Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Globalisation and
Energy Transition in
Latin America and
the Caribbean
Economic Growth and
Policy Implications
Globalisation and Energy Transition in Latin
America and the Caribbean
Matheus Koengkan • José Alberto Fuinhas
Globalisation and
Energy Transition in
Latin America and the
Caribbean
Economic Growth and Policy Implications
Matheus Koengkan José Alberto Fuinhas
Department of Economics, CeBER and Faculty of Economics
Management, Industrial Engineering University of Coimbra
and Tourism (DEGEIT) Coimbra, Portugal
University of Aveiro
Aveiro, Portugal
© The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer
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Contents
1 Introduction 1
2 Renewable
Energy Transition and Globalisation in the
Latin American and Caribbean Region: A Five-Decade
Picture 7
3 Does
Financial Openness Expand the Renewable Energy
Investment in Latin American Countries? 27
4 The
Interactions Between Renewable Energy
Consumption, Economic Growth, and Globalisation:
Fresh Evidence from the Mercosur Countries 63
5 The
Energy-Economic Growth Nexus in Latin American
and Caribbean Countries: A New Approach with the
Globalisation Index101
6 Impact
of Trade Openness on the Consumption of Fossil
Fuels in Latin American and Caribbean Countries137
v
vi Contents
7 The
Role of the Globalisation Process in Mitigating
Carbon Dioxide Emissions in Latin American and
Caribbean Countries175
8 Does
the Energy Transition Process Decrease the
Environmental Degradation in Latin American and
Caribbean Countries?199
9 Conclusions245
Index253
About the Authors
vii
List of Figures
ix
x List of Figures
xiii
xiv List of Tables
Introduction
The process of renewable energy transition followed the same trend as the
globalisation process, where according to IEA (2018) the installed capac-
ity of renewable energy from biomass, hydropower, solar, photovoltaic,
wind, wave, and waste in a million kilowatts was 12,935 (million kilo-
watts) in 1989 and reached a value of 38,648 (million kilowatts) in 2014.
Indeed, the increase in renewable energy exerts a positive effect on the
environment by reducing carbon dioxide emissions (CO2) from the con-
sumption of fossil fuels that are responsible for environmental degrada-
tion, global warming, and climate change (Fuinhas et al., 2021; Koengkan
et al., 2019d).
The evidence that the renewable energy transition followed the same
trend of the globalisation process in the Latin American and Caribbean
(LAC) region, as mentioned before, motivated the investigation of the
central question of this book: Is the process of the renewable energy tran-
sition in the LAC countries influenced positively by globalisation? In the
literature, the effect of globalisation on renewable energy transition
remains underexplored. Koengkan et al. (2019a) point out that the cur-
rent literature has focused on understanding the influence or effect of
globalisation on a specific industry or national level and has left aside the
way in which globalisation impacts progress in renewable energy. The glo-
balisation literature includes a diversity of sub-topics: economics, energy,
about this topic. Therefore, the first specific objective of this book is to
assess the positive effect of financial openness on renewable energy invest-
ment diffusion in Latin American countries. The second is to assess the
positive effect of globalisation in interactions between renewable energy
consumption and economic growth and the negative effect of globalisa-
tion and renewable energy on the consumption of fossil fuels in the
Mercosur countries. Third, the positive reaction of the consumption of
fossil fuels to trade openness and negative reaction from renewable energy
consumption in LAC countries will be assessed, and results from the prior
analysis will be extended and confirmed. Fourth is to assess the negative
effect of the renewable energy transition on environmental degradation in
the LAC countries and extend and confirm some results from the prior
analysis. Moreover, these four specific questions gave rise to four empirical
essays that will answer each specific question and the central question of
this book.
The motivation that promotes the realisation of this book is related to
the process of globalisation of LAC countries that have been represented
by numerous integration associations, trade blocs, free trade agreements,
and trade and financial and economic liberalisation that have grown in the
last 30 years. This process of integration and openness with the rest of the
world is a potential factor that induces higher economic growth and, con-
sequently, energy consumption and environmental degradation.
However, the LAC countries have adopted mechanisms to reduce the
consumption of non-renewable energy and CO2 emissions caused indi-
rectly by globalisation. For this reason, it is necessary to understand how
this same globalisation interacts with these mechanisms—in other words,
“renewable energy transition”. That is, to show that globalisation can help
the economic transition from one based on hydrocarbon consumption to
one based on renewable energy sources and their contribution in reducing
environmental degradation.
The realisation of this book becomes stronger in a moment that protec-
tionist and anti-globalisation movements have been growing significantly
in the entire world, beginning in the 1990s and intensifying after the
global financial crisis that occurred in 2007–2008. Moreover, in the last
years, the role of globalisation and its impact on related issues, such as
energy, environment, income, and inequality, have been discussed in sev-
eral international forums and initiatives, for example, G20 (Group of
Twenty) Buenos Aires summit 2018, World Economic Forum Annual
4 M. KOENGKAN AND J. A. FUINHAS
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CHAPTER 2
2.1 Introduction
This book arises as the renewable energy transition has accelerated and
become a policy arena, that is, an area of concern for many governments.
Energy transition does not occur in a vacuum, and it was shaped and influ-
enced over time by a broader, deep shift. The energy transition is not just
about energy or a change in energy sources or simply replacing technology
with other more efficient means. It is a paradigm shift that has been chang-
ing profoundly in the energy world, where there exists a change in the
values of security, robustness, and reliability. Therefore, the existing energy
systems rooted in these values have been replaced by new systems based
on sustainability, affordability, and flexibility, allowing new ways of pro-
ducing and consuming energy (Fuinhas et al., 2021a; World Energy
Council, 2019a).
The literature does not offer a precise definition for “energy transi-
tion”. Smil (2010) points out that the expression does not have a precise
or widely accepted meaning. However, it is often used to describe changes
in the energy matrix from fossil to renewable sources. This change has
been taking place progressively from an established energy system (fossil)
to a new one (renewable). Such a transition can be analysed from a global
perspective or a local one. Hauff et al. (2014) have used the “energy tran-
sition” term as a structural transformation in the energy sector, indicating
a growing trend of the share of green energy sources combined with the
promotion of energy efficiency to reduce fossil fuel energy consumption.
In this sense, it gives a clear objective of reducing environmental degrada-
tion. However, this definition is misinterpreted, reducing the conceptual
scope of the term by emphasising one type of change, namely, that from
non-renewable energy sources to renewable ones. Thus, there is no single
energy transition but rather various local experiences.
Indeed, the green energy transition and energy efficiency have been the
two main international action priorities to mitigate the effects of climate
change (Fuinhas et al., 2021b; World Energy Council Report, 2019b).
The two are related to the uncontrolled increase in the level of carbon
dioxide emissions (CO2) that consequently have set off a worldwide alarm
signal (Fuinhas et al., 2017). This increase is contributed significantly to
greenhouse gas emissions (GHGs) and, consequently, global warming and
climate change (Koengkan et al., 2019a). Indeed, carbon dioxide contrib-
utes to 77% of greenhouse gases that contribute to climate change, while
methane contributes to 14% and nitrous oxide 8% (Khan et al., 2014).
The global GHGs, mainly the CO2 emissions, have increased since the
1970s (IPCC, 2014). However, these emissions grew the most rapidly
between 1990 and 2014, from 33 megatons of CO2 equivalent (MtCO2eq)
in 1990 to 48 MtCO2eq in 2014, an increase of 1.5% during this period
(Bárcena et al., 2019). Bárcena et al. (2019) point out that 78% of this
increase is related to the consumption of non-renewable energy sources
(69%) and industrial processes (9%). Khan et al. (2014) confirm this affir-
mation, indicating that most of these emissions emanate from the residen-
tial and industrial sectors and directly from energy consumption. GHGs
take place through direct emissions from the consumption of non-green
energy sources for power, heating, and cooking.
In Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) region, the situation is no
different from that of the rest of the world. GHGs had an increase of 0.7%
between 1990 and 2014 (from 3414 MtCO2eq in 1990 to 4020
MtCO2eq in 2014). Indeed, this increase is related to change in land use
and forestry (35%) and energy consumption (35%) (e.g., Fuinhas et al.,
2021c; Bárcena et al., 2019). This has also been found by Koengkan et al.
(2019a), where in the LAC region, liquid fuels account for 60.8% of total
CO2 emissions. However, coal is only a modest contributor, with 7.6%
in 2013.
2 RENEWABLE ENERGY TRANSITION AND GLOBALISATION IN THE LATIN… 9
Regarding the structure of GHGs in the LAC region, the energy sector
had participation of 28% in 1990, with change in land use and forestry at
45%, agriculture 21%, industrial processes 2%, waste 4%, and boiler fuels
1%, while in 2014 the consumption of energy had participation of 46%,
agriculture 23%, changes in land use and forestry 19%, industrial processes
4%, waste 6%, and boiler fuels 2% (Bárcena et al., 2019). Thus, despite the
growth in emissions between 1990 and 2014, the region is a minor con-
tributor per capita to the world’s GHG, accounting for about 11% of total
global emissions (Fuinhas et al., 2017).
This increase of GHGs in the LAC region is directly related to eco-
nomic growth in the region, and the latter increases the consumption of
energy and, consequently, emissions. According to World Bank Open
Data (2021), the LAC’s GDP per capita growth (annual %) had an average
annual rate of approximately 1.44% between 1989 and 2014 (see Fig. 2.1).
In 1989 the GDP per capita (current US$) was US$2319.10, and in
2014 it was US$10,405.50 (see Fig. 2.2).
In the Latin American and Caribbean region, the increase of GDP per
capita is related to adopting structural and stabilisation programmes
imposed by the International Monetary Fund (IMF). These adjustment
programmes are neoliberal policies that consist mainly of opening their
6
5
4
3
Annual growth (%)
2
1
0
1997
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
–1
–2
–3
–4
Fig. 2.1 Evolution of GDP per capita growth (annual %) in Latin America and
the Caribbean (1989–2014). (The authors created this figure using the World
Bank Open Data database (2021))
10 M. KOENGKAN AND J. A. FUINHAS
$12,000
Per capita current (US$)
$10,000
$8000
$6000
$4000
$2000
$0
1989
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
2013
Fig. 2.2 Evolution of GDP per capita (current US$) in Latin America and the
Caribbean (1989–2014). (The authors created this figure using the World Bank
Open Data database (2021))
2500
2000
kWh per capita
1500
1000
500
0
1989
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
2013
Fig. 2.3 Evolution of electric power consumption (kWh per capita) in Latin
America and the Caribbean (1989–2014). (The authors created this figure using
the World Bank Open Data database (2021))
(%) of total energy consumption
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
1989
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
2013
Fig. 2.4 Evolution of renewable and fossil fuel energy consumption (% of total
energy consumption) in Latin America and the Caribbean (1989–2014). (The
authors created this figure using the World Bank Open Data database (2021))
was found by Koengkan et al. (2019a) where, between 1971 and 2013,
the gross domestic product (GDP) from the LAC countries had an aver-
age annual growth rate of approximately 3.0%, while energy consumption
grew about 5.4%. In 1989, 70.84% of this energy consumption came from
fossil fuel energy sources, and in 2014 this value reached 73.3% of the
total energy consumption (see Fig. 2.4).
12 M. KOENGKAN AND J. A. FUINHAS
All this clarified how important it was for the energy sector to create
initiatives to mitigate these emissions. Therefore, energy planning must
consider a climate change scenario, where additional efforts are directed to
limiting emissions from the energy sector, especially in developing coun-
tries such as the LAC countries, where there are expectations of an increase
in energy consumption. Indeed, renewable energy transition energy is a
part of the solution that will play an essential role in mitigating energy
consumption from non-renewable energy sources responsible for GHG
emissions, environmental degradation, and global climate changes.
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
(%) of total
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
Oil Coal Gas
Hydropower Nuclear Wind
Solar Other renewables
Fig. 2.5 Energy consumption by source in Central and South America between
1970 and 2015. Energy consumption is measured in terawatt-hours (TWh); other
renewables include geothermal, biomass, and waste energy. (The authors created
this figure using Our World in Data (2021) database)
New renewable energy sources underwent rapid growth from the end
of the 1990s, but in 2015 comprised only 3.44% of the total installed
power capacity in the LAC region, with wind contributing 1.02%, solar
0.09%, and other renewables 2.33% (see Fig. 2.5).
Moreover, the installed capacity of green energy sources more than
doubled between 2006 and 2012, where the installed capacity in 2006
was 11.3 gigawatts (GW) and in 2012 reached 26.6 GW (see Fig. 2.6).
This increase was driven by biomass and waste that make up most of
this growth and the significant development of small hydro and wind
(Flavin et al., 2014). Indeed, this increase results from high levels of
investment made in green energy sources, which in 2005 was US$4.6 bil-
lion and in 2015 reached US$16.4 billion (IRENA, 2016). In this period,
investment in renewable energy sources grew 13% between the 2000s and
2013 (Koengkan et al., 2019c). Moreover, renewable energy
14 M. KOENGKAN AND J. A. FUINHAS
45
40
35
Million Kilowatts
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
2005
1989
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2007
2009
2011
2013
Fig. 2.6 Evolution of installed renewable energy capacity (million kilowatts)
from biomass, hydropower, solar, photovoltaic, wind, wave, and waste in Latin
America and the Caribbean from 1989 to 2014. (The authors created this figure
using the IEA database (2018))
consumption in the LAC region was 32.43% of the total energy consump-
tion in 1990 and in 2014 reached a value of 27.08% (see Fig. 2.4).
This rapid expansion of green energy sources in the LAC region is asso-
ciated with the fast process of globalisation in the region that positively
impacts economic growth and consequently increases energy demand.
Therefore, new investments in green energy technologies are necessary
(Santiago et al., 2022; Koengkan et al., 2019c). Moreover, globalisation
has facilitated access to technological advances via trade and financial lib-
eralisation and contributes to the region’s increase in renewable energy
capacity (Koengkan et al., 2019a). In particular, financial development
increases capital stock and reduces the cost of financing, facilitating invest-
ment in renewable energy technologies (Koengkan et al., 2019a;
Mazzucato & Semieniuk, 2018; Kim & Park, 2016; Sbia et al., 2014).
This reduction in costs is one of the driving forces that encourage invest-
ment in renewable energy sources in recent years and has caused a signifi-
cant reduction in their costs (Griffith-Jones et al., 2017).
Furthermore, Mazzucato and Semieniuk (2018) indicate that financial
development increases public and private capital stocks. However, they
conclude that only public capital can promote renewable energy
2 RENEWABLE ENERGY TRANSITION AND GLOBALISATION IN THE LATIN… 15
p. 32). In the 1990s, as mentioned before, the LAC region grew and was
integrated into the world. Indeed, in the first half of the 1990s, most LAC
countries adopted unilateral opening policies (e.g., reducing their tariffs
and eliminating other trade restrictions). Moreover, several regional agree-
ments within the framework of Asociación Latinoamericana de Integración
(ALADI) were strengthened in this period. For example, Mexico joined
the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), and the Common
Market of the South (Mercosur) was created. Between 1990 and 1999,
LAC imports grew at an average rate of 11%, while its exports increased at
an average rate of 8.1%, improving its share in world trade (Terra, 2003,
p. 138). Hence, trade in the LAC region in the 1990s was characterised by
growth with much higher rates of imports than exports. It should be
recalled that imports had been drastically reduced in the wake of the debt
crisis that followed the Mexican financial crisis of 1982 (Ventura-Dias
et al., 1999, p. 20). Then, imports had a vital role in modernising the
production process. The modern machines and better industrial inputs
contributed to the technological upgrading of the industrial basis in the
region (Ventura-Dias et al., 1999). Moreover, in 1989, the trade (% of
GDP) in the region was 31.7% and, at the end of 2003, reached a value of
(42.8%), an increase of 35.01% between 1989 and 2003 (see Fig. 2.7).
50
40
Trade (% of GDP)
30
20
10
0
1989
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
2013
Fig. 2.7 Evolution of trade (% of GDP) in Latin America and the Caribbean
(1989–2014). (The authors created this figure using the World Bank Open Data
database (2021))
18 M. KOENGKAN AND J. A. FUINHAS
Financial liberalisation in the LAC region followed the same trade lib-
eralisation, with the resumption of capital inflow in the LAC region after
the Brady plan in the early 1990s. The magnitude of the financial liberali-
sation in the LAC region can be grasped with the index of capital mobility.
In the 1980s, the index capital mobility was 40 and in the 1990s rose to
about 75, normalising completely free capital mobility at 100 (Aizenman,
2005, p. 4). Moreover, the financial liberalisation caused by the Brady plan
promoted the entrance of flows of foreign direct investments (FDI). As a
result, FDI flows worldwide grew dramatically between 1990 and 1997.
Indeed, the developing countries received the most of these flows, where
their share of these flows was 15% in 1990 and reached a value of 38% in
1997. Latin America was no different; these flows increased from US$8
billion in 1988 to US$55.3 billion in 1997 (Birch & Halton, 2008). The
increase of FDI flows in the region aligns with Fig. 2.8, where these flows
were US$18 billion in 1989 and reached a value of US$93 billion in 2003.
The FDI inflows to the LAC region in the 1990s evolved in three
phases (Birch & Halton, 2008, p. 18). First, between 1990 and 1993, the
investors favour acquiring already existing assets. However, between 1994
and 1996, most investments were directed to large-scale projects via
restructuring of existing foreign firms or modernising recently privatised
firms. Finally, in 1997, acquiring existing assets to consolidate the market
700
600
BoP, current (US$)
500
400
300
200
100
0
1989
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
2013
Fig. 2.8 Evolution of foreign direct investment (FDI), net inflows per capita
(BoP, current US$) in Latin America and the Caribbean between 1989 and 2014.
(The authors created this figure using the World Bank Open Data database (2021))
2 RENEWABLE ENERGY TRANSITION AND GLOBALISATION IN THE LATIN… 19
power became the most common form of foreign investment in the region.
As a result, more money was spent purchasing existing private assets than
privatisation.
Moreover, during the 1990s, the LAC region had registered an increase
in FDI in industries related to natural resources and the energy sector
(Koengkan, 2018; Birch & Halton, 2008, pp. 18–20). For example, in
Argentina between 1990 and 1996, the energy sector, gas, and the water
industry were the leading FDI recipients in the country, receiving 26%;
the petroleum and natural gas industry received 15%, the chemical prod-
ucts industry sector 11%, and food, beverages, and tobacco and financial
services, each with 10%; in Brazil in 1990, the chemical industry accounted
for 14%, falling to 11% in 1995. Between 1996 and 1997, the electricity,
water, and gas investments soared 23% of the total FDI inflows, mainly
due to privatisation over the last three years. The financial sector accounted
for 10%, reflecting the restructuring of the Brazilian banking system; Chile
accounted for 47% of the total FDI inflows between 1974 and 1996 in the
mining and quarrying sector. Other services received 25%, while manufac-
turing received 16% of all inflows between 1990 and 1996. The energy,
gas, and water sector soared from a 3% share between 1990 and 1996 and
reached 27% in 1997. This change is due largely to the acquisition of part
of the Chilean electric company Enersis by the Spanish company Endesa-
España; Mexico received 49% of inflows between 1981 and 1993, which
was evenly divided between the manufacturing and services sector.
Indeed, between 1994 and 1996, the machinery and equipment sector
received 24% of these inflows, reflecting the substantial investment in the
automotive, electronics, and electrical equipment industries. The food,
beverages, and tobacco sector received 12%, the finance and insurance sec-
tor 11%, and other services 10% of these inflows. In 1997, food, bever-
ages, and tobacco received 36% of these inflows. Indeed, the entrance of
these FDI inflows during the 1980s–1990s for the energy sector in Latin
America reduced the high investment and maintenance costs of renewable
energy projects via public-private partnerships (PPP) to narrow the gap in
financing (Coviello et al., 2012). The reduction of these costs increased
electricity generation from renewable energy plants. Electricity generation
from small and large hydro dams in the LAC region was 55% in the 1970s
and reached 67% in the 1990s, as Flavin et al. (2014) mentioned.
However, this process of globalisation that began in the 1970s with
trade and financial liberalisation intensified with a “commodities boom”
that occurred between 2004 and 2014, whereby the region had an
20 M. KOENGKAN AND J. A. FUINHAS
5000
4500
4000
BoP, current (US$)
3500
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
1991
2007
1989
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
2009
2011
2013
Fig. 2.9 Evolution of exports and imports of goods and services per capita (BoP,
current US$) in Latin America and the Caribbean between 1989 and 2014. (The
authors created this figure using the World Bank Open Data database (2021))
2 RENEWABLE ENERGY TRANSITION AND GLOBALISATION IN THE LATIN… 21
boom was responsible for the growth in the manufacturing sector that led
to FDI inflows into the largest economies in the region, with 61% of total
FDI inflows in Mexico and 38% in Brazil. The green energy sector received
5% of these FDI inflows from 2005 to 2007. However, from 2015 to
2017, this sector was the main recipient of new FDI inflows, receiving 26%
of these inflows. The investments in new renewable energy, domestic and
foreign, reached US$6.2 billion each in Brazil and Mexico in 2017,
US$1.8 billion in Argentina, and US$1.5 billion in Chile. Indeed, most
projects in these countries involved investments in solar (35%) and wind
(32%) technology between 2005 and 2017.
These two phases in the insertion of LAC economies between 1989
and 1992 and 2004 to 2014 influenced the degree of globalisation of the
region’s economies. For example, the KOF globalisation index (2021),
created by Dreher (2006) to measure globalisation based on economic,
social, and political dimensions on a scale from 1 to 100, where 100 indi-
cates a globalised country, indicates that in 1989 the degree of de facto
globalisation in the LAC region was 43.80, and reached a value of 60.5 in
2014, an increase of 38.12% between 1989 and 2014 (see Fig. 2.10).
Moreover, as can be seen, the process of renewable energy transition
followed the same trend of the globalisation process, where according to
70
60
Scale from 1 to 100
50
40
30
20
10
0
2009
1989
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2011
2013
Fig. 2.10 Evolution of KOF globalisation index de facto (scale from 1 to 100)
in Latin America and the Caribbean between 1989 and 2014. (The authors cre-
ated this figure with the database from the KOF globalisation index (2021))
22 M. KOENGKAN AND J. A. FUINHAS
IEA (2018), the installed capacity of renewable energy from hydro, bio-
mass, photovoltaic, solar, wind, and waste in a million kilowatts was
12,935 million kilowatts in 1989 and reached a value of 38,648 million
kilowatts in 2014. Indeed, the increase in renewable energy exerts a posi-
tive effect on the environment by reducing CO2 emissions from the con-
sumption of fossil fuels that are responsible for environmental degradation,
global warming, and climate change (Koengkan et al., 2019d).
References
Ahumada, C., & Andrews, C. W. (1998). The impact of globalisation on Latin
American states: The cases of Brazil and Colombia. Administrative Theory &
Praxis, 20(4), 452–467. http://www.jstor.org/stable/25611309
Aizenman, J. (2005). Financial liberalisations in Latin America in the 1990s: A
reassessment (NBER Working Paper Series, 11145, pp. 1–30). https://www.
nber.org/papers/w11145
Balza, L. H., Espinasa, R., & Serebrisky, T. (2016). Lights on? Energy needs in
Latin America and the Caribbean to 2040 (pp. 1–39). Inter-American
Development Bank. https://publications.iadb.org/en/publication/17053/
lights-energy-needs-latin-america-and-caribbean-2040
Bárcena, A., Samaniego, J., Galindo, L. M., Carbonell, J. F., Alatorre, J. E.,
Stockins, P., Reyes, O., Sánchez, L., & Mostacedo, J. (2019). A economia da
mudança climática na América Latina e no Caribe. CEPAL, 1–61. https://
repositorio.cepal.org/bitstream/handle/11362/44486/1/S1801217_pt.pdf
Birch, M. H., & Halton, G. (2008). Foreign direct investment in Latin America in
the 1990s: Old patterns, new trends, and emerging issues. Latin American
Business Review, 2(1–2), 13–31. https://doi.org/10.1300/J140v02n01_03
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Sbia, R., Shahbaz, M., & Hamdi, H. (2014). A contribution of foreign direct
investment, clean energy, trade openness, carbon emissions and economic
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Smil, V. (2010). Energy transitions: History, requirements, prospects. Praeger
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Terra, M. I. (2003). Trade liberalisation in Latin American countries and the
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Vásquez, I. (1996). The Brady plan and market-based solutions to debt crises.
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Ventura-Dias, V., Cabezas, M., & Contador, J. (1999). Trade reforms and trade
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uploads/2019/02/1.-World-E nergy-I ssues-M onitor-2 019-I nteractive-
Full-Report.pdf
CHAPTER 3
3.1 Introduction
Non-renewable resources, such as coal and oil, have long been used as
energy sources and are vital for long-term economic growth. However,
the intensive use of such resources has adverse environmental conse-
quences, fuelling climate change. Therefore, it is crucial to count on reli-
able, affordable, and economically viable renewable energy services (UN
Commission on Sustainable Development, 2007) to achieve sustainable
development without compromising the environment. To this end, finan-
cial funds are required, and thus, financial liberalisation may play a signifi-
cant role. This chapter assesses the impact of financial openness on the
dissemination of renewable energy investment in Latin American countries.
The development of renewable energy sources enhances the diversifica-
tion of the energy matrix and mitigates the consumption of non-renewable
energy resources and CO2 emissions while increasing energy security
(Rifkin, 2011). Improving renewable energy technologies is considered an
ideal solution for achieving sustainable development without degrading
the environment. Therefore, many countries have been promoting the
development of renewable energies.
In Latin America, the process began in the mid-1970s, in Brazil with
hydropower plants in 1973 and biofuels in 1975; in Uruguay and Paraguay
with hydropower plants also in 1973; followed by Argentina with biomass,
350
300
New Investment in USD billion
250
200
150
100
50
0
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
Fig. 3.1 Global trends in renewable energy investment between 2004 and 2018.
New investment United States Dollar (USD) billion. (The authors created this
figure with the database from the IEA (2020))
3 DOES FINANCIAL OPENNESS EXPAND THE RENEWABLE ENERGY… 29
of 471.53 (kWh per capita) in 1970 to 2155.70 (kWh per capita) in 2014
(World Bank Open Data, 2021).
Financial liberalisation in Latin America has undergone distinct stages.
In the 1960s, a period of import-substitution industrialisation economic
policies with state control over the financial sector prevailed, leading to
significant financial costs related to the mismanagement of public banks
and atrophied financial systems (La Torre et al., 2012).
The 1980s, a period of economic stagnation and accelerated inflation,
coined “the lost decade”, comprised the 1982–1989 debt crisis (Aizenman,
2005) and witnessed changes in the management of economic policies.
The Brady plan, designed in the US to address Latin America’s debt crisis,
restored the inflow of foreign capital to the region in the early 1990s. In
addition, a set of comprehensive economic reforms were pursued. For
example, Argentina, Brazil, and Mexico introduced economic stabilisation
programmes and initiated trade and financial liberalisation with the priva-
tisation of some state-owned companies (Aizenman, 2005). Adopting
such reforms boosted capital mobility in Latin America (from about 40%
in the 1980s to 75% in the 1990s) (Aizenman, 2005).
These developments motivated the central question of this chapter:
What is the effect of financial openness on renewable energy investment
diffusion in Latin American countries? The more specific issues resulting
from this main interrogation are:
(a) What are the possible explanations for the identified effects?
(b) What is the causality nexus underlying the links between the assessed
variables in Latin American countries?
3.3.1 Method
The PARDL model, in the form of a UECM, is used to decompose the
total effects of the variables into their short- and long-run components
(Koengkan et al., 2019a, d). This model was developed by Granger (1981)
and by Engle and Granger (1987) and was upgraded by Johansen and
Juselius (1990). They introduced cointegration techniques that allow
identifying long-run relationships among non-stationary series and their
parametrisation into an error correction model (ECM) (Nkoro &
Uko, 2016).
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No. Expended in this Service for Boats Freight, and 28 4 0
25 other Charges in embarking the Troops, Landing
and reimbarking them from time to time as
occasion required, subsistence to them and for
Information, Guides, etc.
Wal: Grosett.
II
Lieutenant-General Handasyde to Walter Grossett
By the Honble Roger Handasyde Esqr Lieutenant
General and Commander in Cheif of All His Majesty’s
Forces, in North Britain etc.
Whereas it has been found Injurious to His Majesty’s
Service that any Boats shou’d pass from Leith to Kinghorn
or from Kinghorn to Leith, These are therefore Requiring
All Magistrates, Justices of the Peace, Constables and
Others concerned to be Aiding and Assisting to you in
bringing all the Passage Boats and Yauls from Kinghorn
and all other places on the North Side of the Forth to the
Harbour of Leith where they are to be kept till His
Majesty’s Service shall allow of their being returned to
their Respective Ports.
Given under my hand at Edinburgh this 26th Novemr
1745.
R: Handasyde.
To Walter Grosett Esqr Collector of
His Majesty’s Customs.
III
Lieutenant-General Handasyde to Walter Grossett
By the Honble Roger Handasyd Esqr. Leutt General and
Commander in Chief of all His Majs Forces in North
Brittain.
Whereas it has been found Injurious to His Majesties
Service that any Boats should pass from the North or
South sides of the Forth or that any Vessells whatever
should be allowed to remain upon the North side of the
said River These are therefore requiring all Magistrats,
Justices of the Peace, Constables and others concerned
to be aiding and assisting to you in Stoping the said
passage and removeing all Boats and Vessells whatever
from the North to the South Side of the Forth from
Kinghorn to Stirling Bridge and in case of resistance or
refussall to Burn or otherwise Destroy such Boats and
Vessells as shall after due Intimation made be found upon
the North Side of the said River.
Given under my Hand at Edinburgh this 27th November
1745.
R: Handasyde.
To Walter Grosett Esqr, Collr of His
Majesties Customs at Alloa, and
one of His Majs Justices of ye
Peace.
IV
The Commissioners of Customs to Walter Grossett
Mr. Grosett.
Inclosed We send You for Your Government and
Direction, a Copy of a Letter from the Lord Justice Clerk
and General Guest Commander in Chief of His Majestys
Forces in Scotland, Containing an order and Instructions
for bringing over all Ships, Vessels, Boats and Yoals of all
sorts and sizes lying in the Harbours and Creeks betwixt
Stirling Bridge and St Andrews inclusive on the North side
of the Frith with their Apparel and Furniture, and for laying
them up in the several Harbours therein Specified on the
South side of the Frith, and in the Execution of these
Directions and Instructions, all Officers whatsoever under
Our direction, are to give You their utmost assistance
when required so to do, as they will answer the Contrary
at their Peril, and You are particularly to apply to the
respective Officers in the several Ports and Precincts for
their Aid and Information. The General having given
proper orders to the Captain of the Milford Man of war to
concur and assist You in this Servise, You are to meet and
Concert with him proper measures for the Effectual
Execution thereof. We are,
Your Loving Friends,
Co: Campbell.
Alex Arbuthnott.
Rd. Somers.
Customho Edinbr
8th Decemr 1745. }
Collr Alloa.
Enclosure to No. IV.
Edinbr Decemr 9th 1745.
Gentlemen—We think it absolutely necessary for the
Good and Service of the Government at this Conjuncture,
that all the Ships, Vessels, Boats and Yoals of all sorts and
Sizes, with their Apparel and Furniture, in all Harbours and
Creeks etc. betwixt Stirling Bridge and St Andrews
inclusive on the North side of the Frith of Forth, be brought
over and Moord in the several Harbours of Dunbar, Leith,
Queensferry and Borrowstoness, and these on the South
side of the said River, betwixt Cramond and Eymouth be
Carried to Leith and Dunbar, as the Persons to be
Employed by You in the Execution hereof, shall Judge to
be most Conveneint, all to remain in these respective
Harbours untill further orders; We therefore earnestly
recommend it to You as proper Judges, to Nominate and
Appoint such of Your Officers under Your Direction and
Government to Execute our Orders as You shall think
most fit to be Employed for the doing of so necessary a
Duty, And as some former Orders of this Nature have not
been observed and obeyed so punctually as Directed for
want of other proper Assistance, We do therefore hereby
direct and ordain all Magistrates of Burghs Justices of the
Peace, Constables etc. within the respective bounds
aforesaid, laying aside all Excuses whatsoever, to be
aiding and assisting to the Person or Persons that are
possessed of Copys hereof, and of Your Instructions given
by You to them, as they will be answerable upon their
highest Peril; and in Case any of the Proprietors or others
Concerned in said Ships etc. as abovementd shall not
forthwith Comply with these Our orders, Then the Persons
so Employed are hereby ordained to burn and Destroy the
same, where any objections or refusals are made to obey
and Comply herewith, and the aforesaid Copys hereof
with your Instructions as above, shall be to them a
Sufficient Warrant for destroying of the above Ships etc.
not doubting of Your Compliance and Concurrence, We
are,
And: Fletcher.
Sign’d
{ Jos: Guest.
N.B.—Buys Boat who has been often Employed in
transporting of Rebels frequently, should be burnt out of
hand.
Honble Commrs of the Customs Edr.
V
Lieutenant-General Guest to Walter Grossett
Edenburgh December the 15th 1745.
Sr,—I agree to your hiring the Borrowstness Ship at
the Rate you mention, provided the owners dont insist on
my Insuring her from the Enemy, for that I cant consent to
—if they comply, you’l immediatly station her at Higgins
Nook, and Nicol at Carse’s Nook, or wherever they can be
best placed for His Majestys Service. You’l give them
positive Derections to be very carefull, in watching both
sides the River, and sending immediat Intelligence to the
Ld Justice Clerk, on discovering any Motions of the
Enemy.
You’l consider the Ship is not ensured now, and is in as
much, or more danger than when employd by his Majesty.
—I am Sr your most Obedt humble Servant,
Jos: Guest.
VI
Walter Grossett to the Commissioners of Customs
Hond. Sirs,—In Obedience to your directions of the
8th Instant Inclosing an Order and Warrand from Lord
Justice Clerk and General Guest Commander in chief of
the Forces in Scotland, for bringing over all Ships,
Vessells and Boats, lying in any of the Harbours or
Creeks, betwixt Stirling and S: Andrews on the North side
of the Firth, to the Harbours therein specified on the south
side thereof, and for Burning or destroying the ships and
Vessells etc., of such of the Proprieters thereof as should
refuse to comply with these Orders; I have with the
assistance of the Kings Boats at Queensferry and
Borristounness, and two Boats Crews belonging to the
Happy Janet stationed off Queensferry, removed,
disabled, or destroyed, all Boats and Vessells that lay
betwixt Stirling and Aberdour. But as the doing of this,
would not have hinder the Rebell Army from geting a
Cross the River, while Boats and Vessells were allowed to
remain at the severall Creeks in Carron Water, and at
Hargens Nuik Airth, and Elphingstone, and other Creeks
on the south side of the Forth betwixt Borristounness and
Stirling; I therefore proceeded to these places, and
prevailed with severall of the Proprieters of Boats and
Vessells there, to remove them from thence, but as some
of them refused to comply, by reason of their not being
included in the Order and Warrand above mentioned, I am
therefore Humbly of Opinion, that Lord Justice Clerk and
General Guest should be applyed to, for a Warrand for the
removing or destroying of them. And as there are at this
time at Alloa, a considerable quantity of Deals and Learge
Loggs of Wood, of 30 or 40 feet in Length, of which Floots
may not only easely be made, for the Transporting of Men,
Horses etc.; from the one side of the River to the other,
but upon which Flooting Batteries may be reased, to move
from place to place, to play upon such of His Majesties
Forces or others, who may be employed in Defending the
Banks of the River, to prevent the Landing of the Rebells.
It is therefore Humbly submitted, how far it may be thought
proper at this Juncture, to have these Deals and Loggs
removed from Alloa. If this is approven off, what I would
propose as the easiest method of removing them, would
be to put them on Board of Vessells, to ly at
Borristounness till the danger is over. With this view I
spook to several shipmasters of my acquaintance, (who I
knew to be good Whiggs and well wishers to the common
Cause) on Tuesday last at Borristounness, and who at my
request, readily agreed to take them on Board their
Vessells, upon their only being paid the Charges they
should be put to in going to Alloa to Load and unload
them. All which is Humbly Submitted by Hon: Sirs Your
Hors Most Obedt Huml Servt
Wat: Grosett.
Edinburgh 16th Decr 1745.
Endorsements.
16th Decr 1745.
Mr. Grosett to wait upon the Justice Clerk and Genl
Guest with this Lre. and to Report their Opinion.
W. H. for the Secry.
The Board approve Mr. Grosetts Conduct and Zeal in
this whole Affair and his proposal is agreed to if the Lord
Justice Clerk and Genl Guest think proper.
W. H. for the Secretary.
VII
The Commissioners of Customs to Walter Grossett,
forwarding approval of Lord Justice Clerk and General
Guest
Edinburgh 16th Decr 1745.
We approve of Mr. Grosetts Conduct and proposalls
and desire the Board of Customs may give him the proper
directions for puting the same in Execution and for which
end a proper Warrant shall be granted by us.
And Fletcher.
Jos: Guest.
Mr. Grosett
Having considered the above Approbation of the Lord
Justice Clerk and General Guest, We heartily agree with
the same and direct you to proceed accordingly, having
first obtained their Warrant for the purposes as mentioned
in Your Letter of this date.
Co: Campbell.
Alexr Arbuthnott.
Rd. Somers.
Custom Ho Edinburgh
16th December 1745.
VIII
The Lord Justice Clerk to Walter Grossett
(Holograph but not signed)
Pray forward the Inclosed, and get all Stirling shire in
Arms immediately, If Ld Home approves G. Blackney will
give arms—raise ye Hue and Cry—Cause the Sherriff
distribute ye papers yt comes wt ys bearer.
Go on and prosper.
Edr 19th Decr 1745.
I have paid none of the Expresses yt they may make
more hast but given every one two shills. wch is not to be
deducted out of yr hire if they make Speed.
IX
Lieutenant-General Guest to Walter Grossett
Joshua Guest Esqr Lieut. General and Commander in
Cheif of all His Majesty’s Forces, Castles, Forts and
Barracks in North Britain etc.
His Majesty’s Service Requiring that all Vessells and
Boats of whatever Size be instantly removed out of the
Harbours of Borrostouness, Queensferry, Leith or any
where else upon the South Coast of the Forth betwixt
Leith and Stirling, Those at Borrostouness and
Queensferry to the Road of Borrostouness or Such other
place or places as you shall think most for His Majesty’s
Service at this Juncture; those at Leith to the Road of
Leith or such other place as you shall judge most proper
for said Service; These are therefore Authorizing and
Empowering you to put the said order in Execution, and to
which purpose the Commanders of His Majesty’s Ships of
War or others employ’d in the Kings Service, are hereby
Required to give you their Utmost Assistance, as are all
Magistrates, Justices of the Peace, Constables, and all
other Persons, Civil or Military whom these may Concern.
A Copy hereof sign’d by you shall be a sufficient warrant
to any Person required or empower’d by you in the
Execution hereof as they will answer to the Contrary at
their highest Peril.
Given at Edinburgh the 21st day of Decemr 1745.
Jos: Guest.
To Walter Grosett Esqr Collector of
His Majesty’s Customs.
X
Lieutenant-General Guest’s Directions
Directions for the Master of the Boat that goes to
Borrostouness.
Edinburgh 22d Decem. 1745.
He is to sail directly for Borrostouness, lye out in the
Road of that place and send in his Boat or yawl, to
Collector Grosett who is there and get directions from him
how he is to dispose of his Cargo, part of which is to go to
Stirling Viz. the 9 pounders Cannon Ball, Spunges, etc.
The Pouder and small Cannon Ball is for the use of the
Jean of Alloa, and Pretty Janet, that are stationed near
that place or at Higgens Nuik. The Biscuit which is to be
taken in at Leith from Mr. Walker is to be disposed of at
Bosness as Mr. Grosett will direct. In case of any accident
of your not meeting with Mr. Grosett, I desire Cap. Knight
of the Happy Janet may forward im̅ ediately the 9 pound
Cannon Ball, Spunges etc. to Stirling, where General
Blakeney has present occasion for them.
Jos: Guest.
To the Master of the Boat Order’d to
sail for Borrostouness.
XI
Captain Knight R.N. to Walter Grossett
Sir,—Having Sent 7 pounds of powder, 20 Sheets fine
paper made in Cartridges and 15 pounds Musquet Shot to
be used, if occasion required it, by my people in
preventing the Rebells passage at Higgens-Nook, which I
understand you gaue to John Peirson Master of the Pretty
Jennett, I desire you will be pleased to procure an Order
from General Guest to me for supplying these Ordnance
Stores to him, with his Ricept to Alexander Wedderburn
Master of the Armed Vessel under my Command of the
Same, and to transmit both to me at this place with the
first opportunity.—I am Sir, Your very humble Servant,
Jno. Knight.
Happy Jennett Queensferry Road
22d December 1745.
Walter Grosett Esq. Collector of his
Majts Customs at Alloa.
XII
Lieutenant-General Guest to Walter Grossett
Joshua Guest Esqr Lieut. General and Commander in
Cheif of all His Majesty’s Forces, Castles, Forts and
Barracks in North Britain etc.
His Majesty’s Service Requiring that a number of
Vessells and Boats be hired for Transporting of His
Majesty’s Forces, These are therefore authorizing and
Empowering you to hire such a number of Vessells and
Boats and make such agreement with them as you shall
judge necessary at this Juncture, and I hereby oblige
myself to make good such agreement, for which this shall
be your Warrant. Given at Edinburgh this 22d December
1745.
Jos: Guest.
To Walter Grosett Esqr Collector of
His Majesty’s Customs.