DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION

Probability
(likelihood)

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DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION

Canadian Bank
President

BUREAU OF CURRICULUM DEVELOPMENT

 DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION

Definition of Terms
Trial (No. Sample
Experiment
of Trials) Outcome
Space Event
• A process by • One instance • An • The set of all • A set whose
which an of an observed possible elements are
observation experiment outcomes of some
is obtained (the number result of an an outcomes of
of times an experiment experiment an
Random
Experiment experiment is experiment
repeated) Sample Point (a subset of
• a process that can be repeated the sample
under similar conditions but • An element space)
whose outcome cannot be of a sample
predicted with certainty space
beforehand

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 DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION

Definition of Terms

Trial
Sample
Experiment (No. of Outcome Event
Space
Trials)
• Tossing • Trials = • Toss 1 = • {(H,H), • Getting
a fair 2 H (H,T), at least
coin • Toss 2 = (T,H), one
H (T,T)} head

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 DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION

PROBABILITY
It is simply the likelihood that an event will happen.

It is the number of times the event occurred

out of total number of trials.
It is the possibility of occurrences, chances
or likelihood of events in a man’s life.

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 DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION

Probabilities are numbers expressed as

ratios,fractions, decimals, or percent.
They are determined by considering the results of
an experiment.
Simple probability is when we conduct a one
stage or one object experiment.

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 DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION

EVENT is any set of one or more outcomes satisfying

some given conditions.
Picking a card from the box is an EVENT.

Number of favorable outcomes

Probability = =
Total number of possible outcomes

Number of favorable outcomes

It is the result we want to happen in an event.

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 DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION

How do we describe the

likelihood of an event
without using numerical
values?

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 DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION

The Likelihood Scale

Impossible Unlikely 50% Chance Likely Certain

Finding a Getting a
Drawing a red
person number Getting a
marble from The event
capable of higher than 2 head when
an urn that it rains in
running when an tossing an
containing 4 summer
2000km per unbiased die unbiased coin
red marbles
second is tossed

BUREAU OF CURRICULUM DEVELOPMENT

 DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION

The Likelihood Scale

Impossible Unlikely 50% Chance Likely Certain

Finding a
person
capable of
running
2000km per
second Getting a
Drawing a red
number Getting a
marble from The event
higher than 2 head when
an urn that it rains in
when an tossing an
containing 4 summer
unbiased die unbiased coin
red marbles
is tossed

BUREAU OF CURRICULUM DEVELOPMENT

 DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION

The Likelihood Scale

Impossible Unlikely 50% Chance Likely Certain

Finding a
person The event
capable of that it
running rains in
2000km summer Getting a
Drawing a red
per second marble from
number Getting a
higher than 2 head when
an urn
when an tossing an
containing 4
unbiased die unbiased coin
red marbles
is tossed

BUREAU OF CURRICULUM DEVELOPMENT

 DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION

The Likelihood Scale

Impossible Unlikely 50% Chance Likely Certain

Finding a
Getting a
person The event
head when
capable of that its
tossing an
running rains in
unbiased
2000km summer
coina red
Drawing
Getting a
per second marble from
number
higher than 2
an urn
when an
containing 4
unbiased die
red marbles
is tossed

BUREAU OF CURRICULUM DEVELOPMENT

 DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION

The Likelihood Scale

Impossible Unlikely 50% Chance Likely Certain

Finding a Getting a
Getting a
person The event number
head when
capable of that its higher than
tossing an 2 when an
running rains in
unbiased unbiased die
2000km summer
coina red
Drawing is tossed
per second marble from
an urn
containing 4
red marbles

BUREAU OF CURRICULUM DEVELOPMENT

 DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION

The Likelihood Scale

Impossible Unlikely 50% Chance Likely Certain

Finding a Getting a Drawing a

Getting a
person The event number red marble
head when
capable of that its higher than from an urn
tossing an 2 when an
running rains in containing
unbiased unbiased die 4 red
2000km summer
coin is tossed marbles
per second

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 DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION

The Likelihood Scale

Impossible Unlikely 50% Chance Likely Certain

The event
Someone that you will The date after
The event The day after
from class will drink water the 29th is the
that it will Thursday is
go home sometime 30th in a
rain on May Friday
tomorrow during the month
day

BUREAU OF CURRICULUM DEVELOPMENT

 DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION

The Likelihood Scale

Impossible Unlikely 50% Chance Likely Certain

The event
that it will
rain on May

The event
Someone that you will The date after
The day after
from class will drink water the 29th is the
Thursday is
go home sometime 30th in a
Friday
tomorrow during the month
day

BUREAU OF CURRICULUM DEVELOPMENT

 DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION

The Likelihood Scale

Impossible Unlikely 50% Chance Likely Certain

The event
that it will
rain on May

The event
Someone that you will The date after
The day after
from class will drink water the 29th is the
Thursday is
go home sometime 30th in a
Friday
tomorrow during the month
day

BUREAU OF CURRICULUM DEVELOPMENT

 DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION

The Likelihood Scale

Impossible Unlikely 50% Chance Likely Certain

The event
that you will
The event
drink water
that it will
sometime
rain on May
during the
day

Someone The date after

The day after
from class will the 29th is the
Thursday is
be sick 30th in a
Friday
tomorrow month

BUREAU OF CURRICULUM DEVELOPMENT

 DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION

The Likelihood Scale

Impossible Unlikely 50% Chance Likely Certain

The event
that you will
The event The day after
drink water
that it will Thursday is
sometime
rain on May Friday
during the
day

Someone The date after

from class will the 29th is the
go home 30th in a
tomorrow month

BUREAU OF CURRICULUM DEVELOPMENT

 DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION

The Likelihood Scale

Impossible Unlikely 50% Chance Likely Certain

The event
that you will
The event The day after
drink water
that it will Thursday is
sometime
rain on May Friday
during the
day

Someone The date after

from class will the 29th is the
go home 30th in a
tomorrow month

BUREAU OF CURRICULUM DEVELOPMENT

 DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION

The Likelihood Scale

Impossible Unlikely 50% Chance Likely Certain
The event
that you will
The event The day after
drink water
that it will Thursday is
sometime
rain on May Friday
during the
day

Someone The date after

from class will the 29th is the
go home 30th in a
tomorrow month

BUREAU OF CURRICULUM DEVELOPMENT

 impossible
chance
certain
4 in 5 chance
even
 DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION

The Baloon Game

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DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION

Amazing Life

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 DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION

Mutually Exclusive
and Not Mutually
Exclusive Events
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