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Adjusting to a World in Motion
International Policy Exchange Series
Published in collaboration with the Center for International Policy Exchanges
University of Maryland
Series Editors
Douglas J. Besharov
Neil Gilbert
United in Diversity?
Comparing Social Models in Europe and America
Edited by Jens Alber and Neil Gilbert
Edited by
DOUGLAS J. BESHAROV
MARK H. LOPEZ
1
1
Oxford University Press is a department of the University of
Oxford. It furthers the University’s objective of excellence in research,
scholarship, and education by publishing worldwide.
With offices in
Argentina Austria Brazil Chile Czech Republic France Greece
Guatemala Hungary Italy Japan Poland Portugal Singapore
South Korea Switzerland Thailand Turkey Ukraine Vietnam
9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
Printed in the United States of America
on acid-free paper
CON T EN T S
Acknowledgments ix
Contributors xi
1
Introduction: Adjusting to a World in Motion 1
Douglas J. Besharov and Mark H. Lopez
2
Global Desires to Migrate 21
Neli Esipova, Rajesh Srinivasan, and Julie Ray
3
Patterns of Global Migration 58
Ellen L. Berg and Douglas J. Besharov
4
Immigrants in the United States: Many, Diverse, and Growing 81
Eileen Patten
v
vi Contents
5
Declining Mexican Migration to the United States 112
Andrew Selee
6
Educating the Children of Immigrants in the United States 119
Dylan Conger and Rebecca Hinze-Pifer
7
Searching for New Policy Frameworks in the
Wake of the Great Recession 135
Roberto Suro
8
The Evolution of EU Migration Policies: Toward a Balanced,
Comprehensive, and Common Approach? 159
Anja Wiesbrock
9
EU Migration Policies and External Relations 188
Katharina Eisele
10
Citizenship Policies in the European Union 209
Maarten Peter Vink and Gerard-René de Groot
11
Highly Skilled Migration to the European Union and the United States 232
Metka Hercog and Anja Wiesbrock
12
Educational Performance of the Children of Immigrants
in Sixteen OECD Countries 264
Jaap Dronkers and Manon de Heus
Contents vii
13
Middle East Country Migration Policies 291
Binod Khadria
14
Population Imbalance and Immigration as a Public
Policy Problem in the United Arab Emirates 308
Ahmed Mustafa Elhussein Mansour
15
Indian Migration and “Temporary” Labor Programs
in the United States, the United Kingdom, and the Netherlands 329
Mary E. Breeding
16
Diaspora Engagement Policies and the Power of
the Strong State: India and Ethiopia 353
Katie Kuschminder and Metka Hercog
17
Diaspora Engagement Policies after Conflict: Burundi and Rwanda 373
Sonja Fransen and Melissa Siegel
18
Diaspora Engagement Policies of Countries with Similar
Emigration Histories: Morocco and Turkey 390
Özge Bilgili and Silja Weyel
Index 413
ACK NOW L EDGMEN T S
ix
x Acknowledgments
factual errors, and also helped reorganize the volume in accord with reviewer
comments.
Many people worked through the book’s chapters to ensure they were suc-
cinct and formatted to Oxford University Press standards. At the University
of Maryland, Douglas M. Call guided the volume through its final weeks of
preparation with expert editing, copyediting, organization, and an eagle eye
for formatting references. Kimberly Bills managed communications with
authors about final edits, chapter drafts, and summaries of their work. She
did so expertly and promptly, guiding the book to completion. Gregory Basile,
Teyanna Munyan, Shaundra Patterson, Dawy Rkasnuam, and Candice Ward
also assisted with various stages of the editing process. Thanks to them all.
We also thank the staff at the Oxford University Press for their guidance and
patience as this volume came together. Agnes Bannigan was our first editor, and
Dana Bliss guided the project to fruition when she left. Both demonstrated high
levels of wisdom and patience. We also greatly appreciate the work of Dorothy
Bauhoff, who was our OUP copyeditor.
Douglas J. Besharov, Mark H. Lopez, 2015
CON T R IBU T ORS
xi
xii Contributors
INTRODUCTION
Worldwide, more than 215 million people have left the countries of their birth
and have moved elsewhere (World Bank 2011). These migrants make up more
than 3 percent of the world’s population. Another 700 million adults say they
would migrate to another country if they could, according to polls conducted
by Gallup (Esipova and Ray 2009).
Almost all of the world’s nations are either sending or receiving countries, or
both. As of 2010, the world’s top three migrant-sending countries were Mexico
(about 12 million), India (about 11 million), and Russia (about 11 million)
(World Bank 2011). The top regional destinations were North America, Europe,
and the Gulf States, which together contained about 44 percent of the world’s
migrant population (see Table 1.1). The United States, alone, had more than
42 million migrants, making it the world’s top receiving country. As a region,
though, Europe (depending on how defined) had about as many migrants.
Germany, France, Spain, Italy, the Netherlands, and the United Kingdom,
together, had about 38 million migrants in 2010. The Gulf States of Bahrain,
Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates, combined,
had more than 15 million migrants (World Bank 2011).
Public attitudes toward migration differ among receiving countries. In 2011,
for example, a majority of adults in Spain, the United Kingdom, and the United
States told the German Marshall Fund’s (GMF) Transatlantic Trends Survey
1
2 Adjusting to a World in Motion
(2011) that “immigration is more of a problem” than “an opportunity” (p. 5). In
other countries, such as Germany, Italy, and the Netherlands, the GMF survey
found that opinion about migration was split: just about as many adults said
that “immigration is a problem” as said “immigration is an opportunity” (p. 5).
Only among Canadian adults (surveyed through 2010) did the GMF survey find
a majority who see immigration as more of an opportunity (German Marshall
Fund 2010, 4). These differences are likely attributable to a number of factors,
including the receiving country’s social values and economic situation, as well
as the history and characteristics of migration in that country.
Views of migration in sending countries are also mixed. In a 2012 Pew Research
Center’s Global Attitudes Project Center survey, half of Mexican adults (50 percent)
said “people leaving [Mexico] for jobs in other countries” was “a very big prob-
lem” for Mexico (Pew Global Attitudes 2012, 15). The same survey, however, found
other issues were more likely to be rated much higher as “very big problems” (p. 16)
for Mexico: cartel-related violence (according to 75 percent of Mexican adults),
human rights violations by the military and police (74 percent), crime (73 percent),
corrupt political leaders (69 percent), economic problems (68 percent), illegal drugs
(68 percent), terrorism (62 percent), and pollution (58 percent).
With so much international migration, the issue has become one of world-
wide political, economic, social, and diplomatic importance. This volume brings
together a wide range of research on various topics from both academic and
policy perspectives. In addition to examining trends in migration, it explores
the response of major receiving countries to migration flows, as well as how
sending countries have tried to maintain ties with their diaspora populations.
Introduction 3
This volume is divided into five parts. Part I, “A World in Motion,” summa-
rizes key information about the pattern of migration and the causes of migra-
tion around the world. Parts II through IV describe immigration issues in
different regions of the world, including how receiving countries seek to control
entry, while also seeking to attract the highly skilled. Finally, Part V, “Diaspora
Engagement Strategies,” highlights the policies of some sending countries
that are meant to encourage continuing cultural and economic ties with their
diasporas.
PART I
A World in Motion
In Chapter 2, “Global Desires to Migrate,” Gallup researchers Neli Esipova,
Rajesh Srinivasan, and Julie Ray use poll data to estimate the size of the
likely pool of additional migrants and their preferred destinations. The
authors report that in the later part of the last decade, nearly one in seven
(15 percent) adults worldwide (roughly 700 million in total) said that they
would migrate to another country permanently if they had the opportu-
nity to do so. (Their analysis is based on extensive Gallup public opinion
surveys conducted between 2007 and 2010 of more than 350,000 people in
148 countries. Together, these countries contain 95 percent of the world’s
population.)
Gallup asked two questions to measure the intent to migrate. First, respon-
dents were asked, “Ideally, if you had the opportunity, would you like to move
permanently to another country, or would you prefer to continue living in this
country?” Those who said they would like to move were then asked to which
country they would like to move.
Esipova, Srinivasan, and Ray find that the desire to migrate varies across
the world. It was greatest in sub-Saharan Africa, where 36 percent of adult
respondents said they would migrate if given the opportunity. Following were
the Middle East and North Africa, where 21 percent of adults say they would
migrate. Rates were lower in other parts of the world: 19 percent in Europe,
18 percent in the Americas, and 10 percent in Asia.
Among the preferred destination countries named, the United States was
the top desired destination, named by almost one in four potential migrants.
According to these results, 166 million adults want to move to the United States.
After the United States came Canada (7 percent), the United Kingdom (7 per-
cent), and France (6 percent).1 By region, however, Western Europe was the top
desired destination; about 25 percent of potential adult migrants (or 174 mil-
lion) named the United Kingdom, France, Spain, Germany, Italy, or Switzerland
as their preferred destination.
4 Adjusting to a World in Motion
PART II
crossing the border illegally. Third, Mexico’s demographics have been chang-
ing for decades. For example, birth rates in Mexico are now nearly as low as
those in the United States. And the number of Mexicans between the ages of 15
and 29 years is starting to fall—those are key years when immigrants decide to
migrate. Given these changes in flows between the United States and Mexico,
Selee argues that a change in US immigration policy is needed—away from a
focus on keeping unauthorized immigrants out of the United States and toward
a focus on what US legal immigration policy reforms are needed in order to be
internationally competitive.
Education is a key indicator of, and vehicle for, integration for both
first-generation but especially second-generation migrants. In Chapter 6,
“Educating the Children of Immigrants in the United States,” Dylan Conger
of George Washington University and Rebecca Hinze-Pifer of the University
of Chicago provide an overview of research on the education of immigrant
children and a demographic portrait of US-born and foreign-born children
in immigrant families in the United States. Conger and Hinze-Pifer also use
administrative data from the Florida Department of Education to examine 10th
grade math scores of immigrant children and native-born children.
Overall, foreign-born children make up 13 percent of all students in Florida
public schools, about the same share as among all US public school students.
Among Florida’s public school students, immigrant students are more likely
than US-born students to be Hispanic, English-language learners, and to be eli-
gible for a free or reduced-price lunch. They also find relatively higher academic
achievement for foreign-born students compared with US-born, controlling for
relative disadvantage.
Conger and Hinze-Pifer describe a number of policies that directly impact
children in immigrant families. For example, the US federal government’s
Elementary and Secondary Education Act Title III provides funds for the
instruction of English-language learning children. Federal funds are also avail-
able under the Emergency Immigrant Education Act (Title III of the Elementary
and Secondary Education Act) for schools with large numbers of immigrant
children and under the Migrant Education Program for schools with large
numbers of seasonal migrants. In addition, there are a number of state and
local policies that impact immigrant students, often through English-language
instruction. In order to promote the academic success of the US-born and
foreign-born children of immigrant parents, Conger and Hinze-Pifer suggest
expansion of programs that have been found to benefit children from eco-
nomically disadvantaged backgrounds, such as high quality pre-kindergarten
programs.
In Chapter 7, “Searching for New Policy Frameworks in the Wake of the Great
Recession,” Roberto Suro of the University of Southern California notes that US
immigration policy since the 1970s has been characterized by debate about two
elements: control of unauthorized entry at the border, and authorized admission
Introduction 7
of new immigrants through visas. However, control of the border (in light of
a high level of unauthorized immigration across its southern border) has been
the primary—and growing—focus of US policy. That, for example, has meant
bipartisan support in the US Congress for expansion of the US Border Patrol. It
has also meant little to no attention being paid to the integration of immigrants
into society, an element of policy in many European countries. As Suro notes,
European integration policies could impact a new migrant arrival for decades.
He argues that the Great Recession revealed the relative ineffectiveness of US
policy in controlling the flow of unauthorized migrants, and that the ups and
downs of the US labor market have done more to determine the rise and fall of
migrant flows to the United States than control of the country’s borders. Yet, in
the current downturn, many unauthorized migrants have not left the United
States, but rather stayed during the Great Recession despite economic hardships.
One reason for this is that most immigrants move to the United States for fam-
ily reunification purposes, so they are less affected by the economic downturn.
Moreover, US immigration policy itself may have encouraged many
immigrants—whether they came to the United States for family reunification
or employment—to stay in the country, as crossing the border has become more
costly and difficult. Finally, Suro notes in this chapter that the Great Recession
had divergent effects on Mexican migrants already in the United States and on
potential newcomers from Mexico. Mexican migrants who were already in the
United States remained there despite increased unemployment, while potential
migrants in Mexico were significantly deterred from entering the United States
due to the same economic conditions.
The Great Recession experience, reasons Suro, argues for a different
approach to US immigration policy. First, Suro argues for regulating migrant
flows with a long-term approach, allowing for large swings in inflows as
labor market demand for workers rises and falls. This approach would give
more flexibility to US entry policy by allowing the labor market to more
directly determine how many immigrants enter the US legally. Second, with
the presence of a large and durable unauthorized immigrant population in
the United States, immigration policy might need to address how to affect
the long-term impact these immigrants (and future ones) might have on the
United States.
PART III
Europe
In Chapter 8, “The Evolution of EU Migration Policies: Toward a Balanced,
Comprehensive, and Common Approach?” Anja Wiesbrock of the Research
Council of Norway describes the development of European migration law and
policy in recent decades. As she explains, before the 1990s, migration policy
8 Adjusting to a World in Motion
more on the fight against irregular migration, readmission, and border control,
and less on other forms of migration. According to Eisele, this emphasis reflects
the security environment that existed after the September 11 terrorist attacks
in the United States and subsequent terrorist attacks in Europe and elsewhere.
Eisele also finds that, with a focus on irregular migration, the Global Approach
has emphasized relationships with migrant-sending countries largely to return
unwanted migrants to their origin countries—especially countries south and
east of the European Union.
The Middle East, especially the Gulf States, has only recently emerged as
an important destination region. As early as the 1970s, the oil-rich Gulf
States attracted many migrants to work in their oil fields. These were mainly
low-skilled construction and domestic workers drawn from countries like
Algeria, Morocco, Bangladesh, and India. These migrants often faced chal-
lenges such as poor working (and living) conditions and limited rights. There
have been several documented cases of work without pay, unsafe working con-
ditions, and poor physical treatment of workers, bringing greater attention to
the migration flows to the Middle East, particularly to the United Arab Emirates
(UAE) and Saudi Arabia.
In Chapter 10, “Citizenship Policies in the European Union,” Maarten Vink
and Gerard-René de Groot, both of Maastricht University, highlight the con-
vergence of recent EU policy developments while noting that substantial dif-
ferences among member states remain. It is, for example, much easier to gain
citizenship in Spain than in Germany.
Overall, Vink and de Groot identify six broad trends in EU citizenship poli-
cies: (1) more equal treatment of women and men for descent-based citizenship;
(2) convergence among EU countries regarding birthright citizenship (jus soli)
and citizenship based on the origin of one’s parents (jus sanguinis), with many
EU countries having some mix of the two policies; (3) greater acceptance of
dual citizenship; (4) greater use of tests (language, citizenship) and setting of
other conditions for naturalization, such as requiring a certain number of years
of legal residence in an EU country; (5) greater attention to statelessness, now
including provisions for children born abroad to citizen parents to be registered
as citizens in a country’s consulate; and, (6) taking more account of their mem-
bership in the European Union when modifying citizenship policies, so that
there is likely to be more convergence of policies in the future. Although some
of these citizenship policies (such as the growing acceptance of dual citizenship)
bring EU member states’ laws closer to one another, others (such as integration
criteria as a prerequisite for naturalization) distance some member states from
the general EU model.
Diaspora engagement has become increasingly important for sending coun-
tries, as they have come to see their diaspora as agents of their own develop-
ment and stability. As a result, many countries attempt to maintain ties with
their diaspora that are cultural and political as well as economic (that is, beyond
10 Adjusting to a World in Motion
residency and family reunification policies, and greater education and employ-
ment possibilities.
In Chapter 12, “Educational Performance of the Children of Immigrants in
Sixteen OECD Countries,” Jaap Dronkers of Maastricht University and Manon
de Heus, an independent writer and journalist, based in Berlin and Los Angeles,
focus on the influence of macro-level factors such as the staff-student ratio in
the receiving country, the number of years of compulsory education in the
sending country, and the presence of immigrant communities in the receiving
country on the science achievement performance of the children of migrants.
They also controlled for individual-level variables, such as immigrant genera-
tion and parental occupational status, and they concluded that both macro-level
and individual-level variables have an effect on the educational achievement of
children of immigrants. (Their primary data source is the 2006 Program for
International Student Assessment [PISA].)
Dronkers and De Heus find that destination country factors such as teacher
shortages can negatively affect immigrant student achievement. Conversely,
test scores are higher if the receiving country has a long-standing immigrant
community from the sending country, and immigrant children do better in
receiving countries that have longer periods of compulsory education.
PART IV
periodically offered amnesty so that those in the country illegally might return
to their home countries. Currently, GCC countries’ migration policies promote
contract migration whereby migrants can receive an entry visa as long as they
are employed by a GCC citizen or institution.
According to Khadria, many GCC countries realized that they needed to both
work together to better manage migration flows and engage origin countries (such
as the Philippines, Bangladesh, and India) in efforts to improve worker well-being.
To this end, GCC countries joined the Colombo Process in 2003, participating
in an ongoing dialogue with labor-sending countries about employment condi-
tions for overseas workers. As the Colombo Process lost momentum, however, the
Abu Dhabi Declaration in 2008 launched a new collaborative approach for labor
migration in Asia. Through the Declaration, sending countries and receiving
countries focused on sharing information about labor market trends and work-
ing together to prevent the illegal recruitment of contractual workers.
At the same time that countries are seeking to control the overall flow of
migrants, competition for high-skilled workers is heating up in a global race for
talent. Through policies like the US H-1B visa program, countries seek to give
employers a way to find and employ skilled workers from around the world.
More than half of the populations in some Gulf States are made up of immi-
grants. This is particularly true of the United Arab Emirates (UAE), which has seen
its migrant share reach an estimated 88 percent recently. In Chapter 14, “Population
Imbalance and Immigration as a Public Policy Problem in the United Arab
Emirates,” Ahmed Mustafa Elhussein Mansour of UAE University describes that
country’s population trends from the 1960s onward and the problems and concerns
that population imbalance (a population that is majority foreign born) has brought.
In 1968, prior to the discovery of oil in the Emirates, migrants made up
a negligible part of the country’s population. That changed in the 1970s as
increasing oil production brought a large inflow of wealth and the rapid devel-
opment of infrastructure to the UAE. As the demand for skilled labor grew,
however, it outstripped the ability of the local population to meet that demand.
As a result, foreign workers were brought in to meet the young nation’s labor
needs. By 1975, immigrants made up 63 percent of the UAE’s population and
84 percent of its workforce.
As Mansour notes, this population imbalance has brought with it economic,
social, political, and security problems for the UAE. For example, many jobs in
the private sector are held by foreign workers, and UAE nationals, contributing
to unemployment among nationals. On security and national identity, as the
Gulf region has become more turbulent politically, the large share of immi-
grants in the UAE has raised concerns about internal political instability.
The UAE is addressing population imbalance with a series of policies: pro-
viding incentives to increase national birth rates; replacing foreign workers
with local Emiratis in the private sector as well as in the public sector; and
creating more restrictive immigration policies to control the inflow of foreign
Introduction 13
workers. Mansour explains that each policy involves painful trade-offs between
continued economic growth, on the one hand, and national security and iden-
tity concerns, on the other—and any effects these policies might have on UAE
demographics are likely to come many years from now, if at all.
Mary Breeding of the World Bank’s Independent Evaluation Group
examines temporary labor programs in Chatper 15, “Indian Migration and
‘Temporary’ Labor Programs in the United States, the United Kingdom, and
the Netherlands.” The US temporary labor program utilizes an employer-driven
temporary visa system. Called the H-1B visa program, migrants who come to
the United States under this system are sponsored by an employer and have the
opportunity to apply for legal permanent resident status. In Europe, by contrast,
migrants who receive a temporary work permit are allowed to work for a fixed
period of time, and once that period is completed, they are expected to return
to their home country. Moreover, unlike the US system, in the Netherlands and
the United Kingdom, an employer sponsor is not required; instead, migrants’
skills and qualifications are assessed through a points system. Hence, migrants
can enter the Netherlands and the United Kingdom without a job.
Breeding uses the experiences of Indian migrants in each country to review
and compare these temporary worker systems and to compare them to the per-
manent settlement programs that each country has in place. Indian migrants
are an ideal group to examine because of the high number of high-skilled Indian
migrants living abroad and because the Netherlands, the United Kingdom, and
the United States have experienced multiple waves of Indian migration.
Utilizing data on visas and work permits issued by all three countries,
Breeding finds that for high-skilled Indian migrants, the United States remains
the top destination, as it continues to issue more visas to Indian high-skilled
workers than either the Netherlands or the United Kingdom. However, recent
changes in programs in the United Kingdom and the Netherlands have made
temporary worker policies there more flexible—and thus more competitive
with the United States. In both countries, there has been an increase in the
number of work permits given to high-skilled Indian migrants, suggesting an
increase in economic opportunities for Indian migrants. However, the underly-
ing benefit and cost calculations of potential Indian migrants may be changing.
As Breeding notes, economic growth in India may reduce future flows of tem-
porary migrants, although the size of the reduction cannot be predicted.
PART V
CONCLUSION
THE GHETTO