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• .
Y = β0 + β1X + β2X 2 + · · · + βdX d + e
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• ½Âd#Cþµ
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Kµ
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2 d
Z1 = X, Z2 = X , · · · , Zd = X .
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(a) (b)
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E(Y|X)
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X
• eµ
Ŷ = β̂0 + β̂1X + β̂2X 2
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)ºCþX Û§¦ACþY
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õgCþõª(Äp). ~
Xµ
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Y = β0+β1X1+β2X2+β11X12+β22X22+β12X1X2+e
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pµβ X X
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• p^µ
E(Y |X1 = x1, X2 = x2)
= β0 + β1x1 + β2x2 + β11x21 + β22x22 + β12x1x2
+β12(x1 + δ)x2
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~µOehlert’s cake baking data
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365
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350
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• kpµ
E(Y |X1 = x1, X2 = x2)
= β0 + β1x1 + β2x2 + β11x21 + β22x22 + β12x1x2
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8
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X2=360
X1=37
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Y
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6
X2=350
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5
X2=340
X1=35 J I
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4
X1=33
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• Ãpµ
E(Y |X1 = x1, X2 = x2)
= β0 + β1x1 + β2x2 + β11x21 + β22x22
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8
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X1=37
X2=350
X2=360
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X1=35
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Y
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5 J I
X2=340 X1=33
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32 33 34 35 36 37 38 335 340 345 350 355 360 365
(a) X1 (b) X2
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• éuµŶ = β̂ + β̂ X + β̂ X
0 1 2
2
• X̂ = − §ACþY 4"
β̂1
2β̂2
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• XÛX̂ &«mº
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Delta {
• θ̂ ∼ N (θ, σ 2D). g(θ̂) ∼?
• Taylor Ðmµ Home Page
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0 JJ II
g(θ̂) = g(θ) + ġ(θ) (θ̂ − θ) + small terms J I
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• g(θ̂) = X̂ = − 2β̂β̂1
2
95%&«mµ
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• g(β) Page 15 of 43
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g(β̂) ± 1.96 Vd
ar g(β̂) Close
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gCþ¹½5Cþ£8.
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• k aO¶ÂCþïk−1åCþ"
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åCþ£8Xê)º
• gCþ¥=¹åCþ¹
y = β0 + β1x + e
Oβ̂ , β̂
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0 1
β̂ ëì|(x = 0)¥ACþþ
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β̂ + β̂ (x = 1)aO¥ACþþ
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•k aO¶ÂCþéAk − 1åCþ
.åXêÒ´ëì|+N3AC
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~µsleep data
• Y : «ÕZÄÔzUoZm;
X = D Ô«¡ºx
20
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Total sleep1 (h)
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10
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Danger index
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.µ
E(T S|D) = β0 + β2U2 + β3U3 + β4U4 + β5U5
• (Jµ
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.µ
E(T S|D) = η1U1 + η2U2 + η3U3 + η4U4 + η5U5
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ü.ëê)º«Oµ
• β : 1k |11|þ É
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gCþ¥¹åCþÚëYC
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~µsleep data
• Y : «ÕZÄÔzUoZm
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• X = D Ô«¡ºx(1-5)
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• X : éêN
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.(Full model)µ
E(T S| log(BodyW t) = x, D = j) Home Page
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= (β0j Uj + β1j Uj x) J I
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.(Parallel regression)µ
E(T S| log(BodyW t) = x, D = j) Home Page
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= βj Uj + βx J I
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.n(Common intercept)µ
E(T S| log(BodyW t) = x, D = j) Home Page
d
X
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= β0 + βj Uj x J I
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.o(Coincident regression line)µ Home Page
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1
2
3
4
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−5 0 5 10
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1 1
2 2
3 3
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15 2 1 2 1
3 2 3 2
3 3 2 1 3 3 2 1
3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2
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32 4 32 4
1 2 2 1 1 2 2 1
2 2 4 2 2 4
10 1 2 4 1 1 2 4 1
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1 34 52 4 1 34 52 4
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5
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1 34 52 4 1 34 52 4 Page 33 of 43
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log2(BodyWt)
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• orõ£8§?
y = β0 + β1x + β2d + β3c + e
d = 0, c = 0: y = β0 + β1x + e
d = 1, c = 0: y = β0 + β2 + β1x + e
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d = 1, c = 1: y = β0 + β2 + β3 + β1x + e J I
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β4d1 + · · · + β10d7 + e
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β4edu + e Quit
(RSSr − RSSu)/(dfr − dfu)
F = ∼ F (6, dfu) Home Page
eØwͧKC" JJ
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pµ
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pØC§¿¦gCþéÏCþ
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