Deductive Inductive
If all the premises are true, If all the premises are true, then
then the conclusion must be the conclusion is probably true,
true. i.e., more likely to be true than
false.
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Why we need to distinguish deductive 4
and inductive reasoning? 1
Deductive reasoning
If valid, provides definite conclusion.
There are rules we can learn to avoid wrong
reasoning.
Inductive reasoning
Cannot provide definite conclusion, but is
essential for giving general patterns.
Must recognize that the general pattern is not
definite.
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