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Bankarski menaxmentKREDITI
Bankarski menaxmentKREDITI
VI
-
5.
:
( 5 % )
:
- , ,
/ , , ,
- ,
- , , ,
- , , ,
2
( ,
, , )
, )
(, , , , )
2000 , ,
2003 16%
2002-2007
(2003-07)
53%
( , )
( , ,
, 50% )
- ( ,
(2003-2007-
) , (
32% 62%)
1995 - (-, , )
12,9 15.
1997 - + 315 -
, ,
, ,
, , ,
)
-120 -4
( , )
- , , 14
2001 .
()
( , ,
- , ,
-
-
- ,
)
- -
/ /
, ,
,
, ,
6
,
,
( )
- ( , , )
- ( ),
- ( , )
7
- mix
, ,
.
,
.
.
,
8
,
/
(
)
9
:
/inicijalna analiza na kreditno portfolio,
/ /klasifikacija na
10
( , ,
)
- ,
, /
/ -
11
1. /
:
, .
2.
: ( 30 ) ,
( 60 ) , -( 120 ),
( 270 ) , ( 270 )
3. ,
( )
( ,
) adverse selection phenomenon
/
- ,
, , , ..)
13
2003-80%, 2007-60%
:
,
,
,
,
14
( , ,
( )-, +
,
()- , 2-5
- , ,
- %
- , , 50%
- ,
- /
&,
- , ,
-
& /
:,
, ,
CAMPARI , SWOT, PEST , (5) 6 C
:
( )
( )
16
)
- /
- /
-
)
-
-
-
)
- ( )
-
-
-
17
-(// )
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
18
PEST
Political conditions
( )
Economic
conditions
( )
Social conditions
( )
Technological
conditions
( )
19
SWOT
20
SWOT
SWOT ()
)Strength( /)=, , ,
, ,
)Weakness() =
SWOT ()
)Opportunity()-
) Threats() -
21
CAMPARI
C=Character
(arakter )
A=Ability
()
M=Means
()
P=Purpose
()
A=Amount
()
R=Repayment
()
I=Intersest&Insurance (&)
22
5 C analiza
ili
6 C analiza
Character ()
Character ()
Capital ()
Capital ()
Cash
Capacity ()
Capacity ()
Conditions ()
Conditions ()
Collateral ()
Collateral ()
Control ()
23
24
( ,
, )
-
( : , ,, .
,
: , , ,
25
26
( Liquidity ratios)
=
(
.
Current ratio - 1 .
(Quick Ratio) ( 10 30)
>1
>1
27
(Activity Ratios)
( Asset Utilization
Ratios)-
/ ( )
28
-
(Activity Ratios)
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
29
=
.
30
31
, .
. =
32
33
=
,
:
34
Profitabiity ratios
()
35
36
1. =
2. =
3. =
+
37
:
)
)
38
( )
credit scoring modeli
39
/
(credit information registers/ bureaus )
(credit rating agency)
40
:
( )
( )- ,
, b
: -
-
-
-
DUN&BRADSTREET -
1998 - .
,
2004 ,
/ .
-500.000 , 150.000 .
50.000 .
,
,
42
-2008
- - -300.000
. 5.000 .
- 50.000 . 5.000 .
43
( 81/08 2008 .)
15
: , ,
, , , , ,
5000 :
- , , ,
,
- , ,
,
-, , ,
.
.
44
(credit rating agency)
,
Standard&Poor, DUN&BRADSTREET Co (Moodys
Investor Service),Fitch IBCA
:
)
)
:
)
)
)
45
( )
- /cash flow
- /
-
-
-
-
-
-
46
Standard&Poor
/
) - , , , BBB
) - BB, B, CCC,
CC, C
) : C1 D
47
D&B Co
( 000 $)
50.000
50.000
3A
1.000-10.000
2A
750 -1.000
1A
500 750
BA
300 - 500
BB
200 300
CB
125 - 200
CC
75 -125
4
48
, , ,
, , , &
:
,
+
:
Model za rakovodeno formirawe cena na kreditot
Formirawe cena pod primarnata stapka (Model na mar`a)
Krediti so maksimalni kamatni stapki (najvisoka stapka)
49
51
Tro{oci za kamati na
Mar`a za rizik
zajmuvaweto na pazarot + i za prof
pari
52
53
- ( ,)
-
-
-
-
:
, / ,
/
- , , ,
54
6
(
)
55
/
/
()
56
(, )
( )
( )
( / , )
57
1.
5.
:
2.
3.
20
15
15
10
10
5
10
7
3
4.
:
20
10
5
3
5
2
6.
:
3
1
7.
:
8.
3
1
5
4
4
2
1
10
8
7
3
-
:
,
,
,
,
,
/ /
59
, ,
,
(
)
Kamata na kredit =Tro{oci na bankata obezbeduvawe
sredstva + Operativni tro{oci +Premija za rizici od nenamiruvawe na
obvrskite + Premija za rizik od dolgoro~en kredit+Barana profitna
margina
60
-kamatata
se prisposobuva na saldoto na
kreditot, se presmetuva samo na neotplateniot del.(
/ )
L=40.000
i=14%
t=9mes, 0,75
61
,
:
, ...
:
,
,
,
62
.
(,
, .)
3a
(. 63/07)
63