Patterns in Trends At the end of lesson you are able to: - identify parts of a whole (HUMSS_MCT12-Ia-b-6); - identify and explain an emerging pattern (HUMSS_MCT12-Ia-b-7) • It was the great Aristotle who first claimed that the whole is not equal to the sum of the parts, and conversely, the sum of the parts is not equal to the whole. But the proponent of the idea of atom, who is Democritus, somehow believed that the parts are of great significance in understanding the essence of the whole. What comes to your mind when you hear the words “emerging trends”? Identifying Parts of a Whole • Trends as they grow and evolve tend to influence or give birth to other trends and become interconnected and interrelated. It was mentioned in the previous lessons that trends are formed from the combination of things. Thus, a trend has constituent parts of portions that are interrelated. Their influence, as well as how the people adopt them, makes the trend viable, especially the megatrends and gigatrends. • Take as example the Japanese animation (animé) trend that is associated with several generations spanning decades. In retrospect, Urgel (2017) illustrated the popularity of anime which was brought about by a number of developments such as the ones shown below. Visual culture
• is another example that we experience today.
It was developed from various trends─ digital camera, smartphone, internet, Wi-Fi technology, social media, mobile apps, computer, fashion, art, photography, to name a few. • Remember that microtrends can become macrotrends if they affect more lives and societies. Then, macrotrends can become a megatrend if it can affect a much larger group for a longer period like a decade. Megatrends can become gigatrends if they have everlasting effects and influences. Therefore, it is evident that the whole which comprises the large part is made up of small things or parts. Identifying Emerging Patterns • By simply looking at the previous diagram, you will somehow have an idea on identifying emerging patterns of a trend. Urgel (2017) defined pattern as a design, shape, form or configuration that emerges from repetitious appearance of lines, curves, and behavior. According to him, in the study of trends, repetitive behavior that gives rise to an emerging pattern is the main interest. • In order to follow and observe if a pattern emerges out of various events and phenomena, one should have the tools necessary to detect it. According to Rehn and Lindkvist (2013), the tools that a trend spotter should find handy to use are categorized into four activities which are as follows: 1. Documentation
• means being able to record your observations which
you consider related to any trend. The primary tools for documentation, however simple, are notebook and pen. Some opt to use note-taking features or apps on a smartphone or tablet. The camera has also become necessary in providing visuals. 2. Archive or Memory • is used to easily retrieve any documentation you have kept. Notes can be scanned or converted to a portable document format (PDF) while digital pictures can be easily saved. Physical archiving can, of course, still be used. There are various digital archiving systems that are available, too. Tagging and cross indexing are helpful in labeling files. 3. Analysis
• is the stage where examination and combination
happen. Looking for patterns on prospective trends can be achieved through these methods: brainstorming, grouping, and crafting combinations. In brainstorming, you decide which from your data is important and which can be discarded. 4. Presentation
• is representing your findings for easy
understanding as a way of analysis. You can represent your findings through, among others, a mood board and a storyboard. A mood board is a collage of images, text, and object samples. Differentiating Relationships between Causes and Consequences • A cause refers to an agent that brings about a result or a consequence. A consequence is always traceable to a cause which can be a person, thing, principle, motive, act, or event. There is no cause without a consequence and vice versa. • Let us try to look at some of the popular fashion trends among the teenagers these days ranging from hairstyles, clothing, and music preferences to mention a few. Clearly a number of them, if one will try to observe, were patterned from a dominant and prevailing trend. To date, Korean fashion trends is quite widespread in the country. In fact, you can watch from the news almost every beginning of the year in a certain portion of those news about the fashion trend for the year. In other words, these news in the media somehow sets these so – called fashion trends which will then be the baseline of fashion sales of the business sectors in the market. People then especially the young and those who wanted to “fit in” to these popularized trends would eventually patronize them. For almost a number of years already, Korean culture became popular in the country especially among the young.