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Overall, however, the eighties was not happy decade for efforts to achieve a sustainable balance
between people anf=d their natural support systems. Continuing rapid population growth and spreading
environmental degradation trapped hundreds of millions in a downward spiral of falling incomes and
growing hunger. With the number of people caught this life-threatening cycle increasing each year, the
world may be soon forced to reckon with the consequence of years of population policy neglect.
Nguyen Sy Nham and his wife, Nguyen Thi Nhung, are helping to dispel the government's dream of
doubling Vietnam's living standards. Despite official pleas that couples have only two children, Nhung
gave birth to their tenth child.
"I didn't want so many children, but I didn't know how to avoid it," Nham says. Ironically, his village of
Khuong Dinh is located in the suburbs of Hanoi, only six kilometers from the headquarters of the
National Committee for Population and Family Planning. My wife has fitted an intra-uterine device three
or four times, but she had a negative reaction, so it is hard to be removed," says the farmer, who is
struggling to support his family by raising rice and vegetables on a 360-square-meter plot of land.
But problems with intrauterine devices and lack of knowledge about how to avoid pregnancies are only
two causes of Vietnam's exploding population. Other important factors are the strong Confucian
preference to have a boy to carry on family name and the desire by farmers to have a large number of
workers, say Tran Thi Trung Chien, the ministers in charge of population and family planning. A program
to curb the people boom is one key area where foreign aid can go along way.
The population growth rate of 1.7% annually makes Vietnam the world's seventh-fastest-growing
nation. At this rate, the population, estimated at 78 million by the end of last year, will exceed 85 million
by 2005.
Alarmed by this prospect, the ruling Communist Party Central Committee in January passed a resolution
warning that the country faced DISASTER UNLESS FURTHER STEP was taken to rein its population
growth. It increased by 0,25% of Chien's budget to promote family planning, but she still receives only
40 US cents per capita. Many neighboring countries spend roughly 6 times that.
In the late 1990s, only 44% of the couples in child-bearing years used modern contraceptives, and four-
fifths of these used intra-uterine devices. Only 4% used condoms and 2% used birth-control pills. To help
the country expand the production of contraceptives, the UN Population Fund (UNFPA) provided US$4
million to build a condom factory in Ho Chi Minh City and has begun supplying pills.
Overall, the Un Fund was providing US#3# million to Vietnam in 1992-1995, is the third-largest budget
after china and India. The government is talking to the Asian Development Bank about lending Vietnam
money to provide credits to families who follow the government's exhortations to have no more than
two children.
Despite years of war and international isolation, Vietnam has made considerable progress in Family
Planning, particularly in urban areas. According to the country's 1999 census, the fertility rate for
women aged 15 to 49 fell to 2.8 births in 1994-97, down from a rate of 3.2 in 1989-94. Chien says the
government hopes to reduce the annual population growth to 1.5% by the year 2002.
"The target is attainable, but only if foreign aid to expand the availability of contraceptives is
forthcoming." says anil Deolakikar, a consultant to the World Bank