2.9 E1, E2, E3 denote events tractor no. 1, 2, 3 are in good condition respectively (a) A = only tractor no.

1 is in good condition = E1 E 2 E 3 B = exactly one tractor is in good condition = E1 E 2 E 3 E1 E2 E 3 E1 E 2 E3 C = at least one tractor is in good condition = E1 E2 E3 (b) Given P(E1) = P(E2) = P(E3) = 0.6 P( E 2 E1 ) = 0.6 or P( E 2 E 3 ) = 0.6 P( E 3 E1 E 2 ) = 0.8 or P( E1 E 2 E 3 ) = 0.8 P(A) = P(E1 E 2 E 3 ) = P(E1 E 2 E 3 ) P( E 2 E 3 ) = [1 P( E1 E 2 E 3 )] P( E 2 E 3 ) P( E 3 ) = (1 - 0.8)(0.6)(0.4) = 0.048 Since E1 E 2 E 3 , E1 E2 E 3 and E1 E 2 E3 are mutually exclusive; also the probability of each of these three events is the same, P(B) = 3 x P(E1 E 2 E 3 ) = 3 x 0.048 = 0.144 P(C) = P(E1 E2 E3) = 1 P( E1 E 2 E 3 ) = 1 P( E1 E 2 E 3 ) = 1 P( E1 E 2 E 3 ) P( E 2 E 3 ) P( E 3 ) = 1 0.8x0.6x0.4 = 0.808