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FLORENCE D. PALASI
Developer
Department of Education • Cordillera Administrative Region
Published by:
DepEd Schools Division of Baguio City
Curriculum Implementation Division
Learning Resource Management and Development System
COPYRIGHT NOTICE
2021
“No copyright shall subsist in any work of the Government of the Philippines.
However, prior approval of the government agency of office wherein the work is
created shall be necessary for exploitation of such work for profit.”
This material has been developed for the implementation of K-12 Curriculum
through the Curriculum Implementation Division (CID) - Learning Resources
Management and Development System (LRMDS). It can be reproduced for
educational purposes and the source must be acknowledged. Derivatives of the
work including creating an edited version, an enhancement or a supplementary work
are permitted provided all original work is acknowledged and the copyright is
attributed. No work may be derived from this material for commercial purposes and profit.
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PREFACE
iii
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
The developer wishes to express her gratitude to those who helped in the
development of this learning material. The fulfillment of this learning material would
not be possible without them.
She is thankful to those who gave moral and technical support in the crafting
of this learning module. To her colleagues in school for sharing their knowledge and
expertise as she develops this learning resource. Lastly, to the office of DepEd
Division of Baguio City for giving her the opportunity to discover her skills as a
module writer.
Development Team
Developer: Florence D. Palasi
Layout Artist: Jopie B. Ferrer
CONSULTANTS
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
Page
COPYRIGHT NOTICE ………………………………………………………...…..….…ii
PREFACE …………………………………………………………………..…………… iii
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT………………………………………………. ……………..…iv
TABLE OF CONTENTS……………………………………………………………. ...…v
TITLE PAGE………………………………………………………………………………1
What I Need to Know ……………………………………………………….……..….…2
What I Know…………………………………………………………………..…….….…3
What’s In……………………………………………………………………….……….… 4
What’s New…………………………………………………………………….……….…4
What Is It……. ……………………………………….……………….……….……….…5
What’s More……. ……………………………………...………………………….….…13
Activity 1 …………………………………………………………………………..13
Activity 2 …………………………………………………………………………..13
What I Have Learned……………………………………………………………...….…14
What I Can Do…….………………………………………………...……………..….…14
Post-Assessment …………………...…………………………………………….….…15
Additional Activities……………………………………………….……………….….…16
ANSWER KEY…………………………………………………….…………….…….…17
REFERENCES ……….………………………………………………...……...….….…18
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Random Variables
Learner's Module in Statistics and
Probability
Quarter 3 ● Module 1 ● Week 1
FLORENCE D. PALASI
Developer
Department of Education • Cordillera Administrative Region
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What I Need to Know
Welcome to this module on RANDOM VARIABLES!
This module is intended to help you, learners, understand and master the random
variable. It is designed to equip you with essential knowledge about the said topic
and skills on discrete and continuous random variable.
Learning Objectives
At the end of the module, you should be able to:
1. illustrate a random variable (discrete and continuous);
2. distinguish between a discrete and continuous random variable;
3. find the possible values of a random variable;
4. illustrate a probability distribution for a discrete random variable and its properties;
and
5. compute probabilities corresponding to a given random variable.
2
What I Know
Before the lesson proper, you are asked to answer this pre-test. This will serve as an
assessment of what you already know. Read and understand each item then write the
CAPITAL LETTER of your answer before the number.
___ 1. How many sample spaces when two coins are tossed?
A. 2 B. 3 C. 4 D. 8
___ 4. Which of the following does NOT belong to the sample space when a die is tossed?
A. 2 B. 4 C. 6 D. 8
___ 5. The following belongs to the sample space when three coins are tossed EXCEPT
_____.
A. TTT B. TT C. HHH D. HTH
___ 6. What is the probability that 2 cars will be sold in a particular day?
A. 0.220 B. 0.370 C. 0.390 D. 0.405
___ 7. What is the probability that the student will sell exactly 7 cars?
A. 0.015 B. 0.040 C. 0.050 D. 0.060
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___ 8. Find P( X 8) .
A. 0.96 B. 0.97 C. 0.98 D. 0.99
___ 9. Compute P( X 8) .
A. 0.02 B. 0.03 C. 0.04 D. 0.05
What’s In
Let us recall some concepts that will be applied in our topic through this activity.
Write TRUE if the statement is correct and FALSE if wrong. Write your answer on the
space provided.
_________ 1. The value of 5! (read as “ 5 factorial”) is the same with the value of
54321 .
_________ 2. The perfect probability is 1 or 100%.
_________ 3. Sample space of an experiment or random trial is the set of all possible
outcomes or results of that experiment.
C2 or 2 has the same value with
3 3!
.
_________ 4. 3
2!(3 2)!
3!
3
_________ 5. 2!(3 2)!
What’s New
Let’s find out if you are ready to learn our new lesson by listing the sample space of
the specified experiment. Write your answers on the space provided.
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What Is It
To understand random variables, study lessons 1 to 4.
Example 1: In a random experiment of tossing two coins. Describe the the event of
“outcome of heads” by a numerical characteristics.
Example 2: Roll two dice and observe the number of dots on the upturned faces.
Here, we define a random variable as the total number of dots on the upturned
faces, X .
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(2,6), (3,5), (4,4), (5,3), (6,2)
(3,6), (4,5), (5,4), (6,3)
(4,6), (5,5), (6,4)
(5,6), (6,5)
(6,6)
A Discrete Random Variable is one that takes on distinct numerical values. This
means that it has countable number of possible values.
A discrete random variable can be defined from any random experiment like tossing
of coins, tossing of dice, selection of objects, etc.
Examples:
1. The number of dot on the upturned face when a die was tossed
2. The number of tails of tossing three coins
3. The number of diseased leaves per plant
4. The number of students enrolled at Baguio City National Science High School
5. The number of Filipinos infected by the COVID-19
Often, continuous random variables represent measured data like heights, weights,
temperatures, pressure, mass, density, volume, and distance.
Examples:
1. The height of a tree planted by couples in Baguio City last year
2. The weight of healthy newborn babies this year
3. The temperature in Baguio City this month
4. The percentage of Filipinos who recovered from COVID-19
5. The speed of a train
Discrete Probability Distribution is the list of all the possible values of a discrete
random variable together with their associated probabilities.
Note: The probability of the values of the random variable can be denoted by P(x)
or P( X x) .
Example 1: Using the data on two dice in example 2 under Lesson 1, the probability of X is
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Sample Space Values of the Random Variable X
(1,1)
(1,2), (2,1)
(1,3), (2,2), (3,1)
(1,4), (2,3), (3,2), (4,1)
(1,5), (2,4), (3,3), (4,2), (5,1)
(1,6), (2,5), (3,4), (4,3), (5,2), (6,1)
(2,6), (3,5), (4,4), (5,3), (6,2)
(3,6), (4,5), (5,4), (6,3)
(4,6), (5,5), (6,4)
(5,6), (6,5)
(6,6)
1 2 3 4 5 6 5 4 3 2 1
36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36
You notice that there are sample spaces. From the sample spaces, there is
1
only one sample space that has a sum of which is (1,1) that is why the probability is
36
as indicated in the second column of the table. For the sample spaces that have the sum of
, there are which are (1,2), (2,1) that is why the indicated probability in the third column of
2
the table is . The same process was applied for the other columns of the table.
36
The sum of the probabilities for all the possible values of the random variable in a
probability distribution is equal to 1. That is,
1 2 3 4 5 6 5 4 3 2 1 36
P( X x) 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 1
Example 2: Suppose four coins are tossed. Let Y be the random variable representing the
number of heads that occur. Find the probability of each of the values of the
random variable Y.
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TTTH
TTHH
THHH
THTH
THHT
THTT
TTHT
TTTT
It was shown that there are sixteen sample spaces or possible outcomes. To get the
values of Y , count the number of heads in each outcome.
1 4 6 4 1
16 16 16 16 16
In finding the probabilities, count the number of values of random variable Y . For
1
instance, there is only one . Thus, the probability is .This means that there is one out
16
of the sixteen Real Number ( Y ). In other word, there is one possible outcome that has no
head out of sixteen possible outcomes.
Now, let’s check if the sum of the probabilities for all the possible values of the
random variable is equal to 1.
1 4 6 4 1 16
P(Y y) 16 16 16 16 16 16 1
Example 3: The daily demand of reams of bond paper in a store has the probability
distribution as follows:
a. What is the probability that three reams of bond paper will be demanded in a particular
day?
Solution: P( X 3) 0.15
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a. What is the probability that there will be a demand of at most 5 reams of bond paper?
Solution: P( X 5) P( X 0) P( X 1) P( X 2) P( X 3) P( X 4) P( X 5)
= 0.07 0.13 0.16 0.15 0.12 0.11
= 0.74
b. What is the probability that the demand is more than 5 reams of bond paper?
Solution: P( X 5) 1 P( X 5)
= 1 0.74
= 0.26
BINOMIAL DISTRIBUTION
It is a discrete distribution that estimates the probability that a certain outcome will
occur exactly x times in a finite sample of size n that is taken from an infinite population in
which the probability of this outcome is a constant P .
P( X x) n p x q n x , x 0,1,2,..., n
x
where:
x is the number of “successes” in n trials
p is the probability of “success”
q 1 p
n represents a binomial coefficient
x
3
Example 1: The probability that Jeffrey will score above a 90 in a Mathematics test is .
5
What is the probability that he will score above a 90 on exactly three of the four
tests this quarter?
3 3 2
Given: n 4 , x 3 , p , q 1
5 5 5
Solution: P ( X x) p q
n x n x
Formula
x
3 1
3 2
P( X 3) 4 Substitute the given.
5
3 5
9
27 2 4 means C . Using your scientific calculator,
4 3
125 5 4 3
3
3
press 4, n Cr , 3 then equal sign. Simplify .
5
216
or 0.3456 Multiply.
625
Thus, the probability that Jeffrey will score above a on exactly three of the four
216
tests this quarter is or 0.3456 .
625
1
Example 2: Experience has shown that of all cellphones manufactured by a company
30
are defective. If a technician randomly tests ten cellphones, compute each of
the following probabilities:
a.
b.
c.
1 1 29
a. Given: n 10, x 1, p , q 1
30 30 30
Solution:
1 9
1 29
P( X 1) 10 Substitute the given.
1 30 30
0.2457 Multiply or just use a scientific calculator.
The probability that one is defective out of the ten cellphones is 0.2457 .
1 1 29
b. Given: n 10, x 5, p , q 1
30 30 30
Solution:
10 1 29
5 5
There is 0.000008753 probability that half of the ten cellphones are defective. As
you can see, there is a very small probability because based on experience, out of 30
cellphones, only one is defective.
1 1 29
c. Given: n 10, x 0,1,2, p , q 1
30 30 30
Solution:
No more than two are defective means none, one, or two could be defective. We
need to compute first the probability that none is defective, one is defective, and two are
defective.
10
0 10
1 29
P( X 0) 10 0.7125
0 30 30
1 9
1 29
P( X 1) 10 0.2457
30 30
1
2 8
1 29
P( X 2) 10 0.0381
30 30
2
To get the probability that no more than two are defective, add the computed
probabilities. That is,
P(0 X 2) P( X 0) P( X 1) P( X 2)
0.7125 0.2457 0.0381
0.9963
There is 0.9963 or 99.63% probability that no more than two cellphones are
defective out of ten cellphones.
POISSON DISTRIBUTION
Assumptions:
1. There are n independent trials where n is very large.
2. Only one outcome is of interest on each trial.
3. There is a constant probability of occurrence on each trial.
4. The probability of more than one occurrence per trial is negligible.
Example 1: In a certain Statistics and Probability class, there are on the average of nine
latecomers per day. What is the probability that there will be five latecomers on
a given day?
11
9
y e
Solution: P(Y y ) Formula
y!
9 2.71828 9
5
P(Y 5) Substitute the given.
5!
59,0490.00012341
Simplify.
120
7.287269638
Multiply.
120
0.0607 Divide.
The probability that there will be five latecomers on a given day is 0.0607 or
Solution:
P(Y 0)
0.75 2.71828 = 0.4724
0 0.75
0!
P(Y 1)
0.75 2.71828 0.75
1
0.3543
1!
Second, compute the sum of P(Y 0) and P(Y 1) then subtract from 1.
PY 2 1 P(Y 0) P(Y 1)
1 (0.4724 0.3543)
1 0.8267
0.1733
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What’s More
Now that you understood random variable, answer the activities that follow.
Activity 1: Examine the given random variables if discrete or continuous. Write D for
discrete random variable and C for continuous random variable on the space
provided.
Activity 2: Solve the following problems. Show your complete solution on the space
provided.
1. Five coins are tossed. Let Z be the random variable representing the number of tails
that occur. Find the values of the random variable Z then compute the probability of
the random variable Z .
2. If a binomial experiment has six trials in which the probability of success is f and
the probability of failure is j , write an expression that could be used to compute
each of the probabilities. Write your answer on the space provided.
a.
b.
c.
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What I Have Learned
Summarize the lesson by answering this section. Answer each question in 2-3
sentences. Write your answer on the space provided.
3. Discuss the process in finding the probability of the values of the random variable.
________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________.
What I Can Do
Create a random variable problem. Give the sample space and values of the random
variable then compute the probabilities of each of the values of the random variable. Write
your answer on the space provided.
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Post-Assessment
This part aims to assess what you have understood about the lesson. Read and
understand each item carefully. You are encouraged to answer honestly without any
reference. Write the letter of your answer on the space provided.
_____1. How many sample spaces when six coins are tossed?
A. 16 B. 32 C. 64 D. 128
_____4. A company owns 200 laptops. Each laptop has 7% probability of not working. You
randomly selected 15 laptops for your salesperson. What is the probability that 3
will be broken?
A. 0.0650 B. 0.0651 C. 0.0652 D. 0.0653
_____5. Based form the given information in number 4, what is the probability that all the
laptops will work?
A. 0.3360 B. 0.3367 C. 0.3370 D. 0.3389
_____6. What is the probability that 2 dogs will be born in a particular day?
A. 0.120 B. 0.170 C. 0.300 D. 0.305
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_____7. What is the probability that fewer than 8 dogs will be born?
A. 0. 88 B. 0.90 C. 0.92 D. 0.96
_____8. Find P( X 7) .
A. 0.92 B. 0.94 C. 0.98 D. 0.99
_____9. Compute P( X 9) .
A. 0.005 B. 0.010 C. 0.015 D. 0.200
Additional Activities
These additional problems are prepared for you to have more practice. Write your
answer on the space provided.
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1. On any given day, the probability that your entire family eats breakfast together is .
3
Find the probability that during any 5-day period, your family eat breakfast together
at least four times.
2. The average number of days that classes in Baguio City are suspended due to
heavy rain from June to October is 6. What is the probability that the schools in this
city will close for 10 days from June to October?
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Pre – Assessment / Post-Assessment What I Have Learned
1. C Answers may vary
2. A
3. D
4. D What I Can Do
5. B Answers may vary
6. A
7. C
8. A
9. C
10. B
What’s New
1. HHH, TTT, HTT, THH, HTH, THT, TTH, HHT
2. 1H, 2H, 3H, 4H, 5H, 6H, 1T, 2T, 3T, 4T, 5T, 6T
What’s More: Activity 1 What’s In
1. Discrete 6. Discrete 1. TRUE
2. Continuous 7. Continuous 2. TRUE
3. Continuous 8. Continuous 3. TRUE
4. Discrete 9. Discrete 4. TRUE
5. Discrete 10. Continuous 5. TRUE
What’s More: Activity 2
1.
0 1 2 3 4 5
2.
a.
b.
c.
Additional Activities
1. 0.0453
2. 0.0413
Answer Key
REFERENCES
Arciaga, Ronald and Magcuyao, Dan Andrew. 2016. Statistics and Probability.
Belecina, Rene R., Baccay, Elisa S., and Mateo, Efren B., 2016. Statistics and Probability.
Rex Book Store, Manila: Philippines.
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For inquiries or feedback, please write or call:
Department of Education – Schools Division of Baguio City
No. 82 Military Cut-off Road, Baguio City
Telefax: 442-7819/422-4326
Email Address: depedbaguiocity@gmail.com
Social Media: facebook.com/DepEdTayoBaguioCity
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