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TIRONA MEMORIAL
School NATIONAL INTEGRATED HIGH Grade Level 11
SCHOOL
STATISTICS
GRADE 11 Teacher NICKOLAS V. TOLENTINO Learning Area AND
IDEA Exemplar PROBABILITY
February 12-13, 2024
Teaching CSS 1 M-TH 6:50 – 7:40 MIDTERMS –
HUMSS 3 M-TH 9:20 – 10:10
Dates and BP 3 M-TH 10:30 – 11:20 Quarter SECOND
Time BP 1 M-TH 1:00 – 1:50 SEMESTER
BP 4 M-TH 1:50 – 2:40
I. OBJECTIVE SESSION 1-2
1. Content Standards The learner demonstrates understanding of key concepts of random variables and
probability distributions.
2. Performance The learner is able to apply an appropriate random variable for a given real-life problem
Standards (such as in decision making and games of chance).
3. Most Essential The learner computes probabilities corresponding to a given random variable.
Learning (M11/12SP-IIIa-5)
Competencies
At the end of this session, the learners will be able to:
Objectives 1. Identify and define key terms related to probability, such as random variable,
probability distribution, and probability function.
2. Compute probabilities for a given random variable using appropriate probability
distributions and formulas.
3. Foster curiosity and a willingness to explore different probability distributions and
their applications.
II. CONTENT Computing probabilities corresponding to a given random variable
III. LEARNING
RESOURCES
A. References
1. Teacher’s Guide
2. Learner’s CLMD PIVOT 4A Statistics and Probability Module 1 pp. 1-11
Materials
3. Textbook
4. Additional
Materials from
Learning
Resources (LR)
portal
B. Other Learning Slides Deck, Chalkboard, Realias
Resources
IV. PROCEDURES
COI No.
INTRODUCTION INQUIRY-BASED
What I Need to
Know/What I know Directions: Read the questions carefully. Choose the letter of the correct answer.
A. Reviewing
previous lesson or
presenting the 1. The given table represents a probability distribution. What is P(2) + P(3)?
new lesson X 1 2 3 4
P(X) 1 1 1 1
What is New 3 6 6 6
B. Establishing a
purpose for the a. 1/6 b. 1/3 c. ½ d. 2/3
lesson Refer to the given table in answering numbers 2-3. In the experiment of tossing a
coin twice, the following table shows the probability distribution. What is 𝑷 (𝑿 ≤ 𝟐)?
X 0 1 2
P(X) 1 1 1
4 2 4
2. What is 𝑷 (𝑿 ≤ )?
a. 1 b. ¾ c. ½ d. ¼
3. What is (𝑿 ≥ 𝟏)?
a. 1 b. ¾ c. ½ d. ¼
DEVELOPMENT Golden’s bakery is known for its famous Filipino delicacies. Among these foods which is
What is in a native delicious food called “kakanin” is a leche puto. The bakeshop owner recorded
C. Presenting the number of boxes of “leche puto”. The bakeshop owner recorded the number of
examples/ boxes of “leche puto” that were delivered each day.
instances of the The number of boxes delivered for 10 days is shown below.
new lesson
a. The probability that 40 or more boxes will be sold in a particular day means P (X
≥ 40).
This means that you have to add P(X=40), P(X=42), P (X=45), P(X=50).
P (X≥ 40) = P(40) + P(42) + P(45) + P(50) then, substitute its corresponding
probability.
b. The probability that the number of boxes delivered will be at least 37 but not
more than 50 means P (37≤ X< 50). Hence, the values included are P(37),
P(40), P42) and P(45), then substitute its corresponding probability and add.
c. The probability that at most 40 boxes will be delivered in a particular day means
P (X≤ 40) so the values of X are P(40), P(37) and P(35)
a. What is the probability that at least 65 years old senior citizen will receive the SAP?
b. What is the probability that at most 70 years old senior citizen will receive the SAP?
c. What is the probability that at least 60 years old but less than 70 years old senior
citizen will
receive the SAP?
a. What is the probability that at least 65 years old senior citizen will receive the SAP?
b. What is the probability that at most 70 years old senior citizen will receive the SAP?
c. What is the probability that at least 60 years old but less than 70 years old senior
citizen will
receive the SAP?
a. What is the probability that at least 65
years old senior citizen will receive the
SAP?
b. What is the probability that at most 70
years old senior citizen will receive the
SAP?
c. What is the probability that at least 60
years old but less than 70 years old senior
citizen will
receive the SAP?
a. What is the probability that at least 65
years old senior citizen will receive the
SAP?
b. What is the probability that at most 70 years old senior citizen will receive the SAP?
c. What is the probability that at least 60 years old but less than 70 years old senior
citizen will receive the SAP?
Assessment
Multiple Choice. Choose the letter of the best answer. Write your chosen letter on a
separate sheet of paper.
5. Find P (X ≥ 1).
a. 0.125 b. 0.5 c. 0.625 d. 0.875
J. Additional activities
for application or
remediation
V. REMARKS
VI. REFLECTION
A. No. of learners who CSS 1 – 45/50
earned 80% in the BP 3 – 40/46
evaluation BP 1 – 48/50
BP 4 – 40/48
B. No. of learners who CSS 1 – 5/50
require additional BP 3 – 6/46
activities for remediation BP 1 – 2/50
who scored below 80% BP 4 – 8/48
C. Did the remedial Yes.
lessons work? No. of CSS 1 – 3/5
learners who have BP 3 – 3/6
caught up with the BP 1 – 2/2
lesson
BP 4 – 4/8
D. No. of learners who CSS 1 – 2/5
continue to require BP 3 – 3/6
remediation BP 1 – 0/0
BP 4 – 4/8
E. Which of my teaching
By relating their background knowledge of the situations, they were able to
strategies worked well?
Why did these work? easily compute for the probability of each.
F. What difficulties did I
encounter which my
principal or supervisor
Absences of students
can help me solve?
G. What innovation or
localized materials did I
use/discover which I None
wish to share with other
teachers?
Prepared by:
NICKOLAS V. TOLENTINO
Teacher II
Checked by:
Approved:
BELINDA C. LOYOLA
Principal IV
E.T. TIRONA MEMORIAL
School NATIONAL INTEGRATED HIGH Grade Level 11
SCHOOL
STATISTICS
GRADE 11 Teacher NICKOLAS V. TOLENTINO Learning Area AND
IDEA Exemplar PROBABILITY
February 14, 2024
Teaching CSS 1 M-TH 6:50 – 7:40 MIDTERMS –
HUMSS 3 M-TH 9:20 – 10:10
Dates and BP 3 M-TH 10:30 – 11:20 Quarter SECOND
Time BP 1 M-TH 1:00 – 1:50 SEMESTER
BP 4 M-TH 1:50 – 2:40
I. OBJECTIVE SESSION 2
1. Content The learner demonstrates understanding of key concepts of random variables and
Standards probability distributions.
2. Performance The learner is able to apply an appropriate random variable for a given real-life problem
Standards (such as in decision making and games of chance).
3. Most Essential The learner illustrates the mean and variance of a discrete random variable (M11/12SP-
Learning IIIa-2)
Competencies
At the end of this session, the learners will be able to:
Objectives 1. Illustrate the mean and variance of a discrete random variable.
2. Apply appropriate formulas to calculate the mean and variance of a given discrete
random variable.
3. Foster an appreciation for the importance of mean and variance in probability
theory and statistics.
II. CONTENT Illustrating Mean and Variance of Discrete Random Variable
III. LEARNING
RESOURCES
A. References
1. Teacher’s
Guide
2. Learner’s CLMD PIVOT 4A Statistics and Probability Module pp. 62-78
Materials
3. Textbook
4. Additional
Materials from
Learning
Resources (LR)
portal
B. Other Learning Slides Deck, Chalkboard
Resources
IV. PROCEDURES
COI No.
INTRODUCTION INQUIRY-BASED
What I Need to SELF-ASSESSMENT
Know/What I
know
Directions: Choose the letter of the best answer. Write the chosen letter on a
A. Reviewing
previous lesson separate sheet of paper.
or presenting the
new lesson 1. Which of the following terms is considered as a measure of the `central location of a
random variable?
A. Probability Value
B. Mean Value
C. Numerical Value
D. Variance
Based on the data above, observe, analyze, and answer the following
questions:
1. Is the probability of x lies between 0 and 1?
________________________________________________________________________
4. How will you illustrate the average or mean of the probabilities of discrete random
variable?
________________________________________________________________________
5. Can you show a process where you can illustrate the variance and the standard
deviation of the probability?
________________________________________________________________________
DEVELOPMENT If you roll a fair die several times, what will be the average outcome? Imagine rolling it
What is in 6000 times. You would expect to roll about 1000 ones, 1000 twos, and so on: about 1000
C. Presenting occurrences of each possible outcome. What would be the average value of the outcomes
examples/ obtained? Approximately, the mean or expected value would be;
instances of the
new lesson
It only implies that the weighted average of the six possible outcomes 1, 2,…, 6 with
weights provided by the relative frequencies. Remember that 3.5 isn’t a value that we can
observe if we will do the experiment. By similarity with information and relative
frequencies, we can characterize the mean of a discrete random variable by utilizing
probabilities from its dispersion, as follows.
1. The mean is considered as a measure of the `central location' of a random variable. It is
the weighted average of the values that random variable X can take, with weights provided
by the probability distribution.
2. The Expected Value or Mean Value of a discrete random variable x is can be
computed by first multiplying each possible x value by the probability of observing that
value and then adding the resulting quantities. Symbolically,
Example 1: Suppose a random variable X that has the discrete uniform distribution with
What is it possible values 1, 2,…, n. The mean or expected value is presented by
D. Discussing
new concepts
and practicing
new skills # 1 Since the possible values are 1, 2,…, n when rolling a die a fair of die the mean is
This 3.5 is the expectation only. That’s the reason why in question 4, we
come up to 3.5 as its mean value. So, doing the experiment which is rolling a single die
several times and getting average or mean of the total possible outcomes, we, therefore,
conclude that the average tends to be close to 3.5. This also implies that the more rolls we
do, the closer the average will be to 3.5.
Example 2. Suppose you want to find the average number of apples sold in any five
grocery stores as indicated by the figure below.
Analyzing the illustration above, then the mean or expected value is 11. If you are
wondering why this happens you may also follow with these processes:
1. Separate 8 elements on the left side of the mean then get the average of those a (3, 4,
5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10) which is equal to 6.5
2. Do the same on the right side of mean (12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, and 19) which is
equal to 15.5.
3. Get the average value of the numbers 6.5, 11, and 15.5. It will be equal to 11 also.
In the off chance, that value of X close to its mean 𝜇𝑥 are likely and values
further away from 𝜇𝑥 have small probability, at that point, the distribution of X will
be firmly concentrated around 𝜇𝑥. For this situation, the spread of the distribution
of X is little. On the contrary, if the expected value of X some distance from its mean
𝜇𝑥 are likely, the spread of the distribution of X will be sizeable.
These concepts lead the way to the most important measure of spread,
the variance, and a closely related measure of variability, the standard deviation.
You probably have met the concepts of variance and standard deviation when
summarizing data in your Junior High School Mathematics. These were the sample
variance and the sample standard deviation. The difference here is that we are referring to
properties of the distribution of a discrete random variable. The variance of a random
variable displays the variability or the dispersions of the random variables. It shows the
distance of a random variable from its mean.
The Variance of a Discrete Random Variable X, denoted by is computed by first
subtracting the mean from each possible x value to obtain the deviations, then squaring
each deviation and multiplying the result by the probability of the corresponding x value,
and then finally adding these quantities.
Solution:
a. Since the data is symmetric along the x-axis, so the mean 𝜇𝑥 is equal to 6. (You may
verify the 𝜇𝑥 value using the 3 steps provided in the previous example)
b. To illustrate the variance and standard deviation without having computation, study the
diagram below.
Since we are comparing two elements this time (2 and 5 on the left side of the mean and 7
and 10 in the right, the 𝜇𝑥 is doubled which became 12. Adding 2 and 5 elements gives us
7, similarly on the right side adding 7 and 10 gives us 17. Get the average value of 7 and
17 which resulted in 12 which is our new 𝜇𝑥. Subtract 12 by 7 which is 5, likewise subtract
17 by 12 which also resulted in 5. This implies that the distance of the element from the
mean in either direction is 5 which describes the spread of the elements in the
observation.
ENGAGEMENT Independent Activity: Study and analyze.
What is more
F. Developing
mastery (leads
to Formative
Assessment 3)
1. Figure above shows the number of polo shirt sold by 5 different RTW boutiques.
a. Illustrate the mean. (2 points)
b. Illustrate the variance and standard deviation. (5 points)
2. Compare the variance and standard deviation of the two figures provided.
Figure A
5. A small value of standard deviation (or variance) means that the _________ of
the random variable is _______________concentrated around the mean.
Assessment
What I can Multiple Choice. Choose the letter of the best answer. Write the chosen letter on a
achieve separate sheet of paper.
I. Evaluating 1. Which of the following use the formula of (𝑥) = Σ 𝑥 ∙ 𝑝 (𝑥) ?
learning A. Probability Distribution
B. Variance of Discrete Probability Distribution
C. Standard Deviation of Discrete Probability Distribution
D. Mean or Expected Value of Discrete Probability Distribution
4. To which of the following concepts refer this statement “the sum of the product
of each value of a discrete random variable and its corresponding probability”?
A. Probability Distribution
B. Variance of Discrete Probability Distribution
C. Standard Deviation of Discrete Probability Distribution
D. Mean or Expected Value of Discrete Probability Distribution
5. Use the illustration below. What is the mean of the distribution?
A. 20
B. 30
C. 40
D. 50
J. Additional activities
for application or
remediation
V. REMARKS
VI. REFLECTION
A. No. of learners who CSS 1 – 45/50
earned 80% in the BP 3 – 38/46
evaluation BP 1 – 49/50
BP 4 – 37/48
B. No. of learners who
CSS 1 – 5/50
require additional
BP 3 – 8/46
activities for
BP 1 – 1/50
remediation who
BP 4 – 11/48
scored below 80%
C. Did the remedial Yes.
lessons work? No. of CSS 1 – 3/5
learners who have BP 3 – 5/8
caught up with the BP 1 – 1/1
lesson BP 4 – 4/11
D. No. of learners who CSS 1 – 2/5
continue to require BP 3 – 3/8
remediation BP 1 – 0/1
BP 4 – 7/11
E. Which of my
teaching strategies
worked well? Why did
Minor computations were used because the topic is about illustrations.
these work?
F. What difficulties did
I encounter which my
principal or supervisor
Absences of students
can help me solve?
G. What innovation or
localized materials did
I use/discover which I None
wish to share with
other teachers?
Prepared by:
NICKOLAS V. TOLENTINO
Teacher II
Checked by:
Approved:
BELINDA C. LOYOLA
Principal IV
E.T. TIRONA MEMORIAL
School NATIONAL INTEGRATED HIGH Grade Level 11
SCHOOL
STATISTICS
GRADE 11 Teacher NICKOLAS V. TOLENTINO Learning Area AND
IDEA Exemplar PROBABILITY
February 15, 2024
Teaching CSS 1 M-TH 6:50 – 7:40 MIDTERMS –
HUMSS 3 M-TH 9:20 – 10:10
Dates and BP 3 M-TH 10:30 – 11:20 Quarter SECOND
Time BP 1 M-TH 1:00 – 1:50 SEMESTER
BP 4 M-TH 1:50 – 2:40
I. OBJECTIVE SESSION 4
4. Content The learner demonstrates understanding of key concepts of random variables and
Standards probability distributions.
5. Performance The learner is able to apply an appropriate random variable for a given real-life problem
Standards (such as in decision making and games of chance).
6. Most Essential The learner calculates the mean and the variance of a discrete random variable;
Learning (M11/12SP- IIIb-2)
Competencies
At the end of this session, the learners will be able to:
Objectives 1. Identify the steps in solving the mean and variance of a discrete random variable.
2. Apply appropriate formulas to calculate the mean and variance of a given
discrete random variable.
3. Foster an appreciation for the importance of mean and variance in probability
theory and statistics.
II. CONTENT Calculating Mean and Variance of Discrete Random Variable
III. LEARNING
RESOURCES
C. References
5. Teacher’s Guide
6. Learner’s CLMD PIVOT 4A Statistics and Probability Module pp. 62-78
Materials
7. Textbook
8. Additional
Materials from
Learning
Resources (LR)
portal
D. Other Learning Slides Deck, Chalkboard
Resources
IV. PROCEDURES
COI No.
INTRODUCTION INQUIRY-BASED
What I Need to SELF-ASSESSMENT
Know/What I
know
Directions: Choose the letter of the best answer. Write the chosen letter on a
A. Reviewing
previous lesson separate sheet of paper.
or presenting the
new lesson 1. It is the central or average of its corresponding probability mass function.
A. mean C. standard deviation
B. variance D. probability
A. 2.53 C. 2.55
B. 2.54 D. 2.56
4. Find the mean of the probability distribution involving the random variable X that gives
the number of heads that appear after tossing four coins once.
A. 4 C. 2
B. 3 D. 1
5. The probabilities that a printer produces 0,1,2, and 3 misprints are 42%, 28%, 18%,
and 12% respectively. What is the mean value of the random variable?
A. 1 C. 3
B. 2 D. 4
Time to Check
What is New
Directions: Read and analyze the situation given below.
B. Establishing a
purpose for the
lesson Mr. Umali, a Mathematics teacher, regularly gives a formative assessment composed of
5 multiple-choice items. After the assessment, he used to check the probability
distribution of the correct responses, and the data is presented below:
Based on the data above, observe, analyze and answer the following questions:
1. What is the summation of the probabilities of the given random variable?
_________________________________
2. Why is it that the probability of random variable x less than 1 but nonnegative value?
_______________________________________________________________.
3. What is the average or mean of the given probability distribution?
_______________________________________________________________.
4. What are the values of the variance and the standard deviation of the probability
distribution? _______________________________________.
DEVELOPMENT
What is in
C. Presenting
examples/
instances of the
new lesson
Example 1
Determine the mean or Expected Value of random variable below.
Solution: μ = Σ ⟮𝑥𝑃(𝑥)⟯
What is it = Σ ⟮0( 15 ) + 1( 1 5) + 2( 15 ) + 3( 15 ) + 4(1 5 )⟯ = Σ ⟮0 + 15 + 25 + 35 + 45⟯ = 105 or 2
D. Discussing Therefore, mean is 2 for the above random variable.
new concepts
and practicing Example 2
new skills # 1 Find the mean of the random variable Y representing the number of red color chocolates
per 160-gram pack of colored chocolate packages that has the following probability
distribution.
Solution μ = Σ ⟮𝑋𝑃(𝑥)⟯
= Σ⟮4(0.10) + 5(0.37) + 6(0.33) + 7(0.20)⟯ = Σ ⟮0.40 + 1.85 + 1.98 + 1.40⟯ = 5.63 So, the
mean of the probability distribution is 5.63. This implies that the average number of red
chocolates per 160-gram is 5.63.
Example 3
The probabilities that a customer will buy 1, 2, 3, 4, or 5 items in a grocery store are 310,
110, 110, 210, and 310, respectively. What is the average number of items that a
customer will buy?
Step 2: Multiply the value of the random variable X by the corresponding probability.
Step 3: Add the results obtained in Step 2. Results obtained is the mean of the
probability distribution.
Solution:
So, the mean of the probability distribution is 3.1. This implies that the average number of
items that the customer will buy is 3.1.
Example 1
The number of cars sold per day at a local car dealership, along with its corresponding
probabilities, is shown in the succeeding table. Compute the variance and the standard
deviation of the probability distribution by following the given steps. Write your answer in
your answer sheets.
Example 2
When three coins are tossed once, the probability distribution for the random variable X
representing the number of heads that occur is given below. Compute the variance and
standard deviation of the probability distribution.
Solution:
Follow the steps in finding variance and standard deviation of the probability distribution.
To solve for Standard Deviation
σ2 = Σ(𝑥− μ)2p(x)
= 0.74
σ = √0.74
= 0.86
The mean in tossing 3 coins with probability of Head will show up is 0.86 and the
variance is 0.74, then the standard deviation is 0.86.
ENGAGEMENT Directions: Determine the mean, variance and standard deviation of each Random
What is more Variable. Write your answer in your answer sheets.
F. Developing
mastery (leads
to Formative
Assessment 3)
2. Which among the list of formulas should be used to solve for the variance of
discrete random variables of the given data above?
3. Which of the following statements does not describes the value of the
standard deviation?
A. A small standard deviation (or variance) means that the distribution of the random
variable is narrowly concentrated around the mean.
B. A large value of standard deviation (or variance) indicates that the
distribution is spread out, with some chance of observing values at
some distance from the mean.
C. Standard deviation is obtained by getting the square root of the
variance.
D. It is obtained by squaring the variance.
4. What can we generate if we take the summation of the product of each value
assigned to the random variable and its corresponding probability?
A. Expected Value
B. Probability value
C. Standard Deviation
D. Variance
5. Suppose that a coin is to be tossed four times, and let X represent “the
number of TAILS that can come up”, what are the possible values of the
random variable X?
A. 0 B. 0, 1 C. 1, 2,3 D. 0, 1, 2 ,3, 4
NICKOLAS V. TOLENTINO
Teacher II
Checked by:
Approved:
BELINDA C. LOYOLA
Principal IV