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2.

18
C = Collapse of superstructure
E = Excessive settlement
Given:
P(E) = 0.1; P(C) = 0.05
P(CE) = 0.2
(a)

P(Failure) = P(C E)
= P(C) + P(E) P(CE)P(E)
= 0.05 + 0.1 0.2x0.1
= 0.13

(b)

P( ECE C)

P(( EC ) ( E C ))
P( E C )

= P(EC) / 0.13
= 0.2x0.1 / 0.13
= 0.154

(c)

P(E C E C) = P(E C ) + P( E C)
= P(EC) P(EC)
= 0.13 0.02
=0.11

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