You are on page 1of 26

4/3/22

Chapter 3

Collecting Information & Forecasting Demand

Prof. Muhammad Ismail Hossain


MBA (Dhaka), MIB (Melbourne) PhD
(Monash)
Department of Marketing
University of Dhaka

muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd

Questions to Address

1. What are the components of a modern MKIS?


2. What are useful internal records for a MKIS?
3. What makes up a marketing intelligence system?
4. What are some influential macroenvironment developments?
5. How can companies accurately measure and forecast
demand?

©muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
. Slide 2 of 28

1
4/3/22

Collecting Information
Customers

External Factors
Competitors

©muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
. Slide 3 of 28

Collecting Information

©muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
. Slide 4 of 28

2
4/3/22

Collecting Information

Ranking of rice consuming countries


©muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
. Slide 5 of 28

Collecting Information

©muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
. Slide 6 of 28

3
4/3/22

Collecting Information

©muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
. Slide 7 of 28

Collecting Information

©muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
. Slide 8 of 28

4
4/3/22

Collecting Information

©muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
. Slide 9 of 28

Collecting Information

©muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
. Slide 10 of 28

10

5
4/3/22

Marketing Information System


People
Procedures

Equipment
©muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
. Slide 11 of 28

11

Marketing Information System


Internal Records

Marketing Research

Insight

Marketing Intelligence
©muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
. Slide 12 of 28

12

6
4/3/22

Internal Records
Order-to-Payment Cycle

Databases / Data Mining

Sales Information Systems


©muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
. Slide 13 of 28

13

Marketing Intelligence

A Marketing Intelligence System is a set of procedures and


sources that managers use to obtain everyday information about
developments in the marketing environment. The internal records
system supplies results data, but the marketing intelligence system
supplies happeings data.

©muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
. Slide 14 of 28

14

7
4/3/22

Marketing Intelligence
News and Trade Publications

Meet with customers,


suppliers, distributors, and
other managers
Monitor social
media sites
©muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
. Slide 15 of 28

15

Marketing Intelligence

©muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
. Slide 16 of 28

16

8
4/3/22

Improving Marketing Intelligence


Sales Force Establish industry network

External Experts Customer Advisory Panel


©muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
. Slide 17 of 28

17

Marketing Intelligence & the Internet

Independent Online Forums

Distributor or sales agents feedback sites

Customer review and expert opinion sites

Customer complaint sites

Public blogs

©muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
. Slide 18 of 28

18

9
4/3/22

Using Marketing Intelligence


Share Information

Quickly

©muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
. Slide 19 of 28

19

Analyzing the Macroenvironment

©muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
. Slide 20 of 28

20

10
4/3/22

Needs and Trends

Fad
Classic/Megatrend

Trend
©muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
. Slide 21 of 28

21

Needs and Trends

©muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
. Slide 22 of 28

22

11
4/3/22

Needs and Trends

©muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
. Slide 23 of 28

23

Needs and Trends

©muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
. Slide 24 of 28

24

12
4/3/22

Needs and Trends

©muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
. Slide 25 of 28

25

What about this?

©muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
. Slide 26 of 28

26

13
4/3/22

What about this?

©muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
. Slide 27 of 28

27

Major Environmental Forces

Demographics Economic

Technological

Natural Political-Legal
Sociocultural
©muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
. Slide 28 of 28

28

14
4/3/22

Demographic Environment

Worldwide population growth

Population age mix

Ethnic and other markets

Educational Groups

Household patterns

©muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
. Slide 29 of 28

29

Demographic Environment

©muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
. Slide 30 of 28

30

15
4/3/22

The World as a Village

©muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
. Slide 31 of 28

31

Economic Environment

Consumer
Psychology

Income
Distribution
©muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
. Slide 32 of 28

32

16
4/3/22

Economic Environment

©muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
. Slide 33 of 28

33

Economic Environment

©muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
. Slide 34 of 28

34

17
4/3/22

View of
Ourselves

View of View of
Nature Others

Sociocultural
Environment
View of View
Society Universe

View of
Organizations
©muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
. Slide 35 of 28

35

Natural Environment

Environmental Regulations

©muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
. Slide 36 of 28

36

18
4/3/22

Natural Environment

©muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
. Slide 37 of 28

37

Natural Environment

©muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
. Slide 38 of 28

38

19
4/3/22

Technological Environment

Accelerated pace of change

Unlimited opportunities

R&D Spending

©muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
. Slide 39 of 28

39

Political-Legal Environment
Government Agencies

Laws

Special Interest Groups


©muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
. Slide 40 of 28

40

20
4/3/22

Forecasting and Demand Measurement

Market
- Size
- Growth
- Profit potential

©muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
. Slide 41 of 28

41

Forecasting and Demand Measurement

©muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
. Slide 42 of 28

42

21
4/3/22

Ninety Types of Demand Measurement

©muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
. Slide 43 of 28

43

Market Types
Potential Market

Available Market

Target Market

Penetrated Market

©muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
. Slide 44 of 28

44

22
4/3/22

Market Types
Potential Market

Available Market

Target Market

Penetrated Market

Bangladesh has now around .02 million


people who owns wealth in the range of
$1-5 million. While the ultra-rich with $30
million net assets is projected to see a
growth of 11.4 percent in their wealth until
©muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd 2023 from 2018 (New Age, 2020)..
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Slide 45 of 28

45

Demand Measurement
Market
Demand/MSP

Company Demand/SF
©muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
. Slide 46 of 28

46

23
4/3/22

Market Demand

Market Demand for a product is the total volume that would


be bought by a defined customer group in a defined
geographical area in a defined time period in a defined
marketing environment under a defined marketing program.

©muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
. Slide 47 of 28

47

Market Demand Functions

©muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
. Slide 48 of 28

48

24
4/3/22

Estimating Current Demand


Area market potential
Total market potential
Average
Potential Average
X purchase X
Buyers price
quantity

Chain-ratio method

©muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
. Slide 49 of 28

49

Estimating Future Demand

Sales Force Opinions


Buyer’s Intentions Forecasting

Past Sales Analysis


Expert Opinions
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Slide 50 of 28
©muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd .
50

25
4/3/22

WE ARE DONE FOR THIS CHAPTER

©muhammad.hossain@du.ac.bd
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall . Slide 51 of 28

51

26

You might also like