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Understand the importance of sampling and how results from samples can be used to provide
estimates of population characteristics such as the population mean, the population standard
deviation and / or the population proportion.
2.
Know what simple random sampling is and how simple random samples are selected.
3.
4.
Understand the central limit theorem and the important role it plays in sampling.
5.
Specifically know the characteristics of the sampling distribution of the sample mean ( x ) and the
sampling distribution of the sample proportion ( p ).
6.
Learn about a variety of sampling methods including stratified random sampling, cluster sampling,
systematic sampling, convenience sampling and judgment sampling.
7.
sampling distribution
finite population correction factor
standard error
central limit theorem
unbiased
relative efficiency
consistency
Solutions:
7-1
Chapter 7
1.
a.
b.
c.
E and C because 8 and 0 do not apply.; 5 identifies E; 7 does not apply; 5 is skipped since E is
already in the sample; 3 identifies C; 2 is not needed since the sample of size 2 is complete.
2.
Using the last 3-digits of each 5-digit grouping provides the random numbers:
601, 022, 448, 147, 229, 553, 147, 289, 209
Numbers greater than 350 do not apply and the 147 can only be used once. Thus, the
simple random sample of four includes 22, 147, 229, and 289.
3.
4.
6, 8, 5, 4, 1
Nasdaq 100, Oracle, Microsoft, Lucent, Applied Materials
b.
N!
10!
3, 628,500
=
=
= 252
n !( N n)! 5!(10 5)! (120)(120)
5.
283, 610, 39, 254, 568, 353, 602, 421, 638, 164
6.
7.
108, 290, 201, 292, 322, 9, 244, 249, 226, 125, (continuing at the top of column 9) 147, and 113.
8.
9.
102, 115, 122, 290, 447, 351, 157, 498, 55, 165, 528, 25
10.
11. a.
x = xi / n =
b.
s=
54
=9
6
( xi x ) 2
n 1
48
= 31
.
61
p = 75/150 = .50
p = 55/150 = .3667
7-2
13. a.
x = xi / n =
465
= 93
5
b.
Totals
s=
xi
( xi x )
94
100
85
94
92
465
+1
+7
-8
+1
-1
0
( xi x ) 2
1
49
64
1
1
116
( xi x ) 2
116
=
= 5.39
n 1
4
14. a.
149/784 = .19
b.
251/784 = .32
c.
15. a.
b.
x = xi / n =
s=
70
= 7 years
10
( xi x ) 2
20.2
=
= 1.5 years
n 1
10 1
16.
p = 1117/1400 = .80
17. a.
595/1008 = .59
b.
332/1008 = .33
c.
81/1008 = .08
18. a.
E ( x ) = = 200
b.
x = / n = 50 / 100 = 5
c.
d.
It shows the probability distribution of all possible sample means that can be observed with random
samples of size 100. This distribution can be used to compute the probability that x is within a
specified from .
19. a.
7-3
Chapter 7
x = / n = 50 / 100 = 5
For 5, ( x - ) = 5
z=
x 5
= = 1 Area = .3413
x
5
2(.3413) = .6826
b.
For 10, ( x - ) = 10
z=
x 10
=
=2
x
5
Area = .4772
2(.4772) = .9544
x = / n
20.
x = 25 / 50 = 3.54
x = 25 / 100 = 2.50
x = 25 / 150 = 2.04
x = 25 / 200 = 1.77
The standard error of the mean decreases as the sample size increases.
21. a.
b.
x = / n = 10 / 50 = 141
.
n / N = 50 / 50,000 = .001
Use x = / n = 10 / 50 = 141
.
c.
n / N = 50 / 5000 = .01
Use x = / n = 10 / 50 = 141
.
d.
n / N = 50 / 500 = .10
Use x =
N n
=
N 1 n
500 50 10
= 134
.
500 1 50
Note: Only case (d) where n /N = .10 requires the use of the finite population correction factor.
7-4
22. a.
x = / n = 4000 / 60 = 516.40
x
51,800
E( x )
The normal distribution is based on the Central Limit Theorem.
b.
For n = 120, E ( x ) remains $51,800 and the sampling distribution of x can still be approximated
by a normal distribution. However, x is reduced to 4000 / 120 = 365.15.
c.
As the sample size is increased, the standard error of the mean, x , is reduced. This appears
logical from the point of view that larger samples should tend to provide sample means that are
closer to the population mean. Thus, the variability in the sample mean, measured in terms of x ,
should decrease as the sample size is increased.
23. a.
x = / n = 4000 / 60 = 516.40
x
51,300 51,800 52,300
z=
52,300 51,800
= +.97 Area = .3340
516.40
2(.3340) = .6680
b.
52,300 51,800
= +1.37 Area = .4147
365.15
2(.4147) = .8294
24. a.
7-5
Chapter 7
x = / n = 900 / 50 = 127.28
b.
Within $250
P(4010 x 4510)
z=
4510 4260
= 1.96
127.28
Area = .4750
2(.4750) = .95
c.
Within $100
P(4160 x 4360)
z=
4360 4260
= .79
127.28
Area = .2852
2(.2852) = .5704
25. a.
E( x ) = 1020
x = / n = 100 / 75 = 1155
.
b.
z=
1030 1020
= .87
11.55
z=
1010 1020
= .87 Area =.3078
11.55
Area =.3078
z=
1040 1020
= 1.73
11.55
z=
1000 1020
= 1.73 Area = .4582
11.55
Area = .4582
26. a.
z=
x 34, 000
/ n
7-6
z=
n = 50
z=
n = 100
z=
n = 200
z=
n = 400
z=
250
2000 / 30
250
2000 / 50
= .68
2(.2517) = .5034
= .88
2(.3106) = .6212
250
2000 / 100
250
2000 / 200
250
2000 / 400
= 1.25
2(.3944) = .7888
= 1.77
2(.4616) = .9232
= 2.50
2(.4938) = .9876
b. A larger sample increases the probability that the sample mean will be within a specified
distance from the population mean. In the salary example, the probability of being within
250 of ranges from .5036 for a sample of size 30 to .9876 for a sample of size 400.
27. a.
E ( x ) = 10994
x = / n = 2,100 / 40 = 332.04
z=
/ n
1000
2100 / 40
= 3.01
Area = .4987
2(.4987) = .9974
b.
z=
/ n
250
2100 / 40
= .75
Area = .2734
2(.2734) = .5468
c.
28. a.
The sample with n = 40 has a very high probability (.9974) of providing a sample mean within
NT$1,000. However, the sample with n = 40 only has a .5468 probability of providing a sample
mean within NT$250. A larger sample size is desirable if the N$250 is needed.
E ( x ) = 3909
x = / n = 1308 / 45 = 194.99
b.
Within NT$570
P(3339 x 4476)
z=
4194 3624
= 2.92
194.99
Area = .4982
7-7
Chapter 7
2(.4982) = .9964
c.
Within NT$142
P(3980 x 3838)
z=
3980 3838
= .73
194.99
Area = .2673
2(.2673) = .5346
d.
Recommend taking a larger sample since there is only a .5346 probability n = 45 will provide the
desired result.
= 1.46 = .15
29.
a.
n = 30
z=
x
.03
=
= 1.10
/ n .15 / 30
n = 50
z=
/ n
.03
= 1.41
.15 / 50
n = 100
z=
/ n
.03
.15 / 100
= 2.00
x =
N n
=
N 1 n
4000 40 8.2
= 129
.
4000 1 40
x = / n = 130
.
Including the finite population correction factor provides only a slightly different value for x than
7-8
z=
x
2
=
= 154
.
130
.
130
.
Area = .4382
2(.4382) = .8764
31. a.
E ( p ) = p = .40
p (1 p )
.40(.60)
=
= .0490
n
100
b.
p =
c.
d.
32. a.
E ( p ) = .40
p =
z=
p (1 p )
.40(.60)
=
= .0346
n
200
p p
.03
=
= .87
p
.0346
Area = .3078
2(.3078) = .6156
b.
z=
p p
.05
=
= 1.44 Area = .4251
p
.0346
2(.4251) = .8502
33.
p =
p(1 p)
n
p =
(.55)(.45)
= .0497
100
p =
(.55)(.45)
= .0352
200
p =
(.55)(.45)
= .0222
500
p =
(.55)(.45)
= .0157
1000
p decreases as n increases
7-9
Chapter 7
34. a.
p =
z=
(.30)(.70)
= .0458
100
p p
.04
=
= .87
p
.0458
p =
z=
(.30)(.70)
= .0324
200
p p
.04
=
= 1.23
p
.0324
p =
z=
(.30)(.70)
= .0205
500
p p
.04
=
= 1.95
p
.0205
p =
z=
(.30)(.70)
= .0145
1000
p p
.04
=
= 2.76
p
.0145
35. a.
With a larger sample, there is a higher probability p will be within .04 of the population
proportion p.
The normal distribution is appropriate because np = 100(.30) = 30 and n(1 - p) = 100(.70) = 70 are
both greater than 5.
p =
p(1 p )
.30(.70)
=
= .0458
n
100
7 - 10
.30
b.
P (.20 p .40) = ?
z=
.40 .30
= 2.18 Area = .4854
.0458
2(.4854) = .9708
c.
P (.25 p .35) = ?
z=
.35 .30
= 1.09 Area = .3621
.0458
2(.3621) = .7242
36. a.
p =
b.
p (1 p )
=
n
.49(1 .49)
= .029
300
Within .03
z=
.52 .49
= 1.03
.029
Area = .3485
2(.3485) = .6970
c.
For n = 600, p =
z=
.49(1 .49)
= .0204
600
.52 .49
= 1.47
.0204
Area = .4292
2(.4292) = .8584
For n = 1000, p =
.49(1 .49)
= .0158
1000
7 - 11
Chapter 7
z=
.52 .49
= 1.90
.0158
Area = .4713
2(.4713) = .9426
37. a.
Normal distribution
E ( p ) = .50
p =
b.
z=
p (1 p )
=
n
(.50)(1 .50)
= .0206
589
p p
.04
=
= 1.94
p
.0206
2(.4738) = .9476
c.
z=
p p
.03
=
= 1.46
p
.0206
2(.4279) = .8558
d.
z=
p p
.02
=
= .97
p
.0206
2(.3340) = .6680
38. a.
Normal distribution
E( p ) = .25
p =
b.
z=
p (1 p )
=
n
(.25)(.75)
= .0306
200
.03
= .98 Area = .3365
.0306
2(.3365) = .6730
c.
z=
.05
= 1.63 Area = .4484
.0306
2(.4484) = .8968
39. a.
p =
p (1 p )
.25(1 .25)
=
= .0137
n
1000
7 - 12
b.
z=
p p
.03
=
= 2.19
p
.0137
c.
p p
z=
.25(1 .25)
500
.03
= 1.55
.0194
E ( p ) = .76
p (1 p )
.76(1 .76)
=
= .0214
n
400
p =
z=
.79 .76
= 1.40
.0214
Area = .4192
z=
.73 .76
= 1.40
.0214
Area = .4192
p (1 p )
.76(1 .76)
=
= .0156
n
750
p =
z=
.79 .76
= 1.92
.0156
Area = .4726
z=
.73 .76
= 1.92
.0156
Area = .4726
E( p ) = .25
p =
b.
p (1 p )
=
n
(.25)(1 .25)
= .0153
800
z=
0.27 0.25
= 1.31
0.0153
Area = .4049
z=
0.23 0.25
= 1.31
0.0153
Area = .4049
7 - 13
Chapter 7
c.
p (1 p )
=
n
p =
(.25)(1 .25)
= .0108
1600
z=
0.27 0.25
= 1.85
0.0108
Area = .4678
z=
0.23 0.25
= 1.85
0.0108
Area = .4678
43. a.
Normal distribution
E( x ) = 3
1.2
=
= .17
n
50
x =
b.
z=
/ n
.25
1.2 / 50
2(.4292) = .8584
44. a.
Normal distribution
E( x ) = 31.5
12
=
= 170
.
n
50
x =
b.
z=
1
= .59
1.70
Area = .2224
2(.2224) = .4448
c.
z=
3
= 177
.
Area = .4616
170
.
2(.4616) = .9232
45. a.
E( x ) = 34944
x =
z=
7740
120
= 706.56
805
= 1.14 Area = .3729
706.56
2(.3729) = .7458
7 - 14
b.
1610
= 2.28 Area = .4887
706.56
z=
2(.4887) = .9774
= 56953 = 16104
46.
a.
x = 16104 / 50 = 2277.45
b.
z=
0
=0
2277.45
z=
3200
= 1.41
2277.45
d.
z=
3200
= 1.99
1610.40
47. a.
x =
N n
N 1 n
N = 2000
x =
2000 50 144
= 2011
.
2000 1 50
N = 5000
5000 50 144
= 20.26
5000 1 50
N = 10,000
x =
x =
10,000 50 144
= 20.31
10,000 1 50
Note: With n / N .05 for all three cases, common statistical practice would be to ignore
144
= 20.36 for each case.
the finite population correction factor and use x =
50
b. N = 2000
7 - 15
Chapter 7
z=
25
= 1.24
20.11
Area = .3925
2(.3925) = .7850
N = 5000
z=
25
= 1.23 Area = .3907
20.26
2(.3907) = .7814
N = 10,000
z=
25
= 1.23 Area = .3907
20.31
2(.3907) = .7814
All probabilities are approximately .78
48. a.
x =
500
=
= 20
n
n
For 25,
z=
25
= 1.25 Area = .3944
20
2(.3944) = .7888
49.
Sampling distribution of x
x =
0.05
=
n
30
0.05
1.9
2.1
= 1.9 + 2.1
= 2
The area between = 2 and 2.1 must be .45. An area of .45 in the standard normal table shows
z = 1.645.
7 - 16
Thus,
2.1 2.0
/ 30
= 1.645
Solve for .
(.1) 30
= .33
1.645
=
50.
p = .305
a.
p =
b.
p p
.04
=
= 1.23
p
.0326
z=
p p
.02
=
= .61
p
.0326
z=
p (1 p )
=
n
p =
51.
(.40)(.60)
= .0245
400
P ( p .375) = ?
z=
.375 .40
= 1.02
.0245
Area = .3461
p =
z=
p (1 p )
=
n
pp
(.61)(1 .61)
= .0261
350
.05
= 1.92
0.0261
Area = .4726
2(.4726) = .9452
b.
z=
pp
.65 .61
= 1.53
0.0261
Area = .4370
7 - 17
Chapter 7
P ( p .65) = .5000 - .4370 = .0063
53. a.
p =
b.
p (1 p )
=
n
(.15)(.85)
= .0292
150
P (.12 p .18) = ?
z=
.18 .15
= 1.03 Area = .3485
.0292
2(.3485) = .6970
54. a.
p =
p(1 p)
=
n
.25(.75)
=.0625
n
Solve for n
n=
.25(.75)
= 48
(.0625) 2
b.
c.
P ( p .30) = ?
z=
.30 .25
= .80
.0625
Area = .2881
7 - 18