Professional Documents
Culture Documents
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■ Soft Power
1. Economic
○ Rise as a soft power (IT, Financial, Banking hub, pharma)
2. Cultural
○ Bollywood-Role of Amitabh in 2006 in ASEAN, Central
Asia
○ Buddhism, Islam, Jain, Hinduism main centers. Also
known for its secular character
○ Cultural heritage sites e.g. Tajmahal, gaya
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bilateral negotiations.
2. Through this we can not only change mindset of ruling elites but
also ordinary people - Public Diplomacy
3. The non-economic gains may far outweigh economic losses
■ Look East Policy
1. Envisioned by the Narasimha Rao government in 1991
2. Objective- to outline a focused foreign policy approach towards
South East Asia, a region of high economic prosperity at that
time
3. “India’s Look East Policy is not merely an external economic
policy, it is also a strategic shift in India’s vision of the world and
India’s place in the evolving global economy. Most of all it is about
reaching out to our civilization neighbors in South East Asia and
East Asia”-- Prime Minister Dr. Manmohan Singh
4. Success Stories
○ Organizing “Milan”—a congregation of navies organized
by the Indian Navy biennially since 1995 in Port Blair
involving social and professional interactions, including
combined exercises. In 2008, 11 Navies including
Australia participated.-Indian ocean rim. [4 in 1995 to 14
member in 2012]
■ terrorism, poaching, piracy, rescue, capacity
building
○ Becoming a member of the ASEAN Regional Forum(ARF)
—1996.
○ Completion of the 160 Km India-Myanmar Friendship road
from Tamu to Kalemyo to Kaletwa built by the Border
Roads Organisation—2001
○ Becoming a summit level partner of ASEAN—2002.
○ Entering into a Framework Agreement on Comprehensive
Economic Cooperation (for establishing a FTA in a time
frame of 10 years)—2003. Similar FTAs have been
entered into with some ASEAN nations independently
○ Acceding to The Treaty of Amity and Cooperation on which
ASEAN was formed in (1967)—2003.
○ Becoming a founding member of EAS—2005.
○ South East Asia was the focus in the India International
Trade Fair (IITF) in 2005 which happened to be the Silver
Jubilee of the fair. Companies from Indonesia, Malaysia,
Vietnam and Thailand took part in the fair.
○ Under the open skies policy, today, there are over 215
direct flights every week between India and Singapore,
115 with Thailand and 50 with Malaysia. Recently started
with Myanmar also.
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■ Guest attendance
○ NAM & its relevance in today’s India foreign Policy
■ History
1. The Non-Aligned Movement (NAM) is a group of states
considering themselves not aligned formally with or against any
major power bloc. As of 2012, the movement had 120 members
and 21 observer countries
2. The organization was founded in Belgrade in 1961, and was
largely the brainchild of
○ Yugoslavia's President, Josip Broz Tito
○ India's first Prime Minister, Jawaharlal Nehru
○ Egypt's second President, Gamal Abdel Nasser
○ Ghana's first president Kwame Nkrumah
○ Indonesia's first President, Sukarno
○ Ethiopia's emperor Haile Selassie.
3. Objective
○ The national independence, sovereignty, territorial
integrity and security of non-aligned countries" in their
"struggle against imperialism, colonialism, neo-
colonialism, racism, and all forms of foreign aggression,
occupation, domination, interference or hegemony as well
as against great power and bloc politics.
■ From India’s perspective, it would appear that while it has little or no
significance as an ideology, it continues to have significance in
providing a forum for a group that represents nations whose voice
needs to be heard in the evolving global scenario.
■ Dr. Manmohan Singh views on NAM
1. Relevance of the Non-Alignment Movement (NAM has) "never
been greater than today" and called for greater solidarity among
members in tackling global challenges, including the financial
crisis, energy security, climate change and the UN reforms.
2. A great stake in ensuring that steps planned to revive the global
economy take into account the concerns of developing
countries
3. These include the challenges of food security, energy security,
the environment and the reform of institutions of global
governance
○ NAM 2.0
1. Strategic autonomy of decision making - essence of NAM 2.0
2. China
a. Suggest to play Tibet card-ask China to settle the dispute with
Dalai Lama
b. Expresses concern at the asymmetry in bilateral trade with
China
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development'.
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Dealing relationship with any country this can be the right approach
● Bilateral
● Regional Level
● International Level
1. Middle East
a. Background
i. If we gave them the zero and the numeric system, we received
knowledge of navigation and sea-faring; if the tales of the panchatantra
reached them, in the Persian translation, as the stories of kalila wa
dimna , then we received the metre and the rhyme of sufi poetry not to
mention its theology. There were similar exchanges in the field of
mathematics, astrology and astronomy, and medicine as also in craft-
skills like carpet-making and brocade weaving ( zardodzi and kinkhab).
ii. Manmohan Singh Statement - “the Gulf region, like South-East and South
Asia, is part of our natural economic hinterland. We must pursue closer
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1. Cultural Ties
a. There is a conscious effort on the part of India to bring
back Indian cultural influence in the region which India
enjoyed in the past.
b. In recent years India has attempted to strengthen cultural
ties with the Gulf countries by signing and renewing the
existing cultural exchange programmes.
c. India signed an Executive Programme for Cultural
Cooperation for 2007-2010 in 2007.
2. Education
a. Under the Education Exchange Programme 2009-2011,
signed between India and Kuwait, both the countries have
agreed to exchange information on studies and researches
in the fields of education and learning and exchange
specialists in the fields of general education, adult
education, special-needs education, and social and
psychological services.
b. An MoU on education was signed between India and
Oman in December 2007 which encourages cooperation
between the two countries through visits of academics,
officials and students from universities and academic
institutions, organising seminars, scientific
programmes and training courses, and exchange of
books scientific documents and library materials.
c. India has also pledged to assist Saudi Arabia in setting up
an ICT Centre of Excellence as well as institutes of
higher learning, involving both education and research in
the field of technology.
iii. Challenges
1. Balancing act between different states(Iran and Saudi Arabia)
2. Regions instability
3. Pressure from western powers
4. The growing threats of Islamic extremism, terrorism and
maritime piracy have become concerns for both India and the
Gulf countries.
5. There is a growing concern over the rise of criminal activities,
money laundering and illegal arms trade between the two regions-
through Dubai
6. social security for Indians
iv. Organisations
1. GCC
a. The Cooperation Council for the Arab States of the Gulf, also
known as the Gulf Cooperation Council is a political and
economic union of the Arab states bordering the Persian Gulf
and located on or near the Arabian Peninsula, namely Bahrain,
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February 2006 for the first time after Iran re-started its enrichment
activities
3. Some Enrichment plants: Parchin, Busher, Natanz Nuclear
facility
4. In May 2012, the IAEA reported that Iran had increased its rate of
production of low-enriched uranium enriched to 3.5% and to
expand its stockpile of uranium enriched to 19.75%, but was
having difficulty with more advanced centrifuges
5. Israel want to attack it’s all nuclear facilities
6. Washington has however, proved to be a less than interested
party in actively pursuing a military solution and has even
restrained Israel from doing so
ii. Oil Payment Issue
1. Under the new arrangement worked out by India and Iran,
payments for nearly half of its Iranian oil imports will be made in
rupees, which will be used by Iran to buy Indian goods.
iii. Western Sanctions
1. The US pressure on India to cut back on its energy links with Iran
is in tune with its ‘dual-track’ policy of “sanctions in pursuit of
constructive engagement,”
2. Secretary Clinton announced on March 20, 2012 that the
administration had made the assessment that 11 nations which
were importing Iranian crude (Belgium, the Czech Republic,
France, Germany, Greece, Italy, Japan, the Netherlands,
Poland,Spain, and the United Kingdom) have ‘significantly’
reduced their imports
3. The second round of exemptions was given to India, Malaysia,
South Korea, South Africa, Sri Lanka, Turkey and Taiwan on
June 11.
4. China and Singapore also exempted by US from its Iran related
sanctions
5. Countries that are still under the scanner include China,
Indonesia, Singapore, Philippines and even Pakistan
6. The EU in recent times has complemented the US’ unilateral
approach to force Iran to come to the negotiating table. In its
Foreign Affairs Council meeting in Brussels on January 23, 2012,
it imposed an oil embargo (to be effective from July 1, 2012),
restrictions on the Iranian central bank, export restrictions on
gold and sensitive dual-use items, a freeze on the assets of
eight companies controlled by the Islamic Revolutionary
Guards Corps (IRGC) and visa bans on three individuals.
7. India has made efforts to reduce its imports of Iranian crude.
a. India imported 21.81 million metric tonnes (MMT) during
2008-09,
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2. The Iranian authorities have brought the Strait of Hormuz into
military focus to deter recession hit western economies from
banning Iranian oil exports.
3. Missile test - Qader (mighty)
4. Ghader, or Capable in Farsi, is a ground-to-ship cruise missile
5. Vilayat 90 marine exercise
6. Strait of Hormuz-a key passage through which nearly 20 per cent
of the world oil supplies pass.
7. Iran could harass tanker traffic through the Strait through a range
of measures without necessarily shutting down all traffic.
8. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-18848986
9. Iran capabilities
a. Mines. Iran is believed to possess as many as 5,000 mines
of different types, including moored mines, advanced
mines such as the MDM-3 that can be dropped from
aircraft, and other types.
b. Small Boats.
c. Submarines
d. Coastal Cruise Missiles. The IRGC Navy controls several
batteries of CSS-C-2 “Seersucker” and China-made C-
801 and C-802
vi. Saudi Arabia stand
1. The Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries led by Saudi
Arabia have been wary of the Iranian nuclear efforts and have
urged that a solution be found to address their concerns.
2. Iran is locked in a geo-political struggle for regional dominance
with countries of the GCC led by Saudi Arabia. It is pertinent to
note that the GCC was in fact formed in 1981 as a direct
response to the Iranian revolution and its stated goal of
exporting its brand of Islam to other countries.
3. Saudi Arabia is also important for a very obvious reason – that of
being the world’s biggest oil exporter. As Western sanctions
begin to bite and curtail Iranian supply, there is greater pressure
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organised.
iii. The Special Kuwait Cell (SKC) deals with the compensation claims of
the Gulf War (1990-91) returnees. All the valid claims of the Indian
returnees have already been settled.
k. Lebanon
l. Oman
i. Of the total population of 3.2 million, the over 700,000 Indians make up
for the largest single expatriate community.
ii. The commissioning of the Bharat Oman Refinery Limited (BORL)
refinery complex in Bina on 20 May, 2011, was the highlight of bilateral
investment relations between the two countries.
iii. Omani Oil Company has a 26 per cent equity stake in the Bharat
Petroleum Corporation Ltd (BPCL)- US$ 2.4 billion refinery complex.
iv. Jindal Shadeed Iron & Steel LLC, a private sector plant, acquired by
Jindal Group of India in 2010 for US$ 464 million, also started commercial
operations in January 2011.
v. (2010 News)India is actively considering building a 2,000-km-long
deepwater transnational gas pipeline from Oman for transporting
natural gas sourced from Turkmenistan, Iran and Qatar and passing
through UAE.
m. Qatar
i. As many as 500,000 Indians live and work in Qatar, making them the
largest single expatriate community.
ii. recently India wants to sign a deal to ensure the supply of LNG
n. Saudi Arabia
i. Energy Security - Saudi Arabia is currently the largest supplier of crude
oil to India. With particular reference to the ‘Strategic Petroleum
Reserve’, India needs to move beyond mere commodity trade and
engage with Saudi Arabia through energy interdependence.
ii. Trade and Investment
iii. Indian Diaspora - Approximately two million strong Indian diaspora in
Saudi Arabia have acted as a medium through which the Saudis have
shaped their perception of India and its people.
iv. Saudi Arabia as a gateway for India to the Arab and Islamic world -
Mecca and Medina two most important holy places for muslims. It also
enjoys influence in organisations such as the Gulf Cooperation Council
(GCC), the Arab League and the Organisation of Islamic Cooperation
(OIC).
v. Defence cooperation - Defence cooperation between the two has not
received adequate attention. It is only in recent years that the two
countries have begun to conduct joint naval exercises.
vi. Counter terrorism - After 2011 attacks Saudi Arabia has taken steps to
check the flow of money and disrupting terrorist networks. Abu Jundal
deportation. Faish Mohammad (involved in Bangalore stadium attack)
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vii. Anti piracy - Piracy in the Gulf of Aden and surrounding regions remains
a threat to Sea Lines of Communication and thus to the security of the
transshipment of goods
viii. Recent engagement
a. The foundations for the new cooperation between Riyadh
and New Delhi were laid when King Abdullah came to India
in 2006, the first such visit in 51 years, followed by the
visits of Prime Minister Manmohan Singh(2010) and
Defence Minister A.K. Antony(2012)to Riyadh recently.
b. Bilateral engagements at the top were followed by closer
contact on the security front.
c. At the same time, India’s ties with Iran have entered
awkward terrain after the US sanctions on Tehran and the
attack on the Israeli diplomat in Delhi, where the Delhi
police claimed the role of Iranian operatives.
o. Syria
i. The conflict began on 15 March 2011 with public demonstrations as part of the
wider Arab Spring and developed into a nationwide uprising, and a civil war in
2012.
ii. Syria is a country of
1. 21 million people with a Sunni Muslim majority (74%)
2. significant minorities of Alawites - the Shia heterodox sect to
which Mr Assad belongs
3. Christians.
4. Mr Assad promotes a secular identity for the country, but he has
concentrated power in the hands of family and other Alawites.
5. The key players in Syria are the U.S., Israel, Turkey, Russia,
Iran and the Arab League.
6. USA -
a. Want to remain only superpower.
b. President Assad never publicly antagonized America like
Libya's Muammar Gaddafi, nor did his government ever
provide overt support for anti-American terrorism
c. There is plenty of evidence Syria aided militias and
groups in neighboring Iraq fighting against American
forces.
d. Syria is not a major supplier of oil or other natural
resources to America.
7. The Arab League -
a. Arab League observers that Assad allowed
b. Arab League peace plan that the U.N. is mulling over.
c. It may be Arab League that will get Russia and China to
drop their objections to some form of concerted
international action, possibly including a joint Arab-UN
peacekeeping force.
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8. Israel -
a.Share a disputed 40-mile or so border, and the two nations
are still technically at war.
b. Golan Heights with Israel since the Six Day War in 1967
c. Assad regime provides direct support for Hezbollah in
Lebanon and Hamas and Islamic Jihad in the Israeli
occupied territories.
d. Israel has already been affected by the conflict. A reported
20 Syrians were killed by Israeli forces in June along the
border during pro-Palestinian demonstrations that some
said were orchestrated by the Assad government to
distract from the growing crackdown on its own
demonstrators.
e. Israel's interests is how the outcome in Syria would affect
its ongoing conflict with Iran. Many observers view Syria as
Iran's closest regional ally.
9. Turkey -
a. In recent years Turkey had been cultivating Assad in an
effort to open Syria up as part of a trade route between
Europe and the Middle East.
b. Syria also represents a chance for Turkey to improve upon
its already robust position as an important regional power
broker.
c. The Erdogan government has cultivated that image in
recent years as it negotiates for European Union
membership.
d. Turkey, along with France, is the co-chair of the
"Friends of Syria" conference currently in Tunisia
e. And Now Turkey has started openly opposing the
Assad regime after Syria bombed down Turkish Helicopter
on breach of air space.
f. Patriot Missile system have been installed by US and EU
near Turkey-Syria Border inside Turkey
10. Russia -
a. Russia has been a primary sponsor of Syria for decades,
and has a crucial naval base in the Syrian port of Tartus
on the Mediterranean.
b. Since Soviet times, Russia has seen the Assad
government as an important regional counterweight to
U.S. and Israeli interests.
c. Syria is the most powerful Israeli neighbor that has not
signed a peace treaty with the Jewish state.
11. Iran -
a. On first glance, Iran's religious orthodoxy and Syria's more
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iii.
iv. 2012 events
1. Houla Massacre- first major violation of Anan 6 point plan
2. Al Qubeir Massacre
3. Turkey F-4 Airplane
4. On 18 July, Syrian Defense Minister Dawoud Rajha, former defense
minister Hasan Turkmani, and the president's brother-in-law General
Assef Shawkat were killed by a bomb attack in the city
5. On 19 July, Russia and China vetoed a U.N. resolution that would add
sanctions against the Syrian government, showing again the divide in
international opinion towards the conflict
6. Conflict has reached a decisive stage in late July 2012, with the
government forces and the armed opposition locked in a high intensity
battle over control of the country’s largest city, Aleppo. Fighting over
Aleppo is acquiring a greater significance after government troops
flushed out most of the fighters from Damascus.
7. Kofi Annan Plan (Peace Plan for Syria)
1. Start negotiation with Envoy
2. UN supervised Cease fire
3. Allow Humanitarian aid
4. Ensure freedom of movement
5. Ensure right to demonstrate peacefully
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ii. Importance
1. Energy Security
2. Infrastructure investment
3. Double taxation avoidance agreement
iii. UAE blood money - 17 Indians
r. Yemen
i. The 2011–2012 Yemeni revolution followed the initial stages of the Tunisian
Revolution and occurred simultaneously with the Egyptian Revolution and other
mass protests in the Arab world in early 2011. The uprising was initially against
unemployment, economic conditions and corruption, as well as against the
government's proposals to modify the constitution of Yemen.
ii. The protestors demands then escalated to calls for President Ali Abdullah
Saleh to resign.
iii. After an election, power was transferred to the vice president, Abd Rabbuh
Mansur Al-Hadi, for a two-year term starting in February 2012.
iv. Al-Hadi will oversee the drafting of a new constitution, followed by parliamentary
and presidential elections in 2014.
s. Shia Crescent
i.
ii. 80% sunni and 20% Shia in the world population
iii. In Iraq 60% Shia traditionally ruled by Sunni minority but now Shia in
power. So support for Iran because at the time of Saddam Husain Iran
provided them asylum
iv. Kuwait 35% Shia
v. Saudi Arabia Majority Sunni but Eastern provinces that are oil rich
dominated by Shia
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a. General
i. Region Importance
1. India’s primary interests there are in
a. Energy
i. Kazakhstan has substantial oil, largest uranium
producer;
ii. Turkmenistan has gas;
iii. Uzbekistan has more modest hydrocarbon
resources;
iv. Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan have surplus
hydropower.
v. Around 7.62% gas reserve of the world in this
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region
b. Minimizing Pakistani influence
i. prevent to attain strategic depth
ii. the islamic countries in central Asia can be used in
OIC
c. Trade and investment
i. New market for Indian export
ii. With Russia joining the World Trade
Organisation, and Kazakhstan playing a crucial
role in the integration efforts of the newly formed
Customs Union of Belarus, Kazakhstan and
Russia, the scope for seeking strategic and
economic depth by partnering both at bilateral as
well as on a regional level has opened up
substantially for India.
d. Establishing itself as a significant player in the interplay
of outside powers that is taking shape.
e. India’s engagement with Central Asia could facilitate
options for transcontinental transit to Eurasia. Russia,
Iran and India are already in agreement to further develop
the North-South Transport Corridor.-covered by Kahnani
2. Challenges
a. Connectivity problem; transport plus power sharing
network
b. China’s presence - Entry into SCO
c. Security issue - TAPI gas pipeline from vulnerable Afghan
region
d. Region stability - Centrifugal forces remain very strong
i. Uzbekistan is a fragile state, while Tajikistan and
Kyrgyzstan are on the brink of failure. Rivalry and
lack of trust between the states are intractable as
far as this generation of rulers is concerned.
Lamentably, genuine integration of Central Asian
countries is not near in sight.
e. Non conventional threat - terrorism, extremism, drug
trafficking
3. Policy of India towards the region
a. “Connect Central Asia” Policy Of India
i. Policy focus on certain flagship projects, including
the establishment of Central Asian University at
Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan
ii. Connecting Central Asia through an e-Network in
telemedicine and other critical areas of
commercial activities
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c. SCO
i. intergovernmental mutual-security organisation which was founded in
2001 in Shanghai by the leaders of China, Kazakhstan,Kyrgyzstan,
Russia, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan.(Turkmenistan is not part of it)
ii. Except for Uzbekistan, the other countries had been members of the
Shanghai Five, founded in 1996; after the inclusion of Uzbekistan in
2001, the members renamed the organisation.
iii. The SCO is primarily centered on its member nations' Central Asian
security-related concerns, often describing the main threats it confronts
as being terrorism, separatism and extremism. However, evidence is
growing that its activities in the area of social development of its
member states is increasing fast.
iv. Western media observers counterbalance to NATO and the United
States
v. The United States applied for observer status in the SCO, but was
rejected in 2006
vi. Military - Regular military exercises and counter-terrorism drills
vii. Economic relation - Strong economic ties between member countries
and members are talking about starting new regional bank and
development fund for SCO member countries
viii. Cultural cooperation - In 2012 member countries also signed an
agreement for cultural cooperation
ix. 12th SCO summit(Beijing Summit)
1. Afghanistan and Turkey were included as observer and
dialogue partner, respectively.
2. Pursue the establishment of a Special Account and
Development Bank.
3. Approval of a development strategic plan.
4. Vows to foster and facilitate trade and investment.
5. Vows to enhance cooperation in the finance, transportation,
energy, telecommunications and agriculture sectors in line with a
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To see
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