Professional Documents
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Essential How can you use a sample to gain How can you use a random sample to How can you generate and use random
Question information about a population? make inferences about a population? samples to represent a population?
Objective Students will use a sample to gain Students will use a random sample to Students will generate and use random
information about a population. make inferences about a population. samples to represent a population.
Go online 10.1 i Student Edition 10.2 i Student Edition 10.3 i Student Edition
for all your 10.1 i Teacher Edition 10.2 i Teacher Edition 10.3 i Teacher Edition
module resources
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Print 10.1 Student Edition: Lesson 10.2 Student Edition: Getting Ready 10.3 Student Edition: Lesson
10.2 Student Edition: Lesson
Resources Differentiated Instruction Differentiated Instruction
10.1 Practice and Problem Solving Differentiated Instruction 10.3 Practice and Problem Solving
A/B, C, and D 10.2 Practice and Problem Solving A/B, C, and D
10.1 Reteach A/B, C, and D 10.3 Reteach
10.1 Reading Strategies 10.2 Reteach 10.3 Reading Strategies
10.1 Success for English Learners 10.2 Reading Strategies 10.3 Success for English Learners
10.2 Success for English Learners
Response to
• Prerequisite Skills Activities • Reteach • Reteach
Intervention • Personal Math Trainer • Personal Math Trainer • Personal Math Trainer
• Practice and Problem Solving D
T307A Module 10
Module Pacing Chart
Introduction Instruction Assessment Total
Teacher Notes
and Populations
Random Samples You can solve problems involving
?
LESSON 10.1
ESSENTIAL QUESTION large populations by modeling
Real-World Video
Scientists study animals like dart frogs to learn more
about characteristics such as behavior, diet, and
communication.
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Go digital with your Scan with your smart Interactively explore Get immediate
write-in student phone to jump directly key concepts to see feedback and help as
edition, accessible on to the online edition, how math works. you work through
any device. video tutor, and more. practice sets.
307
Online Teacher Edition Access a full suite of my Smart Planner Easily plan your classes and access all
teaching resources online—plan, present, and manage your resources online.
classes and assignments.
Interactive Whiteboards Engage students with Personal Math Trainer: Online Assessment and
interactive whiteboard‑ready examples and a lesson quiz Intervention Assign automatically graded homework,
for each lesson. quizzes, tests, and intervention activities. Prepare your
students with updated practice tests aligned with
Common Core.
307 Module 10
Are YOU Ready? Are You Ready?
Complete these exercises to review skills you will need Personal Assess Readiness
for this module. Math Trainer Access Are You Ready? assessment online, and
Online
receive instant scoring, feedback, and customized
Solve Proportions my.hrw.com
Assessment and
Intervention
intervention or enrichment.
a ___30
EXAMPLE __=
1 1.5
a × 1.5 = 1 × 30 Write the cross products.
Personal Math Trainer
1.5a=30 Simplify.
1.5a ___
____
1.5
=
30
1.5
Divide both sides by 1.5. Online Assessment and
a=20 Intervention
Solve for x.
5 4
1. __x
16 45 18
= __
_
4
= 1.25 3. ___
2. _5x = _14 2.5 __x 12.5 4. _x = _2
= 3
_
40 10 50 6 9
Additional Resources
Find the Range 24/Mar/2017 NA CC G7
20
7. 97, 106, 99, 97, 115, 95, 108, 100 59
8. 27, 13, 35, 19, 71, 12, 66, 47, 39
1–4 6.RP.3
EXAMPLE 21, 15, 26, 19, 25, 14
The mean is the sum of the 5–8 6.SP.5c
21 + 15 + 26 +19 +25 + 14
mean =_____________________ data items divided by the
120
6
number of items. 9–10 6.SP.5c
= ___
6
= 20
308 Unit 5
CORE
Integrate quantitative or technical information 3. A sample that does not accurately represent the population is a
expressed in words in a text with a version of that biased sample .
information expressed visually (e.g., in a
flowchart, diagram, model, graph, or table).
Active Reading
Additional Resources Tri-Fold Before beginning the module, create a
Differentiated Instruction tri-fold to help you learn the concepts and vocabulary
in this module. Fold the paper into three sections.
• Reading Strategies ELL Label the columns “What I Know,” “What I Need to
Know,” and “What I Learned.” Complete the first
• Interactive multilingual glossary two columns before you read. After studying the
module, complete the third column.
Module 10 309
309 Module 10
MODULE 10
COMMON
CORE 7.SP.2
Use data from a random sample What It Means to You
to draw inferences about a You will use data collected from a random sample to make
population with an unknown inferences about a population.
characteristic of interest.
Generate multiple samples (or UNPACKING EXAMPLE 7.SP.2
simulated samples) of the same Alexi surveys a random sample of 80 students at his school and finds
size to gauge the variation in that 22 of them usually walk to school. There are 1,760 students at the
estimates or predictions. school. Predict the number of students who usually walk to school.
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to see all the
Common Core
Standards
unpacked.
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310 Unit 5
7.SP.1 Understand that statistics can be used to gain information about a population COMMON
CORE
COMMON
CORE
by examining a sample of the population; generalizations about a population
from a sample are valid only if the sample is representative of that population.
Understand that random sampling tends to produce representative samples
and support valid inferences.
7.SP.2 Use data from a random sample to draw inferences about a population with an COMMON
CORE
COMMON
CORE
unknown characteristic of interest. Generate multiple samples (or simulated
samples) of the same size to gauge the variation in estimates or predictions.
Lesson Support
Content Objective Students will learn to use a sample to gain information about a population.
COMMON
CORE Mathematics Standards Professional Development
7.SP.1 U
nderstand that statistics can be used to gain COMMON
CORE Integrate Mathematical Practices MP.6
information about a population by examining a sample
of the population; generalizations about a population This lesson provides an opportunity to address this Mathematical
from a sample are valid only if the sample is Practice standard. It calls for students to explain mathematical
representative of that population. Understand that ideas and arguments using precise mathematical language in
random sampling tends to produce representative written or oral communication. Students use mathematical
samples and support valid inferences. definitions to explain whether a given sample is random or
biased. Then students explain whether survey questions could be
MP.6 Attend to precision. biased based on the language used in the questions.
T311A
professional development
Language Objective Students will explain how to use a sample to gain information about a population.
Expanding
Have students at this level of English proficiency grasp this topic by listing in
their math journals the new vocabulary words and their definitions. Then
help them answer the Your Turn exercise after Example 1.
Bridging
Have students discuss the new vocabulary words and their definitions. Then,
have them work with partners on the Guided Practice exercises.
Building Background
Words such as population, sample, bias, and random may or may not have been introduced to
students in other content areas; however, when learning vocabulary in a new language,
students need many repetitions and supporting context to help them sort out and remember
the math meanings. Point out the math meanings of these words and let students know they
have other meanings as well. Be sure to point out the many charts and graphics that label
examples in the lesson.
Engage
1 Random and Non-Random Sampling
When information is being gathered about a group, the entire group of objects,
?
? ESSENTIAL QUESTION individuals, or events is called the population. A sample is part of the population
that is chosen to represent the entire group. Row
How can you use a sample to gain information
about a population? Sample answer: Select a A vegetable garden has 36 tomato plants arranged in
8 9 13 18 24 15 1
a 6-by-6 array as shown. The number in a given cell
sample that represents the population, and survey tells how many tomatoes are on that plant. 34 42 46 20 13 41 2
the sample using an unbiased question.
The gardener decides to find the average number of
29 21 14 45 27 43 3
Motivate the Lesson tomatoes on the plants based on a randomly chosen
sample, because counting the number of tomatoes on 4
Ask: You wonder what currently popular movie is all of the plants is too time-consuming.
22 45 46 41 22 33
Focus on Critical Thinking B Find the average number of tomatoes on the plants in the first row. 14.5 tomatoes
Students may feel that the actual average of all C Find the average number of tomatoes on 12 randomly selected plants. Answers will vary.
the numbers will give the gardener a better D A representative sample has the same characteristics as the population.
answer. Discuss the differences between having a
In which part, A or B , is the sample more likely representative? Explain.
table of data like the one shown and randomly
Sample answer: The sample from Part A; any plant from
selecting plants from a garden where the number
of tomatoes on each plant is not known. the garden could have been included in the sample.
E The samples in Parts A and C were both chosen randomly, but one is
more likely to be representative. Which one is it? Explain.
Sample answer: The sample from Part C; it includes more
plants so it is more likely to reflect the variety in the garden.
Lesson 10.1 311
311 Lesson 10.1 Leveled QuestionS: AL Approaching Level | OL On Level | BL Beyond Level
EXPLORE ACTIVITY (cont’d)
Reflect Explain
3
1. How do the averages you got with each sampling method compare to the
average for the entire population, which is 28.25? EXAMPLE 1
Sample answer: The average using the first row is farthest from
Connect Vocabulary ELL
28.25. The average for 12 randomly selected plants is closest. Students may use the word random in a nonmath
2. Why might selecting only the plants in the first row not give a close average?
context as a synonym for “unexpected.” Remind
students that random has a very specific
The plants in the first row seem to have fewer tomatoes than the
definition in mathematics, referring to the way in
plants in other rows, so it is not representative of the whole plot. which things are selected for a sample.
EXAMPLE 1
AL DOK 1 Recall Roberto may repeat his survey at a local supermarket or a
local sporting goods store. Which sample is less likely to be
biased? the sample at the supermarket
OL DOK 2 Skills/Concepts Can a sample be random but not be representative of the
entire population? Give an example to justify your answer.
Yes; sample answer: a sample of the opinions of 5 voters
chosen at random from among 100,000 voters is probably
too small to be representative.
BL DOK 3 Strategic Thinking If Roberto used a landline phone directory to survey a
sample population, would this be representative of the
entire population? No; many people only have cell phones,
and using the landline phone directory would exclude
people with only cell phones.
EXAMPLE 2 EXAMPL 2
EXAMPLE COMMON
CORE 7.SP.1
my.hrw.com
ADDITIONAL EXAMPLE 2 In Madison County, residents were surveyed about a new skateboard park.
Local residents were surveyed about adding Determine whether each survey question may be biased. Explain.
stoplights at the corner of Main Street and A Would you like to waste the taxpayers’ money to build a frivolous
Perry Avenue. Determine whether each survey skateboard park?
question may be biased. Explain. This question is biased. It discourages residents from saying yes to a new
skateboard park by implying it is a waste of money.
A Are stoplights needed at the intersection of
does not lead people to give a particular This question is not biased. It does not include an opinion on the
answer. skateboard park.
C Studies have shown that having a safe place to go keeps kids out of trouble.
B Fewer accidents occur at intersections with
Would you like to invest taxpayers’ money to build a skateboard park?
stoplights than at intersections that do not
This question is biased. It leads people to say yes because it mentions
have them. Would you be in favor of having having a safe place for kids to go and to stay out of trouble.
stoplights installed to make the intersection
at Main and Perry safer? Biased; the question
YOUR TURN
encourages people to answer yes to the
Determine whether each question may be biased. Explain.
question by mentioning safety.
Alamy Limited
Interactive Whiteboard
Differentiate Instruction Leveled Questions
Interactive example available online EXAMPLE 2
24/Mar/2017 NA CC G7
AL DOK 1 Recall How can you rephrase the question in Part A so it is not
Digital Teacher Resources biased? Sample answer: Would you like to have the county
Go online to access all your build a skateboard park?
lesson-level resources. OL DOK 2 Skills/Concepts Why could biased questions make survey results misleading?
Differentiated Instruction People being surveyed might be influenced by the bias in
• Reteach the questions to give answers that don’t reflect their actual
my.hrw.com • Reading Strategies
opinions, so the survey might not be truly representative.
• Success for English Learners
• Practice and Problem Solving BL DOK 3 Strategic Thinking Choose a topic and write three survey questions: one
A/B, C, D unbiased, one biased in favor of a positive outcome, and
Math on the Spot Videos one biased against a positive outcome. Sample answer: Do
you want the town to build a new library? Do you want the
town to replace the inadequate library? Do you want the
town to waste money to build a new library?
313 Lesson 10.1 Leveled QuestionS: AL Approaching Level | OL On Level | BL Beyond Level
Guided Practice
COMMON
1. Follow each method described below to collect data to estimate the YOUR TURN CORE MP.6
average shoe size of seventh grade boys. (Explore Activity)
Focus on Communication
Method 1 In Exercise 5, make sure students understand why
A Randomly select 6 seventh grade boys the mention of cats makes the question biased. Be
Random Sample of Seventh
and ask each his shoe size. Record your Grade Male Students sure students understand that unbiased samples
results in a table like the one shown. Student Shoe Size and unbiased questions are both important when
Check students’ work. conducting a survey.
B Find the mean of this data. Mean:
Answers will vary. Elaborate
4
Method 2 Talk About It
A Find the 6 boys in your math class with the largest shoes and ask their Summarize the Lesson
shoe size. Record your results in a table like the one shown in Method 1. Ask: How can you make sure you are
Check students’ work. using unbiased samples and unbiased
Answers will vary. questions when surveying people? To have an
B Find the mean of this data. Mean:
unbiased sample, select people who are unlikely
2. Method 1 produces results that are more / less representative of the
to answer the survey with a certain response. To
write an unbiased question, make sure the words
entire student population because it is a random / biased sample. you choose do not make it more likely that people
(Example 1)
will respond with a certain answer.
3. Method 2 produces results that are more / less representative of the
Guided Practice
entire student population because it is a random / biased sample.
(Example 1) Engage with the Whiteboard
Have students display their data for both
LESSON
Populations and Samples LESSON
Populations and Samples LESSON
Populations and Samples
10-1 10-1 10-1
Reteach Reading Strategies: Compare and Contrast Success for English Learners
To get information about issues, a survey is conducted. Surveys can
Survey topic: number of books read by seventh-graders
be done in two different ways. Problem 1
in Richmond
• Population The entire group is surveyed. You want to know how many hours members of your school track and field
A population is the whole group that is Population: all seventh-graders in • Sample Part of the entire group is surveyed. team train each week during the winter months.
being studied. Richmond
1. Compare the difference between collecting information from the Do you sample a few members of the track team, or do you ask
population and collecting information from a sample. all of the track team athletes?
A sample is a part of the population. Sample: all seventh graders at Jefferson
Middle School _________________________________________________________________________________________
Daily Intervention
determine if passengers on all flights are satisfied. Where do you sample?
Write “unbiased sample” or “biased sample” to describe each Think: Your town, towns within 30
_________________________________________________________________________________________ survey. miles of your town?
3. A survey conducted at an ice cream store asked only mothers
10.1 Homework
2. A newspaper randomly chooses 100 names from its subscriber
their favorite ice cream flavor.
database and then surveys those subscribers to find if they read If there are no cafeterias in your town, how does the restaurant find a
the restaurant reviews. _________________________________________________________________________________________ sample of families who eat at cafeterias?
_________________________________________________________________________________________
4. A reporter asked every tenth person coming out of a theater how 1. In Problem 1, what is the population?
well they liked the movie.
3. The manager of a bookstore sends a survey to 150 customers _________________________________________________________________________________________
who were randomly selected from a customer list. _________________________________________________________________________________________
2. What groups within the track team could you sample for Problem 1?
_________________________________________________________________________________________
5. A survey asked only girls to identify their favorite item on the Explain your choices.
school cafeteria menu.
_________________________________________________________________________________________
Differentiated Instruction.
Also available online.
223 224 225
Original content Copyright © by Houghton Mifflin Harcourt. Additions and changes to the original content are the responsibility of the instructor. Original content Copyright © by Houghton Mifflin Harcourt. Additions and changes to the original content are the responsibility of the instructor. Original content Copyright © by Houghton Mifflin Harcourt. Additions and changes to the original content are the responsibility of the instructor.
223 224 225
Evaluate
5 10.1 Independent Practice Personal
Math Trainer
COMMON
CORE 7.SP.1 6. A school cafeteria is considering new menu 10. To choose a sample for a survey of seventh
options. The manager puts a comment graders, the student council puts pieces
box in the cafeteria where students can of paper with the names of all the seventh
Pressed for Time anonymously submit their choices. Is this graders in a bag, and selects 20 names.
a representative sample? Explain why or
10.1 Differentiated Homework Assignments It is a random sample because all
why not.
AL Approaching Level 6–14 (even) No; The students who choose to seventh graders have an equal
respond may not represent the chance of being selected.
OL On Level 7–15 (odd)
school population. 11. Members of a polling organization survey
BL Beyond Level 6, 9, 12, 15, 16 700 of the 7,453 registered voters in a town
7. Nancy hears a report that the average by randomly choosing names from a list of
For Below Level students, assign Personal Math
price of gasoline is $2.82. She averages the all registered voters. Is their sample likely
Trainer, Daily Intervention 10.1 Homework. prices of stations near her home. She finds to be representative?
the average price of gas to be $3.03. Why
COMMON
Mathematical Practices Exercises Sample answer: Yes; the sample
CORE are the averages different?
Sample answer: Nancy sampled is random.
MP.1 Problem Solving 15
MP.3 Logic 14, 16 only stations near her, not in For 12–13, determine whether each question
may be biased. Explain.
MP.4 Modeling 6–7 other parts of the nation.
12. Joey wants to find out what sport seventh
MP.7 Using Structure 8–13 For 8–10, determine whether each sample is a grade girls like most. He asks girls, “Is
random sample or a biased sample. Explain. basketball your favorite sport?”
8. Carol wants to find out the favorite foods It is biased because basketball is
Focus on Higher Order Thinking of students at her middle school. She asks
mentioned.
© Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Publishing Company
LESSON
Populations and Samples LESSON
Populations and Samples LESSON
Populations and Samples
10-1 10-1 10-1
Practice and Problem Solving: A/B Practice and Problem Solving: C Practice and Problem Solving: D
Name the population and the sample in each exercise. Explain your Answer the questions about each problem. Explain your answers. Identify the population and the sample in each exercise. The first one
answer. 1. A manufacturing plant would like to locate in a town. The plant will is done for you.
1. The number of roadrunners born 2. The cars traveling at 75 kilometers per have openings for 125 new, full-time jobs. However, the plant will have 1. The number of home runs hit during 2. The amount of sap that is collected from
within a 50-mile radius of Lubbock. hour between Beaumont and Lufkin. an impact on the town’s water system and other infrastructure one week in July of the 2014–2015 six sugar maples from a 12-acre forest of
systems. Describe each proposed sampling of the town’s residents as baseball season. sugar maples that are being tapped.
____________________________ ____________________________ random, non-random, biased, or some combination of the three. Justify Population: Population:
your description.
Name the sampling method that will best represent the whole Sample A: Randomly survey residents in each of the town’s 15 voting Home runs hit in 2014–2015.
________________________________________ ____________________________
population in each situation. Explain your answer. precincts.
Sample: Sample:
3. Student satisfaction with the middle school cafeteria.
_________________________________________________________________________________________
Method A: Survey 40 students in two seventh-grade math classes. Home runs hit one week in July.
________________________________________ ____________________________
72 percent are satisfied with the food in the cafeteria. Sample B: Randomly survey all registered voters within the town’s
Method B: Survey 65 students from a list of all students in the school. boundaries without regard to precinct. Identify the best method of getting a random sample in Exercises 3
_________________________________________________________________________________________
Sample B: teachers whose last name begins with “N”
Sample C: every eighth teacher on a list of the school’s teachers
Method C: Telephone 100 randomly-chosen voters who live in the Sample C is the best method of getting a random sample.
_________________________________________________________________________________________
• Standards-Based
town. 54 percent plan to vote for the incumbent mayor.
2. Why is a telephone survey of 250 of a city’s residents based on their
Method D: Telephone 70 people who have lived in the town for more 4. A lawn service wants to find out how satisfied its customers are with its lawn services and
home addresses not necessarily a random sample?
than 25 years. 45 percent plan to vote for the incumbent mayor. pricing.
Sample X: the ten customers who spent the most money with the lawn
Intervention 7.SP.1
_________________________________________________________________________________________
Method _________ best represents the whole population of the town’s service over the past year.
voters. 3. The owner of a scooter-rental business in the city center would like to Sample Y: ten customers who only used the lawn service one time over
know more about his customers’ rental needs before buying more the past year
_________________________________________________________________________________________
scooters. He decides to sample employees in the office buildings near
his business. He also plans to sample residents of nearby apartment Sample Z: ten customers who used the lawn service at any time during
Which of these may be biased samples? Explain your answer. buildings in which some of his renters live. Answer the questions about the past year
5. A town official surveys 50 people in a library to decide if town residents his sampling plans.
_________________________________________________________________________________________
want the library services and facilities expanded. a. Are the scooter-rental owner’s sampling plans random? Explain.
Answer the question.
Differentiated Instruction.
scooter rental with lower daily and mileage rates. Describe any professional sports teams and the possibility of more business
_________________________________________________________________________________________
bias in the questionnaires. development by hotels and restaurants in our town?”
_____________________________________________________________________________________
Applying Proportional
CORE
COMMON
7.RP.3, 7.RP.2
R E A D Y Use proportional relationships
CORE
to solve multistep ratio and
Reasoning
percent problems.
Also 7.RP.2
Reasoning
How can you use proportional reasoning to
solve multistep ratio problems?
COMMON
EXPLORE ACTIVITY
CORE 7.RP.2, 7.RP.3
Engage
1 Proportional Reasoning in Recipes
Melinda uses 3 cups of salt for every 5 cups of flour to make modeling clay. How
?
? ESSENTIAL QUESTION much flour will she use when she uses 30 cups of salt?
A Explain how you know that the dependent variable in the proportional
How can you use proportional reasoning to solve relationship should represent the number of cups of salt.
multistep ratio problems? Sample answer: Be sure
The expression “for every 5 cups of flour” indicates that the
that you understand what are the dependent and
independent quantities. Find the constant of amount of salt depends on the amount of flour.
proportionality, represent the relationship with an
3 cup of salt to 1 cup of flour.
_
equation and/or graph, and use them to help you B The unit rate for the relationship is
5
solve the problem. Check your answers for
reasonableness by confirming that the units make C The graph helps you visualize the relationship. The 3 y 3
triangles represent the fact that for each 1 cup increase 1
sense and observing whether your answer 5
Salt (cups)
3
in the amount of flour, the amount of salt increases 2 1 5
represents a proportional increase or decrease as 1
3
5
it should. by 3 cup. For each triangle, the ratio of the
_ 1
1
3
5
5 1
3
5
x
Explore
2 Reflect
1. Melinda models the situation with the proportion _35 = __
x
. Explain her error.
30
Then show how to use the correct proportion to solve the problem.
Explore activity 3 cups salt 30 cups salt
Both ratios should compare salt to flour: _________ = _________ ;
Talk About It 5 cups flour x cups flour
Check for Understanding use proportional reasoning: 3 × 10 = 30, so 5 × 10 = x, or x = 50.
Ask: How do you use the equation for the
proportional relationship to find the Getting Ready 10.2 316A
amount of salt to use for a given number of cups
of flour? Sample answer: Substitute the number of
cups of flour for x in the equation y = _ 35 x and solve 7_MNLAESE761064_U5M10L2GR.indd 1 17/01/17 3:50 PM
Teacher to teacher OL DOK 2 Skills/Concepts In Part D, how does the context tell you that (0, 0) and 1, __ 35 ( )
Critical Thinking Write the equations on the are on the graph? For 0 cups of flour, she uses 0 cups of salt,
board. Have students determine whether each so (0, 0) is on the graph. The unit rate is _ 35 cup of salt to 1 cup
equation is a proportion. If an equation is not a
proportion, have students revise it so that it is.
( )
of flour, so 1, __
35 is on the graph.
1. ________
4855minutes
miles
2x hours
= _____ miles
55 mi
_____
x mi
= ______
BL DOK 3 Strategic Thinking If Melinda used 4 cups of salt for every 5 cups of flour,
48 min 120 min would the graph in Part D be more or less steep? Why?
$446.25 $446.25 $x
2. ______
35 hours = ______
42 hours
$x
_______
= _______
35 hours 42 hours
Sample answer: more steep; the height of each triangle
16 servings 10.5 servings
would be _45 unit, rather than _ 35 unit.
3. ________
7 gallons
= _________
x gallons
a proportion
316A Getting Ready 10.2 Leveled QuestionS: AL Approaching Level | OL On Level | BL Beyond Level
Practice
1. Celine mixes raisins and peanuts to make a snack. She uses 0.75 cup of raisins Explain
3
for every 0.5 cup of peanuts. Write a proportion and use it to find the number
of cups of raisins she uses if she uses 4.25 cups of peanuts. Engage with the Whiteboard
0.75 cup raisins x cup(s) raisins
____________
0.5 cup peanuts
= _____________
4.25 cups peanuts
; 6.375 cups raisins Display the graph in Part C. Ask some
students to identify the coordinates of the
2. Corey’s salsa recipe calls for 2_21 cups of onions for every 4 pounds of tomatoes. points on the line at the tips of the vertical arrows.
Corey plans to use 10 pounds of tomatoes and wonders how many cups of
( )
Ask other students to interpret the coordinates in
onion he needs.
context. For instance 3, 1 __45 represents Melinda
a. Identify the quantities represented by the dependent and independent
variables in the proportional relationship.
using 1 __45 cup of salt for 3 cups of flour.
dependent: cups of onions; independent: pounds of tomatoes
b. Explain the Error Corey writes the equation y = _85x and finds that he
Elaborate
4
needs 16 cups of onions. Describe and correct his error. Talk About It
The independent variable is the amount of tomatoes, so k should Summarize the Lesson
be _58. The equation should be y = _58x. He needs 6_14 cups of onions. Ask: How can you be sure that you write
an equation for a real-world proportion
problem correctly? Sample answer: Read the
c. Focus on Reasoning Explain why Corey should have known without problem to be sure that you know whether the
calculating that the correct answer could not be 16 cups. quantity you are asked to find is represented by
According to the recipe, the number of cups of onions should be less the dependent or independent variable. Calculate
the constant of proportionality carefully and be
than the number of pounds of tomatoes, but 16 is more than 10.
sure it represents the rate or ratio of the
3. Neal makes a cleaning solution by mixing water and vinegar. He uses 7 cups of dependent quantity to the independent quantity.
water for every 3 cups of vinegar. Write and use an equation to find how many
more cups of vinegar he needs when he uses 7_12 cups of water than when he
Be sure the units match.
uses 4_12 cups of water. Define the variables.
Evaluate
316B Unit 5
LESSON QUIZ
7_MNLAESE761064_U5M10L2GR.indd 2 17/01/17 3:50 PM
1. A recipe calls for 5.5 ounces of fruit juice
concentrate for every 16 ounces of sparkling
water. Write and solve a proportion to find
the number of cups of fruit juice concentrate
you need for 40 ounces of sparkling water.
x
5.5
___
16
= __
40 ; x = 13.75; 13.75 ounces
Lesson Support
Content Objective Students will learn to use a sample to gain information about a population.
COMMON
CORE Mathematics Standards Professional Development
7.SP.2 Use data from a random sample to draw inferences about COMMON
CORE Integrate Mathematical Practices MP.4
a population with an unknown characteristic of interest.
Generate multiple samples (or simulated samples) of the This lesson provides an opportunity to address this Mathematical
same size to gauge the variation in estimates or Practice standard. It calls for students to model with mathematics.
predictions. Students learn to model sets of data using dot plots and box plots,
and then use the representations to make inferences. They learn
7.RP.2c Represent proportional relationships by equations. to represent and solve real-world problems using proportions.
7.SP.1 Understand that statistics can be used to gain
information about a population by examining a sample
of the population; generalizations about a population
from a sample are valid only if the sample is
representative of that population. Understand that
random sampling tends to produce representative
samples and support valid inferences.
MP.4 Model with mathematics.
T317A
professional development
Language Objective Students will summarize how to use a sample to gain information about a population.
Expanding
Have students at this level of English proficiency work in pairs to list the terms in Explore Activity 2
that are used to make inferences. Then have them repeat the steps on paper, marking the lower
and upper quartiles and median.
Bridging
Have students at this level of English proficiency work in pairs to do the Guided Practice exercises
together, discussing and explaining to each other how they got their answers.
To help English learners answer the question in the Math Talk in Explore
Math Talk Activity 2, provide a sentence frame.
I can see ________________________ from a box plot, neither of which is
readily apparent in a dot plot.
STEP 2 The lower and upper quartiles can be calculated by finding the learners. With minimal vocabulary, students can follow the complex concepts in
this lesson.
medians of each “half” of the number line that includes all the
data.
The lower quartile is
the mean of 2 and 2.
0 2 2 3 3 4 5 6 9 The upper quartile is
the mean of 5 and 6. Building Background
inference In this lesson, students are asked to make inferences from a random
Least Greatest
value Lower quartile Median Upper quartile value
sample. This requires a high level of English proficiency. In order to assure that
© Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Publishing Company • Image Credits: Sergey Galushko/
0 2
3
Draw a number line that includes all the data values.
5.5 9
English learners are challenged to make inferences, you may want to form mixed
Plot a point for each of the values found in Step 1. English proficiency level teams to solve problems, and to provide sentence
The median
value and the frames to support student responses.
0 5 10 interquartile
range
STEP 3 Draw a box from the lower to upper quartile. Inside the box, draw
a vertical line through the median. Finally, draw the whiskers by I can infer that most students have at least _____ book(s) in their backpacks.
connecting the least and greatest values to the box.
Math Talk
Reflect Mathematical Practices From the dot plot, I can infer that _____.
What can you see from
4. Draw Conclusions Complete each qualitative inference about the a box plot that is not
From the dot plot, I can infer that _____ because _____.
Alamy
318 Unit 5
Sample
interest ... Also 7.RP.2c,
7.SP.1
EXPLORE ACTIVITY 1
COMMON
CORE 7.SP.2, 7.SP.1
Engage
1
Using Dot Plots to Make Inferences
?
? ESSENTIAL QUESTION After obtaining a random sample of a population, you can make inferences
about the population. Random samples are usually representative and support
How can you use a random sample to make
valid inferences.
inferences about a population? Sample answer:
For a random sample, you can write a proportion Rosee asked students on the lunch line how many books they had in their Sample answer:
that relates the ratio of items in the sample with a backpacks. She recorded the data as a list: 2, 6, 1, 0, 4, 1, 4, 2, 2. Make a dot No, most of the
plot for the books carried by this sample of students.
certain trait to the ratio of items in the population students have
with the same trait. between 1 and
STEP 1 Order the data from least to greatest. Find the least and greatest 4 books, so
values in the data set. some would
Motivate the Lesson
STEP 2 Draw a number line from 0 to 6. Place a dot above each number likely have 3.
Ask: You survey the students in your class about on the number line for each time it appears in the data set.
the number of books they have in their backpacks.
How can you organize the data you collect and Notice that the dot
use it to make inferences? Begin the Explore plot puts the data Math Talk
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 values in order. Mathematical Practices
Activity to find out. No students in Rosee’s
© Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Publishing Company
Explore
2 1. Critical Thinking How are the number of dots you plotted related to
the number of data values?
students at the school?
Explain.
Explore activity 1 They are the same. Each dot represents one data value.
Avoid Common Errors 2. Draw Conclusions Complete each qualitative inference about the population.
at least Sample answers are given.
Students sometimes leave a data value off a dot Most students have 1 book in their backpacks.
plot when the data set is not presented in Most students have fewer than 5 books in their backpacks.
numerical order. Have students cross out each 1 and 4
Most students have between books in their backpacks.
data value after they place the dot on the plot for
that value. Also encourage students to count the 3. Analyze Relationships What could Rosee do to improve the quality of her data?
data values in the set and the dots in their finished Rosee could increase the size of her sample.
dot plot to verify that the totals are the same.
Lesson 10.2 317
317 Lesson 10.2 Leveled QuestionS: AL Approaching Level | OL On Level | BL Beyond Level
EXPLORE ACTIVITY 2
COMMON
CORE 7.SP.2 Explain
3
Using
Math On the SpotBox Plots to Make Inferences
Explore activity 2
Youmy.hrw.com
can also analyze box plots to make inferences about a population.
Connect Vocabulary ELL
The number of pets owned by a random sample of students at Park Make a connection between the word quarter and
Middle school is shown below. Use the data to make a box plot. the vocabulary terms lower quartile and upper
9, 2, 0, 4, 6, 3, 3, 2, 5 quartile. Be sure students realize that the lower
STEP 1 Order the data from least to greatest. Then find the least and
quartile, upper quartile, and median divide the
greatest values, the median, and the lower and upper quartiles. data set into four sections that each contain the
STEP 2 The lower and upper quartiles can be calculated by finding the same number of data values.
medians of each “half” of the number line that includes all the
data. Engage with the Whiteboard
The lower quartile is For Steps 2 and 3, have students determine
the mean of 2 and 2. a scale for the number line, and then plot
0 2 2 3 3 4 5 6 9 The upper quartile is
the mean of 5 and 6. the median and the upper and lower quartiles.
Make sure students only draw vertical lines
through the upper and lower quartiles and
Least Greatest through the median.
value Lower quartile Median Upper quartile value
318 Unit 5
EXPLORE ACTIVITY 2
AL DOK 1 Recall When you make a box plot, why do you order data from
least to greatest first? Sample answer: You need to know the
least and greatest values, and be able to divide the data into
quarters based on the position of the data values along the
number line.
OL DOK 2 Skills/Concepts Use the box plot to estimate the percent of the students
who have 2 or more pets. Explain your reasoning. about
75%; sample answer: The box and the right whisker together
represent about 50% + 25% = 75% of the data.
BL DOK 3 Strategic Thinking Can you infer the mean of a data set from a box plot? Can
you read the mean from the box plot? Explain. No; no; you
have to calculate the mean, and you need all the data
values.
319 Lesson 10.2 Leveled QuestionS: AL Approaching Level | OL On Level | BL Beyond Level
Guided Practice
Patrons in the children’s section of a local branch library were randomly Elaborate
4
selected and asked their ages. The librarian wants to use the data to infer the
ages of all patrons of the children’s section so he can select age appropriate Talk About It
activities. In 3–5, complete each inference. (Explore Activities 1 and 2)
Summarize the Lesson
7, 4, 7, 5, 4, 10, 11, 6, 7, 4
Ask: Can random samples and
1. Make a dot plot of the sample population data.
proportional reasoning be used to
determine precise information about a
population? Explain. No, random samples and
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
proportional reasoning can only be used to make
2. Make a box plot of the sample population data. predictions. While these predictions are likely to
be close to the actual value, it is possible for a
prediction to be inaccurate.
0 5 10 15
3. The most common ages of children that use the library are 4 and 7 .
Guided Practice
4. The range of ages of children that use the library is from 4 to 11 . Engage with the Whiteboard
5. The median age of children that use the library is 6.5 . For Exercise 1, have students decide on an
6. A manufacturer fills an order for 4,200 smart phones. The quality inspector
appropriate scale and then have
selects a random sample of 60 phones and finds that 4 are defective. How volunteers plot the points on the dot plot. For
many smart phones in the order are likely to be defective? (Example 1) Exercise 2, have the class discuss whether using
About 280 smart phones in the order are likely to be defective. the same scale for the box plot will make it easy to
compare both plots. Then have volunteers identify
7. Part of the population of 4,500 elk at a wildlife preserve is infected with
a parasite. A random sample of 50 elk shows that 8 of them are infected. the key values and use them to construct the
How many elk are likely to be infected? (Example 1) various parts of the box plot.
720 elk
Avoid Common Errors
320 Unit 5
LESSON
Making Inferences from a Random Sample LESSON
Making Inferences from a Random Sample LESSON
Making Inferences from a Random Sample
10-2 10-2 10-2
Reteach Reading Strategies: Analyze Information Success for English Learners
Sample data displayed in dot or box plots can provide a variety of
Once a random sample of a population has been selected, it can be
information about the sample itself and also about the population from Problem 1
used to make inferences about the population as a whole. Dot plots of
which it is taken. Birds at the birdbath between 9 A.M. and 10 A.M. on Monday:
the randomly selected data are useful in visualizing trends in a population.
Numerical results about the population can often be obtained from the Example 4 cardinals, 8 chickadees, 3 mockingbirds, and 2 thrashers
random sample using ratios or proportions as these examples show. Make five statements about the sample data shown in the dot plot. Include
one inference that can be made about the population from which the How many birds are at the birdbath between 9 A.M. on Monday and 9 A.M. on
Making inferences from a dot plot sample was taken. Tuesday?
The dot plot shows a random sample of 20 shipments of light bulbs. What will be
the median number of defective light bulbs in a population of 400 shipments? Solution The statements should make Think: One hour on Monday;
use of terms used to describe a 24 hours before Tuesday
distribution of data: median, mode,
number of data points, outliers, range,
skew, etc. The inference about the
general population should be based on Problem 2
the features of the sample that have the
most certainty. Think of a proportion:
Solution In this dot plot, the median number of defective light bulbs is 6. Set up 1. The data is skewed to the left or lower end, of the distribution. If six cardinals visit in one hour, how many will visit in 24 hours?
a proportion to find the median number of defective light bulbs predicted for
400 shipments: 2. The range of the data is 13 – 6 or 7.
Daily Intervention
20 6 4. There are two modes, 7 and 8.
=
400 x 5. Since over half of the data are represented by the eight data points Can this be right?
1 6 representing 7 and 8 otters tagged, this information is probably the
=
10.2 Homework
20 x most reliable to use to make an inference about the entire population of 1. Suppose you have never seen more than nine cardinals at any one
x = 120 otters tagged by the wildlife conservation department. time in the yard near the birdbath. Why would this make you think your
estimate in Problem 2 is too large?
So, 120 defective light bulbs is the median number of defective light bulbs predicted for the Use the box plot to make four statements about the sample data
population. using the terms listed. _________________________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________________________
1. In a random sample, 3 of 400 computer chips are defective. Based on
the sample, how many chips out of 100,000 would you expect to be _________________________________________________________________________________________
defective?
2. How could you get a better estimate of the number of cardinals that
2. In a sample 5 of 800 T-shirts were defective. Based on this sample, in ________________________________ ________________________________ _________________________________________________________________________________________
a production run of 250,000 T-shirts, how many would you expect to
Differentiated Instruction.
be defective? _________________________________________________________________________________________
3. Median, with and without outlier: 4. Population inference:
_________________________________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________ ________________________________
Evaluate
5 10.2 Independent Practice Personal
Math Trainer
COMMON
CORE 7.SP.2, 7.RP.2c, 7.SP.1 9. A manager samples the receipts of every 14. Greta collects the number of miles run
fifth person who goes through the line. each week from a random sample of
Out of 50 people, 4 had a mispriced item. female marathon runners. Her data are
Pressed for Time If 600 people go to this store each day, shown below. She made the qualitative
how many people would you expect to statement, “25% of female marathoners run
10.2 Differentiated Homework Assignments have a mispriced item? 13 or more miles a week.” Is her statement
reasonable? Explain. Data: 13, 14, 18, 13,
AL Approaching Level 9–13, 15, 17, 18 48 people
12, 17, 15, 12, 13, 19, 11, 14, 14, 18, 22, 12
OL On Level 11–18 10. Jerry randomly selects 20 boxes of crayons No. The statement should say
from the shelf and finds 2 boxes with at
BL Beyond Level 12, 14–16, 18–20 least one broken crayon. If the shelf holds that 75% of female marathoners
130 boxes, how many would you expect
For Below Level students, assign Personal Math to have at least one broken crayon?
run 13 or more miles a week.
Trainer, Daily Intervention 10.2 Homework. 13 boxes 15. A random sample of 20 of the 200 students
at Garland Elementary is asked how many
COMMON
CORE Mathematical Practices Exercises 11. A random sample of dogs at different siblings each has. The data are ordered as
animal shelters in a city shows that 12 of shown. Make a dot plot of the data. Then
MP.2 Reasoning 15–16, 20 the 60 dogs are puppies. The city’s animal make a qualitative statement about the
shelters collectively house 1,200 dogs each population. Data: 0, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 2, 2, 2, 2,
MP.3 Logic 13–14, 17 year. About how many dogs in all of the 2, 3, 3, 3, 3, 4, 4, 4, 6
city’s animal shelters are puppies?
MP.4 Modeling 9–12, 19
240 puppies
MP.7 Using Structure 18
12. Part of the population of 10,800 hawks at a
national park are building a nest. A random
Focus on Higher Order Thinking sample of 72 hawks shows that 12 of them
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
are building a nest. Estimate the number of
© Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Publishing Company
Depth of Knowledge Exercises hawks building a nest in the population. Sample answer: Most students at
2 Skills/Concepts 9–12 1,800 hawks Garland have 2 or fewer siblings.
3 Strategic Thinking 13–20 13. In a wildlife preserve, a random sample of the 16. Linda collects a random sample of 12 of
population of 150 raccoons was caught and the 98 Wilderness Club members’ ages. She
weighed. The results, given in pounds, were makes an inference that most wilderness
17, 19, 20, 21, 23, 27, 28, 28, 28 and 32. Jean club members are between 20 and 40 years
made the qualitative statement, “The average old. Describe what a box plot that would
weight of the raccoon population is 25 confirm Linda’s inference should look like.
pounds.” Is her statement reasonable? Explain.
The box plot should show that at
Yes, this seems reasonable
least 50% of the ages are between
because 25 is the median of
20 and 40 years of age.
the data.
LESSON
Making Inferences from a Random Sample LESSON
Making Inferences from a Random Sample LESSON
Making Inferences from a Random Sample
10-2 10-2 10-2
Practice and Problem Solving: A/B Practice and Problem Solving: C Practice and Problem Solving: D
What can you infer about the population from each data set A package-delivery business wants to improve its hourly delivery Answer the questions about the dot plot. The first one is done
represented below? rate. The business collects the data shown from 12 of its delivery for you.
1. 2. staff members on a Wednesday afternoon. 1.
104 °F
a. What was the median high temperature? _____________
b. What high temperatures occurred on more than one day?
________________________________________ ________________________________________
1. Describe the distribution of delivery data in the sample.
102 °F (twice), 104 °F (3 times), and 105 °F (twice)
_____________________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________________________
The box plots show the distribution of grade-level test scores of
20 students in an elementary school. Use the box plots for 2. The number of porpoises observed, in a one-hour period, by a random
2. Draw a box plot of the data on the number line below.
• 10.2 Homework 3. What were the high and low scores 4. The middle fifty percent of students
for the test? scored between what two values? a. What was the median number of porpoises observed?
Intervention 7.SP.2
5. Is 30 a typical test score? If so, explain your reasoning. If not,
what is a typical test score? _____________________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________________________
c. About what percent of the people observed anywhere from 6 to 8
porpoises?
Solve.
3. List possible delivery data for this box plot for 12 delivery staff members. ____________________________________________________________________________________
6. A seventh-grade student chooses a random sample of 50 out of
400 students. He finds that 7 students have traveled outside the _________________________________________________________________________________________
United States. The student claims that over 50 of the 400 students have d. Use the graph to make an accurate observation about the data.
likely traveled outside the United States. Is the student correct? Explain. 4. If the delivery company achieves its improvement goal, by how much
Differentiated Instruction.
year. In a random sample of 400 tokens, 3 have stamping errors. Predict
the total number of coins that will have stamping errors in a year.
_________________________________________________________________________________________
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
19. Make a Conjecture Sammy counted the peanuts in several packages of
roasted peanuts. He found that the bags had 102, 114, 97, 85, 106, 120,
107, and 111 peanuts. Should he make a box plot or dot plot to represent 2. Gerald buys a bag of 7,500 assorted beads
the data? Explain your reasoning. online. A random sample of 150 beads
A box plot; Since every number is different, a dot contains 17 red beads. Predict the number of
plot would only have one dot over each value, which red beads in the bag of assorted beads that
doesn't give much information. The box plot would
Gerald bought. 850 red beads
3. A store manager selects 30 cartons of eggs
show the median, the range, and where data values are
Scientists often use random samples to estimate the size of an animal population. For Interactive Whiteboard
example, to estimate a deer population, scientists capture a random sample of 100 deer, Interactive Lesson quiz available online
tag each deer’s left ear, and then release the deer back into the wild. A month later,
another sample of 50 deer is captured. If 4 deer in this sample have already been tagged,
how large is the deer population? About 1,250 deer; to estimate the size of the
population, write a proportion.
Lesson Support
Content Objective Students will learn to generate and use random samples to represent a population.
COMMON
CORE Mathematics Standards Professional Development
7.SP.2 Use data from a random sample to draw inferences about COMMON
CORE Integrate Mathematical Practices MP.5
a population with an unknown characteristic of interest.
Generate multiple samples (or simulated samples) of the This lesson provides an opportunity to address this Mathematical
same size to gauge the variation in estimates or Practice standard. It calls for students to use appropriate tools
predictions. strategically. Students use graphing calculators to generate
random samples and then make predictions about an entire
MP.5 Use appropriate tools strategically. population. Students also simulate a random selection of
numbers without technology by using numbered pieces of paper
and a paper bag, and use the results to make predictions about a
population.
T323A
professional development
Language Objective Students will demonstrate how to generate and use random samples to represent a population.
Expanding
Working in small groups is an excellent way for English learners to deepen concept knowledge.
Have students list the ways random samples can be generated. Have students of mixed language
proficiency work together.
Bridging
To make sure that the nuances of language have not prevented students from understanding the
concepts, have them discuss how to generate random samples with and without technology.
To help English learners discuss math concepts, provide sentence frames for
Math Talk them when possible.
Building Background
The following words appear throughout the student text, so they may be
familiar to students at the expanding and bridging levels of English proficiency:
infer, predict, guess, conjecture. The challenge for all students, but especially for
English learners, is that there is overlap in the meanings of these words, which
makes it difficult for students to grasp the differences among them. Words like
these with similar meanings are called synonyms. Have English learners add
these words to their word journals.
Engage
1 Generating a Random Sample
?
Using Technology
? ESSENTIAL QUESTION In an earlier lesson, you generated random samples by rolling number
How can you generate and use random samples cubes. You can also generate random samples by using technology.
In Explore Activity 1, you will generate samples using a graphing
to represent a population? Sample answer: calculator.
Generate random samples using a calculator or
other technique for producing random numbers. Each of the 200 students in a school will have a chance to vote on
Use random samples as representative one of two names, Tigers or Bears, for the school’s athletic teams. A
group of students decides to select a random sample of 20 students
populations to make predictions. and ask them for which name they intend to vote. How can the group
choose a random sample to represent the entire population of 200 students?
Motivating the Lesson A One way to identify a random sample is to use a graphing calculator to
Ask: A class of 30 students is assigned a writing generate random integers.
project. How can the teacher pick five students at © Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Publishing Company • Image Credits: ©Richard To simulate choosing 20 students at random from among 200 students:
random to give their reports first, if each student is
• Press , scroll right and select PRB, then select 5: randInt(.
to have the same likelihood of being chosen?
MATH
( 1
43
Explore
2
In this specific case, the students will enter randInt , 200 ) 93
75
178
because there are 200 students in school.
Explore activity 1 20 20
Bingham II/Alamy Images
The group gets a list of all the students in the school and assigns a number
Focus on Communication to each one. The group surveys the students with the given numbers.
Students may expect a series of random numbers to
be somewhat evenly distributed or to not include Of the 20 students surveyed, 9 chose Tigers. The percent choosing
the lower or upper limit of the range (1 or 200 in this Tigers was 45% . What might the group infer?
case). Students should understand that randomly The group might infer that the name Bears will probably
generated numbers may or may not be distributed
win, or that both names are almost equally likely to win.
evenly within the given range, can repeat, and can
include any number in the given range.
Lesson 10.3 323
Focus on Technology
Another possible syntax for the randInt command 7_MNLAESE761064_U5M10L3.indd 323 25/01/17 4:04 AM
is randInt (x, y, z), where x is the smallest value, y is Differentiate Instruction Leveled Questions
the largest value, and z is the number of random
integers generated. Explore Activity 1
AL DOK 1 Recall How many integers do you need to represent the sample
Avoid Common Errors
for the situation? 20 integers
Several graphing calculator functions have similar
names to the randInt function. Students must OL DOK 2 Skills/Concepts When a calculator generates random numbers, can the
choose the randInt function to produce a usable same number appear more than once? Explain. Yes; every
random sample. number in the selected range of values has the same
chance of appearing every time a number is generated.
BL DOK 3 Strategic Thinking Is it likely that each student in a class of 25 would get the
same percent choosing “Tigers” from their simulations? Why
or why not? No; sample answer: It is likely that the students
would generate different numbers and survey different
students. There would be overlap, but not enough to
produce the same percentages for the 25 different
simulations.
323 Lesson 10.3 Leveled QuestionS: AL Approaching Level | OL On Level | BL Beyond Level
EXPLORE ACTIVITY 1 (cont’d)
B
You can simulate multiple random samples to see how much statistical
measures vary for different samples of size 20.
Focus on Critical Thinking
Students may feel that a larger sample will always
Assume that the 200 students are evenly divided among those voting
for Tigers and those voting for Bears. You can generate random
give more accurate results than a smaller sample.
numbers and let each number represent a vote. Let numbers from 1 to Discuss with students how a larger sample is more
100 represent votes for Tigers, and numbers from 101 to 200 represent likely to be representative of the population than
votes for Bears. For each simulated sample, use randInt(1, 200) and
generate 20 numbers.
a smaller sample, but there will still be cases
where a smaller sample can produce the more
Perform the simulation 10 times and record how many numbers from
1 to 100 are generated. How many of the samples indicated that there
accurate results.
were 9 or fewer votes for Tigers?
Check students’ results.
Combine your results with those of your classmates. Make a dot plot
showing the number of numbers from 1 to 100 generated in each
simulation.
Check students’ results.
Reflect
1. Communicate Mathematical Reasoning Assume that it was accurate
to say that the 200 students are evenly divided among those voting for
Tigers and those voting for Bears. Based on your results, does it seem likely
that in a sample of size 20, there would be 9 or fewer votes for Tigers?
Check students’ results.
2. Make a Prediction Based on your answers, do you think it is likely
that Tigers will win? Explain.
Check students’ results.
3. Multiple Representations Suppose you wanted to simulate a
324 Unit 5
Explain
3
Generating a Random Sample
Explore activity 2
without Technology
Focus on Communication A tree farm has a 100 acre square field arranged in a 10-by-10
The randomness of the sample is dependent on array. The farmer wants to know the average number of trees per
acre. Each cell in the table represents an acre. The number in each
using objects that can easily simulate randomness. cell represents the number of trees on that acre.
A flipped coin results in unpredictable movement
when it lands, but a heavier object might not. 22 24 27 29 31 24 27 29 30 25
Discuss with students what objects seem likely to
37 22 60 53 62 42 64 53 41 62
produce a random sample.
61 54 57 34 44 66 39 60 65 40
Engage with the Whiteboard
45 33 64 36 33 51 62 66 42 42
Before performing the experiment, have a
student circle 10 numbers in the array, 37 34 57 33 47 43 66 33 61 66
attempting to choose cells at random. Compare
66 45 46 67 60 59 51 46 67 48
the outcome of the experiment to the student’s
circled numbers. Discuss whether the student’s 53 46 35 35 55 56 61 46 38 64
selection seems random compared to the actually 55 51 54 62 55 58 51 45 41 53
random selection. How are they different?
61 38 48 48 43 59 64 48 49 47
Go online to access all your The farmer decides to choose a random sample of 10 of the acres.
lesson-level resources. A To simulate the random selection, number the table columns 1–10 from left to right,
Differentiated Instruction and the rows 1–10 from top to bottom. Write the numbers 1–10 on identical pieces of
paper. Place the pieces into a bag. Draw one at random, replace it, and draw another.
• Reteach Let the first number represent a table column, and the second represent a row. For
my.hrw.com • Reading Strategies instance, a draw of 2 and then 3 represents the cell in the second column and third
• Success for English Learners row of the table, an acre containing 54 trees. Repeat this process 9 more times.
• Practice and Problem Solving B Based on your sample, predict the average number of trees per acre. How does your
A/B, C, D answer compare with the actual mean number, 48.4?
Getty Images
Math on the Spot Videos Check students’ answers. They may not be very close to the
actual mean because the sample was so small.
C Compare your answer to B with several of your classmates’ answers. Do they vary
a lot? Is it likely that you can make a valid prediction about the average number of
trees per acre? Explain.
Check students’ answers.
325 Lesson 10.3 Leveled QuestionS: AL Approaching Level | OL On Level | BL Beyond Level
EXPLORE ACTIVITY 2 (cont’d)
Reflect
4. Communicate Mathematical Ideas Suppose that you use the method
Elaborate
4
in to collect a random sample of 25 acres. Do you think any resulting
A
Talk About It
prediction would be more or less reliable than your original one? Explain.
Sample answer: More reliable; the larger sample should be Summarize the Lesson
Ask: Compare and contrast generating a
more representative of the population.
random sample using a calculator, and
5. Multiple Representations How could you use technology to select the generating a random sample by performing an
acres for your sample? experiment. With both methods, it is important to
Number the acres in the grid from 1 to 100. Use the formula randInt (1, 100) select a large enough sample to accurately
to generate numbers. Sample the acres with those numbers.
represent the population. When generating a
random sample by performing an experiment, it is
important to make sure the experiment involves
random selection.
Guided Practice Guided Practice
A manufacturer gets a shipment of 600 batteries of which 50 are defective. Engage with the Whiteboard
The store manager wants to be able to test random samples in future
shipments. She tests a random sample of 20 batteries in this shipment to For Exercises 2–3, have a volunteer generate
see whether a sample of that size produces a reasonable inference about a list of 20 random numbers and write them
the entire shipment. (Explore Activities 1 and 2) on the whiteboard. Have another student analyze
1. The manager selects a random sample using the formula the list. Is the sample reasonable in this case?
randInt ( 1 20 )
, 600 to generate random numbers.
Avoid Common Errors
50
2. She lets numbers from 1 to represent defective batteries, and
Exercise 2 Encourage students to go through the
51 600
to represent working batteries. She generates this list: 120, list carefully and circle the numbers that represent
?
? ESSENTIAL QUESTION CHECK-IN
326 Unit 5
LESSON
Generating Random Samples LESSON
Generating Random Samples LESSON
Generating Random Samples
10-3 10-3 10-3
Reteach Reading Strategies: Read a Table Success for English Learners
When you are generating or reading about random samples, you will often
A random sample of equally-likely events can be generated with
find the details about the sampling and its results in a table. This lesson Problem 1
random-number programs on computers or by reading random
presents two different uses of tables for random sampling. How many free throws are made out of 10 attempts by each eighth-grade
numbers from random-number tables in mathematics textbooks that
are used in the study of statistics and probability. Random Sampling Results physical education class team?
In your math class, random samples can be modeled using coins or This type of table simply presents the sampling categories and the results “Good” free throws by eighth-grade teams:
number cubes. For example, consider the random sample that consists of a random sampling activity.
of the sum of the numbers on two number cubes. 5 1 10 9 5 1 9
Rose bushes, 1st sample 24 9 9 4 8 8 9 1
Example 1 Solution Rose bushes, 2nd sample 15 7 10 7 9 7 4 1
Generate 10 random samples of the sum Rolling the number cubes gives these Rose bushes, 3rd sample 20 4 1 5 6 2 4 3
of the numbers on the faces of two number random samples:
Rose bushes, 4th sample 11 4 6 6 5 4 7 2
cubes. 2, 6, 6, 4, 3, 11, 11, 8, 7, and 10
Rose bushes, 5th sample 23 6 3 9 9 5 4 2
Example 2 Solution Random Sampling Grid
What are the different possible outcomes from List the outcomes as ordered pairs: The random sampling grid is used as a means of generating random
rolling the two number cubes in Example 1? (1, 1), (1, 2), (1, 3), (1, 4), (1, 5), (1, 6), samples from a population. This grid shows a professional golfer’s scores
Write the outcomes as sums. (2, 1), (2, 2), (2, 3), (2, 4), (2, 5), (2, 6), Label the teams
on each hole after playing 36 holes or two rounds of golf. A random Find 3 random samples.
________________________________________
the expected results?
________________________________________
________________________________________ ________________________________________ Differentiated Instruction.
________________________________________ ________________________________________
Evaluate
5 10.3 Independent Practice Personal
Math Trainer
COMMON
CORE 7.SP.2 Maureen owns three bagel shops. Each shop sells 500 bagels per day.
Maureen asks her store managers to use a random sample to see how many
whole-wheat bagels are sold at each store each day. The results are shown
Pressed for Time in the table. Use the table for 5–7.
In the sample, how many of the shirts are below quality standards? 2
If someone used the sample to predict the number of below standard
shirts in the shipment, how far off would the prediction be?
The prediction would be that 100 of the shirts are below-
standard. That is 1_13 times the actual count of 75.
LESSON
Generating Random Samples LESSON
Generating Random Samples LESSON
Generating Random Samples
10-3 10-3 10-3
Practice and Problem Solving: A/B Practice and Problem Solving: C Practice and Problem Solving: D
Use the description below to complete Exercises 1–3. Use the situation below to complete Exercises 1–3. Answer the questions below. Part of the first one is done for you.
In a set of 1,000 integers from 1 to 1,000, an integer chosen at random on A national conservation organization plans to award grants to fish 1. A rancher’s herd of 250 cattle grazes over a 40-acre
a single trial should be an integer from 1 to 25 about 25 out of every 1,000 hatcheries that produce populations of 1,000 or more individuals of pasture. He would like to find out how many cattle are Sample 1 4
trials, or one out of every 40 integers selected. endangered species during a seasonal breeding period. The number grazing on each acre of the pasture at any given time,
so he has some images of the pasture taken by the state Sample 2 1
of fish born at each of the hatcheries that enter the grant competition is
1. A sample of 5 integers selected is shown. Does this Trial 1 406 12,000 fish. Three hatcheries sampled broods of 240 new-born fish and department of agriculture’s aerial photography division. Here Sample 3 9
sample represent the general rule for picking an reported these results of the number of endangered species born. are the number of cattle found in three one-acre sections.
integer from 1 to 25 in the population of integers from Trial 2 734
a. What can the rancher conclude from these samples about how
1 to 1,000? Explain. Trial 3 44 Hatchery A Hatchery B Hatchery C many cattle graze on each acre of the 40-acre pasture?
________________________________________ Trial 4 340 Sample 1 3 Sample 1 10 Sample 1 4 Sample answer: There could be as few as one or as many as 9 cattle
_____________________________________________________________________________________
Trial 5 996 Sample 2 19
2. How many integers between 1 and 25 would you Sample 2 12 Sample 2 3 grazing on an acre, or an average of about 5 cattle grazing per acre.
_____________________________________________________________________________________
expect to appear in a sample of 80 trials? Explain. Sample 3 2 Sample 3 9 Sample 3 1
c. Why could the sample collected above differ from the number you
would expect on each acre of pasture land?
• Standards-Based
_________________________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________
3. What would be a reasonable guess for the number of endangered
Use the description below to complete Exercises 4–5. individuals in the whole population of each hatchery? Show the _____________________________________________________________________________________
Intervention 7.SP.2
A manufacturer of flea collars for animals that weigh less than 5 kilograms calculations that support your answers.
2. The manager of a warehouse would like to know how many errors are
injects the collars with 15 milligrams of a biocide that only acts on fleas. made when a product’s serial number is read by a bar-code reader.
_________________________________________________________________________________________
The manufacturer will release a collar that has no less than 14 milligrams Six samples of 1,000 scans each are collected. The number of
and no more than 16 milligrams of insecticide. The following list shows the scanning errors in each sample of 1,000 scans is recorded:
result of sampling 36 collars from an actual production run of 720 collars. Solve.
36, 14, 21, 39, 11, and 2 errors
4. The six-by-six grid shows 36 consecutive
17, 14, 14, 16, 14, 15, 15, 15, 16, 14, 16, 14, 15, 15, 15, 16, 13, 13, 30 17 20 24 23 30 a. Find the mean and the median number of errors per 1,000 scans
nightly samples of the sky and the number
13, 13, 13, 14, 14, 13, 17, 14, 15, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 14, 17, 14, 15 of galaxies that can be seen on each night 16 27 13 3 30 25 based on these six samples.
4. How many flea collars out of a production run of 720 collars would be with a small refracting telescope. 3 25 16 28 9 11
2 6 29 27 1 27 _____________________________________________________________________________________
Differentiated Instruction.
_______________________________________________________________________
have too much biocide and could not be shipped? Explain your
reasoning. b. Find the mean and the median number of errors based on all 12
samples. How do your answers compare to your answers in part a?
Ready to Go On?
Assess Mastery
Ready Personal
Math Trainer
Access Ready to Go On? assessment online, and 5.1
10.1 Percent Increase and Decrease
Populations and Samples Online Assessment
and Intervention
5% less
12.
4. Can
Thethe
Humanufacturer
family goes out for lunch,
assume and the price
the prediction of the
is valid? meal is $45.
Explain.
No; The
thesales tax on the meal is 6%, and the family also leaves a 20%
sample is too small compared to the size of the shipment.
$56.70
tip on the pre-tax amount. What is the total cost of the meal?
? ESSENTIAL QUESTION
ESSENTIAL QUESTION
5. How
13. Givecan youexamples
three use random samples
of how to solve
percents real-world
are used in theproblems?
real-world. Tell
whether each
Sample situation
answer: Yourepresents
can makea percent increase or
predictions a percent
about
decrease.
populations that are
Sample answer: too
sales large
tax: to survey.
increase; discount: decrease;
tip: increase
Module
Module10
5 159
329
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Lesson Exercises Content Focus Personal Math Trainer Review with Differentiated Instruction
10.1 1 Populations and Samples 7.SP.1 10.1 Reteach
10.1 Reading Strategies
10.1 Success for English Learners
10.2 2 Making Inferences from a Random 7.SP.2 10.2 Reteach
Sample 10.2 Reading Strategies
10.2 Success for English Learners
10.3 3–4 Generating Random Samples 7.SP.2 10.3 Reteach
10.3 Reading Strategies
10.3 Success for English Learners
Selected Response 4.
7. Which
Dustin of the following
makes is a random
$2,330 each month and sample? Assessment Readiness Tip
pays $840 for rent. To the nearest tenth Students can use estimation to eliminate answer
1. A farmerwalks
Zalmon _3 ofa arandom
is using 3
__
mile in sample
of anto
hour. A A radio DJ asks the first 10 listeners
predict
4 10 of a percent, what percent of Dustin’s
who call in if they liked the last song. choices.
What is the number
his speed in of broken
miles per eggs
hour?in a earnings are spent on rent?
shipment of 3,000 eggs. Using a calculator,
A 0.225 miles per hour
B 20 customers at a chicken restaurant • Item 2 24 is a little less than half of 60, so the
the farmer generates the following random A 84.0% C 56.4%
numbers. Theper
B 2.3 miles numbers
hour 1–250 represent
are surveyed on their favorite food. answer should be a little less than half of 490.
B 63.9% D 36.1%
broken eggs.
C 2.5 miles per hour
C A polling organization numbers all Choice A is too small, choice C is exactly half of
registered voters, at -30 feet.
then generates
8. A scuba diver is positioned 490, and choice D is too large. The correct answer
477 2,116per1,044
D 2.6 miles hour 81 619 755 How800manyrandom integers.
feet will Theto
she have polling
rise to
2,704 900 238 1,672 187 1,509 organization
change to -12 the
interviews
her position 800 voters
feet? choice is B.
2. Find the percent change from 70 to 56.
Based on this sample, how many broken assigned those numbers.
A -42 ft C 18 ft • Item 3 The price of the sneakers has decreased
A 20% decrease 25% decrease
C expect?
eggs might the farmer D Rebecca used an email poll to survey
B -18 ft D 42 ft by $20. Because the original price is less than
B 20% increase D 25% increase 100 students about how often they use
A 250 broken eggs $100, the percent decrease must be greater than
9. A bank
the offers
internet.
an annual simple interest
3. The
B 375 broken eggs year was 10.2 inches,
rainfall total this
rate of 8% on home improvement loans. 20%, so choice A can be eliminated. Also, $20 is
which is 20% less than last year’s rainfall
C 750 broken eggs
total. What was last year’s rainfall total? Mini-Task
Tobias borrowed $17,000 over a period much less than half of the original price, so
D 900 broken eggs
of 2 years. How much did he repay choice D can be eliminated.
A 8.16 inches C 12.75 inches 5. Each cell in the table represents the
altogether?
2. ABmiddle number of people who work in one
12.24school
incheshas 490 students. Mae
D 20.4 inches A $1,360
25-square-block C $18,360
section of the town of Avoid Common Errors
surveys a random sample of 60 students and
Middleton.
B $2,720 The mayorDuses a random
4. finds
A pairthat 24 of themshoes
of basketball have pet
wasdogs. How
originally $19,720
sample to estimate the average number
• Item 4 Students may choose answer choice D
many
pricedstudents are likely
at $80, but to have up
was marked pet37.5%.
dogs?
What was the retail price of the shoes? of workers per block. because it has a large number of people, but
A 98 Mini-Task surveying by email about using the Internet
A $50 C $110
B 196 10. The47granola61
Summer 56buys used
48 to cost
56
would be biased. The correct answer choice is C
$83
CB 245 D $130 $6.00
60 per pound, but
63it has been
60 marked
up 15%.
39 46 because they are choosing randomly from a very
Company
Publishing Company
5. The sales tax rate in Jan’s town is 7.5%.
D 294
51 58 49 63 45 large pool of people.
If she buys 3 lamps for $23.59 each and a. How much did it cost Summer to buy
3. A
Harcourt Publishing
pair of
forshoes that how
normally costs $75 is on
Common Core Standards
a sofa $769.99, much sales tax 55
2.6 pounds 50
58 of granola at43
the old48
price?
sale
doesfor $55.
she What is the percent decrease in
owe?
the price, to the nearest whole percent? 62 53 $15.60
44 66 55
Mifflin Harcourt
A $58.85 C $67.26
A 20%
b. Grade 7 Mathematical
Houghton Mifflin
Howcircled
muchnumbers
does it cost her to buy
the 2.6
B $63.06 D $71.46 a. The represent Items
B 27% pounds random
mayor’s of granola at theWhat
sample. new price?
is Standards Practices
6. The day after a national holiday, © Houghton
C 36% the mean number $17.94
of workers in this
decorations were marked down 40%. sample? 1 7.SP.2 MP.4
©
D 73%
Before the holiday, a patriotic banner cost c. Suppose Summer buys 3.5 pounds of
$5.75. How much did the banner cost after 54 2 7.SP.2 MP.4
granola. How much more does it cost
the holiday? at the new
b. Predict price than
the number of at the oldinprice?
workers the 3* 7.RP.3 MP.4
A $1.15 C $3.45 $3.15of Middleton.
entire 25-block section
4 7.SP.1 MP.6
B $2.30 D $8.05 1,350 workers
5 7.SP.2 MP.4
160
330 Unit 5
2 * Item integrates mixed review concepts from previous
modules or a previous course.
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DIFFERENTIATE ASSESSMENT
Below Level Module Quiz 10: D
Name ________________________________________ Date __________________ Class __________________
On Level Module Quiz 10: B
Name ________________________________________ Date __________________ Class __________________
MODULE
Random Samples and Populations MODULE
Random Samples and Populations
10 10
Module Quiz: D Module Quiz: B
1. In a sample for a survey, each person 6. A small town has about 5,000 people. A 1. Which of these statements best describes 5. Use the data to estimate the weight of all
has the same chance of being chosen. random sample of 100 people finds that a biased sample? 90 boxes.
What kind of sample is it? 25 are in favor of a new park. Estimate A It is very small. A 2,000 oz C 3,000 oz
A biased the total number out of 5,000 who are in
favor of the park. B It is not randomly chosen. B 2,500 oz D 3,500 oz
B random C It results in incorrect predictions. 6. A town has 35,000 registered voters. A
A 250 people
C population D It does not accurately represent the random sample of 500 voters finds that
B 1,250 people 125 are in favor of a new dog park. How
2. A survey is taken to find out if people in a population.
town want a new bike path. Which is the C 2,500 people many are likely to vote for the dog park?
2. In a survey about new bike paths, which
best group to sample? 7. Which could be the shape of a cross group is least likely to be a biased A 25 C 2,625
A randomly chosen dog-walkers section of a cube? sample? B 125 D 8,750
B randomly chosen gym member A square A randomly chosen voters 7. Which could be the shape of a cross
C randomly chosen shoppers at a mall B oval B randomly chosen drivers section of a cone?
3. There are 90 boxes to be shipped. The C circle C randomly chosen dog-walkers A triangle C pentagon
Personal Math
shipping clerk takes a sample of 9 boxes D randomly chosen gym members B rectangle D square
to estimate the total weight. Use the information below for 8–9.
The dot plot below shows the weights On Monday, a baker made 500 loaves of Use the information below for 8–9.
Use the dot plot for 3–5.
of the sample. bread and 50 were burned. The baker
Trainer
A baker produces 500 loaves a day. On
uses a random sample to simulate 10 Monday, 50 loaves did not meet quality
loaves to inspect on Tuesday. The standards. The baker generates a
integers 1 to 50 represent burned loaves. random sample to simulate 10 loaves to
What is the median weight in the sample?
A 26 oz
351
121
207
47
148
205
8. How many integers in the sample are
428
56
272
4
A shipping manager weighed a random
sample from a shipment of 90 boxes and
made the dot plot above.
inspect on Tuesday. The integers 1 to 50
represent sub-standard loaves.
351 207 148 428 272
Module 10
B 27 oz
Assessment
between 1 and 50? 121 47 205 56 4
3. Which interval of weights has the greatest
C 28 oz A 1 8. Based on this sample, how many loaves
number of boxes?
4. The box plot shows the same data as the B 2 will not meet quality standards on
A 22–25 C 28–30
dot plot above. Tuesday?
Readiness
C 4 B 25–29 D 30–36
A 2 C 100
9. What percentage of loaves are predicted 4. Which box plot shows the same data as
to turn out burned on Tuesday? B 20 D 150
the dot plot?
A 10% 9. What is the difference between the
What is the interquartile range?
number of sub-standard loaves produced
A 4 oz B 20% on Monday and the number predicted to
B 14 oz
C 27 oz
5. Study the box plot in Exercise 4. Use the
C 80%
10. A circle has a radius of 25 meters. What
is its circumference? Use the formula
be sub-standard on Tuesday?
A 10
B 50
C 100
D 200
Pages shown are
from Assessment
C = 2πr.
median to estimate the total weight of all 10. A circle has a diameter of 50 meters.
90 boxes in the shipment. A 50 m What is its circumference? Use 3.14
A 2,000 oz B 157 m for π.
B 2,500 oz
C 3,500 oz
C 314 m A 50 m
B 157 m
C 314 m
D 625 m Resources. Also
Original content Copyright © by Houghton Mifflin Harcourt. Additions and changes to the original content are the responsibility of the instructor.
53–54 53
51–52
Original content Copyright © by Houghton Mifflin Harcourt. Additions and changes to the original content are the responsibility of the instructor.
51
available online.