Previous Year Current Year

On-Time On-Time Change in On-

Carrier
Percentage Percentage Time Percentage
(%) (%)

Granite State Carriers 81.8 97.6 15.8

Blue Box Shipping 88.4 94.8 6.39999999999999
Cheetah LLC 89.3 91.8 2.5
Smith Logistics 84.3 88.7 4.40000000000001
Super Freight 92.1 86.8 -5.3
Minuteman Company 91 84.2 -6.8
Jones Bothers 68.9 82.8 13.9
Honson Limited 74.2 80.1 5.89999999999999
Rapid Response 78.8 70.9 -7.89999999999999

The carrier that provides the best service in the

current year is the Granite State Carriers.

The carrier that provided the best service in the

current year is the Rapid Response.

The Ohio Logistics should try to use Granite State

Carriers and Jones Brothers as their carriers in the
future because, their costumers' on-time delivery
percentage is high which means that they deliver the
costumers' material on time.
 Month 1 2 3 4 5 6
Value 24 13 20 12 19 23

Absolute
Value of Squared
Month Value Forecast Forecast Error Percentage Error
Forecast Forecast Error
Error

1 24
2 13
3 20
4 12 19 -7 7 49 -58.33
5 19 15 4 4 16 21.05
6 23 17 6 6 36 26.09
7 15 18 -3 3 9 -20.00
Total 0 20 110 -31.19

MSE Forecast for week 8

27.5 19

α=0.2
Absolute
Month Value Forecast Forecast Error Value of Squared Percentage Error
Forecast Forecast Error
Error
1 24 0
2 13 24 -11.00 11.00 121.00 -84.62
3 20 21.8 -1.80 1.80 3.24 -9.00
4 12 21.44 -9.44 9.44 89.11 -78.67
5 19 19.55 -0.55 0.55 0.30 -2.91
6 23 19.44 3.56 3.56 12.66 15.47
7 15 20.15 -5.15 0.00 0.00 -34.36
Total -24.39 26.35 226.32 -194.07

MSE Forecast for week 8

37.72 19.12

α=0.4
Absolute
Value of Squared
Month Value Forecast Forecast Error
Forecast Forecast Error Percentage Error
Error
1 24 0
2 13 24 -11.00 11.00 121.00 -84.62
 3 20 19.6 0.40 0.40 0.16 2.00
4 12 19.76 -7.76 7.76 60.22 -64.67
5 19 16.656 2.34 2.34 5.49 12.34
6 23 17.5936 5.41 5.41 29.23 23.51
7 15 19.75616 -4.76 4.76 22.62 -31.71
Total -15.37 15.37 238.72 -143.15

MSE
39.79
 7
15
30 Value Forecast

2524
23
Absolute Value of 20 20
Percentage Error 19 19 18
17

Value
15 15 15
13 12
10
5
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
58.33
21.05
26.09
20.00
125.47

Value Forecast
Absolute Value of 30
Percentage Error
25

20
84.62
Value

9.00 15
78.67
10
2.91
15.47 5
34.36 0
225.01 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

30 Value Forecast
Absolute Value of
Percentage Error 25

20
Value

84.62 15

10

0
 25

20

Value
15
2.00
10
64.67
12.34 5
23.51
0
31.71 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
218.83
 The pattern that exists in the
18 data is a Horizontal Pattern.
15

The MSE is equal to 27.5 for a three-week

moving average and 42.15 for the
exponential smoothing at α=0.2.
Therefore, the three-month moving
average provides a better forecast.
6 7
7
 Absolute Absolute
Squared
Week Sales Forecast Forecast Value of Forecast Percentage Value of
Error Forecast Error Percentage
Error
Error Error
3400
1 2750
3300
2 3100 2750.00 350.00 350.00 122500.00 11.29 11.29
3200
3 3250 2890.00 360.00 360.00 129600.00 11.08 11.08
3100
4 2800 3034.00 -234.00 234.00 54756.00 -8.36 8.36
3000
5 2900 2940.40 -40.40 40.40 1632.16 -1.39 1.39

Value
2900
6 3050 2924.24 125.76 125.76 15815.58 4.12 4.12
2800
7 3300 2974.54 325.46 325.46 105921.61 9.86 9.86
2700
8 3100 3104.73 -4.73 4.73 22.34 -0.15 0.15
2600
9 2950 3102.84 -152.84 152.84 23358.79 -5.18 5.18
2500
10 3000 3041.70 -41.70 41.70 1739.02 -1.39 1.39
2400
11 3200 3025.02 174.98 174.98 30617.68 5.47 5.47 1 2
12 3150 3095.01 54.99 54.99 3023.62 1.75 1.75
Total 917.52 1864.85 488986.80 27.09 60.04

MSE Forecast for week 13

44453.35 3117.01
 Sales Forecast
3400
3300
3200
3100
3000
Value

2900
2800
2700
2600
2500
2400
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
week

The existing pattern in the data

is a Trend Pattern.
SAT Scores
1665
1275 min max bin Bin Frequency
1650 940 2135 800 800 0
1590 1000 1000 1
1475 1200 1200 3
1490 1400 1400 6
1525 1600 1600 10
2135 1800 1800 7
1560 2000 2000 2
1880 2200 2200 1
1680
1560
1355
1280
1150
1420
1440
940
1645
1060
1485
1755
1260
1390
1780
1585
1990
1375
1730
1175
 Histogram
12
10
8
Frequency

6
4
2
0
800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 2200
Bin

Based on the observation from the frequency

distribution and histogram, the majority of the
students who took SAT scored more or less half of
the perfect score.
 Places Minutes
Albuquerque 23.3
Atlanta 28.3
Austin 24.6
Baltimore 32.1
Boston 31.7
Charlotte 25.8
Chicago 38.1
Clincinnati 24.9
Mean Mean
Cleveland 26.8
Columbus 23.4 26.91 25.95
Dallas 28.5
Denver 28.1
Detroit 29.3
El Paso 24.4
Fresno 23
Indianapolis 24.8
Jacksonville 26.2
Kansan City 23.4
Las Vegas 28.4
Litter Rock 20.1
Los Angeles 32.2
Louisville 21.4
Memphis 23.8
Miami 30.7
Milwaukee 24.8
Minneapolis 23.6
Nashville 25.3
New Orleans 31.7
New York 43.8
Oklahoma City 22
Orlando 27.1
Philadelphia 34.2
Phoenix 28.3
Pittsburgh 25
Portland 26.4
Providence 23.6
Richmond 23.4
Sacramento 25.8
Salt Lake City 20.2
San Antonio 26.1
San Diego 24.8
San Francisco 32.6
San Jose 28.5
Seattle 27.3
St. Louis 26.8
Tucson 24
Tulsa 20.1
Washington, D.C. 32.8
Mean Mean Mean Mean

23.4 21.30 4.62 28.5