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REVISION .ft
[Tuks. t: 1~2 testing]
General Certificate of Education Advanced Level
STATISTICS 6046/2
PAPER 2 SOLUTION
NOVEMER 2022 SESSION 3 hours
Additional materials:
Answer paper
Graph paper
List of formulae MF7
Electronic calculator (Non-programmable)
Time 3 hours
INSTRUCTIONS TO CANDIDATES
Write your name in the spaces provided on the answer sheet/answer booklet.
Answer 𝒂𝒍𝒍 questions in section A and any five from section B.
If a numerical answer cannot be given exactly, and the accuracy required is not specified in the
question, then in the case of an angle it should be given correct to the nearest degree, and in other
cases it should be given to 2 significant figures.
INFORMATION TO CANDIDATES
The number of marks is given in brackets [ ] at the end of each question or part of question.
You are reminded of the need for clear presentation in your answers.
© Sharewell
@ 2022 B. C. (Share) ̶ Share
[SHARE] Online Revision Paper 2 2022
+263784089807 RES: MUTARE 1
𝐶𝑜𝑚𝑝𝑙𝑖𝑒𝑑 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑡𝑦𝑝𝑒𝑑 𝑏𝑦 𝑆ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑒 + 263784089807 [Turn Over
2022 [SHARE] Tungamirai Mubaiwa [Tuks. t: 1~2 testing] +263773380646 2022 SOLUTION
1. The volume of dish washing liquid packed in satchets is normally distributed with
mean 400 millilitres and standard deviation 45 millilitres. The volume of fabric
softener packed in bottles is also normally distributed with mean 650 millilitres and
standard deviation 50 millilitres.
(a) Find the probability that the volume of 4 randomly satchets of dish washing
liquid is less than the volume of 2 randomly chosen bottles of fabric softener. [4]
(b) A new detergent is made by mixing the contents of 1 satchet of dish of washing
liquid and 2 bottles of fabric softener. Find the probability that the volume of the
new detergent is more than1.750 litres. [3]
SOLUTION
(a) Let L be the washing liquid
Let S be the fabric softener
𝐿~𝑁(400, 452 ) 𝑆~𝑁(650, 502 )
𝑷(𝟒𝑳 < 𝟐𝑺) = 𝑷(𝟒𝑳 − 𝟐𝑺 < 𝟎)
𝐸[4𝐿 − 2𝑆] = 4𝐸(𝐿) − 2𝐸(𝑆) = 4(400) − 2(650) = 300
𝑉𝑎𝑟(4𝐿 − 2𝑆) = 4𝑉𝑎𝑟(𝐿) + 2𝑉𝑎𝑟(𝑆) = 4(452 ) + 2(502 ) = 13100
Let T be 4L – 2S
Now, 𝑻~𝑵(𝟑𝟎𝟎, 𝟏𝟑𝟏𝟎𝟎)
0−(300)
𝑃(𝑇 < 0) = 𝑃 (𝑧 < )
√13100
(b) 1𝐿 + 2𝑆
Now, 𝐸(1𝐿 + 2𝑆) = 1𝐸(𝐿) + 2𝐸(𝑆) = 400 + 2(650) = 1700
2. A machine is supposed to pack into 2 kg packets. However, the machine is old and
while the packets have an average weight of 2 kg, 10% of the packets that it
produces are less than1.95 kg. Assuming that the packets are normally distributed.
Find the,
(a) standard deviation, [4]
(b) proportion of packets that are more than 2.10 kg. [4]
SOLUTION
1.95−2
(a) 𝑃(𝑋 < 1.95) = 𝑃 (𝑧 < ) = 0.10
𝜎
0.05
∅( ) = 1 − 0.1
𝜎
0.05
= ∅−1 (0.9)
𝜎
0.05
=𝜎
1.282
𝟐𝟓
𝝈 = 𝟔𝟒𝟏 = 𝟎. 𝟎𝟑𝟗.
𝑥
0 2
Find 𝜇 and 𝜎.
SOLUTION
𝑃(𝑌 > 34) = 0.0228 𝑃(𝑌 < 25) = 0.0062
34−𝜇 25−𝜇
𝑃 (𝑧 > ) = 0.0228 𝑃 (𝑧 < ) = 0.0062
𝜎 𝜎
𝜇−34 𝜇−25
= ∅( ) = 1 − 0.0228 ∅( ) = 1 − 0.0062
𝜎 𝜎
(a) Find a 95% confidence interval for the population mean. [7]
(b) State two assumption you have made in calculating the confidence interval. [2]
SOLUTION
∑(𝑥−5) 12.5
(a) 𝑥̅ = +5= + 5 = 6.25
𝑛 10
2
1 2
[∑(𝑥 − 5)]2
𝜎̂ = (∑(𝑥 − 5) − )
𝑛−1 𝑛
1 [12.5]2 109
𝜎̂ 2 = 9 (23.8 − ) = 120 = 0.9083333333
10
̂2
𝜎
𝑥̅ ± 𝛽 √ 𝑛 [NB: 𝛽 = 𝑡(𝑛−1)𝛼/2 ]
109
( )
=6.25 ± 2.262 × √ 120 10
= (5.568, 6.932)
= (𝟓. 𝟔 𝒉𝒓𝒔, 𝟔. 𝟗 𝒉𝒓𝒔)
(b) Burning time of candles s normally distributed
The candles used constitute a random sample from the population.
6. Mrs Moyo visits the clinic everyday for treatment. The time she spends travelling is
a normal variable with mean 15 minutes and standard deviation 2 minutes. The
time she spends in the clinic is normally distributed with mean 25 minutes and
standard deviation 4 minutes.
Find the probability that on a particular day Mrs Moyo
(a) is in the clinic for more than 28 minutes, [5]
(b) is away from her house for more than 45 minutes, [6]
(c) spends more time travelling than in the clinic . [5]
SOLUTION
(a) let T be the time spend by Mrs Moyo travelling to the clinic
let C be the time spend by Mrs Moyo in the clinic
𝑻~𝑵(𝟏𝟓, 𝟐𝟐 ) 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝑪~𝑵(𝟐𝟓, 𝟒𝟐 )
28−25
𝑃(𝐶 > 28) = 𝑃 (𝑧 > )
4
= 𝟎. 𝟏𝟑𝟏𝟗
7.
(a) Distinguish between independent and mutually exclusive events. [2]
(b) Alan and Alex play a game by firing a target. The first one to hit the target winds
the game. The probability that each one of them hits the target is 0.6. Alan fires
first.
Find the probability that Alan
(i) hits the target on his 2nd shot, [2]
(ii) hits the target on his 3rd shot, [2]
(iii) wins the game. [3]
(c) On average the number of spelling errors per page in the first draft of a long
assignment follows a Poisson distribution with mean 0.3.
(i) Calculate the probability that a randomly selected page will contain no
spelling error. [2]
(ii) Calculate the probability that a randomly chosen page will contain two or
more spelling errors. [3]
(iii) Find the probability that the third of three randomly chosen pages will be
the first to contain a spelling error. [2]
SOLUTION
(a) Independent events are events that can happen at the same time, i.e
𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵) = 𝑃(𝐴) × 𝑃(𝐵), whilst mutually exclusive events are events that
can not happen at the same time, i.e 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵) = 0.
(c) Let 𝑋 the number of spelling errors per page in the first draft of a long
assignment.
𝑋~𝑃𝑜(0.3)
𝑒 −0.3 (0.3)0
(i) 𝑃(𝑋 = 0) = = 0.7408182207 = 𝟎. 𝟕𝟒𝟏
0!
8. A sample of 80 steel rods taken from the output of a production line was measured
to the nearest mm and gave the following results.
(a) State the least and the greatest possible lengths of steel rod in the sample.
(b) Choose a suitable scale and draw the cumulative frequency curve for the
distribution.
(c) Use the graph to estimate the
(i) Median, [2]
(ii) semi-quartile range, [2]
(iii) 80th percentile of the lengths of the steel rods. [2]
(d) A steel rod is rejected if its length is less than 94.5 mm. assuming that the
sample is typical of the output, estimate the percentage of steel rods which have
to be rejected. [2]
SOLUTION
(a) Least length = 91.5 mm
Greatest length = 103.5 mm
(b)
Class boundaries (𝒍) 𝒎𝒎 No. of steel rods Cumulative frequency
91.5 ≤ 𝑙 < 93.5 2 2
93.5 ≤ 𝑙 < 95.5 7 9
95.5 ≤ 𝑙 < 97.5 18 27
97.5 ≤ 𝑙 < 99.5 37 64
99.5 ≤ 𝑙 < 101.5 12 76
101.5 ≤ 𝑙 < 103.5 4 80
On graph
(c)
80
(i) Median (𝑄2 ) = = 40𝑡ℎ
2
∴ 𝑸𝟐 = 𝟗𝟖. 𝟏 𝒎𝒎
𝑄3 −𝑄1
(ii) Semi-interquartile range = 2
99.3−96.9
(Quartile deviation) = = 𝟏. 𝟐 𝒎𝒎
2
80
(iii) 80th percentile = 100 (80) = 64𝑡ℎ
∴ 𝑃80 = 𝟗𝟗. 𝟓 𝒎𝒎
7
(d) Less than 94.5 mm = 2 + 2 = 5.5 (estimate)
5.5
∴%= × 100 = 𝟔. 𝟖𝟕𝟓%
80
9. The table below shows number of telephone calls received at a switchboard per 10
minute period over 8 hours.
Number of calls per 10-minutes 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
period
Frequency 8 19 26 13 7 5 1 1 0
𝑥 O (𝑂 − 𝐸)2
𝐸
0 8 8.864
1 19 19.501
2 26 21.451
3 13 15.731
4 7 8.652
5 5 3.807
6 1 1.396
7 1 0.439
8 0 0.159
∑ 𝑂 = 80 ∑ 𝐸 = 80 (𝑂 − 𝐸)2
∑ = 2,099
𝐸
Degrees of freedom: 𝒗 = 𝒏 − 𝟐 = 𝟔 − 𝟐 = 𝟒
⇒ 𝑿𝟐 𝟓% (𝟒) distribution
Level of significance: 5%
Critical region (Rejection criteria): 𝑿𝟐𝒄𝒂𝒍 > 𝟗. 𝟒𝟖𝟖
(𝑶−𝑬)𝟐
Test statistics: 𝑿𝟐𝒄𝒂𝒍 = ∑ = 𝟐. 𝟎𝟗𝟗
𝑬
Since 𝑿𝟐𝒄𝒂𝒍 = 𝟐. 𝟎𝟗𝟗 < 𝟗. 𝟒𝟖𝟖 we fail to reject 𝑯𝟎 and hence conclude that at 5%
level of significance the data follows a Poisson distribution.
10. The table below shows the daily records of the sales of eggs in a supermarket in 8
days.
Week day Mon Tue Wed Thur Fri Sat Sun Mon
No of crates 2 5 4 4 9 7 6 8
sold
SOLUTION
(c) There has been a general increase (up-trend) in the number of crates sold
during the weeks with the highest sales being recorded on Friday.
𝑛 ∑ 𝑥𝑦 − ∑ 𝑥 ∑ 𝑦
𝑚= 2
𝑛∑𝑥 − ∑𝑥
6(169.4)−27(34.7)
𝑚= 6(139)−272
𝑚 = 0.75714
(𝑦 − 𝑦̅) = 𝑚(𝑥 − 𝑥̅ )
34.7
𝑦− 6
= 0.75714(𝑥 − 4.5)
𝑦 = 0.75714𝑥 + 2.37619
𝑦 = 0.76𝑥 − 2.4 (2 s.f)
Now 𝑖𝑓 𝑥 = 9, then, 𝑦 = 0.75714(9) + 2.37619 = 9.19
∴ the number of crates sold ≈ 𝟗 crates.
11. In a group of students studying A-level at a certain school, 63% are boys and 37%
2
are girls. The probability that a girl studying Mathematics is 7, and that of a boy
1
studying Mathematics is 9.
SOLUTION
(a)
1 M
9
G
0.63
8
M’
9
2
M
7
0.37 G’
5
7 M’
= 𝟎. 𝟎𝟕
= 𝟎. 𝟖𝟐 (2 s.f)
𝑃(𝐺∩𝑀)
(iii) 𝑃(𝐺|𝑀) = 𝑃(𝑀)
2
0.37×
7
= 577
1−
700
74
= 123
= 𝟎. 𝟔𝟎 (2 s.f)
3 P
5
(b)
1 M
9 2 F
5
G
0.63 3 P
8
M’ 5
9
2
M
7 2
0.37 G’ F
5
5
7 M’
1 3 2 3
(a) 𝑃 [(0.63 × 9 × 5) + (0.37 × 7 × 5)]
21 111
= 500 + 1750
369
= 3500
= 𝟎. 𝟏𝟏 (2 s.f)
12. The following marks relates to the examination marks of 10 students of Sociology
and Economics.
SOLUTION
𝑦 − 𝑦̅ = 𝑚(𝑥 − 𝑥̅ )
∑𝑥 ∑𝑦
𝑥̅ = = 55.7 𝑦̅ = = 66.1
𝑛 𝑛
𝑛 ∑ 𝑥𝑦 − ∑ 𝑥 ∑ 𝑦
𝑚=
𝑛 ∑ 𝑥 2 − (∑ 𝑥)2
10(40280)−557(661)
𝑚= 10(34377)−5572
34623
𝑚 = 33521 = 1.033
𝑛 ∑ 𝑥𝑦−∑ 𝑥 ∑ 𝑦
(d) 𝑟 =
√𝑛 ∑ 𝑥 2 −(∑ 𝑥)2 ×√𝑛 ∑ 𝑦 2 −(∑ 𝑦)2
10(40280)−557(661)
𝑟=
√33521×√10(47323)−(661)2
34623
𝑟 = 34887.1608
𝒓 = 𝟎. 𝟗𝟗 (2 s.f)
Comment: there is a very strong positive linear correlation between the two
marks.
schingwingwi7@gmail.com / +263784089807
Sharewell B. C
&
Tungamirai Mubaiwa [Tuks. t: 1~2 testing]
+263773380646
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