Professional Documents
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Program
Date:
Presenter:
1
Module Outline
• Session 1: Overview to Quantitative Research
• Session 2: Sampling Strategies and Size
• Session 3: Measurement
• Session 4: Instrument Development
• Session 5: Instrument Administration
• Session 6: Data Preparation
• Session 7 Data Analysis
• Session 8: Interpretation and Reporting
• Session 9: Mixed Methods Research
2
Session 1: Overview to Quantitative Research
Session Outline:
• Overview to Quantitative Research
• Features of Quantitative Research
• Variables
• Quantitative Designs
• Survey Design
• Correlational Design
• Experimental Design
3
Quantitative Research
• Emphasizes quantification in the collection and analysis of data;
• Entails a deductive approach to the relationship between theory and
research or the testing of theories;
• Has incorporated the practices and norms of the natural scientific
model; and
• Embodies a view of social reality as an external, objective reality.
• Note that your research problem determines the type of design you
should use, not the other way around!
Intervention Nonintervention
Research Research
18
Population and Sample
Population: The abstract idea of a large group of many cases from which
a researcher draws a sample and to which results from a sample are
generalized.
Sample: A small set of cases a researcher selects from a large pool and
generalizes to the population.
Population
19
Why Sampling?
• It is almost impossible to study all cases related to the
phenomenon under study due to time, resource, and
accessibility limitations.
• More importantly, it is not necessary to study all cases
because we can generalize a representative sample
statistics to the population’s parameters with a high
accuracy and confidence,
20
Target Population & Sampling Frame
• Target Population
A target population is the specific collection of cases we will
study.
– Example: Early Grade Teachers in Afghanistan
• Sampling Frame
A list of cases in a population, or the best approximation of them.
– Example: Ministry of Education’s List of Early Grade Teachers
Generated by EMIS
21
Sampling Strategies
Quantitative Sampling Strategies
System
Simple Multist
atic Stratifi Convenien
Rando age Snowball Quota
Rando ed ce
m Cluster
m
22
Probability Sampling
• In probability sampling, the researcher selects individuals from the population
randomly to yield samples most likely to truly represent the entire population.
• Random: In daily life, it can mean unpredictable, unusual, unexpected, or
haphazard.
• In mathematics, random has a specific meaning: a selection process without any
pattern or that each element will have an equal probability of being selected
• Random Samples allow us to calculate statistically the relationship between the
sample and the population—that is, the size of the sampling error.
• Types of probability sampling:
• Simple Random Sampling,
• Systematic Random Sampling
• Stratified Sampling,
• Multistage Cluster Sampling
23
Simple Random Sampling
The most popular and rigorous form of
probability sampling from a population is simple
random sampling
The researcher selects participants (or units, such
as schools) for the sample so that any individual
has an equal probability of being selected from
the population.
24
Systematic Sampling
A random sampling with a shortcut selection
procedure.
We first calculate a sampling interval to create
a quasi- random selection method.
The sampling interval (i.e., 1 in k, where k is
some number) tells us how to select cases from
a sampling frame by skipping elements in the
frame before selecting one for the sample.
The first case will be selected randomly from
the first interval.
25
Example for Systematic Sampling
For instance, we want to sample 300 students from 900 using systematic
sampling, here are the steps:
Step1: Calculate the sampling interval (i) by dividing population by
sample size.
i= = = 3
Step 2: Select a random starting point from the first i number of cases.
Step 3: Select cases with an interval of i, in the case every 3th case.
26
Stratified Sampling
•Divide (stratify) the population on some
specific characteristic (e.g., gender) and
then, using simple random sampling,
sample from each subgroup (stratum) of
the population (e.g., females and males).
•Stratified Sampling is used to include
participants from specific categories that
simple random sampling would
otherwise not guarantee.
•In survey research, a proportional
stratified sampling is often used.
27
Example of Proportional Stratification Sampling
Population
(N=9,000)
Boys Girls
(N=6,000) N=3,000
6,000 divided by 9,000 .66 of population .33 of population 3,000 divided by 9,000
Random sampling
28
Multistage Cluster Sampling
• Select a sample in two or more stages
when it is
• difficult to obtain a complete list of
the population, or
• there is a wide geographical
dispersion and is costly to reach
randomly selected cases.
• Select both clusters and cases within each
cluster randomly.
• Select as many clusters as feasible.
• Use constant number of cases from each
selected cluster.
29
Multistage Cluster Sampling Example
• The research wants to select 300 at-risk early grade students from the
whole country population, using multi-stage cluster sampling.
• Step 1: Identify appropriate clusters, e.g. Districts.
• Step 2: Select a number of districts randomly (the larger, the better)
(e.g. 50 out of 400 districts)
• Step 3: Divide the sample size by the number of cluster (300/50=6)
• Step 4: Select 6 at risk students from each cluster randomly using a
complete list of at-risk students in the district.
30
Non-Probability Sampling
• Selects individuals who are available, convenient, and represent some
characteristic under study.
• Non-probability is only used when probability sampling is not
possible.
• Non-probability sampling includes:
• Convenience Sampling
• Snowball Sampling
• Quota Sampling
31
Convenience Sampling
• Selects participants because they are
willing and available to be studied.
• Convenience sampling can seriously
misrepresent features in the entire
population.
32
Convenience Sampling Example
• A researcher conducting a study involving Uzbeki native-speaker
students finds that a large percentage of students in one school are
Uzbeki speakers.
• The researcher decides to study this group at this one school because
they are available and she has the permission of the principal and can
gain consent from the Uzbeki students to participate in the study.
• This is a convenience sample because the participants are convenient
to the researcher and are available for the study.
33
Snowball Sampling
• An alternative to convenience
sampling is snowball sampling.
• The researcher asks participants to
identify others to become members of
the sample
• Has the advantage of recruiting large
numbers of participants for the study.
• May not be representative of the
population you seek to study.
34
Snowball Sampling Example
A research wants to survey Pashai households in Kabul to study how
language affects parental involvement, and you already know one
household. You identify your further participants through the
household(s) already surveyed.
35
Quota Sampling
• A nonrandom sample in which the researcher first identifies general
categories into which cases or people will be placed and then selects
cases to reach a predetermined number in each category.
• The cases within each category are selected based on convenience
sampling.
36
Sample Size Determination
• Sample size is determined based on accepted sampling error and
confidence level.
• A general rule of thumb is to select as large a sample as possible.
38
Sampling Error Example
• Assume we know that the average score for reading test for
all students in a district is 75.
• If we select a sample of 350 students and get a score of 80,
the next time we might obtain a score of 72, and the next
time a 76, because our sample will change from one school
to another.
• This means that our average score is five points, three
points, and one point, respectively, away from the “true”
population average.
39
Confidence Interval and Confidence Level
• A range of values, usually a little higher and lower than a specific
value found in a sample, within which a researcher has a specified and
high degree of confidence that the population parameter lies.
• We use a range because the statistics of random processes are based on
probability. They do not let us predict an exact point. They allow us
to say with a high level of confidence (e.g., 95 percent) that the true
population parameter lies within a certain range (i.e., the confidence
interval).
• Confidence level of 95% is usually accepted in social research.
40
Confidence Interval Formula
Standard
deviation
mean
Freedo
Number of
m
samples
degree
41
Sampling Distribution
42
How to Find a Confidence Interval for the Mean in
Excel: Steps
Step 1: Type your data into a single column in Excel. For this example,
type the data into cells A1:A31.
Step 2: Click the “Data” tab, then click “Data Analysis,” then click
“Descriptive Statistics” and “OK.” If you don’t see Data Analysis, the
Excel data analysis toolpack.
43
How to Find a Confidence Interval for the Mean in
Excel: Steps (Cont.)
Step 3: Enter your input range into the Input Range box. For this
example, your input range is “A1:A31”.
Step 4: Type an output range into the Output Range box. This is where
you want your answer to appear. For example, type “B1.”
44
How to Find a Confidence Interval for the Mean in
Excel: Steps (Cont.)
Step 5: Click the “Summary Statistics” check box and then place your
chosen confidence level into the ‘Confidence Level for Mean’ check box.
For this example, type “95”.
45
How to Find a Confidence Interval for the Mean in
Excel: Steps (Cont.)
Step 6: Click “OK.” Microsoft Excel will return the confidence interval
for the mean and the margin of error for your data. For this sample, the
mean (Xbar) is 149.742 and the margin of error is 66.9367. So the mean
has a lower limit of 149.742-66.936 and an upper limit of
149.742+66.936.
46
How does increasing the sample size affect the
confidence interval?
Sample size 9, standard deviation 36.
Confidence interval is 66 to 113
Sample size 900, standard deviation 36.
Confidence interval is 87.765 to 92.352.
Sample size 9, standard deviation 3.6.
Confidence interval is 89.215 to 90.784
47
Sample Size
• When selecting participants for a study, it is important to determine the
size of the sample you will need.
• It depends on population characteristics, the type of data analysis to
be employed, and the degree of confidence in sample accuracy
needed for research purposes.
• As a rough estimate, an educational researcher needs
– Approximately 15 participants in each group in an experiment
– Approximately 30 participants for a correlational study that relates
variables
– Approximately 350 individuals for a survey study, but this size
will vary depending on several factors
48
Sample Size
49
List of Random Numbers
50
Session 3: Measurement
Session Outline:
• Measurement
• Operationalization and Conceptualization
• From Concepts to Variables
• Level of Measurement
• Nominal
• Ordinal
• Interval
• Ratio
65
Interval Scale Measure
66
Ratio Scale Measure
67
Session 4: Instrument Development
Session Outline:
• Instrument
• Standardized vs. Researchers’ Instruments
• Criteria for Choosing a Good Standardized Instrument
• Steps in Instrument Construction Process
• Questionnaire Design
• Validity and Reliability
• Types of Validity
• Types of Reliability
• Relationship between Validity and Reliability
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Session 8: Data Analysis
Session Outline:
Descriptive Data Analysis
Frequency
Measure of Central Tendency
One Variable
Two Variables (Bivariate)
More than Two Variables
Correlation
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Descriptive Data Analysis
• A general type of simple statistics used by researchers to describe
basic patterns in data.
• Helps summarize the overall trends or tendencies in data, provide an
understanding of how varied the scores might be, and provide insight
into where one score stands in comparison with others.
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Major Types of Descriptive Statistics
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Frequency Distribution (Definition)
• A table that shows the dispersion of cases into the categories of one variable,
that is, the number of percent of cases in each category.
• Used with nominal, ordinal, interval or ratio level data.
– Normal Distribution
• A bell-shaped frequency polygon for a dispersion of cases with a peak
in the center and identical curving slops on either side of the center;
distribution of many naturally occurring phenomena and a basis of
much statistical theory.
• The three measures of central tendency equal each other.
– Skewed Distribution
• A dispersion of cases among the categories of a variable that is not
normal, that is, not a bell shape; instead of an equal number of cases on
both ends; more are at one of the extremes.
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Frequency Distribution (Graphs)
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Measures of Central Tendency
• Summarizes information about one variable into a single number value
or score that represents the entire distribution
• Mean: indicates the arithmetic average, the sum of all scores divided
by the total number of them.
• Median: The value or score that divides the top half of a distribution
from the bottom half
• Mode: The most frequent or common score or value
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Measures of Central Tendency
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Measures of Variation
• Describes the “spread” of the scores
• Range: The difference between the highest and lowest scores
• Percentile: A measure of dispersion for a one variable that indicates
the percentage of cases at or below a score or point.
• Standard Deviation: The standard distance the scores are away from
the mean
• Z-score: A standardized location of a score in a distribution of scores
based on the number of standard deviations it is above or below the
mean.
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Standard Deviation
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Bivariate
• Statistical measures that involve two variables only and shows a statistical
relationship or the association between variables.
• Statistical Relationship
Expression of whether two or more variables affect one another based on
the used of elementary applied mathematics, that is, whether there is an
association between them or independence.
• Covariation
– The concept that two variables vary together, such that knowing the values
on one variable provides information about values found on another.
• Statistical Independence
– The absence of a statistical relationship between two variables, that is,
when knowing the values on one variable provides no information about
the values found on another variable; no association between the variable.
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Statistical Relationship
Several techniques are used to decide whether a relationship exists
between two variables:
1. Scattergram /graph/plot of the relationship
2. A percentaged table
3. Measures of association
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1. Scattergram
A diagram to display the statistical relationship between two variables
based on plotting each case’s values for both of the variables.
1. Independence: random scatter with no pattern; no relationship.
2. Linear: positive or negative across levels of variables; forms a
straight line, without a curve.
3. Curvilinear: as the values of one variable increase, the values of the
second show a changing pattern; not a linear relationship.
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1. Scattergram (Example)
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2. Tables
• Presents the same information as a Scattergram in a more condensed
form.
• Data can be measures at any level of measurement.
Contingency Table
A summary format of the cross-tabulation of two or more variables
showing bivariate quantitative data for variables in the form of
percentages across rows or down columns for the categories of one
variable.
Cross-Tabulation
The process of placing data for two variables in a contingency table to
show the percentage or number of cases at the intersection of variable
categories.
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2. Tables (Example)
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3. Measures of Association
• A single number that expresses the strength, and often the direction, of a
relationship.
• Equals zero if the variables are independent.
• Lambda, Gamma, Tau, Rho, Chi-Square
• Gamma: at ordinal level; measures strength of an association
• Correlation coefficient: at the ratio-level; show how much two
variables “go together” or covary.
• Most measures follow Proportionate Reduction in Error.
• A logic in many statistics that measures the strength of association
between two variables. A strong association reduces most errors in
predicting the dependent variable using information from the
independent variable.
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Measure of Association: Correlation
• A statistical technique used to measure and describe the relationship
between two variables.
• A numerical value to describe and measure three characteristics of the
relationship between X and Y:
1. The direction of the relationship: sign of correlation
• Positive correlation: two variables tend to change in the same
direction.
• Negative correlation: two variables tend to go in opposite directions.
2. The form of the relationship
• Measures straight-line relationships
3. The strength and consistency of the relationship
• How perfectly do the data points fit on the straight line.
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Measure of Association: Correlation (Cont.)
• Correlation = 1.00: each change in X is accompanied by a perfectly
predictable change in Y, in the same direction.
• Correlation = -1.00: each change in X is accompanied by a perfectly
predictable change in Y, in the opposite direction.
• Correlation=0: Indicates the data points are scattered randomly with no
clear trend; indicates no consistency at all.
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Inferential Statistics
• A branch of applied mathematics based on random sampling that
allows researchers to make precise statements about the level of
confidence they can have that measures in a sample are the same as a
population parameter.
– Purpose
• Build on probability theory to test hypotheses formally
• Permit inferences from a sample to a population
• Test whether descriptive results are likely to be due to random
factors or to a real relationship.
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Inferential Statistics: Statistical Significance
– Statistical Significance
• The likelihood that a finding or statistical relationship in a
sample’s results is due to random factors rather than to the
existence of an actual relationship in the entire population.
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Inferential Statistics
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Session 8: Reporting and Interpretation
Session Outline:
• Results Reporting
• Univariate Graphic Representation
• Results Interpretation
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Results Reporting
Tables summarize statistical information
• Title each table
• Present one table for each statistical test
• Organize data into rows and columns with simple and clear headings
Figures (charts, pictures, drawings) portray variables and their
relationships
• Labeled with a clear title that includes the number of the figure
• Augment rather than duplicate the text
• Convey only essential facts
• Omit visually distracting detail
• Easy to read and understand
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Univariate Graphic Representation: Histogram
Histogram
• A graphic display of univariate frequencies or percentages, usually
with vertical lines indicating the amount or proportion.
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Univariate Graphic Representation: Frequency
Polygon
• Interval- or ratio-level data
• A graph of connected points showing how many cases fall into each
category of a variable.
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Results Interpretation
• Summarize major results in response to research questions
• Discuss whether the hypothesis was confirmed or rejected
• Explain the implications of the results for the audiences
• Discuss limitations
• Suggest future research
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Session 9: Mixed Method Research
Session Outline:
• Definition and Features
• When Is It Used?
• Types of Mixed Methods Research
• Approach and Sequence in Mixed Methods Research
• Combining Qualitative and Quantitative Research
• Advantage and Disadvantages of Mixed Methods
New Approach to Early Grade Reading in Dari and Pashto, Afghanistan 127
Features
• Research that combines alternative approaches within a single research
project.
– Main Features
1. Uses both qualitative and quantitative methods within a single
research project.
2. Explicit focus on the link between approaches (triangulation).
3. Emphasis on practical approaches to research problems
(pragmatist).
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When Is It Appropriate to Use a Mixed Methods
Approach?
Used for the following purposes:
• Improved accuracy
• The validation of findings in terms of their accuracy;
• Checking for bias in research methods;
• The development of research instruments.
• A more complete picture
• Compensating strengths and weaknesses
• Developing the analysis
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Types of Mixed Methods Design
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Approach Sequence in Mixed Methods Design
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Key Issues in the Mixed Methods Approach
• Order: in what order do the methods get used?
• Timing: at what points are methods changed or combined?
• Proportion and priority: which methods are seen as dominant?
• Comparison and contrast: linked with triangulation are the methods
similar or markedly different?
• Use and benefit: for what purposes are the alternative approaches
combined?
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Combining Qualitative and Quantitative Research
1. Triangulation 9. Sampling
2. Offset 10. Credibility
3. Completeness 11. Context
4. Process 12. Illustration
5. Different Research 13. Utility or Improving the
Questions Usefulness of Findings
6. Explanation 14. Confirm and Discover
7. Unexpected Results 15. Diversity of Views
8. Instrument Development 16. Enhancement
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Advantages of the Mixed Methods Approach
• A more comprehensive account of the thing being researched.
• Clearer links between different methods and the different kinds of
data.
• Good use of triangulation.
• A practical, problem-driven approach to research.
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Disadvantages of the Mixed Methods Approach
• The time and costs of the research project can increase.
• The researcher needs to develop skills with more than one method.
• The QUAL/QUAN distinction tends to oversimplify matters.
• The mixed methods designs that are generally recommended do not
allow for emergent research designs.
• The underlying philosophy of the Mixed Methods approach –
pragmatism – is open to misinterpretation.
• Findings from different methods might not corroborate one another.
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References
• Bryman, Alan. (2012). Social Research Methods. 4 th ed. NY: Oxford
University Press.
• Creswell, J. W. (2012). Educational Research: Planning, Conducting and
Evaluating Quantitative and Qualitative Research. 4 th ed. USA: Pearson
Education.
• Denscombe, Martyn. (2007). The Good Research Guide for Small-Scale
Social Research Projects. 3rd ed. New York, NY: Open University Press.
• Gravetter, F. J. and Walnau, L. B. (2013). Statistics for Behavioral Sciences.
9th ed. USA: Cengage Learning.
• Neuman, W. Lawrence. (2007). Basics of Social Research: Qualitative and
Quantitative Approaches. 2nd ed. USA: Pearson Education, Inc.
• Neuman, W. Lawrence. (2014). Social Research Methods: Qualitative and
Quantitative Approaches. USA: Pearson Education.
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