2.

5
(a)
Locations Locations
Load at B Load at C
MA
Probability
of W2
of W1

0
0
0
0.15x0.2=0.03

B
500
0
5,000
0.045

C
0
500
10,000
0.075
B

200
0
2,000
0.05
B
B
700
0
7,000
0.075
B
C
200
500
12,000
0.125
C

0
200
4,000
0.12
C
B
500
200
9,000
0.18
C
C
0
700
14,000
0.30

E1

X
X
X
X
X

E2

E3

X
X
X
X

X
X

X
X

(b) E1 and E2 are not mutually exclusive because these two events can occur together, for
example, when the weight W2 is applied at C, MA is 10,000 ft-lb; hence both E1 and E2 will
occur.
(c) The probability of each possible value of MA is tabulated in the last column of the table
above.
(d) P(E1) = P(MA > 5,000) = 0.075 + 0.075 + 0.125 + 0.18 + 0.30 = 0.755
P(E2) = P(1,000 MA 12,000) = 0.045 + 0.075 + 0.05 + 0.075 + 0.12 + 0.18 = 0.545
P(E3) = 0.05 + 0.075 = 0.125
P(E1 E2) = P(5,000 < MA 12,000) = 0.075 + 0.075 + 0.18 = 0.33
P(E1 E2) = 1 0.03 = 0.97
P( E 2 ) = 0.03 + 0.125 + 0.3 = 0.455
P( P ( E2 ) = 1 P ( E ) = 1 0.545 = 0.455