Enrichment Exercise 3

a. Draw a network diagram and determine the expected project completion time

Expected times:
4 + ( 4∗5 ) +6 2+ ( 4∗3 ) + 4
t A= =5 tF= =3
6 6
7+ ( 4∗9 )+11 4 + ( 4∗6 ) +8
tB= =9 t G= =6
6 6
9+ ( 4∗11 )+13 2+ ( 4∗3 ) +4
t C= =11 t H= =3
6 6
4+ ( 4∗5 ) +6 2+ ( 4∗4 ) +6
t D= =5 tI= =4
6 6
2+ ( 4∗4 ) +6
tE= =4
6

Variances:

2
σA =
6 ( )
6−4 2
=0.11
2
σF = ( )
4−2 2
6
=0.11

2
σB = ( 6 )
11−7 2
=0.44
2
σG = ( )
8−4 2
6
=0.44

( ) ( )
2 2
2 13−9 2 4−2
σC = =0.44 σH = =0.11
6 6

( ) ( )
2 2
6−4 6−2
σ D2 = =0.11 σ I 2= =0.44
6 6

2
σE = ( ) 6−2 2
6
=0.44

Expected Time and Variances Summary

Activity t σ
2
 A 5 0.11
B 9 0.44
C 11 0.44
D 5 0.11
E 4 0.44
F 3 0.11
G 6 0.44
H 3 0.11
I 4 0.44

With a critical path of A-B-C-I

The expected project completion time will be therefore be equal to: A+B+C+I =
5+9+11+4 = 29 days

b. What is the probability that the project completion time will meet the 35-day deadline?
 c. Make the gantt chart of the project.

ACTIVITIES IN DAYS
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I

Name: Rogen Darell R. Aban Score/Grade: ______________

Schedule: Monday Date of Submission:
02/06/2023

Enrichment Exercise 4

a. Construct the PERT network diagram for this project.

b. Compute the mean and variance in time for each activity

Expected times:
5+ ( 4∗10 ) +15 9+ ( 4∗13 )+ 17
t A= =10 tF= =13
6 6
11+ ( 4∗15 ) +19 6+ ( 4∗11 ) +16
t B= =15 t G= =11
6 6
13+ ( 4∗17 )+ 21
t C= =17
6
14 + ( 4∗16 ) +21
t D= =16.5
6
8+ ( 4∗18 )+ 22
t E= =17
6
Variances:

( ) ( )
2 2
2 15−5 2 17−9
σA = =2.78 σF = =1.78
6 6

2
σB = ( 19−11 2
6 )
=1.78
2
σG = ( 16−6 2
6 )
=2.78

( )
2
2 21−13
σC = =1.78
6

σ D2 = ( 21−14 2
6 )
=1.36

2
σE = ( 6 )
22−8 2
=5.44

Expected Time and Variances Summary

Activity t σ
2

A 10 2.78
B 15 1.78
C 17 1.78
D 16.5 1.36
E 17 5.44
F 16.5 1.78
G 17 2.78

c. Find the critical path and determine the expected length of the critical path?

Based on the obtained illustration above, the critical path is: A-C-D-F-G
And the expected length of time is 67.5 Weeks.
∵ A+C+D+F+G = 10+17+16.5+13+11 = 67.5 weeks
 d. Assuming normality and path independence, what is the probability of meeting the 72-week
Deadline?

First,
2 2 2 2 2 2
σ =σ A + σ C +σ D +σ F + σ G

¿ 2.78+1.78+1.36+ 1.78+ 2.78 = 10.48

Then,
σ =√ 10.48=3.24

And last,
T −E ( t ) 72−67.5
z= = =1.39
σ 3.24

Answer:
Using z = 1.39 and the table for the normal distribution, the probability of the project
meeting the 72-week deadline is 91.77%.
since 0.5000 + 0.4177 = 0.9177 and that 0.9177 x 100 = 91.77.