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̅
𝑨







P(A ∩ B)
P(A/B) =
P(B)


P(B/A) ∙ P(A)
P(A/B) =
P(B/A) ∙ P(A) + P(B/Ᾱ) ∙ P(Ᾱ)

























• → → →















n!
n Pr =
(n − r )!

n!
n Pr =
(n − r )!


n!
nCr =
r!(n − r )!


𝑛(𝐴) 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑒𝑟𝑜 𝑑𝑒 𝑐𝑎𝑠𝑜𝑠 𝑓𝑎𝑣𝑜𝑟𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝑎 𝐴 𝑘


𝑃(𝐴) = 𝑛 (𝐴)⁄𝑛(𝑆) = = =
𝑛(𝑆) 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑒𝑟𝑜 𝑑𝑒 𝑐𝑎𝑠𝑜𝑠 𝑝𝑜𝑠𝑖𝑏𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝑛



𝑛(𝐴) 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑒𝑟𝑜 𝑑𝑒 𝑐𝑎𝑠𝑜𝑠 𝑓𝑎𝑣𝑜𝑟𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝑎 𝐴 𝑘


𝑃(𝐴) = 𝑛 (𝐴)⁄𝑛(𝑆) = = =
𝑛(𝑆) 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑒𝑟𝑜 𝑑𝑒 𝑐𝑎𝑠𝑜𝑠 𝑝𝑜𝑠𝑖𝑏𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝑛



𝑛(𝐴) 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑒𝑟𝑜 𝑑𝑒 𝑐𝑎𝑠𝑜𝑠 𝑓𝑎𝑣𝑜𝑟𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝑎 𝐴 𝑘


𝑃(𝐴) = 𝑛 (𝐴)⁄𝑛(𝑆) = = =
𝑛(𝑆) 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑒𝑟𝑜 𝑑𝑒 𝑐𝑎𝑠𝑜𝑠 𝑝𝑜𝑠𝑖𝑏𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝑛





𝑛(𝐴) 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑒𝑟𝑜 𝑑𝑒 𝑐𝑎𝑠𝑜𝑠 𝑓𝑎𝑣𝑜𝑟𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝑎 𝐴 𝑘


𝑃(𝐴) = 𝑛 (𝐴)⁄𝑛(𝑆) = = =
𝑛(𝑆) 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑒𝑟𝑜 𝑑𝑒 𝑐𝑎𝑠𝑜𝑠 𝑝𝑜𝑠𝑖𝑏𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝑛

• 𝐴: {𝑀𝑀𝑀, 𝐹𝐹𝐹}, 𝑛(𝐴) = 2

𝑛(𝐴) 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑒𝑟𝑜 𝑑𝑒 𝑐𝑎𝑠𝑜𝑠 𝑓𝑎𝑣𝑜𝑟𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝑎 𝐴 𝑘


𝑃(𝐴) = 𝑛 (𝐴)⁄𝑛(𝑆) = = =
𝑛(𝑆) 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑒𝑟𝑜 𝑑𝑒 𝑐𝑎𝑠𝑜𝑠 𝑝𝑜𝑠𝑖𝑏𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝑛



𝑛(𝐴) 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑒𝑟𝑜 𝑑𝑒 𝑐𝑎𝑠𝑜𝑠 𝑓𝑎𝑣𝑜𝑟𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝑎 𝐴 𝑘


𝑃(𝐴) = 𝑛 (𝐴)⁄𝑛(𝑆) = = =
𝑛(𝑆) 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑒𝑟𝑜 𝑑𝑒 𝑐𝑎𝑠𝑜𝑠 𝑝𝑜𝑠𝑖𝑏𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝑛


𝑛(𝐴) 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑒𝑟𝑜 𝑑𝑒 𝑐𝑎𝑠𝑜𝑠 𝑓𝑎𝑣𝑜𝑟𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝑎 𝐴 𝑘


𝑃(𝐴) = 𝑛 (𝐴)⁄𝑛(𝑆) = = =
𝑛(𝑆) 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑒𝑟𝑜 𝑑𝑒 𝑐𝑎𝑠𝑜𝑠 𝑝𝑜𝑠𝑖𝑏𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝑛




𝑛(𝐴) 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑒𝑟𝑜 𝑑𝑒 𝑐𝑎𝑠𝑜𝑠 𝑓𝑎𝑣𝑜𝑟𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝑎 𝐴 𝑘
𝑃(𝐴) = 𝑛 (𝐴)⁄𝑛(𝑆) = = =
𝑛(𝑆) 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑒𝑟𝑜 𝑑𝑒 𝑐𝑎𝑠𝑜𝑠 𝑝𝑜𝑠𝑖𝑏𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝑛
• 𝑆 = {(1,1), (1,2), … (6,6)}, 𝑛(𝑆) = 36

𝐴 = {𝑄𝑢𝑒 𝑙𝑎 𝑠𝑢𝑚𝑎 𝑠𝑒𝑎 7} = {(1,6), (6,1), (2,5), (5,2), (3,4), (, 43)} 𝑛(𝐴) = 6



𝑛(𝐴) 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑒𝑟𝑜 𝑑𝑒 𝑐𝑎𝑠𝑜𝑠 𝑓𝑎𝑣𝑜𝑟𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝑎 𝐴 𝑘


𝑃(𝐴) = 𝑛 (𝐴)⁄𝑛(𝑆) = = =
𝑛(𝑆) 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑒𝑟𝑜 𝑑𝑒 𝑐𝑎𝑠𝑜𝑠 𝑝𝑜𝑠𝑖𝑏𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝑛


𝑛(𝐴) 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑒𝑟𝑜 𝑑𝑒 𝑐𝑎𝑠𝑜𝑠 𝑓𝑎𝑣𝑜𝑟𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝑎 𝐴 𝑘


𝑃(𝐴) = 𝑛 (𝐴)⁄𝑛(𝑆) = = =
𝑛(𝑆) 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑒𝑟𝑜 𝑑𝑒 𝑐𝑎𝑠𝑜𝑠 𝑝𝑜𝑠𝑖𝑏𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝑛



𝑛(𝐴) 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑒𝑟𝑜 𝑑𝑒 𝑐𝑎𝑠𝑜𝑠 𝑓𝑎𝑣𝑜𝑟𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝑎 𝐴 𝑘


𝑃(𝐴) = 𝑛 (𝐴)⁄𝑛(𝑆) = = =
𝑛(𝑆) 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑒𝑟𝑜 𝑑𝑒 𝑐𝑎𝑠𝑜𝑠 𝑝𝑜𝑠𝑖𝑏𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝑛
15 × 14 × 13 × 12 × 11 = 360360






N
V(X) = σ 2x =  (xi − μx ) * f (xi )
2

i =1
𝑛

𝜎 = ∑(𝑋𝑖)2 ∗ 𝑓(𝑋𝑖) − 𝜇 2
2

𝑖=1


N
V(X) = σ 2x =  (xi − μx ) * f (xi )
2

i =1
𝑛

𝜎 2 = ∑(𝑋𝑖)2 ∗ 𝑓(𝑋𝑖) − 𝜇 2
𝑖=1




N
V(X) = σ 2x =  (xi − μx ) * f (xi )
2

i =1
𝑛

𝜎 = ∑(𝑋𝑖)2 ∗ 𝑓(𝑋𝑖) − 𝜇 2
2

𝑖=1

• 𝜎 = √𝜎 2



𝒏!
𝑷(𝑿 = 𝒌) = 𝑷(𝒌, 𝒏, 𝒑) = (𝒑𝒌 )(𝒒𝒏−𝒌 )
𝒌!(𝒏−𝒌)!


𝒏!
𝑷(𝑿 = 𝒌) = 𝑷(𝒌, 𝒏, 𝒑) = (𝒑𝒌 )(𝒒𝒏−𝒌 )
𝒌!(𝒏−𝒌)!



• 𝑥≥2


0



4 1

 b(4,5,0.3)
0

0

a)
b)

•  = np


• 𝜆

𝑒 −𝜆 𝜆𝑥
𝑃(𝑥) =
𝑥!





• 𝜆

• 𝜆
𝜆

• 𝜆
𝜆

• 𝜆



• 𝜆



𝑘 𝑁−𝑘
( )( )
𝑝(𝑥 = 𝑘) = 𝑥 𝑛 − 𝑥
𝑁
( )
𝑛

2 5−2
( )( )
𝑝(𝑥 = 1 𝑘 = 2) = 1 3 − 1
5
( )
3
2 3
( )( )
𝑝(𝑥 = 1 𝑘 = 2) = 1 2
5
( )
3

2! 3!
( )
1!(2−1)! 2!(3−2)!
𝑝(𝑥 = 1 𝑘 = 2) = 5!
3!(5−3)!

2! 3!
( ) 6 3
1!(1)! 2!(1)!
𝑝(𝑥 = 1 𝑘 = 2) = 5!
= = = 0.6
10 5
3!(2)!
a)
b)
α α












• k = n
R
• A=
k




𝐾 = 1 + 3.22(log 𝑛)

𝐾 = 1 + 3.22(log 10)

𝐾 = 4.22 ≈ 4

𝑅𝑎𝑛𝑔𝑜 + 1
𝐴=
𝐾

28 + 1 29
𝐴= = = 7.25 ≈ 7
4 4




∑𝑛
𝑖=1 𝑋𝑖 ∑𝑁
𝑖=1 𝑋𝑖
𝑋= 𝜇=
𝑁 𝑁

∑𝑛𝑖=1 𝑋𝑖 𝑓𝑖
𝑋=
𝑁





𝑁+1
2




∑𝑛𝑖=1 𝑓 |𝑋𝑖 − 𝑋|
𝐷. 𝑀. =
𝑁


2 2
∑𝑛
𝑖=1(𝑋𝑖−𝑋) ∑𝑁
𝑖=1(𝑋𝑖−𝜇)
𝑆2 = 𝜎2 =
𝑛−1 𝑁


2
∑𝑛
𝑖=1 𝑓𝑖(𝑋𝑖−𝑋)
𝑆2 =
𝑛−1


2
∑𝑛
𝑖=1(𝑋𝑖−𝑋) ∑𝑁
𝑖=1(𝑋𝑖−𝜇)
𝑆=√ 𝜎=√
𝑛−1 𝑁

𝑛 2
∑ 𝑓𝑖(𝑋𝑖 − 𝑋)
𝑆 = √ 𝑖=1
𝑛−1

s = s2  = 2






60 − 70 75 − 70
𝑝[60 < 𝑥 < 75] = 𝑝 ( <𝑍< )
3 3

= 𝑝(−3.33 < 𝑍 < 1.67) = 𝑝(𝑧 < 1.67) − [1 − 𝑝(𝑧 < 3.33)]

= 0.9525 − (1 − 0.9996) = 0.9521 ∗ 500 = 476

90 − 70
𝑝(𝑥 > 90) = 𝑝 (𝑍 > ) = 𝑝(𝑍 > 6.67)
3

= 1 − 𝑝(𝑍 < 6.67) = 1 − 1 = 0 ∗ 500 = 0


64 − 70
𝑝(𝑥 < 64) = 𝑝 (𝑍 < ) = 𝑝(𝑍 < −2) = 1 − 𝑝(𝑍 < 2)
3

= 1 − 0.7772 = 0.2228 ∗ 500 = 111.4

64 − 70
𝑝(𝑥 = 64) = 𝑝 (𝑍 = ) = 𝑝(𝑍 = −2) = 0 ∗ 500 = 0
3

𝑝(𝑥 <= 64) = 𝑝(𝑥 < 64) = 111.4









𝑛+1
2



𝑆 = √𝑆 2

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