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(현지정보) 2023년 5월 Fomc 회의결과
(현지정보) 2023년 5월 Fomc 회의결과
3( 수) 현지정보 한국은행
워싱턴주재원
제 목 2023 년 5월 FOMC 회의 결과
Ⅰ. 개 요
□ [정책결정] 5.2~3일 FOMC 회의에서는 정책금리 목표범위를 25bp 인상*
(4.75~5.00% → 5.00~5.25%**)하고, 대차대조표 축소를 이전(2022.5월)에 발표
한 계획대로 계속하기로 결정(만장일치)
* 2022.3 월 이후 10번 연속 인상 : 22.3월 +25bp, 5월 +50bp, 6·7·9·11월 각 +75bp,
12월 +50bp, 23.1월 +25bp, 3월 +25bp
** 2007.8월(5.25%) 이후 최고치(2008.12월부터 정책금리 목표범위를 공표)
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Ⅱ. FOMC 정책결정문
정책금리 결정 배경 (자구 수정)
1.
2. 정책결정 (정책금리 변경 , 자구 수정 )
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o FOMC 는 입수되는 정보를 면밀히 모니터링하고 통화정책에 미치는
영향을 평가할 것임
o <삭제 및 수정 > FOMC는 시간을 두고 인플레이션을 2% 로 되돌리
기에 적절한 추가 긴축의 정도를 결정할 때 통화정책 긴축의 누적,
통화정책이 경제 활동 및 인플레이션에 영향을 미치는 시차, 경제 및
금융 상황을 고려할 것임
* In determining the extent to which additional policy firming may be
appropriate to return inflation to 2 percent over time, the Committee will
take into account the cumulative tightening of monetary policy, the lags with
which monetary policy affects economic activity and inflation, and economic
and financial developments.
(기존 표현 ) The Committee anticipates that some additional policy firming
may be appropriate in order to attain a stance of monetary policy that is
sufficiently restrictive to return inflation to 2 percent over time. In
determining the extent of future increases in the target range, the Committee
will take into account the cumulative tightening of monetary policy, the lags
with which monetary policy affects economic activity and inflation, and
economic and financial developments.
3. 향후 정책방향 (동일 )
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Ⅲ. 파월 의장의 기자 간담회 질의·응답 주요 내용
□ 정책결정문 변경을 FOMC가 6월 회의에서 금리 인상을 중단(pause)할 준비가
되어 있다는 것으로 해석해야 하는지?
→ 오늘 FOMC의 결정은 정책금리를 25bp 인상하는 것이었으며 금리 인상 중
단에 대한 결정은 이루어지지 않았음
3월 정책결정문에 담겼던 “일부 추가 긴축이 적절할 것으로 예상*”한다는 문
구를 삭제하고, “어느정도의 추가 긴축이 적정한지를 결정함에 있어**” 특정
요인들을 고려할 것이라는 표현으로 수정하였음
* The Committee anticipates that some additional policy firming may be appropriate..
** In determining the extent to which additional policy firming may be appropriate..
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직전 및 금번 FOMC 정책결정문(Statement) 비교
직전 2023.3월(3.22일) 금번 2023.5월(5.3일)
Recent indicators point to modest growth in Economic activity expanded at a modest pace
spending and production. Job gains have in the first quarter. Job gains have been
picked up in recent months and are running robust in recent months, and the
at a robust pace; the unemployment rate has unemployment rate has remained low.
remained low. Inflation remains elevated. Inflation remains elevated.
The U.S. banking system is sound and The U.S. banking system is sound and
resilient. Recent developments are likely to resilient. Tighter credit conditions for
result in tighter credit conditions for households and businesses are likely to weigh
households and businesses and to weigh on on economic activity, hiring, and inflation.
economic activity, hiring, and inflation. The The extent of these effects remains uncertain.
extent of these effects is uncertain. The The Committee remains highly attentive to
Committee remains highly attentive to inflation risks.
inflation risks.
The Committee seeks to achieve maximum The Committee seeks to achieve maximum
employment and inflation at the rate of 2 employment and inflation at the rate of 2
percent over the longer run. In support of percent over the longer run. In support of
these goals, the Committee decided to raise these goals, the Committee decided to raise
the target range for the federal funds rate to the target range for the federal funds rate to
4-3/4 to 5 percent. The Committee will 5 to 5-1/4 percent. The Committee will
closely monitor incoming information and closely monitor incoming information and
assess the implications for monetary policy. assess the implications for monetary policy.
The Committee anticipates that some In determining the extent to which additional
additional policy firming may be appropriate policy firming may be appropriate to return
in order to attain a stance of monetary policy inflation to 2 percent over time, the
that is sufficiently restrictive to return Committee will take into account the
inflation to 2 percent over time. In cumulative tightening of monetary policy, the
determining the extent of future increases in lags with which monetary policy affects
the target range, the Committee will take into economic activity and inflation, and economic
account the cumulative tightening of monetary and financial developments. In addition, the
policy, the lags with which monetary policy Committee will continue reducing its holdings
affects economic activity and inflation, and of Treasury securities and agency debt and
economic and financial developments. In agency mortgage-backed securities, as
addition, the Committee will continue described in its previously announced plans.
reducing its holdings of Treasury securities The Committee is strongly committed to
and agency debt and agency mortgage-backed returning inflation to its 2 percent objective.
securities, as described in its previously
announced plans. The Committee is strongly
committed to returning inflation to its 2
percent objective.
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직전 2023.3월(3.22일) 금번 2023.5월(5.3일)
In assessing the appropriate stance of In assessing the appropriate stance of
monetary policy, the Committee will continue monetary policy, the Committee will continue
to monitor the implications of incoming to monitor the implications of incoming
information for the economic outlook. The information for the economic outlook. The
Committee would be prepared to adjust the Committee would be prepared to adjust the
stance of monetary policy as appropriate if stance of monetary policy as appropriate if
risks emerge that could impede the attainment risks emerge that could impede the attainment
of the Committee's goals. The Committee's of the Committee's goals. The Committee's
assessments will take into account a wide assessments will take into account a wide
range of information, including readings on range of information, including readings on
labor market conditions, inflation pressures labor market conditions, inflation pressures
and inflation expectations, and financial and and inflation expectations, and financial and
international developments. international developments.
Voting for the monetary policy action were Voting for the monetary policy action were
Jerome H. Powell, Chair; John C. Williams, Jerome H. Powell, Chair; John C. Williams,
Vice Chair; Michael S. Barr; Michelle W. Vice Chair; Michael S. Barr; Michelle W.
Bowman; Lisa D. Cook; Austan D. Goolsbee; Bowman; Lisa D. Cook; Austan D. Goolsbee;
Patrick Harker; Philip N. Jefferson; Neel Patrick Harker; Philip N. Jefferson; Neel
Kashkari; Lorie K. Logan; and Christopher J. Kashkari; Lorie K. Logan; and Christopher J.
Waller. Waller.
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