Tugas Rekayasa Trafik Dwi Triyanto/16224715

a. menggunakan pendekatan binomial

n = 200
p = 0.01 erlang
X = {0,1,3,4,5,6,7,8}

Rumus :

{ = } = ( ) ( )

i=0 i=5
200 200
{ = 0} = ( ) 0.010 (1 0,01)2000 { = 5} = ( ) 0.015 (1 0,01)2005
0 5
= . = .
i=1 i=6
200 200
{ = 1} = ( ) 0.011 (1 0,01)2001 { = 6} = ( ) 0.016 (1 0,01)2006
1 6
= . = (82408626300) . 11012 . 0.14231
i=2 = .
200 i=7
{ = 2} = ( ) 0.012 (1 0,01)2002
2
200
= . { = 7} = ( ) 0.017 (1 0,01)2007
7
i=3 = (2283896214600) . 11014 . 0.143745
200 = .
{ = 3} = ( ) 0.013 (1 0,01)2003
3
i=8
= .
200
i=4 { = 8} = ( ) 0.018 (1 0,01)2008
8
200 = (55098996177225) . 11016 . 0.1452
{ = 4} = ( ) 0.014 (1 0,01)2004
4
= .
= .
Tugas Rekayasa Trafik Dwi Triyanto/16224715

b. menggunakan pendekatan poisson (2,0)

Poisson =2
X = {0,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8}

Rumus :

{ = } =
!

a=0
a=5
20
{ = 0} = 2 25 2
0! { = 5} =
5!
= .
= .
a=1
a=6
21 2
{ = 1} = 26 2
1! { = 6} =
6!
= .
64
a=2 = 0.13534
720

22 2 = .
{ = 2} =
2! a=7
= . 27 2
{ = 7} =
a=3 7!
128
23 2 = 5.040 0.13534
{ = 3} =
3!
= .
= .
a=8
a=4
28 2
24 2 { = 8} =
{ = 4} = 8!
4!
256
= 40.320 0.13534
= .
= .