MATHEMATICS

I. Describes the meaning of probability such as 50% chance of rain and one in a million chance of
winning. (M6SP -IVg -19)
Listen attentively

II. A. Describing the meaning of probability such as 50% chance of rain and one in a million chance of
winning.
B. 21st Century MATHletes 6
C. Power point presentation, Chart, Flash Cards.

III. Drill
DIRECTION: Convert the following Fraction into decimal and Percentage

FRACTION DECIMAL PERCENTAGE

1/2 =
1/1 =
1/4 =
0/4 =
3/4 =
Review
200 kids were surveyed on their favorite sport. The pie graph is made according to their responses.
Use the pie graph to answer the questions.

1. Which sport has the greatest number of kids?

2. What percent of the kids like Chess the most?
3. How many kids choose swimming as their favorite sport?
4. How many kids were asked about their favorite sport?
5. What is the difference in percent between the number of kids who like Volleyball and badminton?

D. Motivation
Acording to the weather forecast there is a 80% chance of rain today.
Does it mean there is a great chance or less chance of rain today? How it is possible?

Using the number line ranging from 0 to 1, we can locate 80%.

Probability is used to describe how likely or unlikely it is that something will happen.
- it may be given in fraction, decimal, or percent. The value of probability ranges from 0 to 1 (0
means the event is impossible to happen, while 1 means the event is certain to happen).

- it help us decide how often something is likely to happen, but it will never help you exactly
when that event will happen unless the probability is 0 (it will never happen) or 1(it will
surely happen).

5 Indicator of Probability

• Impossible to happen: if an even cannot happen. Probabily is 0 or 0%

Example: September comes first before August.
• Most unlikely to happen: when its probability is between 0 to 0.50
Example: There are 1 yellow, 2 blue, and 2 green cubes in a box. Without looking, what is the
likelihood of picking a yellow cube out of the box?
• As Likely/Unlikely to happen: if the chance that it will happen is same as the chance that it will
occur. Its probability is .5 or 50%.
Example: there are 4 hearts 2 cylinder and 2 triangle in a box what is the probability of picking a
heart inside the box?
• Most likely to happen: if its probability is between 50 % or .50 to 1
Example: My mother slice a cake in 20, 14 of it has a strawberry on the top what is the probability
of having a strawberry slice cake?
• Certain to happen: an event is surely happen. Its probability is 1 or 100%
Example: God loves all his creation.
The probability line is used to predict and describe the possibility of an event to happen or not to
happen. Words such as certain, most likely, as likely as unlikely, most unlikely, and impossible can be
used as expressions to describe the chance of an event to happen. It is the number that we use to
describe and express that likelihood.

Activity 1 Guided Practice

Answer the following questions. Use impossible, most unlikely, as unlikely/ as likely, most likely or
certain to describe each statements:
1. What is the probability that will get wet when standing under heavy rain without a raincoat or an
umbrella?
Answer: CERTAIN
2. What is the probability that you will pick ace of hearts from deck of cards?

52 cards

Answer: MOST UNLIKELY

3. What is the probability of getting the jackpot in a lottery?

6/55 = 0.11

Answer: MOST UNLIKELY

4. What is the probability that you will see rainbow?

Answer: MOST UNLIKELY

5. What is the probability that a turtle will grow wings and fly?

Answer: IMPOSSIBLE
Activity 2. PAIR and SHARE
Look at the spinners below. Write certain, most likely, as likely as unlikely, most unlikely, or impossible
to describe the probability of landing on the shaded part of the spinner. Write your answer on your
answer sheet Example 2/3 = .66%

Activity 3. GROUP ACTIVITY (differentiated activity)

GROUP 1: Match the probability value in column A with the probability description in column B. Write
the letter of your choice on your answer sheet. Column A Column B
COLUMN A COLUMN B
1. 0 or 0% a. certain
2. 1 or 100% b. unlikely
3. 1/2 or 50% c. likely
4. 3/4 or 75% d. impossible
5. 1/4 or 25% e. equal chance
GROUP 2: Observe the contents of the box. Copy the table on your answer sheet. Write and describe the probability
of choosing each object. Use impossible, most unlikely, as likely as unlikely, most likely, or certain.

GROUP 3:
ACTIVITY 3: INDEPENDENT PRACTICE
GROUP 3: Answer the following questions. Use impossible, most unlikely, as likely as unlikely, most
likely, or certain to describe each statement.
Example: Today is Tuesday and tomorrow is Monday.
1. What is the probability that you will get wet by standing under a heavy rain without a raincoat or an
umbrella?
2. What is the probability that you will pick ace of hearts from a deck of cards?
3. What is the probability of getting the jackpot in a lottery?
4. What is the probability that you will see a rainbow?
5. What is the probability that a turtle will grow wings and fly?

Application
Complete each sentence by writing the probability for each event. Use impossible, most unlikely, as likely
as unlikely, most likely, or certain to describe each statement.
1. It is ______________________ that the New Year’s Day is on the first day of January.
2. Today is Monday and it is _______________________ that tomorrow will be Wednesday.
3. It is ______________________ to happen that you will pick king of diamonds out of the four kings in a deck of
cards. 4. In a bag, there are 1 strawberry candy and 3 chocolate candies. It is ________________________ to
happen that you will get 1 chocolate candy in the bag.
5. It is _____________________ that the dog can fly high.

Generalization:
 What have you learned?
 What is probability?
 How does the probability line helps us to describe the possibility of an event?
Probability will help us decide how often something is likely to happen, but it will never help you exactly
when that event will happen unless the probability is 0 (it will never happen) or 1( it will surely happen).
The event is unlikely to happen when its probability is closer to 0, like winning a jackpot in a lottery
where you only have one in a million chance of winning. The most likely to happen in event is, the closer
its probability to 1.

The probability line can be used to predict and describe the possibility of an event to happen or not to
happen. Words such as certain, most likely, as likely as unlikely, most unlikely, and impossible can be
used as expressions to describe the chance of an event to happen. It is the number that we use to describe
and express that likelihood.
 The event is most unlikely to happen when its probability is closer to 0 – 0.5.
 The event is most likely to happen if its probability is between 0.5 and 1.
 The probability of an event can be described as “as likely as unlikely” when the chance of it to happen is
the same as to the chance that it will not occur. Its probability is 0.50 or 50%.
 An event that is certain will surely happen. Its probability is equal to 1 or 100%.  An impossible event
cannot happen. Its probability is 0 or 0%.

IV: Direction:
1. Which of the following describes how likely or unlikely something would happen?
a. Statistics c.Probability
b. Outcome d. Event
2. What number describes the chance of an event that will certainly happen?
a. 0 b. 0.50 c. 0.25 d. 1
3. What is the probability that the sun will set in the south?
a. impossible to happen c. most likely to happen
b. unlikely to happen d. likely to happen
4. What number is described when an event is impossible to happen?
a. 0 b. 0.50 c. 0.25 d. 1
5. September comes first before October
a. Impossible c. certainly
b. most likely d. unlikely

V. This learning will help you how to predict the probable outcome of a situations/events. Use
impossible, most unlikely, as likely as unlikely, most likely, and certain to describe of the following
statements.

1. The sun will rise tomorrow.

a. Certainly b. Impossible c. Unlikely d. Most unlikely

2. January is the most memorable day of the year because it is where we celebrated the independence
day.
a.likely b.Impossible c.Certain d. Most likely

3.The Philippines forecaster says, that it will rain a snow tomorrow. Remember that Philippines is a
tropical area.
a.Unlikely b.Certainly c.impossible d. Most likely

4.The livelihood that 2 people in any group of 15 is will have the same birthday is about 8%. Since the
probability is closer to 0%, matching birthdays in a group of 15 is __________.
a.Unlikely b.Certainly c.impossible d. Most likely

5.The sport’s analyst says that Juan Marcial has 75% chance of winning his fight. This means that Juan
Marcial is ________ to win the fight.
a.Unlikely b.Certainly c.impossible d. Most likely