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LESSON PLAN IN

Probability of Simple Events

Marjorie B. Malveda

I. LEARNING OBJECTIVES
At the end of the one-hour period (60-minute period), the students should be able
to:
Knowledge 1. define probability
Skills 2. find the probability of simple events
Attitude 3. express appreciation on the importance of
probability in real-life
II. SUBJECT MATTER
A. Topic: Probability of Simple Events
B. References: Mathematics 8 Learners Module, First Edition,2013.
C. Learning Competencies: Finds the probability of a simple event. M8GE-
IVh-1
D. Materials: Cartolina, Cardboard, chalk, eraser, projector, laptop,
chalkboard and die.
E. Strategies/Methods Used: Collaborative learning and lecture method
F. Values Integration: Activeness and cooperation

III. PROCEDURE
TEACHER’S ACTIVITIES STUDENTS ACTIVITIES
A. Preparation (5 minutes)

(Prayer)

May I request everyone to stand up and start our day (Regine will lead the
with a prayer. prayer)

(Greetings)

Good morning class. Good morning Miss

Before you take your seat, please arrange your chair. Marj! (Students arrange

Let me remind you our classroom rules. the chairs.)

1. Obeserve proper use of face mask and face


shield all the time.
2. Use alcohol regularly especially when you touh
something.
3. Follow seating arrangements and stay in your
seat. Maintain 1-2 meters physical distance.
4. Raise your hand if you want to answer.
5. No using of cellphones. Obey and follow ma’am.
6. Respect each other.

What are you going to do with these rules?


You must obey and follow.

(Checking of attendance) Yes ma’am.

I will check your attendance based on your seat


plan. Are you in your proper seat right now?

No absents for today. Good job!


Abby: Our topic yesterday ma’am is
(Review) about Theoretical and Experimental
Probability.
Who can recall our topic yesterday? Yes, Abby.
Joshua: Theoretical probability is
Thank you, Abby. determined through reasoning or
calculation while experimental is based
What is the difference between theoretical and on the experiment.
experimental probability? Yes, Joshua.

B. Presentation (40 minutes)

a. Activity (5 minutes) All: Me ma’am (raising their hands)

Before we proceed to our proper discussion,


let’s have first an activity. Who wants to have
an activity class? Some: yes ma’am

That’s great! Some: no ma’am


Are you familiar with the game rock-paper-
scissors class?

Find a partner and let’s play rock-paper-scissors.


You have three rounds to play and record your
Trial 1st round 2nd round 3rd round
Student
A
Student
B

result on the paper I will provide you.


Write W if you win and L if you lose. (The students find their partner)

Are you now ready class? Do you have a partner


already? (The students perform the activity and
record the result.)
1, 2, 3 go “bato2x pick!

(After 3 rounds)

Thank you, you may now go back to your seats.

Enjoying ma’am
a. Analysis (3 minutes)
Exciting ma’am
How did you find the activity?
Student 1: I won 3 times ma’am
How many times did you win or lose the game?
Student 2: I lost 2 times ma’am

Student 3: I won 2 times ma’am

Student 4: I lost 3 times ma’am

Student: Ma’am, some of my classmates


have the same result.

Now, compare your result with your classmate.

Okay very good!

We will discuss today the probability of simple


events. Please listen carefully because at the end of
our discussion, you are expected to define
probability, find the probability of simple events and
express appreciation on the importance of probability
in real-life.

c. Discussion Proper (20 minutes)

Let us first define probability and simple Answers may vary


events.

What comes into your mind when you hear the v


word probability?

Thank for sharing your idea class.

Probability – is the measure of how likely an event is


to occur. The more likely an event is to occur, the higher
its probability. The less likely an event is to occur, the
lower its probability.

Simple event – it is an event which has a single


outcome. Jessa: It’s 1 ma’am.
Example: In rolling a die, what is the probability of
getting 4?

How many favorable outcomes do we have?


Student: There are 7 ma’am.
You’re correct, Jessa
(The student is counting)
How many possible outcomes?
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6,
7 possible outcomes? Are you sure? Look at Jessa: There are 6 ma’am.
this die and count the possible outcomes.

Now Jessa how many possible outcomes do we have in


rolling a die?

Very good. So, there is 1 favorable outcome and 6


possible outcomes, therefore
(the student remained silent)
1
P(4) =
6
(Student raising his hand)
Based on the example, how are you going to
Ma’am to compute the probability of event
compute for the probability of simple events?
1 number of favorable outcomes
Again, the probability of getting 4 is , where 1 is
number of all possible outcomes
6
is the favorable outcome and 6 is the number of
all possible outcomes.

You’re right!

The probability of simple event is the ratio that 1


P(win)=
compares the number of favorable outcomes to the 2
number of possible outcomes.
1
P(lose) =
In our activity earlier, solve the probability of 2
winning the game and losing the game.

1
So, the probability of winning is 2 and losing
1
the game is .
2
Let me show you the probability line (show

the probability line)

There are 4 probability rules

1. The probability of any event is a number


(either a fraction, a decimal, or a percent)

Example: The weather forecast shows 70%


rain. 7
P(rain) = 70% or .7 or
10

2. If an event will never happen, then its


probability is 0.

Example: When a single die is rolled, find the

probability of getting an 8. Ma’am how did it happen that it is


𝑜
P(8) = = 0. Where did you get that ma’am?
Since the sample space consists of 1, 2,3,4,5 6
and 6. It is impossible
𝑜
to get an 8.
Hence, P(8) = = 0
6

Do you have any question class before we proceed to


the 3rd rule? Yes, Maxine.

From the probability formula Yes, Ma’am. Thank you.


number of favorable outcomes
P(event )=
number of all possible outcomes
0
P(8)= =0
6

Did I answer now your question Maxine?


Student: There are 6 ma’am.
3. If an event is sure to happen, then the
probability is 1.

Example: When a single die is rolled, what


is the probability of getting a number less
than 7.

Solve for the probability getting a Student: 1,2,3,4,5,6


number less than 7.
Student: 1 ma’am Student:
How many possible outcomes? Good,
Yes ma’am
there are 6 possible outcomes.

What are those outcomes? Student: Yes ma’am

Correct! Student: Getting a number less than 7.

Now, what is the number of favorable Student: Yes ma’am


outcomes?
Student: There are 6 favorable
Are you sure it’s 1? outcomes.
All the outcomes are 1,2,3,4,5, and 6
right? 6
P(number less than 7)¿ =1
6
What is the event?

Then all outcomes are less than 7?

Again, what is the number of the


favorable outcomes?

Very good!

You can now solve the probability of getting


a number less than 7 because you have
already identified the number of favorable
outcomes and all possible outcomes.

4. The sum of the probabilities of all


outcomes in the sample space is 1.

Example:
None ma’am
If a fair coin is flipped,

1 1 Yes ma’am.
P(T) = and P(H) =
2 2
1
P(T) + P(H) = 1 Student: It’s 4 ma’am.
1 1
+ =1
2 2

Do you have any question about the probability rules


class?

One and only reminder class, your answer should be


on the simplified form. Okay?
13
For example, ,what is the simplified form of
52
this?

d. Application (5 minutes)

(Group activity)

Now let’s apply your understanding about the


probability of simple events. (The students move silently to their groups.)
I will divide the group into 4, under your chairs, there
are strips of papers with number. The number will
indicate what group you belong.

I will flash on the screen the situation and your task


is in this piece of paper.
Then I will provide the materials needed and you
will write your answer here in the manila paper.

I’ll give you 3 minutes and after that choose a


representative to present your work.

Go now to your groups. Move silently. Don’t make


any noise. (The student start answering)

You may now start.

(the teacher flash on the screen the situation)

Situation: Pick and Carry is having an IPOD


giveaway. They put all the IPOD shuffles in a bag.
Customers may choose an IPOD without looking at
the color. Inside the bag, there are 4 orange, 5 blue,
6 green and 5 pink IPODS.

Group 1. If Maria chooses one IPOD at random, what


is the probability that she will choose an orange
IPOD?
Answer
Group 2. If Maria chooses one IPOD at random, what 4 1
1. P(orange) = = = 0.2 = 20%
is the probability that she will choose a blue IPOD? 20 5
Group 3. If Maria chooses one IPOD at random, what 1
2. P(blue) = 5
= = 0.25 = 25%
is the probability that she will choose a green IPOD? 20 4

Group 4. If Maria chooses one IPOD at random, what 6 3


3. P(green) = = = 0.30 = 30%
is the probability that she will choose a pink IPOD? 20 10
Okay time’s up. Please arrange now your chairs. 5 1
4. P(pink) = = = 0.25 = 25%
20 4
In presenting your work no need to come here in
front just stand in your place and show your work to
your classmates.

Group 1 start.

Group 2

Probability is the measure of how likely an


Group 3 event is to occur

Group 4 The probability of any event is a number


either a fraction, a decimal and a percent.

If an event will never happen, then its


probability is 0.
e. Generalization (5 minutes) If an event is sure to happen, then
the probability is 1.
A while ago we discuss about probability of simple
events and probability rules. The sum of the probabilities of all outcomes
in the sample space is 1.
As a recap, what is probability? The

probability rules state that:

1. The probability of any event is a number


either a ,a_ and a
.

2. If an event will never happen, then its


probability is .

3. If an event is sure to happen, then the


probability is .

4. The sum of the probabilities of all Answer

outcomes in the sample space is A. Probability is the measure of how


likely an event is to occur

B.

IV. Evaluation (5 minutes) 4 1


1. P(E) = =
12 3
(The teacher gives the instruction and
administers the exam.)

Instruction: Answer directly in a ¼ sheet of 4 1


paper. 2. P(8) = =
52 13
2
3. P(S) =
A. Define probability (3pts each) 7

B. Find the probability of the following: (2pts


each)

1. If a letter is chosen at the random from


the word PERSEVERANCE, what is the
probability that the letter chosen is E?

2. What is the probability of getting an 8


from a deck of 52 cards?

3. Earl Darenz is asked to choose a day from


a week. What is the probability of
choosing a day which starts with
S?

V. Assignment (2 minutes)

A. List down at least three situations from your


experiences, wherein you
wondered for a probability of a certain
event.
Study in advance about Measures of Central Tendencies

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