Professional Documents
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Edited by
MASSIMO MATERASSI
Researcher, Institute for Complex Systems of the National Research Council (ISC-CNR), Florence, Italy
BIAGIO FORTE
Research Fellow, Department of Electronic and Electrical Engineering, University of Bath,
Bath, United Kingdom
ANTHEA J. COSTER
Assistant Director and Principal Research Scientist, MIT Haystack Observatory, Westford,
MA, United States
SUSAN SKONE
Associate Professor, The University of CalgaryjHBI Department of Geomatics Engineering, Calgary, AB, Canada
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ISBN: 978-0-12-814782-5
Managlathayil Ali Abdu National Institute Naomi Maruyama CIRES, Univ. of Colorado Boul-
for Space Research (Instituto Nacional de der and NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center,
Pesquisas Espaciais-INPE), Sao Jose dos Campos, Boulder, CO, United States
Brazil Massimo Materassi Institute for Complex Systems
Lucilla Alfonsi Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e of the National Research Council (ISC-CNR),
Vulcanologia, Rome, Italy Florence, Italy
Asti Bhatt Center for Geospace Studies, SRI Interna- Michael Mendillo Department of Astronomy, Bos-
tional, Menlo Park, CA, United States ton University, Boston, MA, United States
Brett Carter SPACE Research Center, RMIT Univer- Paola De Michelis Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e
sity, Melbourne, VIC, Australia Vulcanologia, Roma, Italy
Christopher J. Coleman The University of Ade- Bruno Nava The Abdus Salam International Centre
laide, Adelaide, SA, Australia for Theoretical Physics, Trieste, Italy
Giuseppe Consolini INAF-Institute for Space Mirko Piersanti National Institute of Nuclear Phys-
Astrophysics and Planetology, Rome, Italy ics, University of Rome “Tor Vergata”, Rome, Italy
Anthea J. Coster MIT Haystack Observatory, West- Sandro M. Radicella The Abdus Salam Interna-
ford, MA, United States tional Centre for Theoretical Physics, Trieste, Italy
Philip J. Erickson Atmospheric and Geospace Sci- Joshua Semeter Department of Electrical and Com-
ences Group, MIT Haystack Observatory, West- puter Engineering and Center for Space Physics,
ford, MA, United States Boston University, Boston, MA, United States
Biagio Forte Department of Electronic and Electri- Andrew Silberfarb SRI International, Menlo Park,
cal Engineering, University of Bath, Bath, United CA, United States
Kingdom Susan Skone The University of Calgary|HBI
D.L. Hysell Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Cor- Department of Geomatics Engineering, Calgary,
nell University, Ithaca, NY, United States AB, Canada
Dennis L. Knepp NorthWest Research Associates, Luca Spogli Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulca-
Monterey, CA, United States nologia, Rome, Italy
Giovanni Lapenta Departement Wiskunde, KULeu- Roberta Tozzi Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vul-
ven, University of Leuven, Leuven, Belgium canologia, Roma, Italy
ix
Preface
A new book on ionospheric physics can (LSA). In physical science, the gifts of LSA are
appear “not timely,” if not “unnecessary,” until new powerful data processing tools and
one puts this enterprise in the contemporaneous machines; the main request is to develop (or redis-
“historical” and “cultural” context. cover and recover) the mathematical tools deal-
We live in a time characterized by a growing ing with large systems: complex system
interest in what one may refer to as “large sys- dynamics, advanced statistics, and out-of-
tems,” i.e., portions of the universe, the state of equilibrium thermodynamics.
which is described by large amounts of param- Ionospheric physics will definitely benefit
eters. Remarkable examples of that may be from the outbreak of LSA. On the one hand,
found in several fields: the state of human popu- we have been exploring the ionosphere from
lation in terms of biological, medical, financial, some decades now, collecting a huge amount
or other personal data; social networks; genetic of all kinds of possible data, and these could
mappings; environmental, zoological, and botan- be processed by the new computing tools; on
ical large data, weather and climate data; and data the other hand, the future ionospheric cam-
describing markets, the economy, and the wealth paigns will be designed taking into account
of nations. the new possibilities of the LSA technology
This is historically determined by different (big data technology, neural networks, machine
factors. learning). It hence appears to be possible to
First, in a world economically and politically refresh and strengthen ionospheric science with
“globalized,” everything appears as in a “uni- new external contributions, i.e., with what is
versal village” within which action-reaction taught theoretically by dynamical system and
chains propagate very rapidly and ostensibly, complexity science, and with the enormous
attracting the attention of stakeholders, politi- opportunity of highly performing big data
cians, and people in general. bases, particularly suited for large systems as
Second, the unprecedented fast development population, healthcare, and geophysics. This
of information technologies and supercom- new contribution to ionospheric physics is
puters allows for lively processing of huge unprecedented, and as we are going to have
amounts of information, which renders it rea- new ways to interrogate ionospheric data, we
sonably useful to collect very big data. must have a clear mind about what questions
Last but not least, we have the development should be asked.
of Complexity Science, a “synergetic discipline” To focus on this, here an attempt is done to
putting together many fields of investigation revisit the Earth’s ionosphere as a complex, dynam-
and thought, in which the organizing effects of ical system, as complexity, i.e., “what comes out
interactions are investigated to understand the of the organizing role of interactions,” appears
functioning of composite systems. to be the best way to understand the Earth’s
In a formula, we can refer to all this by stating ionosphere dynamics. One must start from
that we are in “the outbreak of Large Systems’ Age” considering the ionosphere as a dynamical
xi
xii Preface
system, with a very high number of degrees of discusses the “Status” and the “Future Direc-
freedom, and governed by physical laws con- tions” of ionospheric science in Chapter 4. In
centrated in few simple equations of motion, Chapter 5, Phil Erickson gives an introduction
but leading to complex behaviors. According to the “Natural Complexity in Action” describ-
to this point of view, we list the phenomenol- ing the “Mid-Latitude Ionospheric Features,”
ogy that points toward this vision, and collect while Sandro Maria Radicella and Bruno Nava
some new experimental and theoretical results give a panoramic view of “Empirical Iono-
obtained thanks to it. spheric Models” in Chapter 6. The first part of
The structure of this book in some way tries to the book is closed by some recap about the
reflect a zoom-in approach to the ionospheric need to adopt a complex-dynamical description
complex dynamics: one starts from the complex- of the Earth’s ionosphere, given in Chapter 7
ity of large time- and space-scale behavior of the (“Wrap Up”).
Earth’s ionosphere, regarded as part of the Sun- Part II of the book is entitled “Global Com-
Earth dynamics. This global complexity is the plexity,” and describes the complexity of the
effect of non-linear couplings among the differ- Sun-Earth system on the large scale. Indeed,
ent sub-systems forming the Heliosphere: the the helio-geospatial system involves complex
near-planet space, the interplanetary medium, dynamics, which are manifested on the plane-
the Sun itself. After treating some interesting tary scale, or even larger scales.
aspects of global dynamics, the most challeng- Giovanni Lapenta gives a general and didac-
ing traits of local dynamics are discussed: the tic view of the “Complex Dynamics of the Sun-
so-called ionospheric irregularities, basically Earth Interaction” in Chapter 8, while Chapter 9
due to plasma instabilities and turbulence. is dedicated to the dynamics of geomagnetic
Which consequences should be drawn, as the storms and sub-storms, in Naomi Maruyama’s
global and the local dynamics of the Earth’s ion- “Storms and Sub-Storms.” The part is closed
osphere are accepted to be “complex”? New the- by Chapter 10, in which Mirko Piersanti and
oretical data analysis and experimental tools Brett Carter describe the highly dynamical and
should be introduced, and reviewing something technology-relevant phenomenon of “Geomag-
in this field is the aim of our book. netically Induced Currents.”
This zoom-in approach, which consists of In Part III, the small-scale effects of the iono-
global complexity, local irregularity, and new spheric complex dynamics are discussed as
ionospheric science, organizes the present book “Local Irregularities.”
into four parts. First, David Lee Heysell guides us “From
In Part I, entitled “The Earth’s Ionosphere, An Instabilities to Irregularities” in his Chapter 11,
Overview,” the ionosphere of our planet is in which the dynamic system approach is
described in a didactic way, yet addressing the applied to ionospheric plasma instabilities; next,
subject with an emphasis on the aspects of phe- the “Equatorial F Region Irregularities” in par-
nomenology pointing toward a more dynamical, ticular are discussed by Mangalathayil Ali Abdu
complexity science-oriented description of the Sr. in Chapter 12. “Scintillation Theory,” predict-
ionosphere. In particular, after a general intro- ing the effects of local irregularities on trans-
duction (Chapter 1), Michal Mendillo focuses ionospheric signals, is described by Dennis L.
his attention on two challenging aspects of the Knepp (Chapter 13).
ionospheric phenomenology: the “Day-to-Day Part IV of the book, “The Future Era of Iono-
Variability of the Ionosphere” (Chapter 2) and spheric Science,” is dedicated to the conse-
the “Ionospheric Conjugate Point Science: quence that we think one should draw on
Hemispheric Coupling” (Chapter 3). He then accepting the complex dynamical nature of the
Preface xiii
Earth’s ionospheric system: the idea is basically interrogating big data bases for ionospheric
to reorient the experimental and the theoretical studies is proposed by Asti Bhatta in
physics of the ionosphere borrowing ideas, lan- Chapter 17, “Big Data Mining and Networking
guages, and techniques from dynamical system Applied to the Earth’s Ionosphere.” Massimo
theory and complexity science. This part con- Materassi, Lucilla Alfonsi, Luca Spogli, and
tains examples of present research results that Biagio Forte describe some novel aspects of
we regard as already pointing toward this “Scintillation Modeling” in Chapter 18; still
development. about small-scale structures, the discussion in
Massimo Materassi discusses the origin of Chapter 19 by Paola De Michelis and Roberta
ionospheric complexity according to his point Tozzi sketches techniques for “Multiscale Anal-
of view in Chapter 14 (“The Complex Iono- ysis of the Turbulent Ionospheric Medium.”
sphere”), and describes how path integrals The final chapter, “The Future Ionospheric
may be used for ionospheric turbulence; Joshua Physics” (Chapter 20), contains a synthesis of
Semeter talks about “New High Resolution what the Editors consider to be the near future
Techniques to Probe the Ionosphere” in challenges of ionospheric physics, in view of
Chapter 15, and what they can bring to iono- what has been discussed throughout the book.
spheric science. Ionospheric complex dynamics
invokes the use of “Advanced Statistical Tools Massimo Materassi
in Near-Earth Space Science,” which Giuseppe Anthea J. Coster
Consolini and Massimo Materassi describe in Biagio Forte
Chapter 16, while the opportunity of Susan Skone
C H A P T E R
1
Introduction
Michael Mendillo
Department of Astronomy, Boston University, Boston, MA, United States
FIG. 1 Layers of the Earth’s ionosphere. From Bauer, S.J., Lammer, H., 2004. Planetary Aeronomy. Springer, New York.
middle, low and equatorial ionospheric regimes. ushered in the modern era of ionospheric
This view produced a high level of understand- research. The quaint notion of individual electri-
ing of individual processes acting within the fied layers stacked on top of each other, with lat-
global ionosphere. Yet, such a compartmentali- itude zones isolated from each other, has been
zation of the ionosphere is purely historical replaced by the new paradigm of coupling.
and today seems as a somewhat limiting frame- The historical foundation for coupling within
work for progress. This ensemble-of-layers the geospace domain had been set decades ear-
approach arose simply from sequential applica- lier via explanations of the causes of aurora. Thus,
tions of the initial formulation of ionospheric magnetosphere-ionosphere (M-I) coupling at
theory within the context of photo-chemical- high latitudes set the precedent for additional
equilibrium conditions (Chapman, 1931). So understanding of space physics system-science.
powerful was the respect for Sydney Chapman’s Today, solar-terrestrial relationships involve far
pioneering portrayal of the ionosphere that any more than the photon source of the ionosphere.
observational departure from Chapman Theory The chain of events leading to complexity starts
was called an anomaly (e.g., seasonal anomaly, with a coronal mass ejection producing modified
diurnal anomaly, equatorial anomaly). In real- solar wind plasma density, velocity, and magnetic
ity, the shortfalls were in the physics used, field characteristics. These, in turn, cause solar
and not with questionable diagnostic findings. wind-magnetosphere coupling—followed by M-
With the coming of the Space Age, new satel- I coupling. This classic scenario of Sun-Earth
lite instruments, much-improved radio and space physics is summarized schematically in
optical observing methods from the ground, Fig. 2. Yet, there is an additional component of
and advanced computer modeling capabilities coupling also shown in Fig. 2 that emerged from
1. Introduction
FIG. 2 Coupling components of upper atmosphere regions (NASA image).
5
6 1. Introduction
more recent research. When ionospheric variabil- Bauer, S., 1973. Physics of Planetary Ionospheres. Springer-
ity was found to be substantial during periods of Verlag, Berlin.
Bauer, S.J., Lammer, H., 2004. Planetary Aeronomy.
very quiescent solar and magnetospheric condi- Springer, New York.
tions, a source of nondownward coupling was Chapman, S., 1931. The absorption and dissociation or ion-
needed. This led to the concept of coupling from izing effect of monochromatic radiation in an atmo-
below—completing the paradigm of the iono- sphere on a rotating earth. Proc. Phys. Soc. Lond.
sphere being a fully linked surface-to-Sun atmo- 43, 26–45.
Charbonneau, P., 2017. Natural Complexity: A Modeling
spheric-plasma system. Handbook. Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ.
Altitude and latitude coupling on a global Hargreaves, J.K., 1995. The Solar-Terrestrial Environment.
scale have introduced levels of complexity that Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
are now the major foci of ionospheric research. Kelley, M., 2009. The Earth’s Ionosphere: Plasma Physics and
This chapter is a prelude to the issues treated in Electrodynamics, second ed. Elsevier Academic Press,
New York.
subsequent chapters—where various types of Knipp, D.J., 2011. Understanding Space Weather and the
complexity—a term still difficult to define Physics Behind It. McGraw Hill, Boston, MA.
(Charbonneau, 2017)—are introduced and Mendillo, M., Nagy, A., Waite, J.H. (Eds.), 2002. Atmo-
described. Here, the agenda is set by describing spheres in the Solar System: Comparative Aeronomy.
a few processes that are not simply latitude or In: Geophysical Monograph 130, American Geophysical
Union, Washington, DC.
altitude dependent. Such topics illuminate core Nagy, A.F., Galogh, A., Cravens, T.E., Mendillo, M., Muller-
concepts of altitude and latitude coupling, but Wodarg, I. (Eds.), 2008. Comparative Aeronomy.
treat them as universal processes. The focus is Springer, Berlin (also in Space Science Reviews, vol.
on a difference in approach to problems formerly 139, no. 1-4.).
treated as issues confined by spatial and tempo- Pr€
olss, G.W., 2004. Physics of the Earth’s Space Environment:
An Introduction. Springer-Verlag, Berlin.
ral boundaries. The goal is to continue fostering a Ratcliffe, J.A. (Ed.), 1960. Physics of the Upper Atmosphere.
transition of thinking about the ionosphere as Academic Press, New York.
depicted in Fig. 1 to the system depicted in Fig. 2. Rees, M.H., 1989. Physics and Chemistry of the Upper Atmo-
sphere. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
Rishbeth, H., Garriott, O.K., 1969. Introduction to Iono-
References spheric Physics. Academic Press, New York.
Schunk, R.W., Nagy, A.F., 2009. Ionospheres: Physics,
Banks, P.M., Kockarts, G., 1973. Aeronomy (Parts A and B). Plasma Physics and Chemistry. Cambridge University
Academic Press, New York. Press, Cambridge, UK.
2
Day-to-day variability of the ionosphere
Michael Mendillo
Department of Astronomy, Boston University, Boston, MA, United States
(with subharmonics). Taken as an overall sys- ionospheric variability about a monthly mean
tem, then, the ionosphere varies following < Nmax > under mid-day conditions can be por-
known periodicities blended with statistically trayed as follows:
varying episodic patterns that range from
minutes to decades. Is it possible to predict all ½σ total 2 ¼ ½σ sun 2 + ½σ mag 2 + ½σ met 2
(1)
of these cause-effect patterns? Is there some level ½20 25%2 ½3 6%2 + ½14 17%2 + ½14 17%2
of variability that is formally chaotic and thus an
ever-present level of uncertainty that can never A dramatic variation of these results occurs
be predicted? The first example of complexity when one of the sources of variability greatly
deals with this issue. exceeds the others. An example is shown in
Fig. 1B where the same days used in panel
(A) are selected from a high latitude location
2 Quantifying ionospheric variability: (the ISR in Svalbard). Due to auroral processes,
Peak electron density and total electron the daytime variability at all altitudes is greatly
content above that found at midlatitudes.
An alternative way to monitor the terrestrial
Magnitudes of ionospheric variability vary ionosphere is via observations utilizing tran-
with altitude. As an example, Fig. 1A shows sionosphere radio beacons (e.g., using geosta-
electron density profiles at noon for 32 consecu- tionary or GPS satellites). This method
tive days as measured by the incoherent scatter provides the integral of the full electron den-
radar at Millstone Hill. To the right, the standard sity (Ne) profile—with total electron content
deviations in percent are shown. For the maxi- defined as
mum electron density (Nmax), many studies ð
have documented both magnitudes and sources TEC ¼ Ne ðhÞ dh:
of variability (e.g., Forbes et al., 2000; Rishbeth
and Mendillo, 2001; Moore et al., 2006). The typ- Since most of TEC comes from the F-layer, TEC
ical procedure has been to use radio reflection is highly correlated ( 90%) with Nmax (Fox et al.,
(ionosonde) observations of mid-day Nmax 1991), and thus σ TEC(%) is also 20%–30%
values spanning a month at midlatitudes, and ( Johanson et al., 1978). Fig. 2 shows examples
to characterize variability as the standard devia- of diurnal TEC variability throughout a year.
tion in percent [σ(%)] about the monthly mean No local time and no seasonal condition is free
value. The selection of the midlatitude domain from variability. The extremes of high and low
is made because it exhibits all of the coupling TEC patterns are due to geomagnetic storm
processes that are now the topics of intense effects (Mendillo, 2006). All of the other days
study (Kintner et al., 2008). conform to the implications of Eq. (1).
The components of overall Nmax variability The overall message from Eq. (1) and, as por-
[σ total] can be attributed to changes in solar pho- trayed in Figs. 1 and 2, is clear: for both Nmax and
ton irradiance [σ sun], solar-wind-induced geo- TEC, the influence of solar irradiance is minimal
magnetic activity [σ mag], and meteorological in comparison to solar wind-magnetospheric
coupling from below [σ met]. The analysis sources of downward coupling and neutral
method used by Rishbeth and Mendillo (2001) atmosphere sources of upward coupling—with
treated such contributions as independent func- the latter two being comparable. This simply
tions. Following that approach, and guided by restates the fact that the bulk of the terrestrial
the numerical values used in Forbes et al. ionosphere is not fully described by internal
(2000) and Rishbeth and Mendillo (2001), photochemical equilibrium (Chapman-esque)
FIG. 1 Incoherent scatter radar measurements at Millstone Hill and Svalbard from October 4–November 4, 2002. Noontime
electron density versus altitude for each of the 32 days: (A) Millstone, with standard deviations (%), and (B) Svalbard with
standard deviations (%). Diurnal variation of the maximum electron density at 110 km (C) at Millstone Hill, with standard
deviations (%), and (D) from Svalbard, with standard deviations in percent (%). After Moore, L., Mendillo, M., Martinis, C.,
Bailey, S., 2006. Day-to-day variability of the E layer. J. Geophys. Res.: Space Physics 111 (A6), A06307, https://doi.org/10.
1029/2005JA011448.
processes. Plasma dynamics (diffusion along data sets led to the characterization of mid-
magnetic field lines, neutral wind coupling, latitude, low-altitude observed variability to be
electrodynamics) compete with PCE, and
σ total ðPCEÞ ¼ 7% 12%: (2)
changes in the thermosphere (waves and tides)
affect the abundance of neutral gases that are The Moore et al. (2006) modeling studies
ionized. showed that the contribution from solar input
For the pure-PCE component of the terrestrial (changes in flux and declination over a month)
ionosphere, as found at 110 km where molecu- was 8%–9%. The remaining contributions came
lar ions dominate, variability is much less from small changes in the neutral atmosphere.
because of the absence of significant contribu- Yet, at high latitudes affected by auroral pro-
tions from plasma dynamical processes. In their cesses, PCE variability can be as high as 50%,
study of sources of PCE variability, Moore et al. as shown using ionosonde data from Svalbard
(2006) used observations and modeling of mid- (Fig. 1D). In summary, while the solar photon
day conditions at midlatitudes. An example is contribution to ionospheric variability domi-
shown in Fig. 1C using ionosonde data from nates at low altitudes (Eq. 2), the opposite is true
Millstone Hill. Their finding from this and other at high altitudes (Eq. 1). While downward and
FIG. 2 A year of total electron content (TEC) data separated by month to portray ionospheric variability. The observations
were made using Faraday rotation measurements of the 137-MHz plane polarized beacon on the geostationary satellite ATS-3
from the AFCRL observatory at midlatitudes (Hamilton, MA). The traditional MKS units for TEC (1016 e/m2) are given on the
left axis; the axis on the right gives their correspondingly imposed time delay (in nanoseconds, ns) for a GPS-type
(L1 ¼ 1.575 GHz) frequency. A value of 20 TEC units results in a 10 ns of delay, causing a range error of 3 m. From
Mendillo, M., 2006. Storms in the ionosphere: patterns and processes for total electron content. Rev. Geophys. 47, RG4001. https://
doi.org/10.1029/2005RG000193.
upward coupling are comparable at middle lat- whole-atmosphere, global circulation model
itudes (Eq. 1), downward coupling dominates can, in principle, include all such processes. As
all sources at high latitudes (Fig. 1D). will be seen, however, the complexity of the
Understanding the complexity of ionospheric system-input and system-response functions
variability—to the point of achieving a predic- currently must rely on parameterizations of
tive capability—defines a frontier topic of 21st basic processes ranging from secondary ioniza-
century upper atmospheric physics. Initial tion by photoelectrons, to estimates of plasma
steps, such as the separation of processes convection and auroral precipitation patterns,
implied by Eqs. (1) and (2), are clearly an ideal- to the spectrum of gravity wave and tidal pat-
ized approach. In reality, the downward- terns in the neutral atmosphere.
propagating changes due to solar irradiance What should be the realistic goals for the sim-
and geomagnetic activity interact with indepen- ulation of such a complex system? Surely achiev-
dent upward propagating disturbances from the ing a 5% predictive capability would be a
troposphere-stratosphere-mesosphere system justifiable declaration of success. More probable
that derive their energy from the Sun as well is a 20%–25% capability for basic morphologies.
(but in very different ways). A self-consistent, For geomagnetic storm effects and ionospheric
3
Ionospheric conjugate point science:
Hemispheric coupling
Michael Mendillo
Department of Astronomy, Boston University, Boston, MA, United States
The foregoing discussion of ionospheric var- For the regions from auroral to equatorial lat-
iability focused on daytime conditions when itudes that span so much of the globe, the geo-
the magnitudes of plasma densities are the larg- magnetic field lines remain “closed” and
est. Yet, ionospheric variability does not cease interhemispheric coupling occurs via electrody-
at sunset. A second example of complexity namical processes. This vast ionospheric
deals with the plasma instabilities that can domain displays a systematic ordering of a mul-
dominate nighttime conditions across the titude of processes controlled by geomagnetic
globe. Changes in low nighttime magnitudes fluxtubes—with each end having the same mag-
of electron density can be quite large on a per- netic latitude (N and S) and longitude—the
centage basis, and thus the variability of the defining conditions for conjugate points. Yet,
nighttime ionosphere might present the great- due to the tilt of the magnetic dipole axis, there
est quantitative challenge to complexity theory. can be pronounced differences in ionospheric
Nighttime ionosphere topics were first studied storm effects at conjugate points (Mendillo and
at high latitudes during geomagnetic Narvaez, 2010). This occurs because of the
disturbances—where the optical manifesta- differences between geographic latitude (the
tions of disturbance (aurora) are ordered by crucial factor for solar production of the iono-
patterns of closed and open geomagnetic field spheric) and geomagnetic latitude (the control-
lines. Given such control by B-field morphol- ling factor for M-I coupling). Thus, all
ogy, effects of auroral substorms and geomag- conjugate points are not geophysically equiva-
netic storms were found to be similar in each lent. Moreover, by its very definition, conjugate
hemisphere if monitored at the north and south points have opposing seasonal conditions in the
ends of the same geomagnetic field lines. Such two hemispheres, and thus conjugate iono-
interhemispheric sites are called conjugate spheres present different “receptor conditions”
points. Yet, as discussed later, significant cases to any single disturbance source ordered by
of departures from conjugate consistency of (or affected by) season. There are several exam-
the aurora have also been found. ples to consider.
N Sata N Darwin
36 36
2000 34 34
32 32
1500 30 30
28 28
(deg.)
(deg.)
(km)
Lat.
Alt.
Lat.
126 128 130 132 134 E 126 128 130 132 134 E
Long. (deg.) Long. (deg.)
Studies using conjugate point ASIs from three midlatitude structures were carried out using
longitude sectors have thus confirmed the basic an all-sky imager at the Arecibo Observatory
electrodynamical mechanism of geomagnetic (Mendillo et al., 1997; Miller et al., 1997). The
fluxtube-aligned control of the ESF signatures wavelengths and speeds observed were typical
found from all-sky airglow imaging. Yet, when of medium-scale traveling ionospheric distur-
combining optical and radio results at conjugate bances (MSTIDs) associated with waves in the
points, Abdu et al. (2009) found coherence of neutral atmosphere. Yet, the structures observed
effects in one hemisphere, but not in both. This at Arecibo did not propagate over the full range
suggests conjugate point science offers an of azimuths found with earlier studies of
important way to approach the complexity of MSTIDs—rather, they had a narrow range of
large- versus small-scale irregularity signatures. northeast-to-southwest propagation vectors.
If images mapped between hemispheres agree Those characteristics led to the suggestion that
down to a scale size of 40 km, but radio sound- a specific type of plasma instability seemed to
ings show differences, does that scale size define be involved (Perkins, 1973), but one not fully
the onset of complexity? consistent with observations, and thus the
phrase “Perkins-like” came into use. A more
general name was suggested (electro-buoyancy-
2 Electrobuoyancy conjugate science waves) by Kelley et al. (2000) in order to distin-
guish them from the ionospheric corrugations
Incoherent scatter radar (ISR) observations at driven by waves in the neutral atmosphere
the Arecibo Observatory discovered unusual (gravity waves) that propagate in all directions.
corrugations in ionospheric densities with hori- Unfortunately, it has not been widely adopted.
zontal scale size of 100 s of kilometers (Behnke, The MSTID designation is still used, as will be
1979). The first optical studies of these done here.
FIG. 2 Example of a Medium-Scale Traveling Ionospheric Disturbance (MSTIDs) captured in 630.0-nm images from Boston
University all-sky imagers at the Arecibo Observatory (Puerto Rico) and the Mercedes Observatory (Argentina). Similarities
and difference occur at these conjugate points. From Martinis, C., Baumgardner, J., Wroten, J., Mendillo, M., 2018. All-sky-imaging
capabilities for ionospheric space weather research using geomagnetic conjugate point observing sites. Adv. Space Res. 61 (7), 1636–1651.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asr.2017.07.021.
The complexity of the auroral and polar ion- this has been observed for many years (e.g.,
osphere arises from the fact that while specific Frey et al., 1999). Yet, departures from conjugacy
processes are not mapped from one hemisphere have also been noted (Watanabe et al., 2007;
to the other, there is a remarkable degree of Reistad et al., 2013; Østgaard et al., 2015), and
coherence in high-latitude ionospheric mor- thus the specifics (and complexity) of auroral
phologies. The features shown for the northern conjugate effects are an active area of investiga-
hemisphere in Fig. 2 of Chapter 1 also exist in tion. In addition to conjugate topics, current
the southern hemisphere—auroral ovals, research focuses on the ever-decreasing scales
plasma convection patterns, and polar cap phe- sizes of plasma structures and optical emissions
nomena. It is the solar wind-magnetosphere capable of being observed with new high-
interaction that creates this symmetry on the resolution (spatial and temporal) radars and
largest of scales. During periods of enhanced optical systems.
geomagnetic activity, disturbances launched A recent example of the multisensor data
from tail regions due to magnetic field reconnec- fusion approach of auroral effects deals with
tion produce signatures in both hemispheres studies of GPS phase and amplitude scintilla-
that should be magnetically conjugate. Indeed, tions using an array of state-of-the-art
instruments in Alaska (Semeter et al., 2017). studies by increasing the time resolution of opti-
Radio propagation disruptions have long been cal and radar instruments to 1 s. For reference,
known to occur in ionospheric regions the images shown in Figs. 5 and 6 of Chapter 1
experiencing aurora (see textbook references required 2 min of integration times, and ISR data
mentioned earlier). The vast use of Global Nav- shown in Fig. 1 of Chapter 2 and the TEC data in
igation Satellite Systems (GNSS)—such as GPS Fig. 2 of Chapter 2 typically have resolutions of
for geolocation needs—has resulted in two several minutes.
coupled issues: (1) When will a GPS-to- Fig. 3 gives a set of high-resolution results
ground-receiver raypath experience loss of lock spanning 4 min on the night of October 7, 2015.
(LL) and thus removing it from service? and (2) The optical images show aurora at 557.7 nm
How can studies of the spatial-temporal details and the red circles show all of the GPS raypath
of the LL phenomenon advance our knowledge intersection points recorded by the nine
of the geospace system at high latitudes? Using receivers. The yellow star marks the imaging
an array of nine GPS receivers within the field- system’s location. In frame (a) all of the GPS sig-
of-view (FOV) of a single wide-field imaging nals are received unaffected by the aurora. As
system, Semeter et al. (2017) advanced such time progresses, a loss of lock is shown where
FIG. 3 An example of auroral research using new levels of spatial and temporal resolution for optical and radio observa-
tions. The images document the auroral green emission during a geomagnetic storm. Inserted within each frame are small red
circles that show where GPS raypaths to nine stations occur. When loss of lock (LL) happens, the red circles are turned into
bold X-notations. With data available every second, unprecedented definition occurs revealing that GPS degradation occurs
along the edges of auroral forms at E-region altitudes. From Semeter, J., Mrak, S., Hirsch, M., Swoboda, J., Akbari, H., Starr, G., et al.,
2017. GPS signal corruption by the discrete aurora: precise measurements from the Mahali experiment, Geophys. Res. Lett. 44, 9539–9546.
https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GL073570; see text.
Space Weather. In: Geophysical Monograph Series, geomagnetic conjugate points. Ann. Geophys.
vol. 215. American Geophysical Union (Chapter 11) 22, 3137–3143. https://doi.org/10.5194/angeo-22¼3137-
https://doi.org/10.1002/9781118978719. 2004.
Otsuka, Y., Shiokawa, K., Ogawa, T., Wilkinson, P., 2002. Sobral, J.H.A., Abdu, M.A., Pedersen, T.R., Castilho, V.M.,
Geomagnetic conjugate observations of equatorial air- Arruda, D.C.S., Muella, M.T.A.H., … Bertoni, F.C.P.,
glow depletions. Geophys. Res. Lett. 29, 15. https:// 2009. Ionospheric zonal velocities at conjugate points
doi.org/10.1029/2002GL015347. over Brazil during the COPEX campaign: experimental
Otsuka, Y., Shiokawa, K., Ogawa, T., Wilkinson, P., 2004. observations and theoretical validations. J. Geophys.
Geomagnetic conjugate observations of medium-scale Res. 114 (A4), A04309. https://doi.org/10.
traveling ionospheric disturbances at midlatitude using 1029/2008JA013896.
all-sky airglow imagers. Geophys. Res. Lett. 31. Stephan, A., Colerico, M., Mendillo, M., Reinisch, B.,
https://doi.org/10.1029/2004GL020262. Anderson, D., 2002. Suppression of equatorial spread
Perkins, F., 1973. Spread F and ionospheric currents. F by sporadic E. J. Geophys. Res. 107 (A2), 1021.
J. Geophys. Res. 78, 218. https://doi.org/10.1029/2001JA000162.
Reistad, J., Østgaard, N., Laundal, K., Oksavik, K., 2013. On Tsunoda, R., 1985. Control of the seasonal and longitudinal
the non-conjugacy of nightside aurora and their genera- occurrence of equatorial scintillations by the longitudinal
tor mechanisms. J. Geophys. Res. Space Physics gradient in integrated E region Pederson conductivity.
118, 3394–3406. J. Geophys. Res. 90, 447.
Semeter, J., Mrak, S., Hirsch, M., Swoboda, J., Akbari, H., Watanabe, M., Kadokura, A., Sato, N., Saemundsson, T.,
Starr, G., Hampton, D., Erickson, P., Lind, F., 2007. Absence of geomagnetic conjugacy in pulsating
Coster, A., Pankratius, V., 2017. GPS signal corruption auroras. Geophys. Res. Lett. 34. https://doi.org/10.
by the discrete aurora: precise measurements from the 1029/2007GL030469.
Mahali experiment. Geophys. Res. Lett. 44, 9539–9546. Weber, E., Buchau, J., Eather, R., Mende, S., 1978. North-
https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GL073570. south aligned equatorial airglow depletions.
Shiokawa, K., Otsuka, Y., Ogawa, T., Wilkinson, P., 2004. Time J. Geophys. Res. 83, 712–716. https://doi.org/10.1029/
evolution of high-altitude plasma bubbles imaged at JA083iA02p00712.
4
Status and future directions
Michael Mendillo
Department of Astronomy, Boston University, Boston, MA, United States
In this brief overview of ionospheric mor- same system that, in turn, is formed by many
phologies and processes, a number of well- coupled subsystems. The foremost lesson from
understood mechanisms have been identified. the foregoing examples is that ionospheric vari-
These include production and loss of iono- ability, ESF onset/growth/suppression, and
spheric plasma, dynamical influences upon MSTID dynamics occur when the Sun and solar
photochemical systems, and instabilities that wind are either quiet or disturbed. That does not
occur within those systems. The concept that mean that solar and heliospheric conditions are
coupling occurs between individual processes uninvolved, but that the interplay between local
within the ionosphere, as well as between alti- effects and external drivers is poorly understood
tude and latitude regimes above and below due to the complexity of the system. Equally com-
the ionosphere, is not a new idea. Considerable plex is the auroral and polar ionosphere where
progress has been made in the understanding of the response is regulated entirely by the degree
individual coupling scenarios. These include of disturbance of the solar wind. That fundamen-
energetic particles in the magnetosphere and tal paradigms exist that are mutually inclusive
the aurora they produce in the high-latitude and exclusive surely encourage the search for
atmosphere; waves and tides in the mesosphere meaningful analyses from complexity theory.
as a source of dynamics and energy deposit in Finally, ionospheric physics was and remains
the thermosphere; couplings between gravity a data-driven science. The tools of complexity
waves in the thermosphere and ionospheric per- research can thus be tuned to every-increasing
turbations within the same system; the electro- data sets and to varying modes of data usage.
buoyance wave phenomena generated entirely Observations of the ionosphere’s total electron
within the ionosphere; relationships between content are now made from over 6000 ground
large- and small-scale spatial effects and long- stations observing over 30 GPS satellites.
and short-term temporal effects in the auroral Nearly 100 all-sky-imagers are distributed
ionosphere. The need for new insights from worldwide, and there are over 30 SuperDarn
complexity theory arises from the fact that so radars at polar, high, and middle latitudes.
many mechanisms are in progress within the At the onset of 2019, current satellites making
ionospheric observations include DMSP and Volume, Variety, Veracity, and Velocity. These
SWARM, with GOLD and ICON in service. An refer to the number of observing instruments,
unprecedented impact upon auroral research the diversity of such platforms, the reliability
from “citizen science” teams is now a reality of data obtained, and speed at which data can
(MacDonald et al., 2018). Such a data-driven sci- be analyzed. When the message of Fig. 2 of
ence requires innovative uses of scientific obser- Chapter 1 (showing the diversity of science
vations. These include data assimilation by topics relevant to ionospheric physics) is
models running in real time and the application merged with the Geospace data sources in
of complexity protocols to created science yield. Fig. 1, there is little doubt that the theories and
As shown in Fig. 1, McGranaghan et al. (2017) tools being developed for complex systems have
have identified four aspects of data termed a worthy topic in the Earth’s ionosphere.
FIG. 1 An illustration of the relationship between new sources of data and their impact upon the data-driven science of the
geospace environment. From McGranaghan, R., Bhatt, A., Matsuo, T., Mannucci, A., Semeter, J., Datta-Barus, S. 2017. Ushering in a
new frontier in geospace through data science. J. Geophys. Res. Space Phys. 122, 12,586–12,590. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017JA024835.
5
Mid-latitude ionospheric features:
Natural complexity in action
Philip J. Erickson
Atmospheric and Geospace Sciences Group, MIT Haystack Observatory, Westford, MA,
United States
by Carpenter, 2015). Dispersive properties of the neutral atmosphere ionization from solar
VLF waves as received at ground stations sources (Singh and Horwitz, 1992; Lemaire
allowed derivation of the total electron density and Gringauz, 1998; Denton et al., 2012). The
encountered as the wave propagated along the time span dictated by classical production and
field line. Using a relatively small number of loss theory is in practice long enough that the
spatially distributed southern latitude monitor- system does not remain stationary to subse-
ing stations, VLF-based studies quickly found quent storm-driven reconfigurations.
that a large change in field-aligned electron con- In the modern era, global navigation satellite
tent existed as one proceeded magnetically systems (GNSS)-based TEC global measure-
north within mid and subauroral magnetic lati- ments (Rideout and Coster, 2006) provide a far
tudes. This was thought to be characteristic of a greater spatial and temporal sampling cadence
solar XUV created and diffusively dominated that has been profitably applied to mid-latitude
mid-latitude ionosphere, bound to corotating studies. When combined with mid-latitude inco-
field lines, transitioning to dynamic high- herent scatter radar altitude-resolved measure-
latitude regions, where diffusion processes were ments of plasma density and temperature (e.g.,
overtaken by strong electrodynamic and trans- Foster et al., 2002), observations have provided
port forcing. A relatively simple organizing further and even more compelling evidence of
principle emerged, consisting of a sharp, abrupt, mid-latitude plasma structure and variation that
and single magnetically aligned plasma density is characterized by not a single boundary, but an
transition in each hemisphere, termed the plas- interchange region whose characteristics are
mapause (Angerami and Carpenter, 1966; constantly in dynamic flux. Accordingly,
Carpenter, 1966). The plasmapause thus delin- Carpenter and Lemaire (2004) and Darrouzet
eated more dense, corotating plasma regions et al. (2009) assimilated these and other observa-
from less dense but more transport-dominated tional ionosphere and plasmasphere findings
regions. and replaced the notion of a single plasmapause
However, within a decade, the relatively with a plasmasphere boundary layer (PBL). This
fixed view of a static inner plasmasphere was more comprehensive paradigm is well suited to
quickly observed to have significant and com- complexity approaches, since variability and
plex time-dependent deviations from this prin- instability naturally arise from the combined
ciple. Statistical studies of electron density overlap of cold, dense solar produced plasma
spatial structure using ionosonde and VLF with hot, tenuous plasma having origins in the
observation networks along with fixed satellite equatorial plane inner magnetosphere’s plasma
beacon TEC observations (e.g., Mendillo and sheet.
Klobuchar, 1975) concluded that the simple,
static picture of a sharp and stable plasmapause
2.2 Frontier questions on PBL-region
almost never occurred. In fact, at an aggregate
level, the coupled inner magnetosphere-
ionospheric variability
ionosphere system was found to be nearly Since PBL regions are often observed in a
always in a state of dynamic recovery from geo- state of flux, research questions for PBL dynam-
magnetic storm-driven energy inputs ics are similar to those of ionospheric variability
(Carpenter and Park, 1973). This was partially and provide ample motivation for complexity
due to the long postdisturbance times (hours approaches. For instance, what drivers of PBL
to days) required to diffusively refill a long complexity are quasistable and can be numeri-
(1000 s of km), hemisphere-spanning magnetic cally determined to the point of predictability?
mid-latitude flux tube with plasma through Alternately, which are seemingly random
as the Millstone Hill ionospheric measurements. stream instability (Farley, 1960). This sets up a
TEC is an integrated quantity out to 20,000+km highly coherent plasma wave structure which
altitude, but is dominated by ionospheric can interact and shape fine-scale electron density
electron density (typically more than 50%). and velocity features within the larger SAPS
A clear ionospheric SED plume, associated with envelope through electrodynamic action driven
fast SAPS flow, can be seen stretching over by a highly variable electric field (Foster et al.,
North America from the dusk sector toward 2004a; Mishin and Burke, 2005). Fig. 3 provides
the noontime high-latitude ionosphere. an example, adapted from Erickson et al. (2002),
of dynamic and spatially diverse poleward elec-
tric field structure observed with coherent scatter
3.2 Mid-latitude fine-scale structure
radar techniques (Foster and Erickson, 2000). The
associated with SAPS/SAID
plot demonstrates that even within a broad SAPS
The presence of mid-latitude ion flow through envelope (not shown), the observed ionospheric
the low-velocity background ionosphere is poleward electric field or equivalently magnetic
inherently unstable to the Farley-Buneman two westward velocity can have superimposed
Subauroral electric field structure Millstone Hill radar November 13, 1998
850
SAID-like
800 structures
750
Range, km
700
SAPS
650
spatial
envelope
(not shown)
600
550
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
Time past 19:20 UT, minutes
20 40 60 80 100 120
Electric field approximate strength, mV/m
FIG. 3 SAPS fine-scale electric field structure. During this intense geomagnetic storm event, the broad mid-latitude SAPS
envelope is seen to break up into multiple narrow features with short lifetimes, providing highly structured velocity fields
within the mid-latitude ionosphere. Modified from Erickson, P.J., Foster, J.C., Holt, J.M., 2002. Inferred electric field variability in
the polarization jet from Millstone Hill E region coherent scatter observations. Radio Sci. 37 (2), 1014–1027.
ionospheric structuring that can at times rival sunward mass flux is a product of both avail-
that seen at equatorial latitudes. able electron density and cross-field ion veloc-
A second example from DMSP observations ity, this change shows that large storm-time
later in the event at 18:42 UTC, near the peak of mid-latitude horizontal mass fluxes in the
the magnetic storm, is plotted in Fig. 5, with ionosphere can abruptly shift by hundreds of
data products shown in each panel in a similar kilometers in spatial location in response to
manner as in Fig. 4. Here, the equatorial extent rapid changes in electrodynamic forcing and
of electron precipitation is seen at much lower response.
magnetic latitudes of 54Λ but without the clear
ring current precipitation effects of the earlier
storm period. The main dynamic feature at
3.3 Resolving theories of SAPS/SAID
subauroral latitudes in this example is the
motion and larger-scale structuring of the SAPS
and SED structure
field over 19-min time separation at the same Relevant for this chapter, comprehensive
afternoon sector MLT (curves in lower panel) understanding of the dynamics of these fea-
despite a nearly time-stable electron density lat- tures, and especially their associated iono-
itude profile within the PBL (third panel). Since spheric fine-scale temporal and spatial
coupling-based approach also has a unifying human origin VLF transmissions (Foster
property, adapting into the larger framework et al., 2016).
many previous findings on storm-time electron
density structuring. These include positive
phase dusk sector ionospheric density enhance- 5 Mid-latitude ionospheric irregularities
ments in limited longitude regions (Mendillo
and Klobuchar, 1975), SED at F-region heights As a final mid-latitude ionospheric complex-
(e.g., Foster, 1993), ionospheric source connec- ity example, PBL-region plasma interchange
tions to width and density of plasmaspheric and overlap provides ample energy for the
plumes (Foster et al., 2002; Goldstein and development of sharp, embedded temporal,
Sandel, 2005), and large cross-field transport of and spatial gradients, along with cascade pro-
plasma against corotation in the dusk sector cesses that can transfer energy from large scales
(Foster and Erickson, 2013) where it competes to small ones. Steadily improving observational
with large positive mid-latitude storm-time capabilities within magnetosphere-ionosphere
electron density production (Heelis et al., 2009). coupling regions led to the realization that a
A dynamic complexity approach also informs number of embedded ionospheric irregularities
predictions and refinements in understanding (Fejer and Kelley, 1980), considered not to occur
for ionospheric and PBL-connected effects on at mid- and subauroral latitudes, were in fact
other geospace system processes known to be ubiquitous. In particular, decameter irregulari-
important. Recent successes of this methodology ties were unexpectedly discovered at magneti-
include the identification of ionospheric origin cally quiet times within the PBL. These came
plasmaspheric plume material as having direct from observations with the mid-latitude Super-
impact on storm-time Sun-Earth system energy DARN HF radar network (Greenwald et al.,
input, as cold ionospheric plasma flow out- 2006), originally constructed for the purpose of
wards through the inner magnetosphere partic- detecting high-latitude convection patterns
ipates in negative feedback regulation to large during intense storms with greatly expanded
coronal mass ejection and geomagnetic inputs auroral ionospheric flows. The low-velocity
by slowing dayside reconnection through irregularities, acting as tracers for quiet time ion-
mass-loading field lines at the magnetopause ospheric motions, unexpectedly occurred 70%
(Walsh et al., 2014; Borovsky, 2014). The pres- of the time (Ribeiro et al., 2012). However, more
ence of cold dense ionospheric origin plasma than one plausible instability generation mecha-
in the inner magnetosphere also has profound nism exists, including gradient drift instabilities
impacts for understanding outer radiation belt (GDI) fed by opposed electron density and ion-
production mechanisms through wave-particle ospheric velocity gradients (Simon, 1963) and
interactions which create the relativistic energy nonlinear evolution of temperature gradient
outer radiation belt. In particular, elevated cold instabilities (TGI) with opposed electron density
ionospheric electron density emanating from the and electron temperature gradients at the plas-
highly structured PBL is now understood in masphere edge (Hudson and Kelley, 1976;
superstorm cases to have a large precondition- Greenwald et al., 2006; de Larquier et al., 2014;
ing impact on electron cyclotron resonance Eltrass and Scales, 2014; Eltrass et al., 2014). Both
efficiency (e.g., Abel and Thorne, 1998), shifting conditions can exist in the PBL, and nonlinear
resonance to be highly efficient at producing effects also become important (e.g., Keskinen,
ultrarelativistic electrons from 100 s of keV 1984). The exact quantitative balance of these
substorm-injected “seed” particles ( Jaynes two mechanisms in creating PBL irregularities
et al., 2015) in combination with strong VLF fre- and ionospheric structure remains an unre-
quency waves provided by whistlers and solved frontier research topic, requiring both
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6
Empirical ionospheric models
Sandro M. Radicella, Bruno Nava
The Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics, Trieste, Italy
As far as ionospheric models are concerned, “climate” or average conditions and regular var-
they are needed essentially to “predict” in time iations of ionospheric parameters. Their repre-
and space the behavior of ionospheric character- sentation of the ionosphere is realistic in
istics and to specify the conditions of the iono- geographical areas sufficiently covered by
sphere as required by the advanced observations.
technological systems that depend on radio sig- Being the scope of this chapter, these types of
nal propagation. Of course they are needed also models will be described in detail in the next
to improve our understanding about the iono- sections.
sphere and the near space environment. Indeed In the physics-based or theoretical models, con-
numerical experiments done with the models to servation equations (continuity, momentum,
study different processes can be a convenient energy, etc.) are solved numerically for electrons
alternative to direct measurements. and ions as a function of spatial and time coor-
Like all geophysical models, the ionospheric dinates to calculate electron and ions densities,
models may need different types of input data. temperatures, and flow velocities of species.
Well-established databases are also needed to Data sources are magnetospheric (convection
validate the models and to test systematically electric field and particle precipitation) and
the modifications leading to model improve- atmospheric parameters (neutral densities, tem-
ments and evolution. peratures, and winds). These models are power-
ful tools to understand the physical and
chemical processes of the upper atmosphere.
2 Ionospheric models Their accuracy depends on the quality and
quantity of input data (including their error esti-
In this chapter, the use of “ionospheric mates) but also on possible “missing physics,”
model” denotes a description of an ionospheric when not enough knowledge of all physical pro-
parameter, like the electron density, in three cesses involved is available. Examples of these
space dimensions and time. Global or regional models are the Global Ionosphere Thermo-
specifications of ionospheric parameters like sphere Model (GITM) described by Ridley
total electron content (TEC) derived from GNSS et al. (2006) and the SAMI 3 three-dimensional
observations are not considered here. global ionospheric model described by Huba
Ionospheric models are based on the need to et al. (2008).
specify the behavior in space and time of the The parameterized models are based on orthog-
electron density in the ionosphere, but several onal function fits to data output of physics-
of them are able to describe other parameters based models. These data are obtained from
like ion and electron temperatures, ion densities, model runs performed for various heliogeophy-
and ionospheric drifts. An important aspect to sical conditions and the parameterization is usu-
take into account is the fact that “all-purpose” ally done in terms of solar, geomagnetic activity,
ionospheric models do not yet exist. and season. These models describe the climatol-
Empirical models are based on the description ogy of the ionosphere. They are computationally
of ionospheric parameters with mathematical fast and able to retain the physics of the theoret-
functions derived from historic experimental ical models, mainly for well-specified geophys-
data. Sources of data are ground ionosondes, ical conditions. One example of this type of
topside sounders, incoherent scatter radars, model is the Parameterized Ionospheric Model
rockets, and satellites. They are easy to use for (PIM) built combining physics-based models
assessment and prediction purposes. In their output of GITM for low and middle latitudes,
standard way of operation, they describe the Utah State University Time-Dependent
We will now, having left the tombs, turn our attention to the
temples. Some we find upon the edge of the Háger, others a little
way back upon it. The greater number of those that were once here
have been completely razed to the ground, nothing now remaining of
them except fragments of statues, the foundations of walls, and the
bases of pillars; all of which are buried in rubbish heaps. There are,
however, some singularly interesting exceptions which demand
particular notice. Fortunately, though it hardly looks like chance, the
temple-palaces of Sethos, of the great Rameses, and of Rameses
III., are still standing. These were built by the two great conquerors
of the nineteenth, and the great conqueror of the twentieth dynasties.
Why did not other Pharaohs erect similar structures? The reason is
not far to seek. It is here present in the case of these three kings,
and is absent from the cases of other kings. The funds necessary for
such structures had to be procured by looting Asia, and a great part
of the work had to be done by captives taken in war. And we know
that at this time it was the custom for those kings of Egypt, who
contemplated great works, to begin their reigns with raids into Asia,
for the express purpose of collecting the gold and the slaves that
would enable them to carry out their designs. It was the good old
rule, the simple plan, that those should take who had the power.
These great and famous expeditions, in truth, were only imperial
slave hunts, and imperial brigandage, in which not petty tribes of
African negroes, but the (for those times) civilized nations of Asia,
and not a few travellers, but the inhabitants of great cities and
kingdoms, were the victims. These great builders, administrators,
and soldiers, who believed of themselves that they had already been
received into the hierarchy of heaven, could not have understood in
what sense they could have done ill in building themselves a wide
house, and large chambers, and ceiling it with cedar, and painting it
with vermilion; though they doubtless would have thought that it
would have been ill, even for an Egyptian Pharaoh, to build his
house by unrighteousness, and his chambers by wrong, to use his
neighbour’s service without wages, and to give him not for his work.
But how any question of unrighteousness and wrong could arise
between Pharaoh and strangers, people who were not Egyptians,
would have been something new and incomprehensible to Pharaoh.
I once asked a fisherman’s boy who was unconcernedly breaking up
a basketful of live crabs to bait his father’s dab-nets, if it was not
cruel work that he was about? ‘No,’ he replied, ‘because it is their
business to find us a living.’ Somewhat in the same way did Pharaoh
think of the outside world; and in much the same way, too, did he
treat it, when he wished to build himself a temple-palace. In these
temple-palaces one hears the groans, and sees the blood, of those
who were broken up alive to build them.
There are no buildings in the old world so full of actually written
and pictured history as these three temple-palaces, for each of them
contains records of the achievements and life of the builder, as they
were regarded by himself, and of his religion, as it was understood
by himself. The grandest of the three is the Memnonium, or, as it
ought to be called, the Rameseum. Here lived the great Rameses.
He designed it, built it, and made it his home. He built it after his
great Asiatic campaigns. How often here must he have fought his
battles o’er again.
The Rameseum bears the same relation to all the other buildings
of old Egypt that the Parthenon does to all the other remains of
Greek architecture. It was built at the culminating point of Egyptian
art and greatness. The conception was an inspiration of a
consciousness of excellence and power. Everything here is grand,
even for Egypt; the lofty propylons, the Osirid court, the great halls,
and, above all, the colossal statue of the king seated on his throne, a
monolith of red granite, weighing nearly 900 tons, and which is now
lying on the ground in stupendous fragments, its overthrow having
been probably the work of the vengeful Persians. Nothing can
exceed the interest of this grand structure. It included even a
spacious library, on the walls of which were sculptured figures of the
god of letters, and of the god of memory. Over the door by which it
was entered was the famous inscription, ‘The medicine of the mind.’
And this more than three thousand years ago: and yet we may be
sure that it did not contain the first collection of books that had been
made in Egypt, but only the first of which we have any record. We
know that they had been keeping a regular register of the annual
rising of the Nile then for nearly a thousand years, and that their
written law ante-dated this library by between two and three
thousand years. Both of these facts, to some degree, indicate
collections of books. By a concurrence of happy chances, which
almost make one regret that a grateful offering can no longer be
made to good fortune, papyrus-rolls have been found dated from this
library, and in the Háger behind have been discovered the tombs of
some of the Royal librarians.
The temple-palace, at Cornéh, of Sethos, the father of Rameses,
though built with all the solidity of Egyptian architecture in its best
days, is a very much smaller structure than the Rameseum. What
remains of it is in very good preservation. It stands about a mile to
the north-west of the latter building, some little way back in the
Háger, and on somewhat higher ground, near the entrance of the
Valley of the Kings. On one of the sphinxes belonging to it are
inscribed the names of all the towns in the Delta Sethos conquered.
This is an important record, as it shows either that the Semites had
been able to some extent to re-establish themselves in the Delta, or
that they had never been thoroughly subjugated, in that part of the
country, before the time of Sethos. The work, however, was now
done thoroughly, for from this time we do not hear of any troubles
that can be assigned to them. The sculptures on the walls of this
palace are in the freest and boldest style. They relate chiefly to
religious acts and ceremonies. As Sethos was the designer and
builder of the chief part of the stupendous hypostyle Hall of Karnak, it
was not because his architectural ideas were less grand than those
of his son that his palace was so much smaller. I can imagine that
the reason of this was that he was desirous that none of his attention
and resources should be diverted from his great work, which was
enough of itself to tax to their utmost all the powers both of the king
and of the kingdom. It raises him in our estimation to find that his
greatest work was not his own palace, but the hall in which the
ecclesiastical diets of Egypt (of course the members were priests)
were to be held; for though he was a Pharaoh, and a conquering
Pharaoh too, he could see that the kingdom was greater than the
king, and that to do great things well one thing must be done at a
time.
A little to the south of the Rameseum is the third of these temple-
places. It is that of the third Rameses. This, though not so grand and
pure in style as the Rameseum, has been better preserved. Upon it,
and within it, are the ruins of a Coptic town. The crude brick
tenements perched on the roof, and adhering to the walls of the
mighty structure, reminded me of the disfigurements of the obelisk of
Heliopolis, and of the propylons of Dendera, by the mud-cells which
insect architecture had plastered over them. So wags the world.
Squalid poverty had succeeded to imperial splendour. But the same
fate had waited upon both. The towers of kings, and the hovels of
the poor, are now equally desolate and untenanted. One of the
courts of the palace had been metamorphosed by the Copts of the
neighbourhood into their church. From the expense which must have
been incurred in effecting this transformation it is evident that they
once formed here a numerous body. The community, however, has
entirely disappeared from this place, and nothing—absolutely
nothing—has come in its stead. They say in the East that where the
Turk sets his foot grass will not grow; but this is true of El Islam
generally. It is great at pulling down and destroying, but not equally
great at reconstructing.
The Christian church and the Egyptian temple are alike deserted.
The old Egyptian and the Coptic Christian have both completely
vanished from this scene. It is curious as we stand here, with equal
evidence before us of the equal fate of both, to observe how little
people think about the fate of the latter in comparison with what they
think about the fate of the former; and yet there are, at all events,
some reasons to dispose us favourably, and sympathizingly, towards
our Coptic co-religionists. If the causes of the feeling could be
analyzed, would it be found to have arisen from a half-formed
thought that there was no gratitude to be felt to the poor Copt for
anything he had done, and that the world had no hope of anything
from him? Or would it be because there is really little to interest the
thought in the fortunes of a community, of which we know little more
than that, by having changed the law of liberty into a petrified
doctrine, they had gone a long way towards committing moral and
intellectual suicide?
In one of the private apartments of this temple-palace of Rameses
III. the sculptures represent the king seated on a chair, which would
not be out of place at Windsor, or Schönbrunn. His daughters are
standing around him, offering him fruit and flowers, and agitating the
air with their fans. He amuses himself with a game of drafts, and with
their conversation.
Somewhat in advance of these temple-palaces of the two
Rameses, stand on the cultivated plain the two great colossi of
Thebes. The space between them is sufficient for a road or street.
The easternmost of the pair is the celebrated vocal Memnon of
antiquity. It is covered with Roman inscriptions placed upon it by
travellers, who were desirous of leaving behind them a record of the
fact, that they had not been disappointed in hearing the sound. That
was an age when the love of the marvellous, combined with
ignorance of what nature could, and could not, do, prepared, and
predisposed men, for being deceived. There can be no doubt how
the sound was produced. There is in the lap of the seated figure an
excavation in which a priest was concealed, who, when the moment
had arrived, struck a stone in the figure, of a kind which rang like
brass. The Arabs now climb into the lap in a few seconds, and will
for a piastre produce the sound for you at any hour of the twenty-four
you please. The Emperor Hadrian heard three emissions of the
sound on the morning he went to listen. This is a compliment we are
not surprised to find the statue paid to the ruler of the world.
This colossus was erected by Amunoph III., a name which, by an
easy corruption, the Greeks transformed into Memnon, just as they
changed Chufu into Cheops, Amenemha into Mœris, and Sethos
into Sesostris.
Behind these colossi stood a temple which had been erected by
the same Amunoph. Nothing now remains of this temple but its
rubbish heap, and its foundations. It was, however, once connected,
architecturally, with the temple he had built at Luxor, on the other
side of the river. The street that connected them was called Street
Royal. This was the line Sethos, and the two Rameses, must always
have taken, in going from their palaces on the western bank to Luxor
and Karnak on the eastern side. It must have been about three miles
in length. The line of this Royal Street is marked by the two still
standing colossi. The fragments of a few others have been found.
Those that remain are sixty feet in height. This must have been a
grand street, with the two temples at its two ends, and part of it, at all
events, consisting of a dromos of such figures.
I have already mentioned that a sphinx-guarded street, about two
miles long, ran from Luxor to Karnak. I have also pointed out that the
north-west angle of the great enclosure of Karnak was connected, to
the eye, with the temples of the western Háger. The precise spot
upon the Háger where a temple had been made conspicuous to the
eye from Karnak, was what is now called Assassef. Of course from
Assassef the lofty structures of Karnak were in full view. In order to
place the temple at Assassef reciprocally in view to the spectator
standing at Karnak, it was necessary to remove a part of the natural
rock wall of the eastern side of the valley of Assassef, and this had
been done. The distance from Karnak to Assassef is somewhat over
three miles. From this point temples and temple-palaces were
continuous along the edge of the Háger, in front of the Necropolis, as
far as the western extremity of the Royal Street. Thus was
completed the grand Theban Parallelogram. The circuit of the four
sides measured, I suppose, about ten miles. It included every one of
the great structures of Luxor, Karnak, and Thebes. There can be no
doubt but that the lofty propylæa, and obelisks of Luxor and Karnak
were intended to be seen from a distance. As the site of Thebes
was, of itself, somewhat elevated above the sites of Luxor and
Karnak, there was no occasion for obelisks at Thebes; as also they
would have been backed by the mountains to one looking from the
other side of the river, they would have been inconspicuous, and
therefore this architectural form was not used at Thebes: though,
indeed, I believe no instance remains to show that it was ever used
on that side of the valley, on which the sun set.
The structural connexion of all the mighty, magnificent buildings
throughout these ten miles was the grand conception of Rameses
the Great, of which I spoke some way back. There never were, we
may be quite sure, ten such miles, elsewhere, on the surface of this
earth. It is rash to prophesy, but we may doubt whether there ever
will be ten such miles again. We may, I think, say there will not be,
unless time give birth to two conditions. The first of the two is, that
communities should become animated with the desire to do for
themselves what these mighty Pharaohs did for themselves in the
old days of their greatness; and as man is much the same now that
he was then, and as private persons are capable of entertaining the
same ideas as kings, there is no à priori reason against the
possibility of this. The second condition is, that machinery should
eventually give us the power of cutting and moving large blocks of
stone at a far cheaper rate than is possible, with that already mighty
assistant, at present. For, as the world does not go back, we may be
sure that myriads of captives, and of helpless subjects, will never
again be employed in this way. It is quite conceivable that the mass
of some community may come to feel itself great, the feeling being in
the community generally, and not only in the individual at its head;
and should they at the same time entertain the desire that the
magnificence of their architecture should be in proportion to, and
express, the greatness of their ideas and sentiments, then the world
may again see hypostyle halls as grand as that of Karnak, and
magnificence equal to that of the Osirid Court of the Rameseum:
with, however, the difference that they will be constructed by, and for,
the community. In this there would be no injury in any way to any
one, and there would be nothing to regret, for those who had raised
such structures, and were in the habit of using them, would perhaps
on that account be less likely to be mean, and little, in the ordinary
occurrences of life. At all events there would be nothing demoralizing
in making machinery the slave to do the heavy drudgery required in
their construction.
Rameses the Great was the Alexander of Egypt. His lot was cast
in the palmiest days of Egyptian history. He was the most
magnificent of the Pharaohs. None had such grand ideas, or gave
them such grand embodiment. He carried the arms of Egypt to the
utmost limits they ever reached. As one stands at Karnak, Thebes,
and Abydos, before the sculptures he set up, and reads in them the
records of his achievements, and of the thoughts that stirred within
him, the mind is transported to a very distant past—but though so
distant, we still may, by the aids we now possess, recover much of
its form and features. Let us then endeavour to construct for
ourselves some conception of his great expedition from the materials
with which the monuments and history supply us.
Egypt is very flourishing. Pharaoh has an army of 700,000 men
and great resources, and so he becomes dissatisfied at remaining
idle in his happy valley. There is a wonderful world up in the north-
east. He would like to be to that world what we might describe as an
Egyptian Columbus and Cortez in one. He wishes to signalize the
commencement of his reign with some achievement that will be for
ever famous. But these distant people have never wronged him: they
had never burnt his cities, or driven off his cattle. If they have ever
heard of the grandeur of Egypt, they can hardly tell whether it
belongs to this world of theirs, or to some other world.
Considerations, however, of this kind do not affect him.
But there are many difficulties in his way. The very first step of the
proposed expedition will carry his army into a desert of some days’
journey. How is this desert to be crossed? That is disposed of by the
answer that his father Sethos, and even some of the predecessors of
Sethos on the throne of Egypt, had crossed it.—But how is his army
to be supported in that unknown world beyond? How are provisions
to be procured, for they cannot be supplied from Egypt? The people
they will invade can support themselves; what they have must be
taken from them, and war must be made to support itself.—But
supposing all goes well as they advance, how shall they ever get
back, with their arms worn out, and their ranks thinned, and with a
vengeful foe barring their return with fortified places, and swarming
upon them from every side? They must, on their outward march,
raze all these fortified places, and make as clean a sweep as they
can of the population of the countries they pass through.—And how
shall the Egyptians live when Nature shall assail them with frost and
snow? Will their linen robes be then sufficient? They must do what
they can. They will be able to take the woollen garments of the
enemies they destroy. The difficulties, then, could not deter him. He
must see this great and wonderful world outside. He must flaunt his
greatness in its face. He must collect the treasures and the slaves
that will be required for building the mighty temples and palaces he
contemplates. These monuments he must have; and he will record
upon them that he did not, in raising them, tax and use up Egyptians.
And so it becomes a settled thing that he and his armies shall go
forth from Egypt. It would not have been the East had not the host,
with which he was to go forth, been a mighty one—as God’s army,
the locusts, for multitude. Everything must be on a grand scale; and
everything must be foreseen and provided for, as is the custom of
the wise Egyptians.
Then began a gathering of men, of horses, of chariots, of asses,
such as had never been seen on the earth before—as much greater
than other gatherings as the Pyramids were greater than other
buildings. In those mighty structures they had had an example, now
for a thousand years, of the style and fashion in which should be
carried out whatever Egypt undertook. Day and night were the
messengers going to and fro on the bank, and on the river. Many
new forges were put in blast, many new anvils set up. Never had the
sound of the hammer been so much heard before, never had been
seen before so many buyers and lookers-on in the armourers’
bazaars. There were canvas towns outside the gates of Thebes, of
This, of Memphis, and of other great cities. Never had so many
horses been seen picketed before; men wondered where they all
had come from. On the river there were boats full of men, and boats
full of grain, to people and to feed the canvas towns. Never had the
landing-places been so crowded before. Many a river trader, in those
days, had to drop away from his moorings against the bank, to make
room for the grain-boats and the troop-boats of the great king. Never
had the temples been so full before: never had there been so many
processions, and so many offerings. The gods must be propitiated
for the great expedition: it must be undertaken in their names.
Mightier temples and richer offerings must be promised for the return
of the king and of the host, when they shall bring back victory. Many
said in those days of preparation, ‘The gods be with the king and
with his armies.’ Many said in their hearts, ‘Who can tell? The gods
had made Egypt great, but would they go forth from Egypt? The king
was as a god, but could he do all things?’ This was an issue that
could not be forecast.
Such was the talk of many in the mud-built villages, as well as in
hundred-gated Thebes, in old Abydos, in discrowned Memphis, and
in all the cities of all the gods—for every god had his own city.
Nothing else had much interest, either in the mansions of the rich, or
in the hovels of the poor. The wives and daughters of the people—
while in the evening they walked down to the river-side with their
water-jars, or, when the sun was down, clustered together at the
street-corners and at the village-gate, sitting on the ground—had
never tarried before so long at those watering-places, those gates,
and those street-corners. And all the while the musterings and the
preparations went on like the work of a machine, for the king had the
whole people well in hand, and he bent all Egypt to the work as if it
had been one man.
And everything is now complete. The last processions and
offerings have been made. The aid of the gods has been promised.
The priests had thought that Egypt, at all events, would be secure,