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SHS Statistics and Probability Q3 Mod3 Random Sampling v4 1 Cutted 1
SHS Statistics and Probability Q3 Mod3 Random Sampling v4 1 Cutted 1
Probability
Module 3
Random Sampling and
Sampling Distribution
2. The probability distribution when all possible sample size n are repeatedly
drawn from a population.
a. Sampling c. Sampling distribution
b. Parameter d. Central Limit Theorem
4. Using the Sloven’s formula, what is the sample size n for N = 11,000 and e =
5%?
a. 385 b. 386 c. 387 d. 388
6. How many possible samples of size n=3 can be drawn from a population of size
12?
a. 36 b. 1728 c. 144 d. 220
iv
7. The number of samples of size n that can be drawn from a population of size N
is given by
a. NCn b. nCN c. NPn d.nPN
8. What is the shape of the sampling distribution of the means if random samples
of size n becomes larger?
a. Left skewed c. Normal
b. Right skewed d. rectangular
9. Which sample size will give a smaller standard error of the mean?
a. 10 b. 20 c. 30 d. 35
10. What is the probability that a randomly selected year will have a population
increase greater than 185 for 15 years.
v
Lesson
RANDOM SAMPLING
1
In daily life, we are oriented with basic concepts in statistics. When we want to
know whether several packs of batteries are free from defects, it would be time
consuming to examine all of them piece by piece. How will you do the quality test?
Probably you can do this by examining a few samples from each pack.
In this lesson, you will be introduced to some statistical procedures and
measures that are used to draw conclusions and inferences for large groups.
What’s In
Activity 1. Recalling Sample and Population
Study the following and dentify the sample and population in each situation.
1. A housewife buys a sack of rice. She examined only a handful of rice from the
sack to find out whether it is of good quality or not.
Sample
Population
2. Your mother wants to know the taste of food she is cooking or preparing. She
tasted only a spoonful of it.
Sample
Population
3. The teacher wants to know the common height of OHS student in Lala
National High School. She got only 10 OHS students from each year level.
Sample
Population
1
Question: How will you describe a sample? Population? Write your answer in
the table below.
Term Description
Sample
population
What’s New
Activity 2. Am I a Representative?
Which of the following samples is a good representative of the described
population? Why?
1. Mila wants to know the common brand of cellphone her classmates have.
Answer:
2. The SSG president of the school wants to know who among the young actors
and actresses is the most admired by the senior high school students.
2
What is it?
Wrong conclusion maybe drawn from samples in letters a and b. These
samples will not represent the common brand of cellphone of Mila’s classmates
and the SHS student’s most admired young actors and actresses. The samples
in letter c is the best representation of the described population.
Now that you know the idea of representativeness of a sample for a
population, the next activity will lead you to the process of getting a sample
which are good representatives of a population. This process is called random
sampling.
What’s More
Activity 3. Random Sample or Not?
Determine whether the process of getting a sample in each situation is by random
sampling or not.
1. To determine the common size of shoes her students have, Mrs. Cruz draw her
sample from a box containing the names of her students with their shoe sizes.
Answer:
Answer:
3. To know the common size of the family her classmates have, Julius interviewed
their class officers.
Answer:
4. To determine the most liked subject in their school, Joel interviewed the honor
students in each class.
Answer:
3
5. To select the students who will represent the school in the Math Olympics, the
Principal gathered all students living near the school and gave them a qualifying
test.
Answer:
What’s More
Activity 4. Identify Me
Identify the type of random sampling illustrated by the following situations.
1. Mr. Cruz, the municipal mayor wants to know whether his constituents are in
favor or not of the Federal form of government to be implemented in the
4
Philippines. He wants to select a sample of 400 from the different groups of his
constituents, from the youths, adults, and from the senior citizens.
Answer:
2. To select his representatives for the Youth Conference at Baguio City, the
teacher listed all the names of his students in a small piece of paper which are
rolled and then mixed together and pick out 10 rolled papers at random.
Answer:
Answer:
4. In a survey, the samples were randomly taken from subsequent cities, then
municipalities or barangays, and then households.
Answer:
5. To choose the sample respondents for a national survey, the researcher used
the lottery method in identifying the regions or cities to be chosen. Then, he
used the stratified random sampling to determine the samples from the certain
areas or clusters.
Answer:
What Is It
Now that you know the different sampling techniques, the next thing that
you need to know is to determine the sample size to be taken from the
population.
Illustrative example:
Supposing that your school has a population of 5,000 students and you
want to know the average height of the students, it would be impractical to
interview or to get the height of all students. All you need to do is to determine
the sample size that will estimate the whole population. To do this, we will use
the Slovin’s Formula in getting the sample size.
5
n = _N
1 + Ne2
n = 370.4 or 371
Hence, you must select randomly 371 students as your sample. The result is
rounded up since this is getting samples from a population.
If the sample size obtained will be distributed by the table below, how many
samples will be taken randomly from each Grade level?
Solution:
To get the sample size from each Grade level, divide the number of
students per year level by the total number of students then multiply the quotient
by the required sample size.
6
What Is It
Determine the sample size required for the given population using the
Slovin’s Formula.
1. Find the sample size required using the Slovin’s Formula from a population
of 20,000 given a margin of error of 5% .
2. Distribute the sample size obtained in number 1 as classified to the following
categories:
Sample
size
Category A 1,000
Category B 5,000
Category C 6,000
Category D 8,000
7
What Is It
Now that you know how to determine the sample size of a certain population,
you are now ready to learn how to compute the sample mean which serves as an
estimator for the population mean.
Illustrative example:
The heights in meters of 5 students chosen at random are 1.5 , 1.23,1.6, 1.4,
and 1.3.
The mean height of these 5 students is computed as,
Mean = 1.5+1.23+1.6+1.4+1.3
5
Mean = 1.41 meters
What’s More
Activity 6. Finding the mean
Compute the mean of the following :
1. The following shows the grades in Mathematics of the 15 randomly chosen
students from Grade 11- STEM
85 89 85 81 86 89 89 92 91 95 92 86 81 87 88
Mean =
2. The following shows the monthly income of 12 randomly chosen families in a
certain barangay
P15,000 P18,000 P16,000
P20,000 P19,000 P18,000
P16,000 P20,000 P23,000
P20,000 P23,000 P21,000
Mean =
8
3. The weights of 35 grade 10 class –A students are recorded as follows:
35 40 37 41 36 45 40
37 43 43 42 41 40 44
43 45 42 37 38 41 38
45 42 43 42 41 38 42
43 41 40 39 36 30 40
Mean =
9
Lesson
PARAMETER AND STATISTIC
2
What Is It
The resulting sample mean in items # 1 and 2 of the activity in lesson 3 is called
statistic. Other examples are sample standard deviation and sample median. The
resulting population mean in item # 3 is called parameter. Other examples are
population standard deviation and population median.
The next activity will help you understand more about the difference between
statistic and parameter.
What’s New
Activity ( Describe Me)
. Identify which describes a statistic or a parameter.
1. 40% of the students are in favor of the anti-bullying policy in
school
2. The average grade of 5 out of 36 Grade 11 students is 93.
3. The midterm average grade of Grade 12 students is 89.
4. The average salary of the employees in a certain company is
Php 15,370.
5. The average score of the TVL students in Statistics and
Probability of a certain school is 82% .
6. 15% of the residents in a certain country are aware of the proper
waste disposal.
7. 100% of the class like chocolate flavored ice cream very much.
10
What I Have Learned
Questions: 1. When does a certain situation describes statistics?
Parameter?
Answer:
2.How is statistics differ from parameter?
Answer:
11
SAMPLING DISTRIBUTION OF
Lesson
THE SAMPLE MEANS FROM A
3
FINITE POPULATION
In your previous lessons, you have learned how to construct a frequency
distribution. In this lesson, you will learn how to construct a sampling distribution of
sample means.
What’s In
Activity 1. Can You Still Recall?
Evaluate the following: ( Combination of N objects taken n at a time )
1. 6 C2
2. 8 C3
3. 10 C4
4. 8 C3
5. 20 C5
The above activity can be done using the formula for finding the
Combination of N objects taken r at a time which is given by
NC n = N!
(N -n)! n!
Where N = number of observation
n= size of possible random samples
Illustrative example:
Six students have the following grades in English
89 84 90 93 86 82
List all possible random sample of size 3
12
Solution: Using the formula of Combination, n = 6 and r = 3
6C3= 6!
( 6 – 3 )!3!
= 20 random samples
What Is It
Step 1. Determine and list all possible random samples of size 3 and solve the
mean of each random samples.
5C3 = 5!
[(5-3 )! 3!]
13
Random Samples of size 3 Sample Mean
3,4,6 4.33
3,4,7 4.67
3,4,12 6.33
3,6,7 5.33
3,6,12 7
3,7,12 7.33
4,6,7 5.67
4,6,12 7.33
4,7,12 7.67
6,7,12 8.33
Step 2. Construct a frequency distribution of the sample means. This is called the
sampling distribution of the sample means.
Means Probability
4.33 0.10 P
4.67 0.10 R
5.33 0.10 O
5.67 0.10 B
6.33 0.10 A
7 0.10 B
7.33 0.20 I
7.67 0.10 L
8.33 0.10 I
T
y
Sample Means
14
What’s More
15
b. Construct a sampling distribution of the resulting sample means
Sample Means Frequency Probability
P
R
O
B
A
B
I
L
I
T
y
Sample Mean
16
MEAN AND VARIANCE OF
Lesson THE SAMPLING
4 DISTRIBUTION OF SAMPLE
MEANS
What Is It
In the previous lessons, you have learned how to find the sample mean and
how to construct a sampling distribution of the sample means. In this lesson, you will
know how to find the mean and variance of a sampling distribution of the sample
means.
Illustrative Example:
Consider a population consisting the ages of SHS students 15, 16, 17, 18, and
19. Suppose samples of 3 are drawn from this population, how will you describe the
sampling distribution of the sample means.
Solution:
When we describe the sampling distribution of the sample means, we need to
determine the mean and the variance of the sampling distribution of the sample means
and compare these to the mean and variance of the given population.
17
X (X - μ) ( X - μ )2 σ2 = ∑(x – μ)2
15 15-17= -2 (-2)2= 4 N
16 16-17= -1 (-1)2 = 1 = 10
17 17-17= 0 (0)2 =0 5
18 18-17= 1 (1)2=1 σ =2
19 19-17= 2 (2)2 =4
∑( X - μ )2 =10 So, the variance of the population is 2.
= 5!
(5-3)! 3!
18
Step 6. Solve for the mean of the sampling distribution of the sample mean (μx̅)
Hence, the mean of the sampling distribution of the sample means is 17.
Step 7. Calculate the variance (σ2 x̅) of the sampling distribution of the sample
means.
The variance of the sampling distribution of the sample means is given by:
σ2 = ∑ P(x̅) ∗ ( x̅ - μ )2
x̅
σ2 = ∑ P(x̅) ∗ ( x̅ - μ )2 = 0.333
x̅
19
Step 8. Construct the histogram.
P 0.25
R
0.2
O
̅ x̅ P(̅x̅) B 0.15
16 0.10 A
16.33 0.10 B 0.1
16.67 0.20 I
17 0.20 L 0.05
17.33 0.20 I
17.67 0.10 T
16 16.33 16.67 17 17.33 17.67 18
18 0.10 y
Sample Mean
Questions:
1. How do you compare the mean of the population and the mean of the
sampling distribution of the sample means?
Answer:
2. How do you compare the variance of the population and the variance of the
sampling distribution of the sample means?
Answer:
3. How do you compare the standard deviation of the population and the
standard deviation of the sampling distribution of the sample means?
Answer:
20
What’s More
X (X - μ) (X - μ) 2
21
4. List the possible samples and the corresponding means in the table.
Samples Means
6. Complete the table and calculate the mean of the sampling distribution of
the sample means using the formula: μx̅ = x̅ ∗ P( x̅ )
∑ [ X ∗ P( x̅ ) ]=
μx̅ = x̅ ∗ P( x̅ ) =
22
7. Fill in the table with the necessary data to calculate the variance of the
sampling distribution of the sample means using the formula:
σ2 = ∑ P(x̅) ∗ ( x̅ - μ )2
x̅
x̅ P(̅x̅)
b. What can you say about the variance of the sample means and the
variance of the population
Answer:
23
SAMPLING DISTRIBUTION OF
Lesson
THE SAMPLE MEANS FROM
5
AN INFINITE POPULATION
What Is It
An Infinite population is a population that contains an infinite number of
elements.
Illustrative example:
Solutions:
We shall assume that the population is infinite because we are only given its
mean and its standard deviation. Again, when you are asked to describe the sampling
distribution, you need to solve its mean, its variance and its standard deviation.
Population mean μ = 50
Standard Deviation σ = 4 which implies that the variance σ2 =16
Number of samples n = 15
= 1.067
24
Step 4 . Determine the standard deviation of the sampling distribution using
the Property
What I Can Do
Activity ( Describe Me)
The heights of OSHS male students in your school are normally
distributed with a mean of 156 cm and standard deviation of 10 cm. Describe the
sampling distribution of 20 students who are randomly drawn from this population.
Solutions:
Steps Solutions
1.
2.
3.
4.
Conclusion:
25
What I Have Learned
1. The mean of the sampling distribution of the sample means is equal to the
population mean 𝜇. That is,
μx̅ = μ
2. The variance of the sampling distribution of the sample means is given by:
𝝈𝟐 𝑵−𝒏
𝝈𝟐 x̅ = ∗ for finite population; and
𝒏 𝑵−𝟏
𝜎2
𝝈𝟐 x̅ = for infinite population.
𝑛
3. The standard deviation of the sampling distribution of the sample means is given
by:
𝝈 𝑵−𝒏
a. 𝝈x̅ = ∗ √𝑵−𝟏 for finite population
𝒏
𝑵−𝒏
where √𝑵−𝟏 is the finite population correction factor
𝝈
b. 𝝈x̅ = for infinite population
√𝒏
The standard deviation of the sampling distribution of the sample means is also
called standard error of the mean. It tells how accurate is the sample mean to estimate
the population mean. If the value of the standard deviation is small or very close to
zero, then the sample mean is a good estimate for the population mean. If the value
of the standard deviation is large, the mean is a poor estimate for the population mean.
A good estimate for the population mean can be obtained if the random sample
size n is sufficiently large. This is stated as a theorem which is called The Central Limit
Theorem.
26
Lesson THE CENTRAL LIMIT
6 THEOREM
What is It
Illustrative Example:
Below are shown the histograms of the resulting frequency distributions each
based on 500 means. Four scores were sampled from a uniform distribution 500 times
and the mean computed each time fon n=4. The same process was followed with
means of 7 scores for n = 7 and 10 scores for n = 10.
https://towardsdatascience.com/understanding-the-central-limit-theorem
Questions:
1. Observe the illustrations above. What can you say about the spread of the
histogram as the value of the sample size n increases?
Answer:
2. How will you describe the distribution as the value of the sample size n
increases?
Answer:
27
Note that as the sample size n increases, the distribution becomes more and
more normal and the spread of the distribution decreases.
If random samples of size n are drawn from a population with mean μ and variance 𝜎 2 , the
sampling distribution of the mean approaches normal distribution with mean μ and variance
𝜎2
as n, the same size, gets larger regardless of the shape of the original population
𝑛
distribution.
What’s New
Activity 1. ( Do It Yourself )
28
1. Make a histogram of the distribution of rolling a die once in 50 times. What
can you say about the resulting histogram?
Answer:
2. Make a histogram of the means of rolling a die twice in 50 times and rolling
a die thrice in 50 times.
Answer:
3. What can you say about the three histograms? Draw out a conclusion out
of the three histograms.
Answer:
29
Defining the Sampling
Lesson Distribution of the Sample
7 Mean using the Central Limit
Theorem
What Is It
μ X̅ = μ = 50
𝜎 = 5 ; n = 15
Step 2. Determine the mean of the sampling distribution. Use the property that
μ X̅ = μ
μ X̅ = μ = 50
Step 3. Solve the standard deviation of the sampling distribution. Use the
property that
𝝈
𝝈x̅ =
√𝒏
𝟓
𝝈x̅ =
√𝟏𝟓
𝝈x̅ = 1.29
Conclusion: The sampling distribution has the mean of 50 and a standard deviation of
1.29. Since the standard dejviation is large and very far from zero, the
sample mean is a poor estimate for the population mean.
30
Example 2. The heights of male OSHS students are normally distributed with mean
of 70 inches and standard deviation of 2 inches. If 90 samples consisting
of 30 students each are drawn from the population, what would be the
mean and standard deviation of the computed
sampling distribution of the means?
μ X̅ = μ = 70
𝜎 = 2 ; n = 30
Step 2. Find the mean of the sampling distribution. Use the property that μ X̅ = μ
μ X̅ = μ = 70
Step 3. Solve the standard deviation of the sampling distribution. Use the
property that
𝝈
𝝈x̅ =
√𝒏
𝟐
𝝈x̅ =
√𝟑𝟎
𝝈x̅ = 0.37
Conclusion: The sampling distribution has the mean of 70 and a standard deviation of
0.37.Since the standard deviation is small and close to zero, the sample mean is a
good estimate for the population mean.
31
What’s More
Step 2. Determine the mean of the sampling distribution. Use the property that
μ X̅ = μ
Step 3. Solve the standard deviation of the sampling distribution. Use the
property that
𝝈
𝝈x̅ =
√𝒏
Conclusion:
_
32
Lesson Problems Involving Sampling
Distribution of the Sample
8
Mean
In the previous lessons, you have learned how to use the normal
distribution to give information about an individual data value obtained from the
population. In this lessons, you will use the sampling distribution of the mean to
obtain information about the sample mean.
What’s In
Activity 1.
A. Recalling the z-score.
1. Determine the standard scores of the scores 115, 100, 95, 90 and 75.
2. Write the standard scores on the table below.
Scores Standard
Score
115
100
95
90
75
Given the following conditions, Illustrate and find the areas under a normal
curve.
33
Conditions Illustration Area
What Is It
The Central Limit Theorem justifies the use of the following formula when
computing the probability that 𝑥̅̅ will take on a value within a given range in the
sampling distribution of x̅:
̅−𝜇
𝑥̅
z = 𝝈
√𝒏
where ;
34
What’s New
Sample problem 1. The average time it takes a group of OSHS students to complete
a Statistics test is 54.8 minutes. The standard deviation is 5
minutes. We shall assume that the data are normally distributed.
a. What is the probability that a randomly chosen OHS student
will complete the test in less than 53 minutes?
53 − 54.8
z= 5
= - 0.36
We shall find P(x < 53) by getting the area under a normal
curve P(X < 53) = P(z < -0.36)
= 0.5000 – 0.1406 illustration
= 0.3594
So, the probability that a randomly chosen OHS student will finish the test in less
than 53 minutes is 0.3594 or 35.94%.This implies that it is 35.94% possibility that an
OHS student will finish the test in less than 53 minutes. Likely to happen.
35
b. If there are 50 randomly selected OSHS students, what is the
probability that the mean time it takes the group to finish the
test will be less than 53 minutes?
Since we are dealing with data about the sample means, the
formula to be used to standardize z is,
̅−𝜇
𝑥̅
z = 𝜎
√𝑛
53−54.8
= 5
√50
− 1.8
=
0.707
= − 2.55
We shall find P(𝑥̅̅ < 53 ) by getting the area under a normal curve
So, the probability that 50 randomly selected OSHS students will finish
the test in less than 53 minutes is 0.0054 or 0.54%. This implies that it is only
0.54% possibility that a group of 50 students will finish the test in less than 53
minutes. Very unlikely to happen.
36
What’s More
Activity 3. Do It Yourself
37
Step 4. Solve the problem
Solution: Illustration:
38
Step 3. Identify the formula to be used.
When dealing with an individual data obtained from the population, the
formula to be used to standardize 80 would be
Solution: Illustration:
39
What I Have Learned
𝝈𝟐 𝑵−𝒏
𝝈𝟐 x̅ = ∗ for finite population; and
𝒏 𝑵−𝟏
𝜎2
𝝈𝟐 x̅ = for infinite population.
𝑛
𝑵−𝒏
where √ is finite population correction factor and
𝑵−𝟏
𝝈
𝝈x̅ = for infinite population
√𝒏
40
13. The standard deviation is also called standard error of the mean. It tells how
accurate is the sample mean to estimate the population mean. If the value of the
standard deviation is small or very close to zero, then the sample mean is a
good estimate for the population mean. If the value of the standard deviation is
large, the mean is a poor estimate for the population mean.
14. The central limit theorem states that if random samples of size n are drawn from
a population with mean μ and variance 𝜎 2 , the sampling distribution of the
mean approaches normal distribution with mean μ and variance δ2 /n as n, the
sample size, gets larger regardless of the shape of the original population
distribution.
15. The Central Limit Theorem justifies the use of the formula when computing the
probability that 𝑥̅̅ will take on a value within a given range inthe sampling
distribution of 𝑥̅̅
̅−𝜇
𝑥̅
Z = 𝜎
√𝑛
41
Assessment
Multiple choice.
1. Jason wants to know the average hieght of senior high school students in
his school. Which of the following is a good representative for the
population?
a. A sample consisting all grade 7 OHS students
b. A sample consisting all officers of OHS students
c. A sample consisting representatives from grade 7 to grade 10 OHS class
which were drawn by lot
d. All OHS students in school.
2. Which of the following describes a parameter?
a. 40% of Filipinos are in favor of the Federal form of government.
b. 30% of the school children in the Philippines like Mathematics
c. 45% of 2,000 pupils in a certain school got below 10 on a standardized
test.
d. 15% of the residents in a certain country are aware of the proper waste
disposal.
3. How many possible random samples of size 3 can be drawn from a
population of size 12?
a. 36 b. 1728 c. 144 d. 220
4. A certain population consist the numbers 1,2,3,4, and 5. Suppose samples
of size 3 are drawn from this population, what is the variance of the sampling
distribution of the sample means?
a. 0.35 b. 0.33 c. 0.53 d. 0.38
42
6. Which value of standard deviation defines the best estimate of the
population mean?
a. 0.20 b. 0.37 c. 0.57 d. 1.3
7. A certain population has a mean of 50 and a standard deviation of 4. A
random sample of 15 are drawn from this population. Which describes the
sampling distribution of the sample means.
a. the sampling distribution of the sample means has a mean of 50,
variance of 1.067, and a standard deviation of 1.033.
b. the sampling distribution of the sample means has a mean greater than
50, and a standard deviation of 0.033.
c. the sampling distribution of the sample means has a mean less than
50, and a standard deviation of 1.033.
d. the sampling distribution of the sample means has a mean of 50,
variance of 1.067, and a standard deviation of 0.033.
8. Which of the following statements is correct?
a. If samples of size n are drawn from a population, the sampling
distribution of the means approaches normal distribution as n gets
smaller in size.
b. If samples of size n are drawn from a population, the sampling
distribution of the means approaches normal distribution as n gets
larger in size.
c. If samples of size n are drawn from a population, the sampling
distribution of the means approaches normal distribution as the
standard deviation gets larger in size.
d. If samples of size n are drawn from a population, the sampling
distribution of the means approaches normal distribution as the
standard deviation gets smaller in size.
For numbers 9-10.The average acid content of a certain juice drink is 200 milligrams,
and a standard deviation of 12 milligrams.Assume the variable is normally
distributed,
9. If a juice drink is selected, what is the probability that the acid content will
be greater than 210 milligrams?
a. 0.2967 b. 0.2033 c. 0.7967 d.0.2089
10. If a sample of 10 juice drinks is selected, what is the probability that the
mean of the sample will be larger than 210 milligrams?
a. 0.4959 b. 0.5000 c.0.0041 d.0.4211
43