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Probability Project 2

1. The document provides instructions for a probability project where students will design their own carnival or casino-style game. The game must not already exist and cannot use probabilities of 1 or 0. 2. Students must submit both a physical game including materials as well as a written analysis. The write-up should include an introduction, instructions, game description, probability analysis, discussion of fairness, and a reflection. 3. The probability analysis requires calculating expected probabilities of winning and losing, running experimental trials to test results, and determining if the game is fair.

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297 views1 page

Probability Project 2

1. The document provides instructions for a probability project where students will design their own carnival or casino-style game. The game must not already exist and cannot use probabilities of 1 or 0. 2. Students must submit both a physical game including materials as well as a written analysis. The write-up should include an introduction, instructions, game description, probability analysis, discussion of fairness, and a reflection. 3. The probability analysis requires calculating expected probabilities of winning and losing, running experimental trials to test results, and determining if the game is fair.

Uploaded by

api-350630106
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© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Name:__________________________ Date:_________

Probability Project:
Design Your Own Game
In this assignment, you will be designing your own game. The game should be the type of game
that you would play at a carnival, amusement park or casino (a single person plays at a time). No board games are
allowed – it is very difficult to calculate odds. It cannot be a game that already exists, but it can be inspired by one.
Probabilities of 1 and 0 are not allowed to be used. Don’t make it too complicated! A simple game done well is
better than a complicated game that cannot be explained. Have fun!

Final Products:
1. Game – Include all game boards, playing pieces, cards, balls, etc. for your game.
2. Write-Up – See below.

Grading: See rubric (next page).

The Write-Up

1. Introduction - Provide an overview of your game that sells the idea of the game to others. Consider the
following questions?
● What type of game is it? What is involved to play the game?
● Where would you play this type of game?
● Are there prizes if you win?

2. Instructions - Step-by-Step instructions for how to play the game. Make sure they are clear!

3. Game Description – What do you need to play the game?


● List all materials needed to play (dice, spinner, darts, ball, etc.)
● Draw picture of your game, if necessary

4. Probability Analysis
● List the important possible outcomes (or events) of the game.
● What is the expected probability of winning? What is the expected probability of losing? How did you
decide on these probabilities?
● State all relevant complementary probabilities.
● Create an experiment by completing trials of your game (choose a reasonable amount).
● Are your results as expected? Why or why not?
● Complete another set of trials. How does your experimental probability compare to your theoretical
probability now? Does this make sense? What if you completed this 1000 times?
● Is the game fair? If the game is not fair, how could you change the game to make it fair?

5. Relevance
 What have you learned about fair games?
 What do you think about gaming in casinos? Do you think it is fair to have establishments designed for
people to lose money?
 What is your opinion on the lottery? Would you suggest your grandparents to play? Why?

6. Reflection
● What were your overall feelings about this project?

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