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Textbook Elise Boulding Writings On Peace Research Peacemaking and The Future 1St Edition J Russell Boulding Eds Ebook All Chapter PDF
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Pioneers in Arts, Humanities, Science, Engineering, Practice 7
J. Russell Boulding
Editor
Elise Boulding:
Writings
on Peace Research,
Peacemaking,
and the Future
Pioneers in Arts, Humanities, Science,
Engineering, Practice
Volume 7
Series editor
Hans Günter Brauch, Mosbach, Germany
More information about this series at http://www.springer.com/series/15230
http://www.afes-press-books.de/html/PAHSEP.htm
http://www.afes-press-books.de/html/PAHSEP_Elise_Boulding.htm
J. Russell Boulding
Editor
123
Editor
J. Russell Boulding
Bloomington
IN
USA
Acknowledgement The photograph on the title page and others in this volume were taken
from the personal photo collection of the editor who also granted the permission for
publication in this volume. Special thanks to Sebastian Rottmair, creator of the UN Job List
and the Little Peacemaker website, for the image on the cover of the Swords Into Ploughshares
statue at the UN garden: https://www.rottmair.de/2010/12/17/swords-into-plowshares/.
A book website with additional information on Elise Boulding, including videos and his major
book covers is at: http://www.afes-press-books.de/html/PAHSEP_Elise_Boulding.htm.
This is the second of four volumes devoted to the life and writings of Elise
Boulding. The first volume (PAHSEP 06) includes information about her life and a
selection of writings that span the breadth of her contributions to the fields of peace
research and peacemaking, feminism, the family, Quakerism and the future.
This volume includes thirteen additional texts by Elise Boulding on peace
research, peacemaking and the future, and encompasses fields where she made
significant scholarly contributions.1 Something that has struck me in the process of
selecting and organizing texts for these volumes is that her life and work defy
simple categorization. The topics and themes that she cared and wrote about were
so interwoven that most texts could be placed in more than one category.
I remember once hearing my father, Kenneth Boulding, say with a twinkle in his
eye “There are two kinds of people, those who like to categorize…and those who
don’t.” Both Kenneth and Elise had the ability to categorize without allowing
themselves to be boxed in by the categories as categorizers tend to do. Until
compiling this volume I thought of my father, well-known for his contributions to
general systems theory, as the systems thinker and my mother as more practical and
down-to-earth. Now I see more clearly how widely Elise Boulding’s mind ranged
1
The cover photograph, taken in 1990 at Douglas College, her undergraduate alma mater, is one
of the few I have of her in an academic gown and it seemed fitting for this volume where many
of the selection have a strong academic slant.
vii
viii Introduction and Overview
across disciplines, encompassing the academic in ways that sought to translate the
ideas into the realm of the day-to-day.
Having stated that Elise Boulding’s life and work defy simple categorization,
I do find it useful to define three stages of her adult life as a way to frame her
written work based on the relative importance of the roles of wife/mother, scholar
and teacher, and activist:2
1. Wife/Mother (1941–1966—25 years). This begins with marriage to Kenneth
Boulding in 1941, after which they lived in Princeton NJ (1941), Nashville, TN
(1942–1944), Ames, IA (1945–1948) and Ann Arbor (1949–1966), with the
role of mother to five children being dominant from 1947 to 1966. Scholarly
activities included an M.S. in Sociology from Iowa State University (1949),
translation of Fred Polak’s The Image of the Future from Dutch (1954–1957),
various research/staff positions at the University of Michigan culminating in
Ph.D. in Sociology (1959–1966). She was active in the American Friends
Service Committee (AFSC) and Women’s International League for Peace and
Freedom (WILPF) during this time. By the end of this period her five children
are in middle school (1), high school (3) and college (1).
2. Scholar/Teacher (1967–1985—18 years). This includes years teaching at the
University of Colorado/Boulder (1967–1977) and Dartmouth (1978–1985) and
leadership roles in numerous professional organizations (IPRA, COPRED,
AAAS, ASA, ISA) and international organizations (UNESCO, United Nations
University). She was member of the Congressional Commission on Proposals
for the National Academy of Peace and Conflict Resolution. Continues to be
active in AFSC and WILPF (International Chair from 1968–1971). Family role
shifts from mother to grandmother of 12 by end of the time period.
2
The Chronology of Elise Boulding’s Life (Sect. 1.2, PAHSEP 06) provides additional information
about specific roles during these time periods.
Introduction and Overview ix
Elise Boulding in her office at Dartmouth College (1984). Source This photo is from the personal
photo collection of the editor who granted permission to include it here
3
Although the third stage lasted 6 years longer than the second, that actual time period for
publications was the same.
x Introduction and Overview
Elise Boulding at Peace Abbey, Sherbourne, MA (2009). Source This photo is from the personal
photo collection of the editor who granted permission to include it here
xiii
xiv Contents
This article provides some historical context for the field of conflict research, which began
to burgeon in the 1960s, reviews approaches to research at the time and identifies per-
spectives for future research.1 It was published in the year that the Boulding family con-
cluded its 18-year sojourn in Ann Arbor MI and moved to Boulder, CO where both
Kenneth and Elise received teaching and research positions at the University of Colorado.
During the time in Ann Arbor Kenneth Boulding taught at the University of Michigan in
the Department of Economics and was instrumental in the establishment of the Center for
Conflict Resolution, and Elise Boulding created and edited the International Peace Research
Newsletter. At the time she wrote this article she was also working on her PhD dissertation
on a completely different subject—the effects of industrialization on the participation of
women in society.
1
This text was first published as: “Summary and Challenges for Future Research” in: The Journal
of Social Issues (special issue on Conflict and Community in the International System) XII
(1):144–158, January 1967. Copyright © 1967 by The Society for the Psychological Study of
Social Issues. Reprint permission by Wiley granted on 27 July, 2015. Full citations for other
authors of articles in this special issue who are cited in the text are: Robert C. Angell, “The Growth
of Transnational Participation” (108–129); Kenneth Boulding, “The Role of the War Industry in
International Conflict” (pp. 47–61); Karl Deutsch, “Changing Images of International Conflict”
(pp. 91–107); Harold K. Jacobson, “Changing Dimensions of the Colonial Problem” (pp. 79–90);
Nathan Keyfitz, “National Populations and the Technological Watershed” (pp. 62–78); Yasumasa
Tanaka, “Cross-Cultural Compatibility of the Affective Meaning Systems” (pp. 27–47); and John
and Ruth Useem, “The Interfaces of a Third Culture” (pp. 130–143).
There was much intellectual ferment concerning the nature of society taking
place in England in the twenties and thirties, which was slow to make its impact on
American thought. The concept of general systems, which is currently the cutting
edge of social science theory and research in the United States, was battling its way
out through minds like H.G. Wells. In writing the Prelude to his Experiment in
Autobiography (1934), he foresaw a new world germinating and developing “in
studies and studios and laboratories, administrative bureaus and exploring expe-
ditions”. “We originative intellectual workers are reconditioning human life”. In the
same years a Quaker meteorologist who in 1919 had privately distributed a com-
pletely unconventional and daring piece of mathematical research entitled “The
Mathematical Psychology of War”, continued with a series of little-noticed publi-
cations which represent a contribution of the twentieth century to the analysis of the
causes of war. Only in 1960 with the posthumous publication of this work in two
volumes, Arms and Insecurity and Statistics of Deadly Quarrels (Richardson 1960)
has Lewis F. Richardson’s approach to a general theory of large-scale conflict found
its proper place in the field of social science research.
Not everything was happening on the other side of the ocean, however. In 1937
Ross Stagner served as chairman of a Committee on the Psychology of Peace and
War, of the Society for the Psychological Study of Social Issues. The committee
contacted political scientists, sociologists and economists, conducted some studies
and prepared what was to have been the 1941 Yearbook of SPSSI on the subject of
the Psychology of Peace and War. The events of December 7, 1941 and America’s
entry into the war rendered the material unacceptable, so this yearbook was never
published. In 1945 another move was made in this direction, and Gardner Murphy
successfully brought to publication a SPSSI Yearbook on Human Nature and
Enduring Peace (Murphy 1945). Since then, the Journal of Social Issues has given
periodic attention to research in this area.
By and large, however, the forties were not productive years in the area of
research on world order. When James Miller issued a plea in 1941 from the
University of Chicago for a crash program in behavioral science research for peace,
he was questioned by his fellow social scientists about the idea that anything could
be gained by putting intensive effort in a field that had to grow slowly and naturally.
New possibilities seemed to open up with the founding of UNESCO, with its
avowed intention of dealing with the roots of war in the minds of men, It was with
great hope that eight social scientists met together in the summer of 1948 for two
weeks in Paris under the auspices of UNESCO to inquire into “the influences which
predispose toward international understanding on the one hand and aggressive
nationalism on the other”. The scientists came from Brazil, France, England,
Hungary, Norway and the United States. They issued a joint statement (Cantril
1950) concerning the nature and causes of international tension and the vital role
1.1 Founding of UNESCO 5
which the social sciences can play in understanding and putting to constructive use
the forces which work upon man and society both from without and from within.
The statement pointed out that while many social scientists are studying these
problems, they are separated by national, ideological and class differences which
make it difficult to achieve genuine objectivity within a global frame of reference.
The scientists urged the cooperation of social scientists on broad regional and
international levels, the creation of an international university and a series of world
institutes of the social sciences under international auspices. They closed with the
statement,
The social scientist can help make clear to the people of all nations that the freedom and
welfare of one are ultimately bound up with the freedom and welfare of all, that the world
need not continue to be a place where men must either kill or be killed. Effort in behalf of
one’s own group can become compatible with effort in behalf of humanity.
This should have been the start of a great international research effort on conflict in
the world community. It wasn’t; the silence which followed was deafening. The post-
script to the Paris conference throws a little light on that silence, for each of the par-
ticipating scientists went home to write out lengthy papers amplifying their individual
points of view. These were duly circulated and published together with the Original
statement, with this significant postscript added by Professor Szalai of Hungary:
At our conference a pleasant personal contact had been established among us social sci-
entists from different parts of the world. Even a joint statement had been signed by all of us
—due to the diplomatic talent of our esteemed chairman. Then everybody went home to
write down what he had to contribute to the theme of this conference. And—as the friendly
international atmosphere of the UNESCO conference room vanished—the political and
socio-economic determination of the “home surroundings” began to act. Many of us wrote
down sentences which had never been said (either by them or by anybody else) in the
conference room, and, what is worse, many wrote things that could never have been said
there [emphasis E. Boulding’s].
Thus verbal dueling replaced what had begun as a genuine intellectual search,
and international cooperation between social scientists to search out and remove
sources of tension and international aggression received a setback.
connected with the well-funded national security research programs have also
sought, with what might be termed spectacular unsuccess, for funds to do research
which they believe will be relevant to national and international security. Lack of
success in government circles and with foundations has until recently been closely
matched by lack of success in persuading university administrations and fellow
scholars to enter new “peace research” areas. There is nothing new or remarkable in
this. The bastions of government and the bastions of the academic community have
always existed to conserve the old as long as possible. The new is incorporated only
when the pressure becomes intolerable. The same forces which finally created the
Council of Economic Advisors after long blunderings through the depression (some
of the best talent in the country is now brought to bear on economic problems) will
in time create a similar Council of International Affairs Advisors, which will
mobilize presently unused resources for international policy-making. Perhaps the
John Maynard Keynes of international relations is waiting in the wings.
The surprising thing is not how little peace research there is, but how much. There is a
growing international community of scholars whose primary commitment is to
research on world order. Some indication of this is found in the number of new
international research institutes devoted to interdisciplinary international studies.
Sweden is establishing a new international peace research institute which is to be
internationally administered and staffed; the Oslo Peace Research Institute has changed
its status from that of a national to an international institute. The United Nations
Institute for Training and Research2 is becoming operational. The International Social
Science Council is conducting an expanding program of cooperative international
research on such topics as “Images of a Disarmed World”, “International Studies of
Values in Politics” and “The Role of International Cultural Cooperation in the
Promotion of Peaceful Relations” (UNESCO). New international professional asso-
ciations particularly concerned with world order and conflict management, such as the
World Peace Through Law Center (Geneva) and the International Peace Research
Association (Groningen, Netherlands) are appearing on the scene.
Research on problems of world order is certainly not a new phenomenon. There
are institutions in both Europe and American with as much as a half-century behind
them of history of research on international relations with reference to the problems
2
For: “(1) Research, study, analysis, and discussion of major questions relating to international
peace and security and the promotion of economic and social development, and ‘the techniques
and machinery of the United Nations.’ Emphasis will be placed on operational analysis.
(2) Training of personnel, especially from the developing countries, for national or UN service.
(3) The creation of a ‘pool’ of highly qualified men and women who can be detached at short
notice by the Secretary-General for special missions”. (International Peace Research Newsletter.
Vol. I, No. 3, 1963).
1.3 Institutions for Peace Research 7
of peace and war, within the framework of the traditional discipline of political
science. But in the United States (as elsewhere) the extraordinary intellectual and
moral dilemmas felt by thoughtful citizens generally and the academic community
in particular, as cold and hot wars alternately threaten, has increasingly pushed
social scientists to a consideration of international problems from fresh points of
view. Psychologists, social psychologists, sociologists, economists and others have
finally begun to wonder if their disciplines could not contribute new and useful
theoretical models, quantitative measures in areas where none exist and practical
approaches to conflict resolution. As interdisciplinary lines have been crossed and
recrossed in the last two decades, there has been a growing realization of the
possibility of radically new approaches to international conflict outside the tradi-
tional academic boundaries. The resulting revolution in research is now to be seen
in the over 70 centers and research institutes around the United States which are
now actively engaged in research on international conflict. If the heavily
national-security oriented programs are included, over 100 institutions, including
industrial organizations and “think” factories, are now engaged in serious research
on international conflict in the fields of strategy, political science, law, technology,
psychology, sociology, economics and history. Informal faculty seminars in this
area have arisen at many American universities.
This spurt of activity has led to increasingly sophisticated studies involving
quantitative measurements of attitudes and interaction patterns among nations,
influence of social values on public policy, simulation studies of decision-making
under crisis conditions, the social dynamics of ideological confrontation, etc.
A body of knowledge is being developed concerning the accommodation process
between parties to conflict, on international institutions and organizations and their
functioning, on the psychological prerequisites to the development of a viable
international organization, and on technical problems of transfer from an armed to a
disarmed society. Finally, serious efforts are getting under way to develop sys-
tematic world-wide data collection from national units comparable to statistical data
collected within the developed national units, to contribute to the social “mapping”
of the globe.
The two sets of processes which rivet attention on the international scene today are
the conflict processes which drive nations and groups apart and the integrative
processes which draw them together. Earlier battles over whether the “conflict
model” or the “integrative model” was more basic to the workings of society have
been superseded by increasing agreement that these are equally researchable
complementary processes.
The dialectics of conflict and integration are touched on in a variety of ways in
the papers of this symposium. On the one hand the conflict-generating aspects of
international communication and of the integrative international networks of trade
8 1 The Study of Conflict and Community in the International System …
and aid are dealt with by Tanaka, Boulding, Keyfitz and Jacobson. On the other
hand the integrative aspects of overt conflict which emerge from mutually agreed
upon rules of conflict are treated by Boulding, Deutsch and the Useems. Assuming
that both conflict and community must be studied, a wide choice of approaches
remains. Two of the major approaches used today in the international field are the
study of social systems, and the analysis of images of systems. One or another or
both of these approaches are used by each author. The international system is a
system of nations acting and reacting on each other. As is pointed out in several
papers, these actions and reactions are based on the images which the participants
have of each other and the situation as a whole. This introduces an additional set of
variables into the analysis. Whether the researcher is focusing on systems analysis
as such, or on images of systems, he generally has to take both into account. This
dual focus is evident in many of the papers, but perhaps most of all in the papers
dealing with the bipolarized world in terms of the war industry, the population
problem and the colonial problem.
The social psychologist is concerned with the triple interpenetration of the
meanings, motivations and acts of the individual with the complex structures of
culturally patterned goals and behaviors and with the economic, political and social
institutions which embody these goals and behaviors. He may well despair at the
complexity of his problem when it is carried to the international level. The papers
presented here provide a helpful frame of reference in their explorations of the
above-mentioned concepts of images and systems. These approaches provide a
guide through the maze of empirical complexities. The concept of systems gives a
manageable way to think about Tanaka’s cultural meanings, Boulding’s world war
industry, Keyfitz’ and Jacobson’s polarized groups of nation states, Deutsch’s
participating national elites and Angell’s and the Useems’ transnational elites.
The concept of images, the second key approach, recurs thematically after
Tanaka’s initial analysis of culturally unique evaluative organizations of reality into
semantic space, producing “typically Japanese” images and “typically American”
images of objectively similar behavior. As Boulding points out in discussing the
reactivity coefficients of nation states in the world war industry system, it is not the
reality (of armed might, in this case) but the image, which dominates the behavior
of nations. Outmoded images of a special kind of economic interdependence, rel-
evant during a brief interlude in the colonial history of the later nineteenth century,
live on today to obscure the realities of technological change and the meaning of
such change for rapidly exploding societies, whose main resources are untrained
hands. This cultural lag in images of the interdependent world community underlies
much of what Keyftz and Jacobson are dealing with. Deutsch, in reviewing
mythological images of the world community which, by promising both too much
and too little, have provided the rationale for international conflicts in the past,
presents the need to bring existing images into closer conformity with the very
modest realities of existing international networks of communication and potential
cooperation.
The concept of the image and its relation to a postulated underlying social reality
is a fruitful research tool in many areas of social science, and perhaps it is
1.4 Some Current Research Approaches 9
particularly vital for the study of the international system in the face of increasing
awareness of the dangers inherent in the gap between image and reality in this area.
At the moment, however, the field is full of questions and no answers. Given the
fact that individuals from different cultures all have structurally similar semantic
spaces (Tanaka), what determines the culturally unique organizations of meanings
and how can the semantic barriers erected by these unique meaning structures be
breached? There are two possible approaches to these questions. It is a tautology to
say that unique cultural experiences produce unique cultural meanings, and that
Japanese associations with the word “democracy” are determined by their particular
life experiences as American associations with the same word are determined by
similarly particularized life experiences. But a systematic examination of the critical
social happenings during the adolescent years of contemporary, decision-making
elites for a specific set of countries which comprise, a significant interacting system,
could transform this tautology into additional insights into the content of the images
which the elites of each country have of the salient others in the system. Instead of
being aware in a generalized way of the changing meanings of emperor-worship
and modernization for Japanese of different ages in the twenties, the thirties and the
forties and the effect of these changing meanings on attitudes toward the West; or
instead of vague references to the “Munich trauma” and “depression psychology”
as explaining certain aspects of American behavior in the international system—
why not systematically relate events of national magnitude taking place during the
formative years of key decision-makers to their current foreign policy
decision-making? Studies of this kind have been done at the individual case history
level, but I am proposing a simultaneous examination of images of the international
system in terms of the “shaping experiences” in adolescence of key
decision-makers in member states.
An additional research problem brought to mind by Tanaka’s paper concerns the
concept “democracy”. Ponder for a moment the significance of the fact that the
democratic-undemocratic scale used in his study turned out to be cross-culturally
unique, and that in sharp contrast to other nationals, fully one-third of the
Americans treated “democratic” as an independent criterion of judgments, separate
from all other criteria. This finding points up what I believe to be a critical weakness
in the rapidly burgeoning field of political sociology, particularly as developed by
American social scientists. Many of the current models of economic and political
development focus on one particular concrete structure, the democracies of the
industrialized twentieth century West, and use this not only as if it were an analytic
model, but as if it were an ideal end-point on a development continuum. This
methodological confusion between folk model and analytic model (Ayoub 1961)
hampers the understanding of basic political processes. It keeps the U.S. from
understanding its own political system, and certainly contributes substantially, to
communication difficulties with the post-war ally, Japan, with the new African
states and with nations in the socialist-communist spectrum. Each of these groups
has its own folk model of democracy and the basic analytic model is still to come.
The problem of conflicting images of democracy cannot be dealt with until the
10 1 The Study of Conflict and Community in the International System …
have been predicted 25 years earlier. While projections to the year 2000 are
becoming fashionable3 many national governments operate with a time perspective
of six months at the most, and five-year plans are a very recent innovation for nation
states. This may have something to do with the fact that most nation states are very
recent. Very likely it is China’s three-thousand-year old sense of national identity
which makes it possible for the leaders of the People’s Republic to speak of needing
a century or two to build the kind of communist society the Party aspires to.4 Social
scientists have done very little with the time dimension of the images which people
hold and its relevance for behavior. Most people know that images of the future
which relate to aspiration level determine performance (Atkinson 1957; McClelland
1953), but for what time periods can aspiration levels determine performance? The
puritan work ethic made it possible for people to sustain high productivity for long
periods with the promise of “pie in the sky when you die”. Can the communist work
ethic make it possible for people to sustain high productivity levels for a series of
generations so that in a future century there may be pie on earth?
There are many problems connected with images of the future in the interna-
tional system, because there is not only the problem of lack of knowledge on which
to base realistic projections (or aspirations) concerning developments within and
between nations for even a century ahead, but there is also the problem of what kind
of images of the future can be “lived with” psychologically, in terms both of
prospects for economic development which will stave off mass famine in
less-developed countries, and prospects of the rise of great new cultures not based
on the traditions of the industrialized twentieth-century West.
The time dimension becomes a critical problem in the image of the future when we
confront seriously the polarization of rich and poor, powerful and powerless, as
presented by Keyfitz and Jacobson. If Keyfitz is correct in assuming that the eco-
nomic interdependence of the colonial era was a transitory stage of early indus-
trialization, and economists generally confirm this, then left are the uncomfortable
alternatives of: (a) taking up the burden of the world welfare state5 which some
welfare-oriented leaders of thought in the West are ready for, but which is not yet
wholly acceptable even at the national level in the United States (how much federal
3
Note such projects as the British-based Mankind 2000 (3 Hendon Avenue, London N. 3,
England); the Austrian Institut fur Zukuftsfragen (Goethegasse I, Vienna I, Austria, Robert Jungk,
Director); and in the U.S., studies such as the Rand Report on a Long-Range Forecasting Study.
4
“This is an arduous, complex, long-term struggle which will take dozens of years, perhaps
centuries”. From a Liberation Army Daily editorial, “Hold High the Great Red Banner of Mao
Tse-Tung’s Thinking; Actively Participate in the Great Socialist Cultural Revolution”, translated
in Peking Review, April 29, 1966, 6.
5
As discussed in Gunnar Myrdal’s Beyond the Welfare State, New Haven: Yale University Press,
1960.
12 1 The Study of Conflict and Community in the International System …
support for southern schools?); (b) resigning ourselves to an uneasy isolation from
the famines and misery of countries which don’t reach take-off; salvaging con-
sciences with sporadic technical aid missions which dress the surface wounds of
ailing societies; or (c) scrapping all the warmed-over Victorian images of the world
on which the two previous alternatives are based and taking a hard fresh look at the
situation of developing countries in the late twentieth century.
Taking this fresh look is hampered by the curiously foreshortened historical
perspectives which have nurtured the rise of social science in the West. It is perhaps
not really surprising that a social science born of the industrial revolution failed to
develop a sense of history. It is part of the intellectual heritage of the West to see
continuous change and expanded social awareness as attributes only of developed
societies. Grew/Thrupp (1966), in a recent review of World Handbook of Social
and Political Indicators by (Russet et al.) point out that today’s particular wave of
modernization stems from an eight-centuries-old urbanization process reaching
back to medieval Europe, and that “Today’s modernization is but one of a vast
series of ‘movements’ in human experience which have had disturbing and reor-
ganizing effects”. Among the many good points made in this review of the con-
temporary concept of stages of development is “how unevenly various aspects of
modernization are likely to occur and what remarkable inconsistencies society can
tolerate”. In addition there is the final sharp reminder from history that “processes
of development even in a developing world can be stopped or even reversed”;
therefore the task of framing the social process in developmental stages ought to be
approached rather humbly.
It is possible that unwittingly the growth of some of these societies has been
hampered by a facile assumption that they must recapitulate the development
process of the U.S. The social technology available now makes the early
twentieth-century approaches to public health, education and welfare perfected in
the West outmoded and inappropriate for developing countries. The separate
bureaucracies of school systems, welfare services and health clinics can ill be
afforded by societies which barely have the personnel to administer one of these
bureaucracies effectively. Current pioneering with integrated community services
for all ages and needs, in both communist and noncommunist West, takes place in
total isolation from the needs of developing countries. Because a certain coinci-
dence of technologies which occurred in the modernization of the U.S. has been
confused with immutable stages of development, western advisors to development
administrators in developing countries have ignored the relationship pointed out by
Stinchcombe (1965) between the organizational inventions that can be made at a
particular time in history and the social technology available at the time.
Scientists and educators in developing countries are beginning to evolve their
own image of the future which involves putting together technologies in ways that
do not occur to even the most pioneering of westerners, handicapped by their
dependence on their own past experience. The Citta Scientifica Internazionale
(1965) represents an attempt on the part of innovation-minded leaders in developing
countries to pool their limited technological and research resources to seek
breakthroughs in education for their illiterate masses, scrapping outmoded
1.5 Perspectives for Future Research 13
educational systems which don’t even work well in the industrialized countries for
which they were originally designed. The role of western technical advisors in the
Citta may be very different from the role of technical advisors in national aid
missions treading well-worn grooves in ex-colonial countries.
While things look black enough at this point in world history, the technological
watershed which Keyfitz fears will permanently divide the haves and the have-nots
may conceivably work very differently. The greatest failure may be the failure of
imagination.
There are other aspects of polarization, as Jacobson has pointed out. There is the
bipolarity created by the relative eagerness of many colonial powers to divest
themselves of empires, coupled with the discovery by ex-colonial nations that
formal transfers of sovereignty are a hollow mockery in the absence of physical
resources and skills of social organizations. Can the machinery of international
institutions develop fast enough to deal with the disparate wants and needs of a
community of nations which is formally equalitarian and factually semi-feudalistic?
The position Deutsch takes on this in his paper is not an optimistic one. With
increasing trends toward centralization of control within nations; and increasing
preoccupation with the possibility of some kind of international controls to contain
conflicts between states, he sees increasing burdens being placed on inadequate
control systems. At the same time, he points to the rapidly expanding population of
politically relevant elites around the world whose attitudes and actions have to be
taken into account. It is to be hoped that “national and international instruments of
effective political communication” will be able to absorb this extra load of partic-
ipation. In this crisis of interdependence, Deutsch sees a coalition arising of reli-
gionists, humanists, agnostics and social scientists in an all-out effort to develop the
necessary capabilities for mankind’s survival.
There is mounting evidence for just such a coalition. Angell’s paper documents
one aspect of this, the tremendous growth in transnational participation over the last
decade. However, a major turning point in transnational participation came back in
1900, the date of the fourth Paris Exposition, which was also the occasion of 122
international congresses which spawned innumerable international organizations in
succeeding years. These new associations are developing so rapidly that scholars are
barely able to document their growth, and the study of the dynamics of this new
development remains in the future. The whole process of mobilizing national elites
for international participation and the effects of this activity on levels of civic
competence and participation within national societies needs to be examined, par-
ticularly if there is to be understanding of the dynamics of political socialization in
developing countries. Many case studies of different types of binational communities
such as the one reported by the Useems, of effects on students and businessmen of
study and work abroad (Kelman 1962), and of the effects of these transnational
experiences on political behavior of nationals, need to be undertaken. Alger (1961)
has reported on the effects on national delegates to the UN of daily participation in a
consensus-creating international agency, and Galtung (1965) has written about the
denationalization of the international civil servant. Much more needs to be known
about what is happening when images of national identity undergo change.
14 1 The Study of Conflict and Community in the International System …
6
For example, Anatol Rapoport and associates at the University of Michigan, Harold Guetzkow
and associates at Northwestern University, Robert North and associates at Stanford, and many
others.
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