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2.

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P(F) = 0.01
P(A F ) = 0.1
P(AF) = 1

(a)

FA, F A , F A, F A are set of mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive events

(b)

P(FA) = P(AF)P(F) = 1x0.01 = 0.01


P(F A ) = P( A F)P(F) = 0x0.01 = 0
P( F A) = P(A F )P( F ) = 0.1x0.99 = 0.099
P( F A ) = P( A F )P( F ) = 0.9x0.99 = 0.891

(c)

P(A) = P(AF)P(F) + P(A F )P( F )


= 1x0.01 + 0.1x0.99
= 0.109

(d)

P(FA) =

P( A F ) P( F )
P( A)

0.01
= 0.0917
0.109

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